MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0453
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0440 PM CDT FRI APR 23 2004
AREAS AFFECTED...NORTHWEST TX AND SRN OK
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 109...
VALID 232140Z - 232245Z
NEW WW WILL BE NEEDED BY 23Z FOR PORTIONS OF WRN/NRN TX AND INTO
SOUTH CENTRAL OK.
LINE OF SUPERCELLS EXTENDS 20 E FSI TO 30 NW ABI. THE STORMS FROM SW
OF SPS TO NORTH OF ABI HAVE RECENTLY MERGED OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES AND
MAY BECOME MORE OF A WIND THREAT. HOWEVER...TORNADOES REMAIN
POSSIBLE IN THE STORMS THAT CAN MAINTAIN A CELLULAR STRUCTURE.
ALTHOUGH THE LOW LEVEL SHEAR IS NOT PARTICULARLY STRONG...THE
HORIZONTAL VORTICITY ALONG THE SW-NE ORIENTED COLD FRONT MAY BE
SUPPORTIVE OF TORNADOES ALONG THE BOUNDARY IN SRN OK AND THE
BOUNDARY IN WRN TX. THE STRONG DEEP LAYER SHEAR...MUCAPE VALUES
AROUND 2000 J/KG...AND STEEP LAPSE RATES SUGGESTS THE MAIN SEVERE
WEATHER THREAT WILL BE VERY LARGE HAIL AND OCCASIONAL DAMAGING
WINDS.
..IMY.. 04/23/2004
ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...SJT...LUB...MAF...
30890170 33660040 34469705 30939876
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