MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0101
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0756 AM CST THU FEB 01 2007
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...EXTREME SE LA / EXTREME SRN MS AND AL / WRN FL
   PNHDL
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE 
   
   VALID 011356Z - 011600Z
   
   SFC-BASED TSTMS HAVE BEEN SLOWLY INCREASING OVER THE N CNTRL GULF OF
   MEXICO AND EXTREME SE LA/FAR SRN MS/AL FOR THE PAST 2-3 HRS.  THIS
   ACTIVITY SHOULD CONTINUE TO SLOWLY INCREASE THIS MORNING AS LOW
   LEVEL MOISTURE RETURN AND LARGE SCALE ASCENT GRADUALLY INCREASE
   DOWNSTREAM FROM APPARENT SHORTWAVE IMPULSE OVER E TX.  LOW TO MID
   LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL REMAIN WEAK...BUT INCREASING MOISTURE INFLOW
   WITH RESULT IN FURTHER DESTABILIZATION WITH SBCAPE POSSIBLY REACHING
   500 J/KG ALONG THE IMMEDIATE CNTRL GULF CST BY MID MORNING.  COUPLED
   WITH MDT TO STRONG /50+ KT/ DEEP WSWLY SHEAR AND ABSENCE OF STRONG
   LINEAR FORCING...POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR A FEW SUSTAINED SEMI-
   DISCRETE STORMS/POSSIBLE SUPERCELLS WITH AN ATTENDANT THREAT FOR
   BOWING SEGMENTS/HIGH WIND.
   
   ..CORFIDI.. 02/01/2007
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...TAE...MOB...LIX...
   
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