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Mesoscale Discussion 705 |
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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0705
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0137 PM CDT SAT MAY 05 2007
AREAS AFFECTED...MUCH OF CENTRAL/SOUTHERN GA INTO THE SC COASTAL
PLAIN
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 051837Z - 052030Z
STRONG STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THROUGH MID/LATE AFTERNOON
ACROSS MUCH OF CENTRAL/SOUTHERN GA INTO THE SC COASTAL PLAIN...WITH
THE POSSIBILITY OF ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND HAIL.
ISOLATED/MARGINAL NATURE OF THE EXPECTED THREATS SUGGESTS THAT A
WATCH IS UNLIKELY.
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY FEATURES UPPER LOW DRIFTING SOUTHEASTWARD TOWARD
THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS...WHILE A ROUGHLY NORTHWEST-SOUTHEAST
ARCING FRONT IS ANALYZED ACROSS CENTRAL GA INTO FAR SOUTHERN SC AS
OF 18Z. GIVEN FURTHER DAYTIME HEATING...SEA BREEZE...AND BACKGROUND
FORCING FOR ASCENT FROM THE MID LEVEL LOW...THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN AREAL COVERAGE WITHIN THIS CORRIDOR THROUGH
MID/LATE AFTERNOON. ON THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE UPPER
LOW...SOME ENHANCED MID LEVEL FLOW WAS NOTED ON THE 12Z RAOBS FROM
NASHVILLE/ATLANTA...WHICH MAY CONTRIBUTE TO EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR OF
30-35 KT. ALTHOUGH THE PRIMARY HAZARD WILL LIKELY BE ISOLATED
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS IN THE AMBIENT WARM SECTOR SOUTH OF THE
FRONT...A FEW STORMS DEVELOPING NEAR THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY MAY ATTAIN
BRIEF SUPERCELL STRUCTURES...WHICH COULD ENHANCE LARGE HAIL
POTENTIAL.
..GUYER.. 05/05/2007
ATTN...WFO...CHS...CAE...JAX...FFC...TAE...
33488078 32978017 32318090 31648143 30858172 31438315
32098385 33238438 33378388 33188306 33018219
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