MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1073
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0235 PM CDT SAT JUN 09 2007
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...NM/SOUTHEAST CO
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE 
   
   VALID 091935Z - 092130Z
   
   THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL/STRONG WIND GUSTS...IN ADDITION TO LOCALLY
   HEAVY RAINFALL...IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE ACROSS MUCH OF NM INTO
   PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL/SOUTHEAST CO THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
   AFTERNOON. A CATEGORICAL SLIGHT RISK WILL BE EXPANDED INTO EASTERN
   NM/SOUTHEAST CO WITH THE 20Z DAY 1 OUTLOOK...AND A SEVERE
   THUNDERSTORM WATCH COULD BE NEEDED IN THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO FOR
   PORTIONS OF THE REGION.
   
   VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY/VOLUMETRIC RADAR DATA FEATURES STRONG
   STORMS INCREASING ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF WESTERN NM...AS WELL
   AS ALONG THE SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS IN NORTHEAST NM NEAR LAS
   VEGAS. OTHER DEVELOPMENT IS EVIDENT SOUTH OF CLOVIS AS OF 1930Z...AS
   THE EASTERN NM PLAINS CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY DESTABILIZE. PER 12Z
   RAOBS/LATEST SURFACE ANALYSIS...A MOISTURE-RICH ENVIRONMENT EXISTS
   ACROSS MUCH OF NM...WITH PRECIP WATER VALUES SOME 150 PERCENT OR
   NORMAL OR HIGHER...MANIFESTED BY SURFACE DEWPOINTS IN THE 50S/SOME
   LOWER 60S F ACROSS THE EASTERN NM PLAINS...WITH MIDDLE 40S TO LOWER
   50S F WELL WEST INTO INTERIOR NM. MODERATE INSTABILITY AND ADEQUATE
   VERTICAL SHEAR /AS HIGH AS 30 KT PER NM PROFILERS/ WILL SUPPORT
   SOMEWHAT SUSTAINED STRONG/SEVERE STORMS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...WITH
   SOME SUPERCELL STRUCTURES POSSIBLE. LARGE HAIL AND STRONG WIND GUSTS
   WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS...WITH LOCALLY HEAVY
   RAINFALL LIKELY AS WELL.
   
   ..GUYER.. 06/09/2007
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...MAF...PUB...ABQ...EPZ...
   
   34160874 35320873 36140784 36830611 37510463 37310333
   33870310 32220385 32030541 32510627 32940696 33060790
   33200834