Storm Prediction Center Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

Created: Mon Apr 28 07:01:03 UTC 2025 (20250428 1200Z Day 1 FireWX shapefile | 20250428 1200Z Day 1 FireWX KML)

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic
Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
Critical 26,288 1,178,222 El Paso, TX...Las Cruces, NM...Roswell, NM...Alamogordo, NM...Socorro, TX...

Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 280659

   Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0159 AM CDT Mon Apr 28 2025

   Valid 281200Z - 291200Z

   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO INTO THE FAR
   WESTERN TRANS-PECOS...

   ...Synopsis...
   Downstream of an amplified large-scale trough over the West, a belt
   of strong deep-layer southwesterly flow will overspread the southern
   Rockies and adjacent High Plains. In the low-levels, a related lee
   trough will deepen over the southern High Plains. 

   ...Southern New Mexico into the far western Trans-Pecos...
   West of the lee trough, downslope flow amid a dry antecedent air
   mass will promote deep boundary-layer mixing into the belt of
   enhanced southwesterly flow aloft. At the same time, the pressure
   gradient will tighten along the periphery of the deepening lee
   trough during the afternoon. This will result in a corridor of 10-15
   percent RH across much of the southern Rockies and adjacent High
   Plains. These dry boundary-layer conditions, coupled with 20 mph
   sustained southwesterly surface winds (with higher gusts), will
   promote critical fire-weather conditions atop dry fuels over
   southern New Mexico into the far western Trans-Pecos -- with
   elevated conditions expected northward into southeast Colorado.

   ..Weinman.. 04/28/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

      

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