MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1014
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0317 PM CDT TUE JUN 05 2007
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...ERN NY THROUGH MUCH OF NEW ENGLAND
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 347...
   
   VALID 052017Z - 052145Z
   
   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 347
   CONTINUES.
   
   THREAT FOR MAINLY ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND AND LARGE HAIL WILL LIKELY
   PERSIST NEXT FEW HOURS FROM ERN NY THROUGH MUCH OF NEW ENGLAND.
   
   THIS AFTERNOON A COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM W CNTRL NY SWWD INTO ERN
   PA. A PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM VT SWD THROUGH SRN NEW
   ENGLAND.  NUMEROUS STORMS CONTINUE DEVELOPING IN WEAKLEY CAPPED WARM
   SECTOR ALONG AND EAST OF THESE BOUNDARIES WITHIN ZONE OF ASCENT
   ATTENDING NEWD EJECTING SHORTWAVE TROUGH. STRONGEST STORMS CURRENTLY
   EXIST ACROSS PORTIONS OF NEW ENGLAND. THIS ACTIVITY APPEARS TO BE
   MOVING THROUGH AXIS OF HIGHER INSTABILITY WITHIN BELT OF STRONGER
   UPPER FLOW AND DEEP LAYER SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH LEAD VORT MAX.
   
   FARTHER WEST ACROSS CNTRL AND ERN NY...STORMS ARE DEVELOPING ALONG
   AND JUST AHEAD OF PRIMARY COLD FRONT. HOWEVER...THESE STORMS ARE IN
   AN ENVIRONMENT OF WEAKER INSTABILITY AND DEEP SHEAR SUPPORTIVE OF
   MAINLY MULTICELLS. SOME THREAT FOR LOCALIZED DOWNBURSTS AND HAIL MAY
   ALSO EXIST WITH THIS ACTIVITY...BUT THREAT WITH THESE STORMS IS
   EXPECTED TO REMAIN MORE MARGINAL THAN FARTHER EAST.
   
   ..DIAL.. 06/05/2007
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...GYX...BOX...BTV...OKX...ALY...
   
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