MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1836
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0210 PM CDT MON AUG 02 2004
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...EASTERN ORE/WESTERN ID
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 
   
   VALID 021910Z - 022145Z
   
   SCATTERED STRONG/SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP OVER THE MOUNTAINS
   OF CENTRAL ORE AND SPREAD EASTWARD THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING.  WW MAY
   BE REQUIRED IN 1-2 HOURS.
   
   WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS WELL-DEFINED UPPER VORT MAX OVER NORTHERN
   CA.  THIS FEATURE IS BEGINNING TO MOVE NORTHEASTWARD...AND WILL
   AFFECT MUCH OF ORE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. STRONG DAYTIME
   HEATING HAS BEEN OCCURRING AHEAD OF SYSTEM OVER EASTERN ORE WITH
   SBCAPE VALUES AROUND 2000 J/KG.  SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE
   EXPECTED TO BEGIN TO DEVELOP IN THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS FROM LMT TO
   RDM.  STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES...SUFFICIENT DEEP LAYER VERTICAL
   SHEAR...AND FORCING AHEAD OF APPROACHING TROUGH WILL SUPPORT A RISK
   OF ISOLATED SUPERCELLS/BOWS CAPABLE OF DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL.
   
   ..HART.. 08/02/2004
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...MSO...BOI...OTX...PDT...MFR...
   
   42182048 43602150 45172090 45851925 46531708 45871600
   43471614 42251757 42091872