MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0436
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1102 PM CDT TUE APR 03 2007
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...DEEP SOUTH TX
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 
   
   VALID 040402Z - 040630Z
   
   ISOLATED SEVERE HAIL OR WIND GUSTS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE FOR SEVERAL
   MORE HOURS.
   
   STORMS HAVE CROSSED THE RIO GRANDE SE OF LRD AND HAS BEEN SLOWLY
   PROPAGATING SEWD ALONG ITS OWN OUTFLOW. 00Z SOUNDINGS FROM CRP AND
   BRO SHOW STEEP LAPSE RATES ABOVE 850 MB WITH AMPLE LOW LEVEL
   MOISTURE AND STRONG INSTABILITY. FLOW FIELDS ARE WEAK THROUGH THE
   TROPOSPHERE BUT WLY. RECENT RADAR TRENDS ALSO INDICATE ISOLATED
   CONVECTION BREAKING OUT AHEAD OF THE MAIN LINE. THIS PROBABLY
   INDICATES THAT THE ENVIRONMENT REMAINS FAVORABLE AHEAD OF THE MAIN
   AREA OF STORMS AND THESE STORMS MAY REMAIN STRONG OR SEVERE AS THEY
   SHIFT SEWD. GIVEN MULTICELLULAR STORM MODE...ONLY MARGINALLY SVR
   HAIL AND/OR WIND WILL BE LIKELY.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 04/04/2007
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...CRP...BRO...
   
   27329902 27069742 25999717 25869731 26059823 26389905
   26469914 26829900