MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0003
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0100 AM CST MON JAN 01 2007
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...NRN NY/VT/NH
   
   CONCERNING...FREEZING RAIN 
   
   VALID 010700Z - 011200Z
   
   ...FREEZING RAIN IS LIKELY OVERNIGHT ACROSS THE CHAMPLAIN VALLEY AND
   ADIRONDACK MTNS INTO VT AND NH. HRLY RATES MAY APPROACH 0.05
   INCHES...
   
   SFC FREEZING LINE EXTENDS FROM ST LAWRENCE CO NY SOUTHEAST TO UTICA
   AND THEN NORTHEAST TOWARD SRN VERMONT. ALBANY NY IS WELL ABOVE
   FREEZING AS ARE LOCATIONS SOUTH OF THE INTERSTATE 90 CORRIDOR IN NY.
   FREEZING RAIN IS BEING REPORTED AT A NUMBER OF LOCATIONS ACROSS NRN
   NY...AND PORTIONS OF WRN VT.
   
   STRONG WAA PATTERN WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT...WITH 60-70KT LOW LEVEL
   JET FORECAST OVER NEW ENGLAND BY 09Z. LATEST VAD WIND DATA FROM THE
   BURLINGTON AND ALBANY RADARS SHOW STRONG VEERING PROFILES...WITH 50
   KT SLY WINDS SAMPLED BELOW 1KM. STRONG LOW LEVEL THETA-E ADVECTION
   ALONG WITH LARGE SCALE SYNOPTIC LIFT WILL CONTINUE FOR SEVERAL
   HOURS...PROVIDING THE FORCING FOR WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION.
   
   WET BULB TEMPS ARE IN THE TEENS IN PARTS OF NH AND VT WITH TEMPS IN
   THE TEENS AND 20S...SO SFC TEMPS WILL REMAIN BELOW FREEZING AT THE
   ONSET OF PRECIPITATION. COLD AIR MAY REMAIN TRAPPED IN THE CHAMPLAIN
   VALLEY OR OTHER LOW LYING ELEVATIONS ACROSS NERN NY...SO FZRA MAY BE
   LIKELY FOR SEVERAL MORE HOURS. EVENTUALLY FREEZING RAIN WILL SPREAD
   INTO ME LATER THIS MORNING. FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST FZRA MAY
   SPREAD INTO WRN PORTIONS OF ME BEFORE 12Z. SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS
   OF ICING ARE POSSIBLE...GIVEN HOURLY RATES OF A FEW HUNDREDTHS TO
   0.05 INCHES AN HOUR FOR SEVERAL HOURS.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 01/01/2007
   
   
   ...NOTICE...
   SPC WINTER WEATHER MESOSCALE DISCUSSIONS WILL BE ISSUED ON A
   SCHEDULED BASIS FROM DECEMBER 1 THROUGH FEBRUARY 28...FOUR
   TIMES A DAY...AROUND 00 UTC...06 UTC...12 UTC...AND 18 UTC
   FOR SIGNIFICANT SHORT RANGE WINTER WEATHER EVENTS.
   
   ATTN...WFO...GYX...BOX...BTV...ALY...BGM...BUF...
   
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   45297044 43976957 42647083