MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0714
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0758 PM CDT SAT MAY 05 2007
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL/EASTERN ND
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE 
   
   VALID 060058Z - 060300Z
   
   SEVERE THREAT MAY INCREASE INTO PORTIONS OF CENTRAL/EASTERN ND BY
   LATE EVENING...SUCH THAT A WATCH COULD BE NEEDED LATER TONIGHT.
   
   ALTHOUGH INSTABILITY IS MINIMAL WITH NORTH EXTENT INTO ND EARLY THIS
   EVENING /REFERENCE 00Z BISMARK RAOB/...PRESSURE FALLS/NORTHWARD
   SHIFTING SURFACE LOW...SURGING DRY SLOT...AND PRONOUNCED LOW LEVEL
   MOISTURE TRANSPORT REGIME SHOULD LEAD TO FAIRLY QUICK
   DESTABILIZATION INTO ND THROUGH LATE EVENING. LATEST RUC SUGGESTS
   THE DEVELOPMENT OF A 50-70 KT SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL JET TONIGHT ACROSS
   THE EASTERN DAKOTAS. AMBIENT WIND FIELDS WILL SUPPORT ROTATING
   STORMS/SUPERCELLS LATE THIS EVENING/OVERNIGHT...WITH A PRIMARY
   THREAT OF LARGE HAIL. IN ADDITION...THE POSSIBILITY FOR STRONG WIND
   GUSTS AND POSSIBLY A TORNADO OR TWO MAY EXIST IF STORMS ULTIMATELY
   BECOME NEAR-SURFACE BASED LATE TONIGHT.
   
   ..GUYER.. 05/06/2007
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...FGF...BIS...
   
   45990094 46810150 47380082 47589855 46999695 46159678
   45979737