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Mesoscale Discussion 990 |
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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0990
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0548 PM CDT SUN JUN 03 2007
AREAS AFFECTED...AR...LA...MS...TX
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 337...340...
VALID 032248Z - 040015Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
337...340...CONTINUES.
MATURE BOW ECHO NOW CROSSING THE MS DELTA AT ABOUT 35KT EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN THROUGH THIS EVENING WHILE MOVING
ACROSS SRN MS. ADDITIONAL WATCHES ARE NOT CURRENTLY PLANNED BUT
LOCAL EXTENSIONS REMAIN POSSIBLE FOR A COUPLE OF HOURS.
LONG-TERM LOOPS OF RADAR AND LIGHTNING DATA APPEAR TO SUGGEST THAT
EARLIER CONSOLIDATED BOW HAS BECOME MORE FRACTURED OVER THE PAST
SEVERAL HOURS AND FORWARD SPEED HAS ALSO DIMINISHED SLOWLY. NEW
CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT HAS BEEN NOTED IN THE WAKE OF THE
MCS...ACROSS PARTS OF WRN LA...AS WELL AS ALONG THE NRN AND SRN
OUTFLOWS...NEAR THE GULF COAST...AND ACROSS SRN AR. THERE ALSO
REMAIN A FEW INTENSE UPDRAFTS WITHIN THE LEADING EDGE OF THE BOW
COMPLEX ITSELF BUT THESE APPEAR TO BE TRENDING WEAKER AS CONVERGENCE
AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM DIMINISHES. WARM AND DRY BOUNDARY LAYER AIR MASS
AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM COULD STILL SUPPORT A FEW STRONG GUSTS FROM
DECAYING STORMS THROUGH THIS EVENING. FURTHERMORE...OUTFLOW/FRONT
INTERSECTION ACROSS SERN AR COULD LEAD TO A FEW PERSISTENT AND
INTENSE STORMS ACROSS THIS AREA. HOWEVER...GIVEN LATEST TRENDS AND
THE APPEARANCE THAT THE SYSTEM HAS BEGUN TO LOSE SOME OF ITS EARLIER
INTEGRITY...SEVERE THREAT SHOULD GRADUALLY DIMINISH WITH TIME AND NO
ADDITIONAL WATCHES ARE EXPECTED.
..CARBIN.. 06/03/2007
ATTN...WFO...MEG...JAN...LIX...LZK...LCH...SHV...
29169136 29759424 30009430 30409384 30589356 30749326
30999299 31229319 31229375 31129425 31619425 31599326
31759219 32169187 32959192 32759345 33399345 34469094
34369063 32418946 31658940 30788945 29938965 29239031
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