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Mesoscale Discussion 745
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   Mesoscale Discussion 0745
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0411 AM CDT Fri May 10 2024

   Areas affected...Far Southeast Alabama...Southern Georgia...Northern
   Florida

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 226...229...

   Valid 100911Z - 101115Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 226, 229
   continues.

   SUMMARY...A wind-damage, hail and isolated tornado threat will be
   likely across parts of the eastern Gulf Coast region this morning.
   As a severe MCS approaches the eastern edge of WW 229, new weather
   watch issuance may become necessary.

   DISCUSSION...The latest mosaic radar imagery shows a well-developed
   severe MCS from the far western Florida Panhandle into far southeast
   Alabama. This feature will continue to move east-southeastward along
   a gradient of moderate instability across the Florida Panhandle and
   southern Georgia. The latest WSR-88D VWP at Tallahassee, FL has 0-6
   km shear of 55 to 60 knots suggesting that supercells and bowing
   line segments will be likely within the stronger parts of the MCS.
   The VWP also has 0-3 km storm-relative helicity near 150 m2/s2 which
   should be sufficient for an isolated threat for a brief tornado. The
   severe threat is expected to impact southeast Georgia and the
   northern Florida Peninsula within a few hours, where weather watch
   issuance may be needed.

   ..Broyles/Guyer.. 05/10/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...TBW...JAX...FFC...TAE...BMX...

   LAT...LON   30768144 31338183 31788294 32158390 32308469 32108515
               31778546 31378569 31018578 30708576 30368543 30008479
               29398325 29188232 29258176 29848139 30768144 

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