MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0323
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0411 AM CDT FRI MAR 23 2007
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...SE NM
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 
   
   VALID 230911Z - 231045Z
   
   SEVERAL SUPERCELLS ARE ONGOING ACROSS SE NM. THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL
   HAVE THE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE HAIL OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. THE
   THREAT SHOULD REMAIN ISOLATED AND A WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED ACROSS THE
   REGION LATE TONIGHT.
   
   LATEST WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS AN UPPER-LOW OVER THE NRN GULF OF
   CA WITH SEVERAL SUBTLE SHORTWAVE TROUGHS ROTATING AROUND THE EAST
   SIDE OF THE LOW ACROSS NRN MEXICO AND IN THE EL PASO TX AREA. THIS
   LATTER SHORTWAVE TROUGH MAY BE RESPONSIBLE FOR CONVECTIVE
   DEVELOPMENT OCCURRING IN SE NM ATTM. VERY STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR AND
   MODERATE INSTABILITY SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT TO SUPPORT SUPERCELLS
   OVERNIGHT MOVING INTO ECNTRL NM LATE TONIGHT. THE MAIN THREAT SHOULD
   BE LARGE HAIL WHICH WILL BE SUPPORTED BY THE STRONG SHEAR AND STEEP
   LAPSE RATES IN PLACE.
   
   ..BROYLES.. 03/23/2007
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...MAF...ABQ...EPZ...
   
   32150392 32280488 33000510 33670503 34310478 34440441
   34330362 33980337 32990338