MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1601
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0407 PM CDT SAT JUL 10 2004
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF NRN/CENTRAL NC
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 
   
   VALID 102107Z - 102300Z
   
   ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND THREAT WILL PERSIST WITH CONVECTIVE COMPLEX
   AS IT MOVES SWD INTO NCENTRAL NC. A WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED.
   
   CONVECTIVE COMPLEX WITH MODEST COLD POOL WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SWD
   FROM SCENTRAL VA INTO NCENTRAL NC OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. STEEP
   LAPSE RATES AROUND 9 DEG C FROM THE SFC-3 KM AND MODERATE
   INSTABILITY WITH MLCAPES AROUND 2000 J/KG WILL AID IN CONTINUED
   ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND THREAT. THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE ALONG THE
   LEADING EDGE OF THE CONVECTIVE LINE/GUST FRONT. LACK OF STRONGER
   BACKGROUND ENVIRONMENTAL WIND FIELDS AS EVIDENT BY REGIONAL VWP/S
   SHOULD LIMIT A GREATER SEVERE THREAT.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 07/10/2004
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...AKQ...RAH...RNK...
   
   35787969 36008021 36408035 36578019 36557930 36567807
   36187779 35727817