MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0392
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0240 AM CDT SAT MAR 31 2007
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF NERN TX...SWRN AR...NWRN LA
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 97...
   
   VALID 310740Z - 310915Z
   
   ISOLATED SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES WITHIN VALID PORTIONS OF
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 97.
   
   WEAKLY ORGANIZED BANDS OF CONVECTION CONTINUE TRACKING ENEWD FROM
   NERN TX INTO SWRN AR EARLY TODAY. OVERALL TREND IN LIGHTNING AND
   WARMING IR CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES SUGGEST THAT CONVECTIVE INTENSITY
   MAY BE GRADUALLY DECREASING IN THESE AREAS. HOWEVER...STRONGER
   ASCENT/SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH LOW LEVEL JET AND APPROACHING COLD
   FRONT MAY SUPPORT ONE OR TWO STRONGER STORMS GIVEN WARM/MOIST AIR
   MASS EXPECTED TO PERSIST ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH WATCH EXPIRATION
   TIME OF 11Z.
   
   ..CARBIN.. 03/31/2007
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...FWD...
   
   31629495 31719532 31989535 32619476 32839459 33789481
   33639446 34199442 34379403 34199387 33789310 33019292
   33009353 32199340 32389380 32059402