Storm Prediction Center Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

Created: Fri May 24 07:14:03 UTC 2024 (20240524 1200Z Day 2 FireWX shapefile | 20240524 1200Z Day 2 FireWX KML)

Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic
Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
Extreme 9,588 13,865 No Major Population Center in Risk Area
Critical 131,465 3,334,423 El Paso, TX...Albuquerque, NM...Lubbock, TX...Amarillo, TX...Las Cruces, NM...

Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product (KWNSPFWFD2)

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 240712

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0212 AM CDT Fri May 24 2024

   Valid 251200Z - 261200Z

   ...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS AND
   LINCOLN NATIONAL FORREST REGION...
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTHERN HIGH
   PLAINS...

   ...Synopsis...
   Increasing mid-level flow is expected Saturday afternoon within the
   base of a large-scale trough traversing the Rockies and Southern
   Plains. This will promote a deepening lee cyclone over the central
   High Plains, with a dryline extending southward. Behind this
   dryline, a deeply mixed air mass is expected. Increasing momentum
   transfer from aloft and a tightening surface pressure gradient will
   yield widespread 20 to 25+ mph sustained west/southwesterly winds.
   In addition, widespread single-digit to lower-teens RH will combine
   with this surface flow favoring an expansive Critical fire area.
   Moreover, sustained wind speeds greater than 25 mph are expected in
   the Guadalupe Mountains and northward into the Lincoln National
   Forrest. An Extreme area has been introduced here, where ERC
   continues to climb above the 80-90th percentile.

   ..Barnes.. 05/24/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

      

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