MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1614
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1033 AM CDT SUN JUL 11 2004
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...SE NEB...SW IA AND EXTREME NW MO
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 
   
   VALID 111533Z - 111730Z
   
   THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY
   ACROSS SE NEB AND SPREAD EWD INTO PARTS OF SW IA AND NW MO.
   ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND AND HAIL WILL BE THE MAIN THREATS. AREA
   WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED.
   
   LATE THIS MORNING A BAND OF CLOUDS RESULTING FROM ASCENT ASSOCIATED
   WITH AN MCV IS MOVING EWD THROUGH SE NEB. THE ATMOSPHERE DOWNSTREAM
   FROM THIS FEATURE IS ALREADY MODERATELY UNSTABLE WITH MLCAPE AROUND
   2000 J/KG AND STEEP LAPSE RATES...AND FURTHER DESTABILIZATION WILL
   OCCUR AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER CONTINUES TO WARM. LATEST RADAR DATA
   ALREADY SHOW ISOLATED STORMS DEVELOPING IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE MCV
   OVER SE NEB AND ADDITIONAL STORMS ARE EXPECTED AS THE ATMOSPHERE
   DESTABILIZES. OTHER STORMS MIGHT ALSO DEVELOP ALONG OUTFLOW BOUNDARY
   DROPPING SWD THROUGH WRN IA/ERN NEB. MULTICELL STORMS CAPABLE OF
   PRODUCING HAIL AND ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE
   INTO THE AFTERNOON.
   
   ..DIAL.. 07/11/2004
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...DMX...EAX...OAX...
   
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