MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1467
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0212 PM CDT FRI JUL 02 2004
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...NERN NM...SERN CO...WRN OK PANHANDLE...NWRN TX
   PANHANDLE
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 
   
   VALID 021912Z - 022145Z
   
   ISOLATED SEVERE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS. 
   A WW IS NOT EXPECTED.
   
   MODERATE INSTABILITY HAS DEVELOPED OVER THE HIGH TERRAIN OF NERN NM
   WHERE SURFACE DEWPOINTS HAVE RISEN INTO THE 55-60 F RANGE. 
   CONTINUED DAYTIME HEATING WILL ALLOW A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE
   THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP BY LATE AFTERNOON.  VERY STEEP MID LEVEL
   LAPSE RATES TO 9.0 C/KM AND UNSEASONABLY COLD MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES
   NEAR -10 C WILL PROMOTE LARGE HAIL IN THE STRONGEST CELLS.  PRESENCE
   OF UPPER RIDGE AXIS / WEAK LARGE SCALE FORCING WILL LIKELY KEEP
   CHANCE OF SEVERE STORMS ISOLATED.  AREA PROFILERS AND FORECAST
   SOUNDINGS YIELD HODOGRAPHS FAVORABLE FOR MULTICELLULAR OR PULSE
   STORM MODES...SUGGESTING SEVERE THREAT WILL BE SHORT LIVED AS STORMS
   MOVE SEWD.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 07/02/2004
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...AMA...PUB...ABQ...
   
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