MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0258
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0542 PM CST SAT APR 03 2004
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL AND ERN NM...AND SWRN TX
   
   CONCERNING...HEAVY RAINFALL 
   
   VALID 032342Z - 040245Z
   
   HEAVY RAINFALL IS LIKELY ACROSS FAR SERN NM/SWRN TX AND ALONG THE
   SACRAMENTO AND SANGRE DE CRISTO RANGES IN NM THIS EVENING INTO THE
   OVERNIGHT PERIOD.
   
   THROUGH TONIGHT...SFC-700MB ELY TO SELY FLOW BETWEEN STAGNANT UPPER
   LOW OVER AZ AND RIDGE AXIS ACROSS THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS WILL
   MAINTAIN MOISTURE ADVECTION AND UPSLOPE FLOW ACROSS CENTRAL/ERN NM.
   THE 21Z RUC SUGGESTS SELY 700MB FLOW WILL INCREASE FROM 20KT TO 35
   KT ACROSS E-CENTRAL NM BY 03Z.
   
   THERE SHOULD BE TWO AREAS OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN THROUGH LATE THIS
   EVENING. SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS NEAR HOBBS NM AND SW OF WINK TX
   SHOULD EXHIBIT A SLOW NEWD DRIFT AROUND 5KT. ADDITIONALLY...
   JUXTAPOSITION OF UPPER DIFLUENCE WITH PRESENCE OF E-W SURFACE
   BOUNDARY WHICH EXTENDS WWD INTO SERN NM SHOULD PROVIDE A LOCAL FOCUS
   FOR THUNDERSTORM REDEVELOPMENT AND RAINFALL RATES UP TO 2"/HR OVER
   LEA COUNTY NM AND ADJACENT BORDER COUNTIES IN TX THROUGH 03Z.
   
   ELSEWHERE...LOW-LEVEL OROGRAPHIC LIFT INTO THE SACRAMENTO AND SRN
   SANGRE DE CRISTO MTNS WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR HEAVY RAIN THREAT.
   LARGE-SCALE CONFLUENCE BAND CONTAINING BROKEN LINE OF THUNDERSTORM
   CELLS EXTENDS FROM DMN TO ABQ. SLOW EWD PROPAGATION OF THESE
   TRAINING THUNDERSTORMS INTO ABOVE MENTIONED RANGES BEGINNING THIS
   EVENING SHOULD ENHANCE THREAT OF HEAVY RAIN THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT
   PERIOD.
   
   ..BANACOS.. 04/03/2004
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...ABQ...EPZ...LUB...MAF...
   
   33680697 34280680 34930669 35470645 35740621 35650599
   35470587 35120583 34720580 34230591 33730601 33410602
   32740620 32590659 33160692 
   
   31830281 30940377 31120443 32340415 32980381 33310371
   33360330 33310295 33160261 32960251 32530249