MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0249
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0652 PM CST THU APR 01 2004
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...SWRN TX
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 
   
   VALID 020052Z - 020215Z
   
   ONGOING CLUSTER OF TSTMS MAY POSE AN ISOLATED STRONG WIND GUST/LARGE
   HAIL THREAT THROUGH 03Z. WW WILL NOT BE REQUIRED.
   
   AS OF 0040Z...SAN ANGELO REFLECTIVITY DATA SHOWED CLUSTER OF TSTMS
   BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED ALONG EWD-EXPANDING COLD POOL FROM CNTRL
   CROCKETT COUNTY SWD INTO WRN PORTIONS OF VAL VERDE COUNTY. 00Z DRT
   SOUNDING INDICATED MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIRMASS FOR SURFACE-BASED
   PARCELS WITH SBCAPES OF 1500-1800 J/KG. CORRESPONDING KINEMATIC
   FIELDS REMAIN QUITE WEAK HOWEVER OWING TO PROXIMITY TO AMPLIFIED
   MID/UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE AXIS OVER THE CNTRL CONUS.
   
   NONETHELESS...THERMODYNAMIC CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN SUPPORTIVE FOR AN
   ISOLATED STRONG WIND GUST AND/OR MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL FOR THE NEXT
   COUPLE OF HOURS. THEREAFTER...COOLING BOUNDARY-LAYER AND RESULTANT
   INCREASE IN CIN SHOULD RESULT IN GRADUAL WEAKENING OF ANY ONGOING
   CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY.
   
   ..MEAD.. 04/02/2004
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...EWX...SJT...
   
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