Mesoscale Discussion 0442
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0345 PM CDT Thu Apr 10 2025

   Areas affected...eastern Tennessee...northern Georgia...extreme
   western Carolinas

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely 

   Valid 102045Z - 102245Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent

   SUMMARY...Scattered storms, a few of which may be severe, are likely
   to affect parts of northern Georgia and eastern Tennessee, and
   possibly into the far western Carolinas by early evening.

   DISCUSSION...Storms continue to increase across TN, beneath the
   cooler midlevel temperatures. Meanwhile, a midlevel cloud band has
   moved out of the region, allowing heating behind. Given this
   expected destabilization via heating and advection out of the west,
   cells moving into the region are expected to remain strong or
   severe, producing hail and localized wind gusts. The greatest risk
   of damaging hail will be over southern areas, including northern GA,
   where temperatures have warmed substantially and lapse rates are
   quite steep.

   ..Jewell/Gleason.. 04/10/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...GSP...MRX...FFC...OHX...

   LAT...LON   33858534 34798555 35278534 35838515 36238490 36508420
               36538299 36438240 36048216 35258250 34328322 33618497
               33858534 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN