Storm Prediction Center Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

Created: Tue Apr 15 16:36:03 UTC 2025 (20250415 1700Z Day 1 FireWX shapefile | 20250415 1700Z Day 1 FireWX KML)

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic
Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast

Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 151635

   Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1135 AM CDT Tue Apr 15 2025

   Valid 151700Z - 161200Z

   ...Arizona/New Mexico...
   Increasing but still modest mid-level flow ahead of an upper-level
   trough combined with a very dry, well-mixed boundary layer is still
   expected to result in Elevated fire weather conditions across
   southeastern Arizona and southwestern New Mexico today.

   ...Appalachians...
   Farther east, post-frontal winds from the northwest at 15-20 mph
   coincident with leeward downslope drying from the Appalachians are
   expected today across the Piedmont region. However, fuels are less
   receptive to wildfire spread as green-up accelerates across the area
   so Elevated highlights were withheld.

   ..Williams/Moore.. 04/15/2025

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0128 AM CDT Tue Apr 15 2025/

   ...Synopsis...
   A cold front will move off the East Coast, leaving a dry airmass in
   its wake. A surface high will push cooler air into the Plains and
   into parts of the southern Rockies. A belt of stronger mid-level
   winds will be present within the Southwest. Embedded shortwave
   troughs may further enhance these winds locally.

   ...Arizona/New Mexico...
   The shortwave trough expected to impact eastern Arizona and western
   New Mexico has had a slight weakening trend in guidance. Even so,
   some enhancement to the mid-level winds are expected to occur during
   the afternoon. West of the cold air intrusion in the southern
   Rockies, temperatures will warm into the 80s to perhaps near 90 F.
   This will support RH of 15-20%. Winds will not be particularly
   strong, but 15 mph with localized pockets of 20 mph is possible.
   Elevated fire weather is expected.

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

      

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