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Mesoscale Discussion 1091 |
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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1091
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1119 PM CDT SUN JUN 10 2007
AREAS AFFECTED...SCNTRL/SERN ND...NCNTRL/NERN SD AND WCNTRL MN
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE
VALID 110419Z - 110615Z
LATEST PROFILER PLOTS SHOW A BROAD 30-35 KT SLY LLJ EXTENDING FROM
CNTRL NEB INTO SCNTRL SD. 00Z H85 PLOT SHOWS STRONGEST BAROCLINIC
ZONE NORTH OF THE INTERNATIONAL BORDER...BUT PRESENCE OF HEAT
MAXIMUM OVER THE WRN DAKS AND COOLER REGIME IN MN SUGGESTS A
SECONDARY ZONE OF BAROCLINICITY SITUATED N-S THROUGH THE CNTRL DAKS.
ORIENTATION OF THE LLJ...WHICH SHOULD GRADUALLY VEER TO MORE SWLY
LATER TONIGHT...WILL BOOST MOISTURE TRANSPORT/WARM ADVECTION FROM
CURRENT TSTM DEVELOPMENT IN SD/ND ENEWD INTO WCNTRL MN BY 09Z.
00Z BIS SOUNDING SAMPLED STEEP MID-TROPOSPHERIC LAPSE RATES WITH
ROUGHLY 20-25 KTS OF CAPE-BEARING SHEAR. THIS SUGGESTS POTENTIAL
FOR RATHER ROBUST MULTICELL UPDRAFTS CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL AND
PERHAPS GUSTY WINDS. ACTIVITY WILL GRADUALLY DEVELOP ENEWD AND MAY
JOIN ACTIVITY IN PROGRESS OVER WCNTRL MN LATER TONIGHT.
IF STORMS CONTINUE AN UPSWING IN INTENSITY...A WW MAY BE REQUIRED
FOR PARTS OF THE REGION FOR THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.
..RACY.. 06/11/2007
ATTN...WFO...MPX...FGF...ABR...BIS...
45840123 46559639 45319585 45370036
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