MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2140
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0757 PM CDT SAT AUG 28 2004
AREAS AFFECTED...COASTAL ERN SC
CONCERNING...HEAVY RAINFALL
VALID 290057Z - 290300Z
HEAVY RAIN RATES OF 2.5 TO 3.5 INCHES/HOUR ARE POSSIBLE OVER
PORTIONS GEORGETOWN/CHARLESTON/BERKELEY/DORCHESTER
COUNTIES...CONTINUING AT LEAST INTO 03Z...ALONG AXIS OF NRN OUTER
BAND OF STRONG T.S. GASTON. BRIEFLY/LOCALLY HIGHER RATES ARE
POSSIBLE IN HEAVIEST EMBEDDED TSTMS.
CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS BAND HAS BEEN INTENSIFYING AND
GROWING IN COVERAGE OVER PAST 1-2 HOURS OVER ATLANTIC WATERS. WITH
WIND FIELDS PREDICTED TO STRENGTHEN PER LATEST NHC
FCSTS...CONVERGENCE SHOULD REMAIN SUFFICIENT TO MAINTAIN THIS BAND
AS IT MOVES ASHORE BEGINNING OVER E-CENTRAL/NERN CHARLESTON COUNTY
AND SHIFTING INLAND FROM THERE. HEAVY RAIN HAZARD WILL BE AUGMENTED
BECAUSE OF STRONGLY PARALLEL COMPONENT OF CONVERGENCE BAND
ORIENTATION WITH CELL MOTION...RESULTING IN SOME ECHO TRAINING.
OUTER BAND TSTMS SHOULD BE VERY EFFICIENT PRECIP PRODUCERS WITH
MAINLY WARM-CLOUD PROCESSES INVOLVED. AIR MASS OVER REGION IS
EXTREMELY MOIST THROUGH TROPOSPHERE BASED ON 00Z CHS RAOB WITH PW
APCHG 2.25 INCH.
REF LATEST NHC STATEMENTS -- I.E. WMO HEADER WTNT22 KNHC -- FOR
LATEST TRACK/INTENSITY GUIDANCE AND TROPICAL WATCHES/WARNINGS.
..EDWARDS.. 08/29/2004
ATTN...WFO...ILM...CHS...CAE...
32797976 32817991 32838016 32958032 33068037 33218035
33308032 33388018 33507987 33467936 33417907
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