MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2005
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0528 PM CDT SAT AUG 14 2004
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...EXTREME ERN NC AND SERN VA/COASTAL MD
   
   CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 753...
   
   VALID 142228Z - 150000Z
   
   TORNADO THREAT CONTINUES FOR MAINLY EXTREME ERN NC AND SERN VA.
   TORNADO WATCH MAY NOT BE EXTENDED NWD AS CHARLEY CONTINUES TO WEAKEN
   AND THE MAIN CONVECTIVE BAND IS EXPECTED TO SHIFT MOSTLY OFFSHORE
   DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS. 
   
   AT 22Z...RADAR INDICATES THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CHARLEY WAS
   LOCATED NEAR THE NC/VA BORDER ABOUT 20 NNW ECG. THE MOTION THE PAST
   COUPLE OF HOURS HAS BEEN NNEWD NEAR 30 KT...WHICH PLACES THE CENTER
   NEAR ORF AT 00Z AND ABOUT 15 NE WAL AT 03Z. THE WINDS IN THE SYSTEM
   CONTINUE TO SLOWLY WEAKEN...THOUGH SUFFICIENT SHEAR EXISTS FOR
   TORNADOES...ESPECIALLY IN THE MOST ERN BAND THAT EXTENDS FROM NEAR
   ORF TO 10 EAST ECG TO 25 W HSE. HOWEVER...AS THE CENTER CONTINUES TO
   MOVE NNEWD...THE BAND ON THE EAST SIDE OF CHARLEY WILL REMAIN MOSTLY
   OFF SHORE. AN ISOLATED TORNADO OR TWO WILL BE POSSIBLE NEAR THE
   CENTER AS IT TRACKS JUST TO THE EAST OF THE CHESAPEAKE BAY...BUT
   GIVEN THE SMALL AREA AND WITH THE GREATEST TORNADO THREAT EXPECTED
   TO BE OFFSHORE...ADDITIONAL WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED ATTM.
   
   ..IMY.. 08/14/2004
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...PHI...AKQ...MHX...
   
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