MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0036
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0938 PM CST SUN JAN 07 2007
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...EXTREME SERN AL THROUGH CNTRL AND SWRN GA
   
   CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 11...
   
   VALID 080338Z - 080445Z
   
   MARGINAL THREAT FOR ISOLATED DAMAGING AND A TORNADO OR TWO MAY
   PERSIST A LITTLE WHILE BEYOND 04Z...BUT THREAT IS EXPECTED TO
   GRADUALLY DIMINISH IN THIS REGION. WW 11 MAY BE LOCALLY EXTENDED IN
   TIME FOR A COUPLE HOURS IF DESIRED. OTHERWISE...TORNADO WATCH 11
   WILL EXPIRE AT 04Z. 
   
   PRE-FRONTAL SQUALL LINE EXTENDS FROM SWRN NC SWWD THROUGH CNTRL GA
   AND INTO EXTREME SERN AL AND THE FL PANHANDLE MOVING SLOWLY EAST.
   LOCAL RADAR DATA CONTINUE TO SHOW UPDRAFT ROTATION WITH A CELL OVER
   SWRN GA.  PRE-FRONTAL WARM SECTOR IS CHARACTERIZED BY DEWPOINTS IN
   THE LOWER 60S AND WEAK MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES RESULTING IN MUCAPE
   BELOW 300 J/KG. TREND HAS BEEN FOR LIGHTNING TO DIMINISH DURING THE
   PAST COUPLE HOURS. FORECAST RUC SOUNDINGS SHOW WHAT LITTLE CAPE
   REMAINS IS GENERALLY IN LAYERS BELOW 500 MB WHERE TEMPERATURES ARE
   MOSTLY ABOVE -5C. THIS SUGGEST THE CONVECTION WILL REMAIN SHALLOW
   WITH LITTLE IF ANY ADDITIONAL LIGHTING EXPECTED IN THIS REGION AS
   THE LINE CONTINUES EAST. LOW LEVEL WIND FIELDS WILL GRADUALLY VEER
   AND WEAKEN SLIGHTLY AS THE STRONGER LOW LEVEL JET LIFTS NE OF THIS
   AREA INTO THE CAROLINAS. SOME THREAT FOR AN ISOLATED TORNADO OR
   DAMAGING WIND MAY PERSIST ANOTHER COUPLE OF HOURS OR SO IN THIS
   REGION...BUT OVERALL THREAT WILL REMAIN MARGINAL.
   
   ..DIAL.. 01/08/2007
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...FFC...TAE...
   
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