MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0292
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0814 PM CDT FRI MAR 16 2007
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...MUCH OF VT/NH/MA/CT/NJ/MD...EASTERN NY/PA...NRN
   VA/DE...WASHINGTON D.C.
   
   CONCERNING...WINTER MIXED PRECIPITATION 
   
   VALID 170114Z - 170515Z
   
   A POWERFUL LATE-SEASON WINTER STORM SYSTEM CONTINUES TO AFFECT A
   LARGE PORTION OF THE NORTHEASTERN UNITED STATES.
   
   AT 17/00Z A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WAS LOCATED OFF THE COAST OF
   EASTERN MARYLAND...AND WILL MOVE ESSENTIALLY STRAIGHT NORTHWARD TO
   JUST EAST OF LONG ISLAND BY 17/06Z. AS THE LOW TRACKS NORTH THROUGH
   THE FORECAST PERIOD...A REGION OF SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WILL
   REMAIN ESSENTIALLY STATIONARY FROM MASSACHUSETTS SOUTHWARD INTO NEW
   JERSEY AND MARYLAND. FURTHER WEST INTO VERMONT...SOUTH INTO NEW YORK
   AND PENNSYLVANIA...SNOWFALL RATES WILL APPROACH TWO INCHES PER HOUR
   IN LOCALIZED AREAS...CONTRIBUTING TO SOME TOTAL SNOWFALL
   ACCUMULATIONS NEAR ONE FOOT.
   
   THE 18Z NAM INDICATES AN AREA OF 700MB FRONTOGENESIS WILL MOVE NORTH
   FROM NORTHERN CONNECTICUT...THROUGH EASTERN NEW YORK...AND INTO NRN
   NEW JERSEY AND MARYLAND...CONTRIBUTING TO THE CONTINUED DEVELOPMENT
   OF TRANSIENT MESOSCALE SNOW BANDS THROUGH THE NEXT SEVERAL
   HOURS...AND SNOWFALL RATES WITH THIS BAND WILL EXCEED ONE INCH PER
   HOUR IN LOCALIZED AREAS. TO THE EAST OF THIS BAND WILL BE A SHARP
   GRADIENT BETWEEN THE FREEZING RAIN/SLEET REGION AND SNOW...AND THIS
   MIXED PRECIPITATION REGION WILL CONTINUE TO REMAIN FAIRLY
   STATIONARY...WITH AREAS OF ICE AND SLEET ACCUMULATION CONTINUING
   THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.
   
   ..LEVIT.. 03/17/2007
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...GYX...BOX...BTV...OKX...ALY...PHI...BGM...AKQ...BUF...CTP...LWX...
   
   37677701 38237605 39307515 39997447 40777353 41337282
   41947182 42607129 43207097 43567114 44497234 44317428
   43567538 42387652 40537691 39007778 38027840