Storm Prediction Center Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Created: Tue Apr 15 16:36:03 UTC 2025 (
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ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL FNUS21 KWNS 151635 Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1135 AM CDT Tue Apr 15 2025 Valid 151700Z - 161200Z ...Arizona/New Mexico... Increasing but still modest mid-level flow ahead of an upper-level trough combined with a very dry, well-mixed boundary layer is still expected to result in Elevated fire weather conditions across southeastern Arizona and southwestern New Mexico today. ...Appalachians... Farther east, post-frontal winds from the northwest at 15-20 mph coincident with leeward downslope drying from the Appalachians are expected today across the Piedmont region. However, fuels are less receptive to wildfire spread as green-up accelerates across the area so Elevated highlights were withheld. ..Williams/Moore.. 04/15/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0128 AM CDT Tue Apr 15 2025/ ...Synopsis... A cold front will move off the East Coast, leaving a dry airmass in its wake. A surface high will push cooler air into the Plains and into parts of the southern Rockies. A belt of stronger mid-level winds will be present within the Southwest. Embedded shortwave troughs may further enhance these winds locally. ...Arizona/New Mexico... The shortwave trough expected to impact eastern Arizona and western New Mexico has had a slight weakening trend in guidance. Even so, some enhancement to the mid-level winds are expected to occur during the afternoon. West of the cold air intrusion in the southern Rockies, temperatures will warm into the 80s to perhaps near 90 F. This will support RH of 15-20%. Winds will not be particularly strong, but 15 mph with localized pockets of 20 mph is possible. Elevated fire weather is expected. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...