The following is a list of all publications produced by current members of the Storm Prediction Center's staff. The list is organized alphabetically by author last name and then chronologically for each person, updated a few times per year, and may not be a complete record. Those papers written while affiliated with SPC may be found online through our regular publications page.

You can also jump to a specific author alphabetically:
Mike Baldwin | Ryan Barnes | Evan Bentley | Chris Broyles | Bill Bunting | David Cleaver | Nathan Dahl | Mark Darrow | Andy Dean | Roger Edwards | Matt Elliott | Matt Flournoy | Aaron Gleason | Steve Goss | Jeremy Grams | Jared Guyer | Kelton Halbert | David Harrison | John Hart | David Jahn | Ryan Jewell | Israel Jirak | Chris Karstens | Brynn Kerr | Makenzie Krocak | Liz Leitman | Jay Liang | Andrew Lyons | Patrick Marsh | Jeff Milne | Andrew Moore | Matt Mosier | Nick Nauslar | Joey Picca | Russ Schneider | Bryan Smith | Brian Squitieri | Tim Supinie | Kevin Thiel | Rich Thompson | Joseph Trujillo | Jake Vancil | Andy Wade | Harry Weinman | Nathan Wendt |

Baldwin, M.E.*, H.D. Reeves, and A.A. Rosenow, 2023: Evaluation of a probabilistic subfreezing road temperature nowcast system based on machine learning. Wea. Forecasting, 38, 2427-2440.

Baldwin, M.E.*, 2023: Application of multi-dimensional stratification in forecast verification. Proc., 28th Conf. Numerical Weather Prediction, Madison, WI, 11.1.

Baldwin, M.E.*, H.D. Reeves, and A.A. Rosenow, 2023: Evaluation of probabilistic guidance for sub-freezing road surfaces. Proc., Special Symp. Forecasting a Continuum of Environmental Threats (FACETs), Denver, CO, 9.5.

Chavas, D., J. Liang, M.E. Baldwin*, M. Zhou, L. Rustad, C. McCray, S. DiVito, and E. Mullens, 2023: Summary of an interdisciplinary workshop on risk-relevant gaps and needs in freezing rain science. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 104, E1265-E1267.

Jensen, T.L., G.S. Manikin, J.A. Otkin, J.J. Levit, M.E. Baldwin*, D.D. Turner, M. Janiga, 2022: A community effort to unify verification and validation efforts: A report on the DTC UFS Community Metrics Workshop. Proc., 31st Conf. Weather Analysis and Forecasting/27th Conf. Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP), Houston, TX, J11.5.

Baldwin, M.E.*, K.A. Hoogewind, H.E. Brooks, V.A. Gensini, and P.S. Skinner, 2021: Tornado forecasts of 1884: Revisiting Finley's forecasts with modern tools. Proc., 19th Hist. Symp., virtual, 11.7.

Baldwin, M.E.*, 2020: Accelerating the evaluation of experimental NWP forecasts via crowdsourcing. Proc., 10h Conf. Transition of Research to Operations, Boston, MA, 10A.3

Hamlet, A.H., K. Byun, S. Robeson, M. Widhalm, and M.E. Baldwin*, 2020: Impacts of climate change on the state of Indiana: Ensemble future projections based on statistical downscaling. Climatic Change, 163, 1881-1895.

Salmon, O.E., L.R. Welp, M.E. Baldwin*, K.D. Hajny, B.H. Stirm, and P.B. Shepson, 2019. Vertical profile observations of water vapor deuterium excess in the lower troposphere. Atmos. Chem. Phys., 19, 11525-11543.

Widhalm, M., A. Hamlet, K. Byun, S. Robeson, M.E. Baldwin*, P. Staten, C. Chiu, J. Coleman, E. Hall, K. Hoogewind, M. Huber, C. Kieu, J. Yoo, and J.S. Dukes, 2018: Indiana's past & future climate: A report from the Indiana Climate Change Impacts Assessment. Purdue Climate Change Research Center, Purdue University, 1-13.

Baldwin, M.E.*, K.D. Burris, and K.L. Elmore, 2018: Automated estimation of winter driving conditions (Joint Transportation Res. Program Pub. No. FHWA/IN/JTRP-2018/22), Purdue University, 14 pp.

Dawson, L.C., G.S. Romine, R.J. Trapp, and M.E. Baldwin*, 2017: Verifying supercellular rotation in a convection-permitting ensemble forecasting system with radar-derived rotation track data. Wea. Forecasting, 32, 781-795.

Hoogewind, K.A., M.E. Baldwin*, and R.J. Trapp, 2017: the impact of climate change on hazardous convective weather in the United States: Insight from high-resolution dynamical downscaling. J. Climate, 30, 10081-10100.

Baldwin, M.E.*, S. Lazarus, K. Tyle, J. Young, S. Chiao, I. Demir, K. Goebbert, G. Mullendore, S. Ng, K. Hoogewind, and M. Ramamurthy, 2017: Data-driven geoscience: Key issues and recommendations from the 2015 Unidata Users Workshop. UCAR Users Guides and Manuscripts, 7 pp.

Trapp, R.J., D.J. Stensrud, M.C. Coniglio, R.S. Schumacher, M.E. Baldwin*, S. Waugh, and D.T. Conlee, 2016: Mobile radiosonde deployments during the Mesoscale Predictability Experiment (MPEX): Rapid and adaptive sampling of upscale convective feedbacks. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 97, 329-336.

Baldwin, M.E. *, X. Zhu, P. Smith, S. Harrell, R. Skeel, and A. Maji 2016: Scholar: A campus HPC resource to enable computational literacy. Proc., EduHPC-16: Workshop on Education for High-Performance Computing, Salt Lake City, UT, 25-31.

McNamara, M.L., R. Sakhare, H. Li, M.E. Baldwin*, and D.M. Bullock, 2016: Integrating connected vehicle traffic speeds into winter operations performance measures, Transportation Research Board Pap. 17-00161.

Baldwin, M.E. *, B. Fehnel, and K. L. Elmore, 2016: Feature-relative forecast evaluation. Proc., 23rd Conf. Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences, New Orleans, LA, 13.4.

Weisman, M.L., R.J. Trapp, G.S. Romine, C. Davis, R. Torn, M.E. Baldwin*, L. Bosart, J. Brown, M.C. Coniglio, D. Dowell, A.C. Evans, T.J. Galarneau Jr., J. Haggerty, T. Hock, K. Manning, P. Roebber, P. Romashkin, R. Schumacher, C.S. Schwartz, R. Sobash, D. Stensrud, and S.B. Trier, 2015: The Mesoscale Predictability Experiment (MPEX). Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 96, 2127-2149.

Baldwin, M.E.*, D. Snyder, C. Miller, and K., Hoogewind, 2015: Road weather severity based on environmental energy. Joint Transportation Research Program Pub. FHWA/IN/JTRP-2015/13, Purdue University, 26 pp.

Snyder, D., K.A. Hoogewind, M.E. Baldwin*, S.M. Remias, A.M. Hainen and D.M. Bullock, 2014: Dual polarimetric weather radar and crowd-sourced weather observations for managing winter operations activities. Proc., TRB 93rd Ann. Meeting, 14-3229.

Robinson, E.D., R.J. Trapp, and M.E. Baldwin*, 2013: The geospatial and temporal distributions of severe thunderstorms from high-resolution dynamical downscaling. J. Appl. Meteor. Climatol., 52, 2147-2161.

Baldwin, M.E. *, K. Hoogewind, D. Snyder, M. Price, and R. J. Trapp., 2013: Assessment and recommendations for using high-resolution weather information to improve winter maintenance operations. Joint Transportation Research Program Pub. FHWA/IN/JTRP-2013/22, Indiana Department of Transportation and Purdue University, 47 pp.

Hitchens, N.M., M.E. Baldwin*, and R.J. Trapp, 2012: An object-oriented characterization of extreme precipitation-producing convective systems in the Midwestern United States. Mon. Wea. Rev., 140, 1356-1366.

Schwedler, B.R.J., and M.E. Baldwin*, 2011: Diagnosing the sensitivity of binary image measures to bias, location, and event frequency within a forecast verification framework. Wea. Forecasting, 26, 1032-1044.

Carley, J., B.R.J. Schwedler, M.E. Baldwin*, J. Trapp, J. Kwiatkowski, J. Logsdon, and S. J. Weiss, 2011: A proposed model-based methodology for feature-specific prediction for high-impact weather. Wea. Forecasting, 26, 243-249.

Baldwin, M.E. *, and K.L. Elmore, 2011: Incorporating spatial analysis of forecast performance into the MET Package at the DTC. WRF Developmental Testbed Center visitor project final report, 25 pp.

Quardokus, K., D.G. Burgin, J.A. Crespo, E.R. Fernandes, A.D. Hendricks, S.M. Hinkle, K.A. Hudson, R.T. Knutson, Z.L. Muchow, M.C. Sholty, E.L. Waterman, Z.T. Zobel, and M.E. Baldwin*, 2011: Evaluating numerical predictions of meteorological features, Proc., 10th Annual Student Conf., Seattle, WA, S75.

Trapp, R.J., E.D. Robinson, M.E. Baldwin*, N.S. Diffenbaugh, and B.R.J. Schwedler, 2010: Regional climate of hazardous convective weather through high-resolution dynamical downscaling, Climate Dyn., 37, 677-688.

Hitchens, N.M., R.J. Trapp, M.E. Baldwin*, and A. Gluhovsky, 2010: Characterizing subdiurnal extreme precipitation in the Midwestern United States. J. Hydrometeor., 11, 211-218.

Hoogewind, K.A. and M.E. Baldwin*, 2010: A proposed method for objectively identifying and characterizing surface fronts. Proc., 35th National Weather Assoc. Annual Meeting, Tucson, AZ, P1.9.

Baldwin, M.E.*, 2009: Verification of the time evolution of precipitation systems in numerical weather forecasts. 18th World IMACS Congress and MODSIM09 International Congress on Modelling and Simulation. Modelling and Simulation Soc. Australia and New Zealand, and Intl. Assoc. Math. Computers in Simulation, Anderssen, R.S., R.D. Braddock and L.T.H. Newham (eds), 4177-4183.

Carley, J., M.E. Baldwin*, J. Trapp, J. Kwiatkowski, J. Logsdon, and S.J. Weiss, 2009: Ongoing development of an experimental, real-time prediction system for high-impact convective weather events. Proc., 23rd Conf. Weather Analysis and Forecasting/19th Conf. Numerical Weather Prediction, Omaha, NE, 3B.4.

Baldwin, M.E.*, and J. Carley, 2009: Tracking precipitating weather systems in forecast and observed data. Proc., 7th Conf. Artificial Intelligence and its Application to the Environmental Sciences, Phoenix, AZ, J7.3.

Kain, J.S., and coauthors*, 2008: Some practical considerations regarding horizontal resolution in the first generation of operational convection-allowing NWP. Wea. Forecasting, 23, 931-952.

Baldwin, M.E. *, 2008: Establishment of a Verification Methods Testbed at the WRF Developmental Testbed Center. WRF Developmental Testbed Center visitor project final report, 9 pp.

Baldwin, M.E.*, 2008: Multivariate cluster analysis for automated identification of precipitating weather systems. Proc., 19th Conf. Probability and Statistics, New Orleans, LA, J4.5.

Baldwin, M.E.*, A. Reinhart, C. Selby, and J.P. Sullivan, 2008: Evaluating the performance of WRF model high-altitude forecasts. Preprints, 13th Conf. Aviation, Range and Aerospace Meteorology, New Orleans, LA, P2.12.

Trapp, R.J., N.S. Diffenbaugh, H.E. Brooks, M.E. Baldwin*, E.D. Robinson, and J.S. Pal, 2007: Changes in severe thunderstorm environment frequency during the 21st century caused by anthropogenically enhanced global radiative forcing. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA, 104, 19719-19723.

Gallus, W.A., M.E. Baldwin*, and K.L. Elmore, 2007: Evaluation of probabilistic precipitation forecasts determined from Eta and AVN forecasted amounts. Wea. Forecasting, 22, 207-215.

Baldwin, M.E.*, and R.J. Trapp, 2007: Object-oriented analysis of precipitation systems in NCEP Stage II analyses. Proc., Fifth Conf. Artificial Intelligence Applications to Environmental Science, San Antonio, TX, J3.10

Song, Y., J. Ye, N. Svakhine, S. Lasher-Trapp, M.E. Baldwin*, and D.S. Ebert, 2006: An atmospheric visual analysis and exploration system. IEEE Trans. Vis. Comp. Graph., 12, 1157-1164.

Elmore, K.L., D.M. Schultz, and M.E. Baldwin**, 2006: The behavior of synoptic-scale errors in the Eta model. Mon. Wea. Rev., 134, 3355-3366.

Lakshmivarahan, S., M.E. Baldwin**, and T. Zheng, 2006: Further analysis of Lorenz's maximum simplification equations. J. Atmos. Sci., 63, 2673-2699.

Baldwin, M.E.**, and J.S. Kain, 2006: Sensitivity of several performance measures to displacement error, bias, and event frequency. Wea. Forecasting, 21, 636-648.

Bukovsky, M.S., J.S. Kain, and M.E. Baldwin**, 2006: Bowing convective systems in a popular operational model: Are they for real? Wea. Forecasting, 21, 307-324.

Kain, J.S., S.J. Weiss, J.J. Levit, M.E. Baldwin**, and D.R. Bright, 2006: Examination of convection-allowing configurations of the WRF Model for the prediction of severe convective weather: The SPC/NSSL Spring Program 2004. Wea. Forecasting, 21, 167-181.

Stensrud, D.J., and coauthors**, 2006: The New England High-Resolution Temperature Program. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 87, 491-498.

Elmore, K.L., D.M. Schultz, and M.E. Baldwin**, 2006: Field significance revisited: Spatial bias errors in forecasts as applied to the Eta Model. Mon. Wea. Rev., 134, 519-531.

Baldwin, M.E., **, K.L. Elmore, D.C. Dowell, T. Fujita, L.J. Wicker, and D.J. Stensrud, 2006: Challenges in comparing realistic, high-resolution spatial fields from convective-scale grids. Preprints, Symp. on the Challenges of Severe Convective Storms, Atlanta, GA, P1.28.

Baldwin, M.E.**, J.S. Kain, and S. Lakshmivarahan, 2005: Development of an automated classification procedure for rainfall systems. Mon. Wea. Rev., 133, 844-862.

Wandishin, M.S., M.E. Baldwin**, S.L. Mullen, and J.V. Cortinas, 2005: Short-range ensemble forecasts of precipitation type. Wea. Forecasting, 20, 609-626.

Baldwin, M.E.**, and K.L. Elmore, 2005: Objective verification of high-resolution WRF forecasts during 2005 NSSL/SPC Spring Program. Preprints, 17th Conf. Numerical Weather Prediction, Washington, DC, 11B.4.

Kain, J.S., S.J. Weiss, M.E. Baldwin**, G.W. Carbin, D. Bright, J.J. Levit, and J.A. Hart, 2005: Evaluating high-resolution configurations of the WRF model that are used to forecast severe convective weather: The 2005 SPC/NSSL Spring Experiment. Preprints, 21st Conf. Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Washington, DC, 2A.5.

Skamarock, W.C., M.E. Baldwin**, and W. Wang, 2004: Evaluating high-resolution NWP models using kinetic energy spectra. Preprints, 1st Joint WRF/MM5 User's Workshop, Boulder, CO, 2.2.

Kurkowski, N.P., D.J. Stensrud, and M.E. Baldwin**, 2003: Assessment of implementing satellite-derived land cover data in the Eta model. Wea. Forecasting, 18, 404-416.

Kain, J.S., M.E. Baldwin**, P.R. Janish, S.J. Weiss, M.P. Kay, and G.W. Carbin, 2003: Subjective verification of numerical models as a component of a broader interaction between research and operations. Wea. Forecasting, 18, 847-860.

Kain, J.S., P.R. Janish, S.J. Weiss, M.E. Baldwin**, R.S. Schneider, and H.E. Brooks, 2003: Collaboration between forecasters and research scientists at the NSSL and SPC: The Spring Program. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 84, 1797-1806.

Kain, J.S., M.E. Baldwin**, and S.J. Weiss, 2003: Parameterized updraft mass flux as a predictor of convective intensity. Wea. Forecasting, 18, 106-116.

Ebert, E.E., U. Damrath, W. Wergen, and M.E. Baldwin**, 2003: The WGNE assessment of short-term quantitative precipitation forecasts. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 84, 481-492.

Baldwin, M.E. **, and S. Lakshmivarahan, 2003: Spatial characterization of rainfall patterns for use in a classification system. Intelligent Engineering Systems Through Artificial Neural Networks, 13, C. H. Dagli, A. L Buczak, J. Ghosh, M. J. Embrechts, and O. Ersoy, Eds, ASME Press, 683-688.

Baldwin, M.E.**, and S. Lakshmivarahan, 2003: Development of an events-oriented verification system using data mining and image processing algorithms. Preprints, 3rd Conf. Artificial Intelligence, Long Beach, CA, 4.6.

Baldwin, M.E. **, and S. Lakshmivarahan, 2002: Rainfall classification using histogram analysis: An example of data mining in meteorology. Intelligent Engineering Systems Through Artificial Neural Networks, 12, C. H. Dagli, A. L. Buczak, J. Ghosh, M. J. Embrechts, O. Ersoy, S. W. Kercel, Eds., ASME Press, 429-434.

Hane, C.E., R.M. Rabin, T.M. Crawford, H.B. Bluestein, and M.E. Baldwin**, 2002: A case study of severe storm development along a dryline within a synoptically active environment. Part II: Multiple boundaries and convective initiation. Mon. Wea. Rev., 130, 900-920.

Baldwin, M.E.**, J.S. Kain, and M.P. Kay, 2002: Properties of the convection scheme in NCEP's Eta model that affect forecast sounding interpretation. Wea. Forecasting, 17, 1063-1079.

Baldwin, M.E.**, S. Lakshmivarahan, and J.S. Kain, 2002: Development of an "events-oriented" approach to forecast verification. Preprints, 15th Conf. Numerical Weather Prediction, San Antonio, TX, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 210-213.

Baldwin, M.E.**, and M.S. Wandishin, 2002: Determining the resolved spatial scales of Eta model precipitation forecasts. Preprints, 15th Conf. Numerical Weather Prediction, San Antonio, TX, 85-88.

Cortinas, J.V. Jr., K.F. Brill, and M.E. Baldwin**, 2002: Probabilistic forecasts of precipitation type. Preprints, 16th Conf. Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences, Orlando, FL, 140-145.

Kay, M.P., and M.E. Baldwin**, 2002: Combining objective and subjective information to improve forecast evaluation. Preprints, 19th Conf. Weather Analysis and Forecasting, San Antonio, TX, 411-414.

Hane, C.E., M.E. Baldwin**, H.B. Bluestein, T.M. Crawford, and R.M. Rabin, 2001: A case study of severe storm development along a dryline within a synoptically active environment. Part I: Dryline motion and an Eta model forecast. Mon. Wea. Rev., 129, 2183-2204.

Baldwin, M.E.**, S. Lakshmivarahan, and J.S. Kain, 2001: Verification of mesoscale features in NWP models. Preprints, 9th Conf. Mesoscale Processes, Ft. Lauderdale, FL, 255-258.

Lin, Y., M.E. Baldwin**, K.E. Mitchell, E. Rogers, and G.J. DiMego, 2001: Spring 2001 changes to NCEP Eta analysis and forecast system: Assimilation of observed precipitation data. Preprints, 9th Conf. Mesoscale Processes, Ft. Lauderdale, FL, J92-J95.

Janish, P.R., S.J. Weiss, J.S. Kain, and M.E. Baldwin**, 2001: Advancing operational forecasting through collaborative applied research programs at the Storm Prediction Center and National Severe Storms Laboratory. Preprints, 18th Conf. Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Ft. Lauderdale, FL, P3.17.

Kain, J.S., M.E. Baldwin**, P.R. Janish, and S.J. Weiss, 2001. Utilizing the Eta Model with two different convective parameterizations to predict convective initiation and evolution at the SPC. Preprints, Ninth Conf. Mesoscale Processes, Ft. Lauderdale, FL, 91-95.

Zapotocny, T.H., S.J. Nieman, W.P. Menzel, J.P.I. Nelson, J.A. Jung, E. Rogers, D.F. Parrish, G.J. DiMego, M.E. Baldwin**, and T.J. Schmit, 2000: A case study of the sensitivity of the Eta data assimilation system. Wea. Forecasting, 15, 603-621.

Kain, J.S., S.M. Goss, and M.E. Baldwin**, 2000: The melting effect as a factor in precipitation-type forecasting. Wea. Forecasting, 15, 700-714.

Lin, Y., K.E. Mitchell, E. Rogers, M.E. Baldwin***, and G.J. DiMego, 1999. Test assimilations of the real-time, multi-sensor hourly precipitation analysis into the NCEP Eta model. Preprints, 8th Conf. Mesoscale Meteorology, Boulder, CO, 341-344.

Baldwin, M.E.***, and S.D. Hrebenach, 1998: Experiments with bias-corrected temperature guidance using NCEP's Mesoscale Eta Model. Preprints, 16th Conf. Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Phoenix, AZ, 388-389.

Baldwin, M.E.***, J.S. Kain, and T.L. Black, 1998: Eta model forecast sensitivity to initial conditions for the 22/23 Feb 98 Florida tornadoes case. Preprints, 19th AMS Conf. Several Local Storms, Minneapolis, MN, 190-191.

Baldwin, M.E.***, and T. L. Black, 1998: Post-frontal precipitation forecasting experiments in the western U.S. with NCEP's Eta-10 model. Preprints, 12th Conf. Numerical Weather Prediction, Phoenix, AZ, 217-218.

Baldwin, M.E.***, and K.E. Mitchell, 1998. Progress on the NCEP hourly multi-sensor US precipitation analysis for operations and GCIP research. WMO Publicaitiosns-WMO TD, pp.1-7.

Zhao, Q., T.L. Black, and M.E. Baldwin***, 1997: Implementation of the cloud prediction scheme in the Eta model at NCEP. Wea. Forecasting, 12, 697-712.

Hane, C.E., H.B. Bluestein, T.M. Crawford, M.E. Baldwin***, and R.M. Rabin, 1997: Severe thunderstorm development in relation to along-dryline variability: A case study. Mon. Wea. Rev., 125, 231-251.

Mesinger, F., T.L. Black, and M.E. Baldwin***, 1997: Impact of resolution and of the eta coordinate on skill of the Eta model precipitation forecasts. Numerical Methods in Atmospheric and Oceanic Modelling, The Andre J. Robert Memorial Volume, C. Lin, R. Laprise, and H. Ritchie, Eds., Canadian Meteor. Oceanog. Soc./NRC Research Press, Ottawa, 399-423.

Rogers, E., M.E. Baldwin***, T.L. Black, K. Brill, F. Chen, G. DiMego, J. Gerrity, G. Manikin, F. Mesinger, K. Mitchell, D. Parrish, and Q. Zhao, 1997: Changes to the NCEP operational "early" Eta analysis/forecast system. NOAA/NWS Tech. Proc. Bull. 447, 16 pp.

Baldwin, M.E.***, and K.E. Mitchell, 1997: The NCEP hourly multi-sensor U.S. precipitation analysis for operations and GCIP research. Preprints, 13th Conf. Hydrology, Long Beach, CA, 54-55.

Black, T., M.E. Baldwin***, K. Brill, F. Chen, G. DiMego, Z. Janjic, G. Manikin, F. Mesinger, K. Mitchell, E. Rogers, and Q. Zhao, 1997: Changes to the Eta forecast systems. NOAA/NWS Tech. Proc. Bull. 441, 12 pp.

Rogers, E., T.L. Black, D. G. Deaven, G.J. DiMego, Q. Zhao, M.E. Baldwin***, N.W. Junker, and Y. Lin, 1996: Changes to the operational "early" Eta analysis/forecast system at the National Centers for Environmental Prediction. Wea. Forecasting, 11, 391-413.

Chen, F., K. Mitchell, Z. Janjic, and M.E. Baldwin***, 1996: Land-surface modeling progress in the NCEP mesoscale Eta model. Preprints, 11th Conf. Numerical Weather Prediction, Norfolk, VA, 257-258.

Baldwin, M.E.***, and K.E. Mitchell, 1996. The NCEP hourly multi-sensor US precipitation analysis. Preprints, 15th Conf. Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Norfolk, VA, J95-J96.

Rogers, E., T. Black, D. Deaven, G. DiMego, Q. Zhao, Y. Lin, N.W. Junker, and M.E. Baldwin***, 1995: Changes to the NMC operational Eta model analysis/forecast system. NWS Tech. Proc. Bull. 423, 51 pp.

Baldwin, M.E.***, R. Treadon, and S.P. Contorno, 1994: Precipitation type prediction using a decision tree approach with NMC's mesoscale Eta Model. Preprints, 10th Conf. Numerical Weather Prediction, Portland, OR, 30-31.

Mathur, M.B., T.L. Black, J.P. Gerrity, and M.E. Baldwin***, 1993: Impact of analysis errors over data sparse eastern Pacific Ocean on the Eta model's forecasts. NMC Office Note 399, 19 pp.

Baldwin, M.E.***, and S.P. Contorno, 1993: Development of a weather-type prediction system for NMC's mesoscale ETA model. Preprints, 13th Conf. Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Vienna, VA, 86-87.

Carr, F.H., and M.E. Baldwin****, 1991: Assimilation of observed precipitation data using NMC's eta model. Preprints, Ninth Conf. Numerical Weather Prediction, Denver, CO, 422-425.

Carr, F.H., and M.E. Baldwin****, 1991: Incorporation of observed precipitation estimates during the initialization of synoptic and mesoscale storms. Preprints, 1st Intl. Symp. Winter Storms, 71-75.

* Author affiliated with Purdue University.
** Author affiliated with CIMMS/NSSL/SPC.
*** Author affiliated with NOAA/NCEP/NMC.
**** Author affiliated with School of Meteorology, University of Oklahoma.

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Simpson, B.J., A.M. Ward, K.A. Rutt, S. Bieda III, M. Beat, R.R. Barnes*, T.T. Lindley, T. Ryan, J. Frederick, B.R. Smith, D. Daily, and W.M. Jolly, 2021: Fueling the future: experimental NWS enhanced fire methodologies and forecast tools. Proc., 13th Fire and Forest Meteorology Virtual Symp., 7.5.

Barnes, R.R.*, P. Ware, M. Day, B.R. Bowers, and T.T. Lindley, 2021: Determining the probability of winter precipitation types using multinomial classification machine learning methods. Proc., 9th Symp. Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation's Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events 14.7.

Lindley, T.T., D.L. Andra Jr., R. Smith, D. Speheger, S. Curl, A.B. Zwink, R.R. Barnes*, D. Daily, B.R. Smith, and P.G. Witsaman, 2019: Proposed implementation of warn-on-detection fire warnings for public and firefighter safety. Proc., 5th Conf. Weather Warnings and Communication, 4.1.

Bowers, B.R., J. Holmes, R.R. Barnes*, F. Mitchell, and T.T. Lindley, 2018: Exploring the operational value of high-resolution 1-second sounding data. Proc., 19th Symp. Meteorological Observation and Instrumentation, Austin, TX, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 4.2.

Barnes, R.R.*, and T.T. Lindley, 2018: Predicting probabilities of wildland fire intensity using parametric and nonparametric statistical modeling methods. Proc., 12th Symp. Fire and Forest Meteorology, Boise, ID, P35.

Murdoch, G.P., R.R. Barnes**, C.M. Gitro, T.T. Lindley, and J.D. Vitale, 2012: Assessing critical fire weather conditions using a red flag threat index. Electronic J. Oper. Meteor., 13, 46-56.

* Author affiliated with NWS Forecast Office, Norman, OK.
** Author affiliated with NWS Forecast Office, Midland, TX.

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S. Nelson, A.K. Baker, M. Salamoni, E.S. Bentley, and A.R. Dean, 2022: Analysis and regional comparisons of near-storm environments associated with large hail. Proc., 30th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Santa Fe, NM, P3.

Lareau, N.P., N.J. Nauslar, E.S. Bentley, M. Roberts, S. Emmerson, B. Brong, M. Mehle, and J. Wallman, 2022: Fire-generated tornadic vortices. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 103, E1296-E1320.

Bentley, E.S., R.L. Thompson, B.R. Bowers, J.G. Gibbs, and S.E. Nelson, 2021: An analysis of 2016-18 tornadoes and National Weather Service tornado warnings across the contiguous United States. Wea. Forecasting, 36, 1909-1924.

Lyza, A.W., A.W. Clayton, K.R. Knupp, E. Lenning, M.T. Friedlein, R. Castro, and E.S. Bentley*, 2017: Analysis of mesovortex characteristics, behavior, and interactions during the second 30 June - 1 July 2014 midwestern derecho event. Electronic J. Severe Storms Meteor., 12 (2), 1-33.

Bentley, E.S.**, and J. Logsdon, 2016: An examination of the mesoscale environment and evolution of the northern Indiana/northwest Ohio derecho of 29 June 2012. Electronic J. Severe Storms Meteor., 11 (1), 1-25.

Carbin, G.W., J.L. Guyer, and E.S. Bentley**, 2014: Tornadoes 2013: Local devastation defies below normal numbers. Weatherwise, May-June.

Kellner, O., E.S. Bentley**, and D. Niyogi, 2011: Indiana tornado climatology: 1950-2010. Tech. Service Publication (TSP-19), Purdue University, 39 pp.

* Author affiliated with NWS Forecast Office, Portland OR.
** Author affiliated with NWS Forecast Office, Syracuse IN.

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Potvin, C.K., B.T. Gallo, A.E. Reinhart, B. Roberts, P. Skinner, R.A. Sobash, K.A. Wilson, K.C. Britt, J.C. Broyles, M. Flora, W.J.S. Miller, and C.N. Satrio, 2022: An iterative storm segmentation and classification algorithm for convection-allowing models and gridded radar analyses. Proc., 30th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Santa Fe, NM, P53.

Broyles, J.C., C.K. Potvin, G.L. Dial, J. Murnan, S. Shores, A.D. Lyons, M.S. Elliott, and A.R. Cook, 2022: Tornadogenesis in high-end tornadic supercells. Part 3: Moore, Oklahoma EF5 on May 20, 2013--A representative case of tornadogenesis. Proc., 30th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Santa Fe, NM, 10.2.

Broyles, J.C., C.K. Potvin, G.L. Dial, J. Murnan, S. Shores, A.D. Lyons, M.S. Elliott, and A.R. Cook, 2022: Tornadogenesis in high-end tornadic supercells. Part 2: The descending reflectivity core, inflow channel and streamwise vorticity current. Proc., 30th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Santa Fe, NM, P14.

Broyles, J.C., C.K. Potvin, G.L. Dial, J. Murnan, S. Shores, A.D. Lyons, M.S. Elliott, and A.R. Cook, 2022: Tornadogenesis in high-end tornadic supercells. Part 1: The RFD surge, RFD occlusion and cell mergers. Proc., 30th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Santa Fe, NM, P13.

Potvin, C.K., J.C. Broyles, P. Skinner, and H.E. Brooks, 2022: Improving estimates of U.S. tornado frequency by accounting for unreported and underrated tornadoes. Proc., 30th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Santa Fe, NM, P53.

Jahn, D.E., B.T. Gallo, C. Broyles, B.T. Smith, I.L. Jirak, and J. Milne, 2020: Refining CAM-based tornado probability forecasts using storm-inflow and storm-attribute information. Proc., 26th Conf. Numerical Weather Prediction, Boston, MA, 2A4.

Potvin, C.K., C. Broyles, P.S. Skinner, H.E. Brooks, and E.N. Rasmussen, 2019: A Bayesian hierarchical modeling framework for correcting reporting bias in the U.S. tornado database. Wea. Forecasting, 34, 15-30.

Broyles, C., C.K. Potvin, K.C. Crosbie, R.M. Rabin, and P. Skinner, 2018: Location and frequency of surface lows and lower-tropospheric jets for U.S. violent tornadoes. Preprints, 29th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Stowe, VT., P57.

Broyles, C., C.K. Potvin, K.C. Crosbie, R.M. Rabin, and P. Skinner, 2018: U.S. violent tornadoes relative to the position of the 850-mb jet. Preprints, 29th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Stowe, VT, P55.

Thompson, R.L., B.T. Smith, J.S. Grams, A.R. Dean, and C. Broyles, 2012: Convective modes for significant severe thunderstorms in the contiguous United States. Part II: Supercell and QLCS tornado environments. Wea. Forecasting, 27, 1114-1135.

Smith, B.T., R.L. Thompson, J.S. Grams, C. Broyles, and H.E. Brooks, 2012: Convective modes for significant severe thunderstorms in the contiguous United States. Part I: Storm classification and climatology. Wea. Forecasting, 27, 1114-1135.

Smith, B.T., R.L. Thompson, J.S. Grams, and C. Broyles, 2010: Climatology of convective modes for significant severe thunderstorms in the contiguous United States. Preprints, 25th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Denver CO, P2.7.

Thompson, R.L., B.T. Smith, J.S. Grams, A.R. Dean, and C. Broyles, 2010: Climatology of near-storm environments with convective modes for significant severe thunderstorms in the contiguous United States. Preprints, 25th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Denver CO, 16B.6.

Broyles, J.C., and K.C. Crosbie, 2004: Evidence of smaller tornado alleys across the United States based on a long track F3-F5 tornado climatology study from 1880-2003. Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis, MA. [CD-ROM]

Broyles, J.C.*, R. Wynne, N. Dipasquale, H. Guerrero, T. Hendricks, 2002: Radar characteristics of violent tornadic storms using the NSSL algorithms across separate geographic regions of the United States. Preprints, 21st Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Antonio, TX, 150-153.

Broyles, J.C.*, N. Dipasquale, R. Wynne, 2000: Synoptic and mesoscale characteristics associated with violent tornadoes across separate geographic regions of the United States: Part 1 - low-level characteristics. Preprints, 21st Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Antonio, TX, J65-J68.

Broyles, J.C.*, N. Dipasquale, R. Wynne, 2000: Synoptic and mesoscale characteristics associated with violent tornadoes across separate geographic regions of the United States: Part 2 - upper-level characteristics. Preprints, 21st Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Antonio, TX, J69-J72.

Marshall, T.P., J.C. Broyles*, J. Wingenroth, S. Kersch 2000: The effect of a low-level boundary on the development of the Panhandle, TX tornadic storm on 29 May 2001. Preprints, 21st Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Antonio, TX, 559-562.

Johns, R. H., J.C. Broyles*, D. Eastlack, H. Guerrero, and K. Harding, 2000: The role of synoptic patterns and temperature and moisture distribution in determining the locations of strong and violent tornado episodes in the north central United States: A preliminary examination. Preprints, 20th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Orlando, FL, 489-492.

Guerrero, H., J.C. Broyles**, and D. Eastlack, 1998: Forecasting tornado location across the Dakotas and Minnesota. Preprints, 19th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Minneapolis, MN, 301-304.

* Author affiliated with NWS Forecast Office, Amarillo TX.
** Author affiliated with NWS Forecast Office, Aberdeen SD.

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Jirak, I.L., M.S. Elliott, C.D. Karstens, R.S. Schneider, P.T. Marsh, and W.F. Bunting, 2020: Generating probabilistic severe timing information from SPC outlooks using the HREF. Proc., Severe Local Storms Symp., Boston, MA, 3.1.

Cohen, A.E., and coauthors, 2018: Bridging operational meteorology and academia through experiential education: The Storm Prediction Center in the University of Oklahoma classroom. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 99, 269-279.

Andra, D.L. Jr., E.M. Quoetone, and W.F. Bunting, 2002: Warning decision making: The relative roles of conceptual models, technology, strategy, and forecaster expertise on 3 May 1999. Wea. Forecasting, 17, 559-566.

Doswell, C.A. III, W.F. Bunting, and B.E. Smith, 1993 (updated 2003): A guide to F-scale damage assessment. U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA/NWS, 94 pp.

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Clark, R. III, and coauthors, 2018: From StormPredictionCenter.ScienceSupportBranch import science, research, operations. 8th Symp. Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using Python, Austin, TX, 3.5.

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Clark, A.J., and coauthors, 2023: The 3rd real-time, virtual spring forecasting experiment to advance severe weather prediction capabilities. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 104, E456-E458.

Dahl, N.A., I.L. Jirak, K.H. Knopfmeier, J. Martin, and B.C. Matilla, 2022: Warn-on-forecast system output as a verification tool for severe wind events. Proc., 30th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Santa Fe, NM, 17.3B.

Clark, A.J., and coauthors, 2022: The 2nd real-time, virtual spring forecasting experiment to advance severe weather prediction. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 103, E1114-E1116.

Clark, A.J., and coauthors, 2021: A real-time, virtual spring forecasting experiment to advance severe weather prediction. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 102, E814-E816.

Dahl, N.A., 2020: Reducing moist adiabatic calculation costs using lookup tables. Proc., 30th Conf. Weather Analysis and Forecasting / 26th Conf. Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP), Boston, MA, 2B.3.

Dahl, N.A., R. Adams-Selin, R.E. Jewell, and I.L. Jirak, 2020: Updating the ese of HAILCAST in NSHARP. Proc., 30th Conf. Weather Analysis and Forecasting / 26th Conf. Numerical Weather Prediction, Boston, MA, 166.

Dahl, N.A., A. Shapiro, C.K. Potvin, A. Theisen, J.G. Gebauer, A.D. Schenkman, and M. Xue, 2019: High-hesolution, rapid-scan dual Doppler retrievals of vertical velocity in a simulated supercell. J. Atmos. Oceanic Technol., 36, 1477-1500.

Dahl, N.A.**, and D.S. Nolan, 2018: Using high-resolution simulations to quantify errors in radar estimates of tornado intensity. Mon. Wea. Rev., 146, 2271-2296.

Dahl, N.A.**, D.S. Nolan, G.H. Bryan, and R. Rotunno, 2017: Using high-resolution simulations to quantify underestimates of tornado intensity from in situ observations. Mon. Wea. Rev., 145, 1963-1982.

Bryan, G.H., N.A. Dahl**, D.S. Nolan, and R. Rotunno, 2017: An eddy injection method for large-eddy simulations of tornado-like vortices. Mon. Wea. Rev., 145, 1937-1961.

Nolan, D.S., N.A. Dahl**, G.H. Bryan, and R. Rotunno, 2017: Tornado vortex structure, intensity, and surface wind gusts in large-eddy simulations with fully developed turbulence. J. Atmos. Sci., 74, 1573-1597.

Rotunno, R., G.H. Bryan, D.S. Nolan, and N.A. Dahl**, 2016: Axisymmetric tornado simulations at high Reynolds number. J. Atmos. Sci., 73, 3843-3854.

Dahl, N.A.***, and M. Xue, 2016: Prediction of the 14 June 2010 Oklahoma City extreme precipitation and flooding event in a multiphysics multi-initial-conditions storm-scale ensemble forecasting system. Wea. Forecasting, 31, 1215-1246.

Dahl, N.A.***, H. Xue, X. Hu, and M. Xue, 2015: Coupled fire-atmosphere modeling of wildfire spread using DEVS-FIRE and ARPS. Nat. Haz., 7 (2), 1013-1035.

Xue, H., X. Hu, N.A. Dahl***, and M. Xue, 2012: Post-frontal combustion heat modeling in DEVS-FIRE coupled atmosphere-fire simulation. Proc. Intl. Conf. on Computational Science, Omaha, NE, 302-311.

* Author affiliated with University of Oklahoma.

** Author affiliated with University of Miami/Rosenstiel School of Marine and Atmospheric Science.

*** Author affiliated with Center for Analysis and Prediction of Storms.

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Corfidi, S.F., R.H. Johns, and M.A. Darrow, 2016: The Great Basin derecho of 31 May 1994. Wea. Forecasting, 31, 917-935.

Darrow, M.A., and M.L. Rehbein, 1996: A preliminary investigation of west coast convection during the cool season. Preprints, 18th Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Francisco, CA, 685-688.

Darrow, M.A.*, 1995: Flow patterns conducive for heavy snow in the northern Big Horn Mountains of north central Wyoming. Nat. Wea. Dig., 19, 4, 2-9.

Darrow, M.A.*, and J. S. Evans, 1993. Orographically induced heavy snow event in the Big Horn Mountains. NWS Central Region Tech. Attachment CR-93-11, National Weather Service, Central Region Headquarters, Kansas City, MO, 8 pp.

* Author affiliated with NWS WSO at Sheridan, WY.

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Blount, D.V., C. Evans, I.L. Jirak, A.R. Dean, and S. Kravstov, 2023: An objective method for clustering observed vertical thermodynamic profiles by their boundary layer structure. Wea. Forecasting, 38, 1143-1156.

Smith, B.T., R.L. Thompson, C.D. Karstens, J.S. Grams, A.R. Dean, R.M. Mosier, and A.D. Lyons, 2022: Preliminary evaluation of a real-time diagnostic tornado damage intensity estimation tool used at the Storm Prediction Center. Proc., 30th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Santa Fe, NM, 17.4B.

Lyons, A.D., B.T. Smith, R.L. Thompson, and A.R. Dean, 2022: Convective mode classification and climatology of tornado events in the contiguous United States, 2000-2020. Proc., 30th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Santa Fe, NM, 8.1B.

S. Nelson, A.K. Baker, M. Salamoni, E.S. Bentley, and A.R. Dean, 2022: Analysis and regional comparisons of near-storm environments associated with large hail. Proc., 30th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Santa Fe, NM, P3.

Clark, A.J., and coauthors, 2022: The 2nd real-time, virtual spring forecasting experiment to advance severe weather prediction. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 103, E1114-E1116.

Brown, M.C., C.J. Nowotarski, A.R. Dean, B.T. Smith, R.L. Thompson, and J.M. Peters, 2021: The early evening transition in southeastern U.S. tornado environments. Wea. Forecasting, 36, 1431-1452.

Clark, A.J., and coauthors, 2021: A real-time, virtual spring forecasting experiment to advance severe weather prediction. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 102, E814-E816.

Smith, B.T., R.L. Thompson, D.A. Speheger, A.R. Dean, C.D. Karstens, and A.K. Anderson-Frey, 2020: WSR-88D tornado intensity estimates. Part II: Real-time applications to tornado warning time scales. Wea. Forecasting, 35, 2493-2506.

Smith, B.T., R.L. Thompson, D.A. Speheger, A.R. Dean, C.D. Karstens, and A.K. Anderson-Frey, 2020: WSR-88D tornado intensity estimates. Part I: Real-time probabilities of peak tornado wind speeds. Wea. Forecasting, 35, 2479-2492.

Anderson-Frey, A.K., Y.P. Richardson, A.R. Dean, R.L. Thompson, and B.T. Smith, 2019: Characteristics of tornado events and warnings in the southeastern United States. Wea. Forecasting, 34, 1017-1034.

Edwards, R., and A.R. Dean, 2018: Environments of supercellular satellite tornadoes. Preprints, 29th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Stowe, VT, P51.

Dean, A.R., R.L. Thompson, and B.T. Smith, 2018: Relating convective mode information to SPC tornado outlook verification. Preprints, 29th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Stowe, VT., 121.

Anderson-Frey, A.K., Y.P. Richardson, A.R. Dean, R.L. Thompson, and B.T. Smith, 2018: Near-storm environments of outbreak and isolated tornadoes. Wea. Forecasting, 33, 1397-1412.

Anderson-Frey, A.K., Y.P. Richardson, A.R. Dean, R.L. Thompson, and B.T. Smith, 2017: Self-organizing maps for the investigation of tornadic near-storm environments. Wea. Forecasting, 32, 1467-1475.

Thompson, R.L., B.T. Smith, J.S. Grams, A.R. Dean, J.C. Picca, A.E. Cohen, E.M. Leitman, A.M. Gleason, and P.T. Marsh, 2017: Tornado damage rating probabilities derived from WSR-88D data. Wea. Forecasting, 32, 1509-1528.

Campbell, M.A., A.E. Cohen, M.C. Coniglio, A.R. Dean, S.F. Corfidi, S. J. Corfidi, and C.M. Mead, 2017: Structure and motion of severe-wind-producing mesoscale convective systems and derechos in relation to the mean wind. Wea. Forecasting, 32, 423-439.

Clark, A.J., and coauthors, 2017: Application and evaluation of the Community Leveraged Unified Ensemble (CLUE) during the 2016 NOAA/HWT Spring Forecast Experiment. 28th Conf. Weather Analysis and Forecasting / 24th Conf. Numerical Weather Prediction, Seattle, WA, 7A.1.

Nauslar, N.J., A.R. Dean, I.L. Jirak, P.T. Marsh, and S.J. Weiss, 2017: Improving lightning density guidance with calibrated probabilities from ensemble model output. Proc., Eighth Conf. Meteor. Application of Lightning Data, Seattle, WA, 857.

Dean, A.R., B.T. Smith, and R.L. Thompson, 2016: An examination of conditional significant tornado probabilities on the outlook scale as a function of convective mode and environment. Preprints, 28th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Portland, OR, 14B.5.

Smith, B.T., R.L. Thompson, and A.R. Dean, 2016: The development, display, and preliminary evaluation of conditional supercell tornado probabilities. Preprints, 28th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Portland, OR, 14B.4.

Thompson, R.L., B.T. Smith, J.S. Grams, and A.R. Dean, 2016: Tornado damage probabilities derived from WSR-88D data. Preprints, 28th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Portland, OR, 6B.6.

Clark, A.J., and coauthors, 2016: Application and evaluation of the Community Leveraged Unified Ensemble (CLUE) during the 2016 NOAA/HWT Spring Forecast Experiment. 28th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Portland, OR, 15B.2.

Anderson-Frey, A.K., Y.P. Richardson, A.R. Dean, R.L. Thompson, and B.T. Smith, 2016: Investigation of near-storm environments for tornado events and warnings. Wea. Forecasting, 31, 1771-1790.

Gallo, B.T., and coauthors, 2016: Breaking new ground in severe weather prediction: The 2015 NOAA/Hazardous Weather Testbed spring forecasting experiment. Wea. Forecasting, 32, 1541-1568.

Melick, C.J., A.R. Dean, J.L. Guyer, and I.L. Jirak, 2016: Cloud flash lightning characteristics for tornadoes without cloud-to-ground lightning. Preprints, 41st NWA Ann. Meeting, Norfolk, VA, 11B.

Anderson-Frey, A.K., Y.P. Richardson, A.R. Dean, R.L. Thompson, and B.T. Smith, 2016: Self-organizing maps in the near-storm environment: Toward improving tornado forecasting. Preprints, 23rd Conf. Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences, New Orleans, LA, 646.

Melick, C.J., P. Marsh, A. Dean, I.L. Jirak, and S.J. Weiss, 2015: Lightning characteristics and relationship to preliminary local storm reports. Preprints, 40th NWA Ann. Meeting, Oklahoma City, OK, 2454.

Guyer J.L. and A.R. Dean, 2015: Tornadoes associated with an absence of cloud-to-ground lightning. Preprints, 40th NWA Ann. Meeting, Oklahoma City, OK, AP26.

Smith, B.T., R.L. Thompson, A.R. Dean, E.M. Leitman, J.S. Grams, A.E. Cohen, A. Gleason, J.C. Picca, P.T. Marsh, R. Wagenmaker, and G. Mann, 2015: Developmental work at the Storm Prediction Center in pursuit of tornadic supercell probability and tornado intensity estimation using a severe supercell dataset. Preprints, 40th NWA Ann. Meeting, Oklahoma City, OK, 8 pp.

Edwards, R., B.T. Smith, R.L. Thompson and A.R. Dean, 2015: Analyses of radar rotational velocities and environmental parameters for tornadic supercells in tropical cyclones. Preprints, 37th Conf. Radar Meteorology, Norman, OK, 5A.3.

Smith, B.T., R.L. Thompson, A.R. Dean, and P.T. Marsh, 2015: Diagnosing the conditional probability of tornado damage rating using environmental and radar attributes. Wea. Forecasting, 30, 914-932.

Bothwell, P.D., B.T. Smith, R.L. Thompson, A.R. Dean, and J.S. Kain, 2014: Severe weather parameter reanalysis project at the Storm Prediction Center. Preprints, 27th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Madison, WI, 18.2.

Anderson-Frey, A.K., Y.P. Richardson, A.R. Dean, R.L. Thompson, and B.T. Smith, 2014: Tornado environments, metrics, and warnings: Lessons from a ten-year climatology. Preprints, 27th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Madison, WI, 4B.6.

Clark, A.J., and coauthors, 2014: Comparing the NSSL-WRF model and convection-allowing versions of UKMET's unified model during the 2013 and 2014 NOAA/HWT Spring Forecasting Experiments. 27th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Madison, WI, 41.

Smith, B.T., R.L. Thompson, A.R. Dean, P.T. Marsh, R. Wagenmaker, G. Mann, M.J. Hudson, and J.T. Ferree, 2014: Demonstrating the utility of conditional probabilities of tornado damage rating in the impact-based warning era. Preprints, 27th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Madison, WI, P89.

Melick, C.J., I.L. Jirak, J. Correia Jr., A.R. Dean, and S.J. Weiss, 2014: Exploration of the NSSL Maximum Expected Size of Hail (MESH) product for verifying experimental hail forecasts in the 2014 spring forecasting experiment. Preprints, 27th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Madison, WI, P76.

Smith, B.T., R.L. Thompson, and A.R. Dean, 2014: The Storm Prediction Center tornadic storm and environment database: Development and application. Preprints, 27th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Madison, WI, 17.1.

Melick, C.J, I.L. Jirak, J. Correia Jr., A.R. Dean, and S.J. Weiss, 2013: Utility of objective verification metrics during the 2013 HWT spring forecasting experiment. Preprints, 38th NWA Ann. Meeting, Charleston, SC, NWA, P1.27.

Thompson, R.L., B.T. Smith, A.R. Dean, and P.T. Marsh, 2013: Spatial distributions of tornadic near-storm environments by convective mode. Electronic J. Severe Storms Meteor., 8 (5), 1-22.

Twiest, B.L., B.T. Smith, H.E. Brooks, R.L. Thompson, P. Marsh, A.R. Dean, and C.J. Melick, 2013: Localizing tornado climatology in the contiguous United States: An environmental parameter and convective mode focus. Preprints, 20th Conf. Applied Climatology, Austin, TX, 4.5.

Smith, B.T., T.E. Castellanos, A.C. Winters, C.M. Mead, A.R. Dean, and R.L. Thompson, 2013: Measured severe convective wind climatology and associated convective modes of thunderstorms in the contiguous United States, 2003-09. Wea. Forecasting, 28, 229-236.

Edwards, R., A.R. Dean, R.L. Thompson and B.T. Smith, 2012: Convective modes for significant severe thunderstorms in the contiguous United States. Part III: Tropical cyclone tornadoes. Wea. Forecasting, 27, 1507-1519.

Clark, A.J., and coauthors, 2012: An overview of the 2010 Hazardous Weather Testbed Experimental Forecast Program spring experiment. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 93, 55-74.

Miller, S.D. Jr., J.S. Kain, P.T. Marsh, A.J. Clark, M.C. Coniglio, V. Lakshmanan, J. Correia Jr., D.A. Imy, S.R. Dembek, I.L. Jirak, S.J. Weiss, A.R. Dean, C.J. Melick, R. Sobash, M. Xue, F. Kong, and K.W. Thomas, 2012: Assessment of timing and coverage of convection during the 2012 NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed Spring Forecasting Experiment. Preprints, 26th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Nashville, TN, 10.3.

Edwards, R., A.R. Dean, R.L. Thompson and B.T. Smith, 2012: Nonsupercell tropical cyclone tornadoes: Documentation, classification and uncertainties. Preprints, 26th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Nashville TN, 9.6.

Herzog, B.S., C.J. Melick, J.S. Grams, I.L. Jirak, A.R. Dean, and S.J. Weiss, 2012: Usefulness of storm-scale model guidance for forecasting dry thunderstorms at SPC. Preprints, 26th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Nashville, TN, P8.123.

Jirak, I.L., C.J. Melick, A.R. Dean, S.J. Weiss, and J. Correia Jr., 2012: Investigation of an automated temporal disaggregation technique for convective outlooks during the 2012 Hazardous Weather Testbed spring forecasting experiment. Preprints, 26th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Nashville TN, P9.137.

Smith, B.T., R.L. Thompson, H.E. Brooks, A.R. Dean, and K.L. Elmore, 2012: Diagnosis of conditional maximum tornado probabilities. Preprints, 26th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Nashville TN, P2.2.

Thompson, R.L., B.T. Smith, A.R. Dean, and P.T. Marsh, 2012: Spatial distributions of tornadic near-storm environments by convective mode. Preprints, 26th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Nashville TN, 9.5.

Dean, A.R., and R.S. Schneider, 2012: An examination of tornado environments, events, and impacts from 2003-2012. Preprints, 26th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Nashville TN, P6.0.

Melick, C.J, I.L. Jirak, A.R. Dean, J. Correia Jr., and S.J. Weiss, 2012: Real time objective verification of convective forecasts: 2012 HWT Spring Forecast Experiment. Preprints, 37th NWA Ann. Meeting, Madison, WI, P1.52.

Thompson, R.L., B.T. Smith, J.S. Grams, A.R. Dean, and C. Broyles, 2012: Convective modes for significant severe thunderstorms in the contiguous United States. Part II: Supercell and QLCS tornado environments. Wea. Forecasting, 27, 1114-1135.

Barthold, F.E., M. J. Bodner, D.R. Novak, R. Bann, R. Oravec, B. Sullivan, A.R. Dean, I.L. Jirak, C.J. Melick, R.A. Sobash, A.J. Clark, F. Kong, S.J. Weiss, and M. Xue, 2011: The quantitative precipitation forecasting component of the 2010 NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed Spring Experiment. Preprints, 24th Conf. Weather and Forecasting/20th Conf. Numerical Weather Prediction, Seattle, WA, 9A.4.

Sobash, R.A., J.S. Kain, D.R. Bright, A.R. Dean, M.C. Coniglio, and S.J. Weiss, 2011: Probabilistic forecast guidance for severe thunderstorms based on the identification of extreme phenomena in convection-allowing model forecasts. Wea. Forecasting, 26, 714-728.

Edwards, R., A.R. Dean, R.L. Thompson and B.T. Smith, 2010: Objective environmental analyses and convective modes for United States tropical cyclone tornadoes from 2003-2008. Preprints, 25th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Denver CO, P3.2.

Sobash, R., J.S. Kain, M.C. Coniglio, A.R. Dean, D.R. Bright, and S.J. Weiss, 2010: Using convection-allowing models to produce forecast guidance for severe thunderstorm hazards via a "surrogate severe" approach. Preprints, 25th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Denver CO, 14.3.

Christenberry, A., A.L. Lamers, B.A. Mejia, A.R. Dean, and S.J. Weiss, 2010: A multi-tiered verification of SPC tornado watches. Preprints, 25th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Denver CO, P4.4.

Miller, S.J. Jr., G.W. Carbin, J.S. Kain, E.W. McCaul Jr., A.R. Dean, C.J. Melick, and S.J. Weiss, 2010: Preliminary Investigation into Lightning Hazard Prediction from High Resolution Numerical Model Output. Preprints, 25th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Denver CO, 4B.1.

Dean, A.R., 2010: An analysis of clustered tornado events. Preprints, 25th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Denver CO, P2.19.

Weiss, S.J., A.J. Clark, I.L. Jirak, C.J. Melick, C. Siewert, R.A. Sobash, P.T. Marsh, A.R. Dean, J.S. Kain, M. Coniglio, M. Xue, F. Kong, K.W. Thomas, J. Du, D.R. Novak, F. Barthold, M.J. Bodner, J.J. Levit, C.B. Entwistle, R.S. Schneider, and T.L. Jensen, 2010: An overview of the 2010 NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed spring forecasting experiment. Preprints, 25th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Denver CO, 7B.1.

Davis, J.M., A.R. Dean, and J.L. Guyer, 2010: A detailed analysis of SPC "high risk" outlooks, 2003-2009. Preprints, 25th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Denver CO, 8B.6.

Thompson, R.L., B.T. Smith, J.S. Grams, A.R. Dean, and C. Broyles, 2010: Climatology of near-storm environments with convective modes for significant severe thunderstorms in the contiguous United States. Preprints, 25th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Denver CO, 16B.6.

Schneider, R.S., A.R. Dean, and H.E. Brooks, 2009: Estimating potential severe weather societal impacts using probabilistic forecasts issued by the NWS Storm Prediction Center. Preprints, 23rd Conf. Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Omaha NE, 5B.5.

Dean, A.R., R.S. Schneider, R.L. Thompson, J.A. Hart, and P.D. Bothwell, 2009: The conditional risk of severe convection estimated from NWS Storm Prediction Center mesoscale objective analyses: Potential uses in support of forecast operations and verification. Preprints, 23rd Conf. Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Omaha NE, 6A.5.

Schneider, R.S., and A.R. Dean, 2008: A comprehensive 5-year severe storm environment climatology for the continental United States. Preprints, 24th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Savannah GA, 16A.4.

Kain, J.S., S.J. Weiss, S.R. Dembek, J.J. Levit, D.R. Bright, J.L. Case, M. Coniglio, A.R. Dean, and R, Sobash, 2008: Severe weather forecast guidance from the first generation of large domain convection-allowing models: Challenges and opportunities. Preprints, 24th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Savannah GA, 12.1.

Sobash, R., D.R. Bright, A.R. Dean, J.S. Kain, M. Coniglio, S.J. Weiss and J.J. Levit, 2008: Severe storm forecast guidance based on explicit identification of convective phenomena in WRF model forecasts. Preprints, 24th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Savannah GA, 11.3.

Dean, A.R., and R.S. Schneider, 2008: Forecast challenges at the NWS Storm Prediction Center relating to the frequency of favorable severe storm environments. Preprints, 24th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Savannah GA, 9A.2.

Schneider, R.S., A.R. Dean, S.J. Weiss, and P.D. Bothwell, 2006: Analysis of estimated environments for 2004 and 2005 severe convective storm reports. Preprints, 23rd Conf. Severe Local Storms, St. Louis MO. [CD-ROM]

Dean, A.R., and J.T. Schaefer, 2006: PDS watches: How dangerous are these "particularly dangerous situations?" Preprints, 23nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, St. Louis MO. [CD-ROM]

Dean, A.R., and D.A. Imy, 2006: A look at the tornado report and watch climatology for the continental United States from 1986-2005. Preprints, 23nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, St. Louis MO. [CD-ROM]

Dean, A.R., R.S. Schneider, and J.T. Schaefer, 2006: Development of a comprehensive severe weather forecast verification system at the Storm Prediction Center. Preprints, 23nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, St. Louis MO. [CD-ROM]

Dean, A.R. and J.T. Schaefer, 2006: The skill of forecasting relatively isolated severe thunderstorm events. Preprints, 18th Conf. Probability and Statistics in the Atmos. Sciences. Atlanta, GA. [CD-ROM]

Dean, A.R. *, and B.H. Fiedler, 2002: Forecasting warm-season burnoff of low clouds at the San Francisco International Airport using linear regression and a neural network. J. Appl. Meteor., 41, 629-639.

* Author affiliated with School of Meteorology, University of Oklahoma.

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Houser, J., and R. Edwards, 2024: What is "tornadogenesis"? A comparison of radar observations, visual cues, and storm reports. Proc., Symp. on Estimating Wind Speeds of Tornadoes and Other Windstorms, Baltimore, MD, P995.

Edwards, R., and R.L. Thompson, 2024: Right-moving supercell tornadogenesis during interaction with a left-moving supercell's rear-flank outflow. Wea. Forecasting, 39, 141-152.

Trier, S.B., D.A. Ahijevych, D.R. Carroll-Smith, G.H. Bryan, and R. Edwards, 2023: Composite mesoscale environmental conditions influencing tornado frequencies in landfalling tropical cyclones. Wea. Forecasting, 38, 2481-2508.

Carroll-Smith, D.R., B.W. Green, R. Edwards, L. Bai, A.J. Litta, X. Huang, L. Pattie, S. Overpeck, and E.W. McCaul Jr., 2023: Forecasting tropical cyclone tornadoes and impacts: Report from IWTC-X. Trop. Cyclone Res. Rev., 12, 123-135.

Carroll-Smith, D.R., B.W. Green, L. Bai, R. Edwards, X. Huang, A.J. Litta, E.W. McCaul Jr., S. Overpeck, and L. Pattie, 2022: Forecasting tropical cyclone tornadoes and impacts. Proc., 10th Intl. Workshop on Tropical Cyclones, Bali, Indonesia, World Meteor. Org., topic 5.4.

Edwards, R., M.S. Elliott, P.T. Marsh, and D.A. Speheger, 2022: Errors, oddities and artifacts in U.S. tornado data, 1995-2021. Proc., 30th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Santa Fe, NM, 8.3B.

Spotts, J.R., C.J. Nowotarski, R. Edwards, and S. Overpeck, 2022: Automatically derived radar attributes of tropical cyclone tornadoes: A climatology from 2013-2020. Proc., 30th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Santa Fe, NM, 8.2B.

Mosier, R.M., and R. Edwards, 2022: Visualization tools for the Storm Prediction Center's tropical cyclone tornado database. Proc., 30th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Santa Fe, NM, P172.

Edwards, R., and R.M. Mosier, 2022: Over a quarter century of TCTOR: Tropical cyclone tornadoes in the WSR-88D era. Proc., 30th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Santa Fe, NM, P171.

Zhao, Y., R. Edwards, J.C. Snyder, Z. Duan, and G. Yan, 2022: Comparison of wind effects on a low-rise building induced by a multi-vortex tornado and a single vortex tornado. Proc., 14th Americas Conf. Wind Engineering, Lubbock, TX, 9 pp.

Spotts, J.R., C.J. Nowotarski, S. Overpeck, and R. Edwards, 2022: Automatically derived radar attributes of tropical cyclone supercells. Proc., 31st Conf. Weather Analysis and Forecasting/27th Conf. Numerical Weather Prediction (virtual), 668.

Paredes, M., B.A. Schenkel, R. Edwards, and M.C. Coniglio, 2021: Tropical cyclone outer size impacts the number and location of tornadoes. Geophys. Res. Lett., 48, e2021GL095922.

Edwards, R., H.E. Brooks, and H. Cohn, 2021: Changes in tornado climatology accompanying the enhanced Fujita scale. J. Appl. Meteor. Clim., 60, 1465-1481.

Wakefield, R.A., J.B. Basara, J.M. Shepherd, N. Brauer, J.C. Furtado, J. A. Santanello Jr., and R. Edwards, 2021: The inland maintenance and reintensification of Tropical Storm Bill (2015). Part I: Contributions of the brown ocean effect. J. Hydrometeor., 22, 2675-2693.

Nowotarski, C.J., J.R. Spotts, R. Edwards, S. Overpeck, and G.R. Woodall, 2021: Tornadoes in Hurricane Harvey. Wea. Forecasting, 36, 1589-1609.

Schenkel, B.A., M.C. Coniglio, and R. Edwards, 2021: How does the relationship between ambient deep-tropospheric vertical wind shear and tropical cyclone tornadoes change between coastal and inland environments? Wea. Forecasting, 36, 539-566.

Wakefield, R.A., J.B. Basara, J.M. Shepherd, N. Brauer, J. Furtado, J. Santanello, and R. Edwards, 2021: The inland maintenance and reintensification of Tropical Storm Bill (2015): Contributions of the brown ocean effect. Proc., 35th Conf. Hydrology, Virtual, 1A.6.

Taszarek, M., J.T. Allen, P. Groenemeijer; R. Edwards; H.E. Brooks; V. Chmielewski; and S.-E. Enno, 2020: Severe convective storms across Europe and the United States. Part 1: Climatology of lightning, large hail, severe wind, and tornadoes. J. Climate, 33, 10239-10261.

Schenkel, B.A., R. Edwards, and M.C. Coniglio, 2020: A climatological analysis of ambient deep-tropospheric vertical wind shear impacts upon tornadoes in tropical cyclones. Wea. Forecasting, 35, 2033-2059.

Boustead, B.M., H. Wells, R. Edwards, and J.M. Boustead, 2020: Hand analysis in a digital age. Proc., 30th Conf. Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Boston, MA, 8A.1.

Schenkel, B.A., R. Edwards, and M.C. Coniglio, 2020: Does ambient deep-tropospheric vertical wind shear influence tornadic supercells in tropical cyclones? Proc., 30th Conf. Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Boston, MA., 3B.2.

Spotts, J.R., C.J. Nowotarski, S. Overpeck, B. Filipak, and R. Edwards, 2020: Analysis of tornadic and nontornadic convective cell environments during Hurricane Harvey. Proc., Tropical Meteorology and Tropical Cyclones Symp., Boston, MA, P857.

Schenkel, B.A., R. Edwards, and N. Yussouf, 2018: Does ambient deep-tropospheric vertical wind shear influence tornado occurrence during landfalling tropical cyclones? Proc., AGU Fall Meeting, Washington, DC, A51F-02.

Edwards, R., C.J. Nowotarski, S. Overpeck, and G.R. Woodall, 2018: Tornadoes in Hurricane Harvey: Documentation and environmental analysis. Preprints, 29th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Stowe, VT, P52.

Nowotarski, C.J., R. Cheatham, S. Overpeck, and R. Edwards, 2018: Comparison of tornadic and nontornadic convective cells in Hurricane Harvey. 29th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Stowe, VT, 175.

Edwards, R., and A.R. Dean, 2018: Environments of supercellular satellite tornadoes. Preprints, 29th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Stowe, VT, P51.

Edwards, R., J.T. Allen, and G.W. Carbin, 2018: Reliability and climatological impacts of convective wind estimations. J. Appl. Meteor. Clim., 57, 1825-1845.

Cohen, A.E., and coauthors, 2018: Bridging operational meteorology and academia through experiential education: The Storm Prediction Center in the University of Oklahoma classroom. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 99, 269-279.

Edwards, R., and G.W. Carbin, 2016: Estimated convective winds: Reliability and effects on severe-storm climatology. Preprints, 28th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Portland, OR, 14B.6.

Edwards, R., and J.C. Picca, 2016: Tornadic debris signatures in tropical cyclones. Preprints, 28th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Portland, OR, P162.

Lewis, J.M., S. Lakshmivarahan, J. Hu, R. Edwards, R.A. Maddox, R.L. Thompson, and S.F. Corfidi, 2016: Ensemble forecasting of return flow over the Gulf of Mexico. Electronic J. Severe Storms Meteor., 11 (4), 1-26.

Edwards, R., B.T. Smith, R.L. Thompson and A.R. Dean, 2015: Analyses of radar rotational velocities and environmental parameters for tornadic supercells in tropical cyclones. Preprints, 37th Conf. Radar Meteorology, Norman, OK, 5A.3.

Edwards, R., G.W. Carbin, and S.F. Corfidi, 2015: Overview of the Storm Prediction Center. Preprints, 13th History Symp., Phoenix, AZ, 1.1.

Edwards, R., and R.L. Thompson, 2014: Reversible CAPE in tropical cyclone tornado regimes. Preprints, 27th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Madison, WI, P88.

Edwards, R., 2014: Characteristics of supercellular satellite tornadoes. Preprints, 27th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Madison, WI, 17.5.

Monteverdi, J.P., R. Edwards, and G.J. Stumpf, 2014: An analysis of the 7 July 2004 Rockwell Pass, California, tornado: Highest-elevation tornado documented in the United States. Mon. Wea. Rev., 142, 3925-3943.

Bunkers, M.J., D.A. Barber, R.L. Thompson, R. Edwards, and J.M. Garner, 2014: Choosing a universal mean wind for supercell motion prediction. NWA Electronic J. Oper. Meteor., 2 (11), 115-129.

Edwards, R., 2013: Tropical cyclone tornadoes: History and state of understanding. Preprints, XIX Jornades de Meteorologia Eduard Fontsere, Barcelona, Spain.

Edwards, R., 2013: Overview of the Storm Prediction Center. Preprints, XIX Jornades de Meteorologia Eduard Fontsere, Barcelona, Spain.

Edwards, R., J.G. LaDue, J.T. Ferree, K. Scharfenberg, C. Maier, and W.L. Coulbourne, 2013: Tornado intensity estimation: Past, present and future. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 94, 641-653.

Edwards, R., A.R. Dean, R.L. Thompson and B.T. Smith, 2012: Convective modes for significant severe thunderstorms in the contiguous United States. Part III: Tropical cyclone tornadoes. Wea. Forecasting, 27, 1507-1519.

Edwards, R., A.R. Dean, R.L. Thompson and B.T. Smith, 2012: Nonsupercell tropical cyclone tornadoes: Documentation, classification and uncertainties. Preprints, 26th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Nashville TN, 9.6.

Edwards, R., 2012: Tropical cyclone tornadoes: A review of knowledge in research and prediction. Electronic J. Severe Storms Meteor., 7 (6), 1-61.

Naylor, J., M.S. Gilmore, R.L. Thompson, R. Edwards, and R.B. Wilhelmson, 2012: Comparison of objective supercell identification techniques using an idealized cloud model. Mon. Wea. Rev., 140, 2090-2102.

Edwards, R., 2010: Tropical cyclone tornado records for the modernized NWS era. Preprints, 25th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Denver CO, P3.1.

Edwards, R., A.R. Dean, R.L. Thompson and B.T. Smith, 2010: Objective environmental analyses and convective modes for United States tropical cyclone tornadoes from 2003-2008. Preprints, 25th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Denver CO, P3.2.

Edwards, R., and H.E. Brooks, 2010: Possible impacts of the Enhanced Fujita Scale on United States tornado data. Preprints, 25th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Denver CO, P8.28.

Edwards, R., J.G. LaDue, J.T. Ferree, K. Scharfenberg, C. Maier, and W.L. Coulbourne, 2010: The Enhanced Fujita scale: Past, present and future. Preprints, 25th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Denver CO, P4.1.

Burkett, L., M. S. Gilmore, R.L. Thompson, R. Edwards, J.M. Straka, and R.B. Wilhelmson, 2010: Characteristics of supercells simulated with tornadic and non-tornadic RUC-2 proximity soundings. Part I: Sensitivity to convective initiation mechanisms. Preprints, 25th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Denver CO, P8.23.

Gilmore, M.S., L. Burkett, R. Edwards, and R.L. Thompson, 2010: Characteristics of supercells simulated with tornadic and non-tornadic RUC-2 proximity soundings. Part II: Sounding variables as predictors of simulated low-level rotation. Preprints, 25th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Denver CO, 7A.1.

Naylor, J., M.S. Gilmore, R.L. Thompson, and R. Edwards, 2010: Characteristics of supercells simulated with tornadic and non-tornadic RUC-2 proximity soundings. Part III: Comparisons at tornado-resolving grid spacing. Preprints, 25th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Denver CO, P10.20.

Monteverdi, J.P., and R. Edwards, 2010: The redevelopment of a warm-core structure in Erin: A case of inland tropical storm formation. Electronic J. Severe Storms Meteor., 5 (6), 1-18.

Edwards, R., and R.L. Thompson, 2009: Comments on "The North Dakota tornadic supercells of 18 July 2004: Issues concerning high LCL heights and evapotranspiration". Wea. Forecasting, 24, 1149-1158.

Houston, A.L., R.L. Thompson and R. Edwards, 2008: The optimal bulk wind differential depth and the utility of the upper-tropospheric storm-relative flow for forecasting supercells. Wea. Forecasting, 23, 825-837.

Edwards, R., 2008: Tropical cyclone tornadoes -- a research and forecasting overview. Part 1: Climatologies, distribution and forecast concepts. Preprints, 24th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Savannah GA, 7A.1.

Monteverdi, J.P., and R. Edwards, 2008: Documentation of the overland reintensification of Tropical Storm Erin over Oklahoma. Preprints, 24th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Savannah GA, P4.6.

Cerveny, R.S., J. Lawrimore, R. Edwards, and C. Landsea, 2007: Extreme weather records: Compilation, adjudication, and publication. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 88, 853-860.

Thompson, R.L., C.M. Mead and R. Edwards, 2007: Effective storm-relative helicity and bulk shear in supercell thunderstorm environments. Wea. Forecasting, 22, 102-115.

Edwards, R., and S.J. Hodanish, 2006: Photographic documentation and environmental analysis of an intense, anticyclonic supercell on the Colorado plains. Mon. Wea. Rev., 134, 3753-3763.

Edwards, R., and D. M. Schultz, 2006: Editorial: Introducing EJSSM. Electronic J. Severe Storms Meteor., 1(1), 1-2.

Doswell, C.A. III, R. Edwards, R.L. Thompson, J.A. Hart, and K.C. Crosbie, 2006: A simple and flexible method for ranking severe weather events. Wea. Forecasting, 21, 939-951.

Edwards, R., and A.E. Pietrycha, 2006: Archetypes for surface baroclinic boundaries influencing tropical cyclone tornado occurrence. Preprints, 23rd Conf. Severe Local Storms, St. Louis MO, P8.2.

Edwards, R., 2006: Supercells of the Serranias del Burro (Mexico). Preprints, 23rd Conf. Severe Local Storms, St. Louis MO, P6.2.

Monteverdi, J.P., R. Edwards, G.J. Stumpf, and D. Gudgel, 2006: An analysis of the 7 July 2004 Rockwell Pass, CA tornado: Highest elevation tornado documented in the U.S. Preprints, 23rd Conf. Severe Local Storms, St. Louis MO, P12.2.

McCarthy, D.W., J.T. Schaefer and R. Edwards, 2006: What are we doing with (or to) the F-Scale? Preprints, 23rd Conf. Severe Local Storms, St. Louis MO, 5.6.

Rao, G.V., J.W. Scheck, R. Edwards, and J.T. Schaefer, 2005: Structures of mesocirculations producing tornadoes associated with tropical cyclone Frances (1998). Pure Appl. Geophys., 162, 1627-1641.

Edwards, R., R.L. Thompson and C.M. Mead, 2004: Assessment of anticyclonic supercell environments using close proximity soundings from the RUC model. Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis MA, P1.2.

Thompson, R.L., C.M. Mead, and R. Edwards, 2004: Effective bulk shear in supercell thunderstorm environments. Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis MA, P1.1.

Thompson, R.L., R. Edwards, and C.M. Mead, 2004: Effective storm-relative helicity in supercell thunderstorm environments. Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis MA, 2.4.

Edwards, R., and S.J. Hodanish, 2004: Environmental analysis and photographic documentation of an intense, left-moving supercell on the Colorado plains. Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis MA, P12.2.

Edwards, R., R.L. Thompson, K.C. Crosbie, J.A. Hart, and C. A. Doswell III, 2004: Proposals for modernizing the definitions of tornado and severe thunderstorm outbreaks. Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis MA, 7.B.2.

Thompson, R.L., R. Edwards, and C.M. Mead, 2004: An update to the supercell composite and significant tornado parameters. Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis MA,

Rao, G.V., K. Santhanam, J.W. Scheck, S.M. Spratt, B.C. Hagemeyer, R. Edwards, J.T. Schaefer, J.L. Case and E. Kemp, 2004: MM5 simulations of precipitation and mesocyclone dynamics associated with TC Gabrielle (2001) using high resolution data of east central Florida. Preprints, 26th. Conf. Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, Miami.

Thompson, R.L., R. Edwards, J.A. Hart, K.L. Elmore and P.M. Markowski, 2003: Close proximity soundings within supercell environments obtained from the Rapid Update Cycle. Wea. Forecasting, 18, 1243-1261.

Rao, G.V., K. Santhanam, D. Gallagher, J.W. Scheck, R. Edwards, J.T. Schaefer, S.M. Spratt and B.C. Hagemeyer, 2003: Radar characteristics of mesocyclones associated with tropical cyclones and simulation of the mesocyclonic characteristics using MM5. Preprints, 10th. Conf. Mesoscale Processes, Portland, P2.10.

Markowski, P.M., C. Hannon, J. Frame, E. Lancaster, A. Pietrycha, R. Edwards and R.L. Thompson, 2003: Characteristics of vertical wind profiles near supercells obtained from the Rapid Update Cycle. Wea. Forecasting, 18, 1262-1272.

Edwards, R., 2003: Rating tornado damage: An exercise in subjectivity. Preprints, Symp. F-scale and Severe Weather Damage Assessment, Long Beach CA, P1.2.

Edwards, R., and L.R. Lemon, 2002: Proactive or reactive? The severe storm threat to large event venues. Preprints, 21st Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Antonio, 232-235.

Markowski, P.M., C. Hannon, J. Frame, E. Lancaster, A. Pietrycha, R. Edwards and R.L. Thompson, 2002: Characteristics of RUC vertical wind profiles near supercells. Preprints, 21st Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Antonio, 599-602.

Thompson, R.L., R. Edwards and J.A. Hart, 2002: Evaluation and interpretation of the supercell composite and significant tornado parameters at the Storm Prediction Center. Preprints, 21st Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Antonio, J11-J14.

Edwards, R., R.L. Thompson, and J.A. Hart, 2002: Verification of supercell motion forecast techniques. Preprints, 21st Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Antonio, J57-J60.

Thompson, R.L., R. Edwards, J.A. Hart and K.L. Elmore, 2002: RUC-2 model analysis soundings as a surrogate for observed soundings in supercell environments. Preprints, 21st Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Antonio, 591-594.

Thompson, R.L., R. Edwards and J.A. Hart, 2002: An assessment of supercell and tornado forecast parameters with RUC-2 model close proximity soundings. Preprints, 21st Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Antonio, 595-598.

Edwards, R., S.F. Corfidi, R.L. Thompson, J.S. Evans, J.P. Craven, J.P. Racy, D.W. McCarthy, and M.D. Vescio, 2002: Storm Prediction Center forecasting issues related to the 3 May 1999 tornado outbreak. Wea. Forecasting, 17, 544-558.

Thompson, R.L., and R. Edwards, 2000: An overview of environmental conditions and forecast implications of the 3 May 1999 tornado outbreak. Wea. Forecasting., 15, 682-699.

Edwards, R., R.L. Thompson, and J.G. LaDue, 2000: Initiation of storm A (3 May 1999) along a possible horizontal convective roll. Preprints, 20th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Orlando, FL, 60-63.

Edwards, R., G.V. Rao and J.W. Scheck, 2000: Examination of tornadic supercells in Tropical Cyclone Earl (1998) using conventional and WSR-88D data suites. Preprints, 20th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Orlando, FL, 97-100.

Rao, G. V., R. Edwards and J.W. Scheck, 2000: Case studies of tornadoes associated with tropical cyclones based on conventional and WSR-88D data. Preprints, 24th Conf. Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, Ft. Lauderdale, FL., 306-307.

Thompson, R.L., and R. Edwards, 2000: A comparison of Rapid Update Cycle 2 (RUC-2) model soundings with observed soundings in supercell environments. Preprints, 20th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Orlando, FL, 551-554.

Thompson, R.L., and R. Edwards, 2000: RUC-2 supercell proximity soundings, Part I: An examination of storm-relative winds normalized to supercell depth. Preprints, 20th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Orlando, FL, 431-434.

Edwards, R., and R.L. Thompson, 2000: RUC-2 supercell proximity soundings, Part II: An independent assessment of supercell forecast parameters. Preprints, 20th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Orlando, FL, 435-438.

Schaefer, J.T., and R. Edwards, 1999, The SPC tornado/severe thunderstorm database. Preprints, 11th Conf. Applied Climatology, Dallas, TX, 603-606.

Edwards, R., and R. L. Thompson, 1998: Nationwide comparisons of hail size with WSR-88D vertically integrated liquid water and derived thermodynamic sounding data. Wea. Forecasting, 13, 277-285.

Edwards, R., 1998: Storm Prediction Center forecast support for landfalling tropical cyclones. Preprints, 23rd Conf. Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology., Dallas, 53-56.

Edwards, R., 1998: Tornado production by exiting tropical cyclones. Preprints, 23rd Conf. Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, Dallas, TX, 485-488.

Edwards, R., and S.J. Weiss, 1996: Comparisons between Gulf of Mexico sea surface temperature anomalies and southern U.S. severe thunderstorm frequency in the cool season. Preprints, 18th Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Francisco, CA, 317-320.

Martin, P.L., and R. Edwards, 1995: A severe weather, hurricane, and flood climatology for the Austin/San Antonio WFO County Warning Area. NOAA Tech. Memo. NWS SR 167, National Weather Service, Southern Region Headquarters, Ft. Worth, TX, 27 pp.

Edwards, R., and J.A. Hart, 1994: Using SHARP workstation to analyze soundings from the FSL/NCDC CD-ROM database. NSSFC Operational Notes - Mar. 1994, National Weather Service, National Severe Storms Forecast Center, Kansas City, MO, 2-4.

Edwards, R.*, 1992: Tornadic supercell over Dade and Broward Counties (Florida) on January 15, 1991. NOAA Tech. Memo. NWS SR 140, National Weather Service, Southern Region Headquarters, Ft. Worth, TX.

* Author affiliated with National Hurricane Center (NWS/NCEP), Miami, FL.

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Edwards, R., M.S. Elliott, P.T. Marsh, and D.A. Speheger, 2022: Errors, oddities and artifacts in U.S. tornado data, 1995-2021. Proc., 30th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Santa Fe, NM, 8.3B.

Harrison, D.R., M.S. Elliott, I.L. Jirak, and P.T. Marsh, 2022: Utilizing the High-Resolution Ensemble Forecast system to produce calibrated probabilistic thunderstorm guidance. Wea. Forecasting, 37, 1103-1115.

Broyles, J.C., G.L. Dial, C.K. Potvin, J. Murnan, S. Shores, A.D. Lyons, M.S. Elliott, and A.R. Cook, 2022: Tornadogenesis in high-end tornadic supercells. Part 3: Moore, Oklahoma EF5 on May 20, 2013--A representative case of tornadogenesis. Proc., 30th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Santa Fe, NM, 10.2.

Broyles, J.C., C.K. Potvin, G.L. Dial, J. Murnan, S. Shores, A.D. Lyons, M.S. Elliott, and A.R. Cook, 2022: Tornadogenesis in high-end tornadic supercells. Part 2: The descending reflectivity core, inflow channel and streamwise vorticity current. Proc., 30th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Santa Fe, NM, P14.

Broyles, J.C., G.L. Dial, C.K. Potvin, J. Murnan, S. Shores, A.D. Lyons, M.S. Elliott, and A.R. Cook, 2022: Tornadogenesis in high-end tornadic supercells. Part 1: The RFD surge, RFD occlusion and cell mergers. Proc., 30th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Santa Fe, NM, P13.

Harrison, D.R., M.S. Elliott, I.L. Jirak, and P.T. Marsh, 2022: Utilizing the High-Resolution Ensemble Forecast system to produce calibrated probabilistic thunderstorm guidance. Wea. Forecasting, 37, 1103-1115.

Jirak, I.L., and M.S. Elliott, 2022: Operational model performance for fire weather forecasting. Proc., 31st Conf. Weather Analysis and Forecasting/27th Conf. Numerical Weather Prediction (virtual), 13A.3.

Harrison, D.R., N. Nauslar, N. Keene, M.S. Elliott, I.L. Jirak, P.T. Marsh, and J. Peters, 2021: A comprehensive climatology of NLDN CG lightning flashes in the CONUS. Proc. 10th Conf. Meteor. Application of Lightning Data, New Orleans, LA, 5.8.

Jirak, I.L., M.S. Elliott, C.D. Karstens, R.S. Schneider, P.T. Marsh, and W.F. Bunting, 2020: Generating probabilistic severe timing information from SPC outlooks using the HREF. Proc., Severe Local Storms Symp., Boston, MA, 3.1.

Harrison, D.R., I.L. Jirak, and M.S. Elliott, 2020: Utilizing the High-Resolution Ensemble Forecast (HREF) to produce calibrated probabilistic thunderstorm guidance at the Storm Prediction Center. Proc., 26th Conf. Numerical Weather Prediction, 12B.3.

Clark, R. III, and coauthors, 2018: From StormPredictionCenter.ScienceSupportBranch import science, research, operations. Proc. 8th Symp. Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using Python, Austin, TX, 3.5.

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Fischer, J., M.D. Flournoy, and A.W. Lyza, 2023: Comments on "A climatology of cell mergers with supercells and their association with mesocyclone evolution" and "The influence of cell mergers on supercell characteristics and tornado evolution on 27-28 April 2011". Mon. Wea. Rev., 151, 2541-2545.

Flournoy, M.D.*, and E.N. Rasmussen, 2023: The influence of convection initiation strength on subsequent simulated supercell evolution. Mon. Wea. Rev., 151, 2179-2203.

Lyza, T.W., M.D. Flournoy*, and E.N. Rasmussen, 2022: Observed characteristics of the tornadic supercells of 27-28 April 2011 in the Southeast United States. Mon. Wea. Rev., 150, 2883-2910.

Flournoy, M.D.*, A.W. Lyza, M. A. Satrio, M.R. Diedrichsen, M.C. Coniglio, and S. Waugh, 2022: A climatology of cell mergers with supercells and their association with mesocyclone evolution, Mon. Wea. Rev., 150, 451-461.

Flournoy, M.D.*, and E.N. Rasmussen, 2022: The influence of convection initiation strength on subsequent simulated supercell evolution. Proc., 30th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, Santa Fe, NM, 5.1.

Flournoy, M.D.*, and E.N. Rasmussen, 2022: The influence of ground-relative flow and friction on near-surface storm-relative helicity. Proc., 30th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Santa Fe, NM, P193.

Krocak, M. J., M.D. Flournoy*, and H.E. Brooks, 2021: Examining sub-daily tornado warning performance and associated environmental characteristics. Wea. Forecasting, 36, 1779-1784.

Flournoy, M.D.*, and E.N. Rasmussen, 2021: The influence of ground-relative flow and friction on near-surface storm-relative helicity. J. Atmos. Sci., 78, 2135-2142.

Flournoy, M.D.*, M.C. Coniglio, and E.N. Rasmussen, 2021: Examining relationships between environmental characteristics and storm motion in time. Wea. Forecasting, 36, 737-755.

Flournoy, M.D.*, and E.N. Rasmussen, 2021: How inevitable is tornadogenesis? Proc., Virtual Student & Early Career Conference on Severe Storms.

Flournoy, M.D.**, M.C. Coniglio, E.N. Rasmussen, J.C. Furtado, and B.E. Coffer, 2020: Modes of storm-scale variability and tornado potential in VORTEX2 near- and far-inflow tornadic environments. Mon. Wea. Rev., 148, 4185-4207.

Flournoy, M.D.**, E.N. Rasmussen, and M.C. Coniglio, 2020: Volatility of tornadogenesis and modes of storm-scale variability in VORTEX2 far- and near-field environments. Proc., Severe Local Storms Symp., Boston, MA, 2.3.

Flournoy, M.D.**, and M.C. Coniglio, 2019: Origins of vorticity in a simulated tornadic mesovortex observed during PECAN on 6 July 2015. Mon. Wea. Rev., 147, 107-134.

Flournoy, M.D.**, E.N. Rasmussen, and M.C. Coniglio, 2019: Volatility of tornadogenesis in far- and near-field composite VORTEX2 environments. Proc., National Weather Center Research Fair, Norman, OK.

Flournoy, M.D.**, E.N. Rasmussen, and M.C. Coniglio, 2019: Volatility of tornadogenesis in far- and near-field composite VORTEX2 environments. Proc., Special Symp. on Mesoscale Meteorological Extremes: Understanding, Prediction, and Projection, 99th AMS Annual Meeting, Phoenix, AZ, P370.

Flournoy, M.D.**, E.N. Rasmussen, and M.C. Coniglio, 2018: Volatility of tornadogenesis in far- and near-field composite VORTEX2 environments. Proc., 29th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Stowe, VT.

Flournoy, M.D.**, and M.C. Coniglio, 2018: Origins of vorticity in a simulated mesovortex observed during PECAN on 6 July 2015. Proc., 29th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Stowe, VT, P188.

Flournoy, M.D.**, M.C. Coniglio, and C.L. Ziegler, 2018: Analyses of a severe MCS and nocturnal tornadogenesis sampled by PECAN on 5 July 2015. Proc., 22nd Severe Storms and Doppler Radar Conf., Ankeny, IA.

Flournoy, M.D.**, M.C. Coniglio, and C.L. Ziegler, 2018: Analyses of a severe MCS and nocturnal tornadogenesis sampled by PECAN on 5 July 2015. Proc., Special Symp. Plains Elevated Convection At Night (PECAN), Austin, TX, 3.8.

Flournoy, M.D.**, and Coauthors, 2018: Analysis of a severe MCS and nocturnal tornadogenesis sampled by PECAN on 5 July 2015. Proc., 5th International Symp. on Environmental Challenges, Kyoto, Japan.

Flournoy, M.D.**, and Coauthors, 2017: Analysis of a severe MCS and nocturnal tornadogenesis sampled by PECAN on 5 July 2015. Proc., 97th AMS Ann. Meeting, Seattle, WA.

Flournoy, M.D.**, S.B. Feldstein, S. Lee, and E.E. Clothiaux, 2016: Exploring the tropically excited Arctic warming mechanism with station data: Links between tropical convection and Arctic downward infrared radiation. J. Atmos. Sci., 73, 1143-1158.

Flournoy, M.D.**, and Coauthors, 2016: Analysis of a severe MCS and nocturnal tornadogenesis sampled by PECAN on 5 July 2015. Proc., 28th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Portland, OR.

Flournoy, M.D.**, and Coauthors, 2016: Analysis of a severe MCS and nocturnal tornadogenesis sampled by PECAN on 5 July 2015. Proc., PECAN Conf., Norman, OK.

Flournoy, M.D.**, A.E. Cohen, M.C. Coniglio, and P.T. Marsh, 2016: Examining the sensitivity of horizontal and vertical grid spacing on simulations of cool season storms in the Southeast United States. Proc., 2016 OU-Reading Research Summit, Reading, UK.

Flournoy, M.D.***, A.E. Cohen, M.C. Coniglio, and P.T. Marsh, 2015: Examining the sensitivity of horizontal and vertical grid spacing on simulations of cool season storms in the Southeast United States. Proc., Undergraduate Poster Exhibition, University Park, PA.

Flournoy, M.D.***, A.E. Cohen, M.C. Coniglio, and P.T. Marsh, 2015: Examining the sensitivity of horizontal and vertical grid spacing on simulations of cool season storms in the Southeast United States. Proc., 19th Ann. Severe Storms and Doppler Radar Conf., Ankeny, IA.

Flournoy, M.D.***, A.E. Cohen, M.C. Coniglio, and P.T. Marsh, 2015: Examining the sensitivity of horizontal and vertical grid spacing on simulations of cool season storms in the Southeast United States. Proc., 5th Conf. Transition of Research to Operations, Phoenix, AZ, 4.6.

Flournoy, M.D.***, S. B. Feldstein, and S. Lee, 2015: Exploring the tropically excited Arctic warming mechanism: Links between tropical convection and arctic downward infrared radiation. Proc., 27th Conf. Climate Variability and Change, Phoenix, AZ, 13B.4.

Flournoy, M.D.***, A.E. Cohen, M.C. Coniglio, and P.T. Marsh, 2014: Examining the sensitivity of horizontal and vertical grid spacing on simulations of cool season storms in the Southeast United States. Proc., 3rd Ann. EMS Poster Exhibition, University Park, PA.

Flournoy, M.D.***, A.E. Cohen, M.C. Coniglio, and P.T. Marsh, 2014: Examining the sensitivity of horizontal and vertical grid spacing on simulations of cool season storms in the Southeast United States. Proc., 27th Conference on Severe Local Storms, Madison, WI, P3.

* Author affiliated with CIWRO/NSSL

** Author affiliated with School of Meteorology, University of Oklahoma and CIRWO/NSSL

*** Author affiliated with Pennsylvania State University

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Thompson, R.L., B.T. Smith, J.S. Grams, A.R. Dean, J.C. Picca, A.E. Cohen, E.M. Leitman, A.M. Gleason, and P.T. Marsh, 2017: Tornado damage rating probabilities derived from WSR-88D data. Wea. Forecasting, 32, 1509-1528.

Smith, B.T., R.L. Thompson, A.R. Dean, E.M. Leitman, J.S. Grams, A.E. Cohen, A.M. Gleason, J.C. Picca, P.T. Marsh, R. Wagenmaker, and G. Mann, 2015: Developmental work at the Storm Prediction Center in pursuit of tornadic supercell probability and tornado intensity estimation using a severe supercell dataset. Preprints, 40th NWA Ann. Meeting, Oklahoma City, OK, 8 pp.

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Goss, S.M., R.L. Thompson, and E. Bookbinder, 2006: An elevated supercell with damaging wind from the morning of 12 March 2006. Preprints, 23rd Conf. Severe Local Storms, St. Louis MO.

Kain, J.S., S.M. Goss, and M.E. Baldwin, 2000: The melting effect as a factor in precipitation-type forecasting. Wea. Forecasting, 15, 700-714.

Richards, M., S. White and S.M. Goss*, 1997: A case study of a well-defined bow echo with bookend vortices, Nat. Wea. Dig., 21, 4, 23-29.

Goss, S.M.*, and J.N. Chrisman, 1995: An introduction to WSR-88D clutter suppression, and some tips for effective suppression utilization. National Weather Service Training Center, Warning Decision Training Branch Training Material, 16pp.

* Author affiliated with NWS WFO at Nashville, TN.

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Smith, B.T., R.L. Thompson, C.D. Karstens, J.S. Grams, A.R. Dean, R.M. Mosier, and A.D. Lyons, 2022: Preliminary evaluation of a real-time diagnostic tornado damage intensity estimation tool used at the Storm Prediction Center. Proc., 30th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Santa Fe, NM, 17.4B.

Thompson, R.L., B.T. Smith, J.S. Grams, A.R. Dean, J.C. Picca, A.E. Cohen, E.M. Leitman, A.M. Gleason, and P.T. Marsh, 2017: Tornado damage rating probabilities derived from WSR-88D data. Wea. Forecasting, 32, 1509-1528.

Thompson, R.L., B.T. Smith, J.S. Grams, and A.R. Dean, 2016: Tornado damage probabilities derived from WSR-88D data. Preprints, 28th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Portland, OR, 6B.6.

Smith, B.T., R.L. Thompson, A.R. Dean, E.M. Leitman, J.S. Grams, A.E. Cohen, A. Gleason, J.C. Picca, P.T. Marsh, R. Wagenmaker, and G. Mann, 2015: Developmental work at the Storm Prediction Center in pursuit of tornadic supercell probability and tornado intensity estimation using a severe supercell dataset. Preprints, 40th NWA Ann. Meeting, Oklahoma City, OK, 8 pp.

Herzog, B.S., C.J. Melick, J.S. Grams, I.L. Jirak, A.R. Dean, and S.J. Weiss, 2012: Usefulness of storm-scale model guidance for forecasting dry thunderstorms at SPC. Preprints, 26th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Nashville, TN, P8.123.

Smith, B.T., R.L. Thompson, J.S. Grams, C. Broyles, and H.E. Brooks, 2012: Convective modes for significant severe thunderstorms in the contiguous United States. Part I: Storm classification and climatology. Wea. Forecasting, 27, 1114-1135.

Thompson, R.L., B.T. Smith, J.S. Grams, A.R. Dean, and C. Broyles, 2012: Convective modes for significant severe thunderstorms in the contiguous United States. Part II: Supercell and QLCS tornado environments. Wea. Forecasting, 27, 1114-1135.

Grams, J.S., R.L. Thompson, D.V. Snively, J.A. Prentice, G.M. Hodges, and L.J. Reames, 2012: A climatology and comparison of parameters for significant tornado events in the United States. Wea. Forecasting, 21, 106-123.

Smith, B.T., R.L. Thompson, J.S. Grams, and C. Broyles, 2010: Climatology of convective modes for significant severe thunderstorms in the contiguous United States. Preprints, 25th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Denver CO, P2.7.

Thompson, R.L., B.T. Smith, J.S. Grams, A.R. Dean, and C. Broyles, 2010: Climatology of near-storm environments with convective modes for significant severe thunderstorms in the contiguous United States. Preprints, 25th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Denver CO, 16B.6.

Bright, D.R., and J.S. Grams, 2009: Short range ensemble forecast (SREF) calibrated thunderstorm probability forecasts: 2007-2008 verification and recent enhancements. Preprints, 4th Conf. Meteorological Applications of Lightning Data, Phoenix, AZ. [CD-ROM]

Thompson, R.L., and J.S. Grams, 2008: Synoptic environments and convective modes associated with significant tornadoes in the contiguous United States. Preprints, 24th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Savannah GA, 16A.3.

Grams, J.S.*, W.A. Gallus Jr., S.E. Koch, L.S. Wharton, A. Loughe, and E.E. Ebert, 2006: The use of a modified Ebert-McBride technique to evaluate mesoscale model QPF as a function of convective system morphology during IHOP 2002. Wea. Forecasting, 21, 288-306.

Grams, J.S.*, W.A. Gallus Jr., S.E. Koch, L.S. Wharton, A. Loughe, and E.E. Ebert, 2005: The use of a modified Ebert-McBride technique to evaluate mesoscale model QPF as a function of convective system morphology during IHOP 2002. Preprints, 21st Conf. Weather Analysis and Forecasting/17th Conf. Numerical Weather Prediction, Washington D.C., 14A.2.

Grams, J.S.*, W.A. Gallus Jr., L.S. Wharton, S. Koch, E.E. Ebert, and A. Loughe, 2004: Use of a modified Ebert-McBride technique to verify IHOP QPF as a function of convective system morphology. Preprints, 20th Conf. Weather Analysis and Forecasting/16th Conf. Numerical Weather Prediction/17th Conf. Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences, Seattle, WA, J13.4.

* Author affiliated with Department of Geological and Atmospheric Science, Iowa State University.

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Brannan, A.L., S. Gertonson, I.L. Jirak, B. Roberts, A.D. Lyons, and J.L. Guyer, 2022: Predictability of large-scale patterns that lead to tornado outbreaks at lead times out to 14 days. Proc., 30th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Santa Fe, NM, 9.2.

Guyer, J.L., 2018: A noteworthy year for supercells and tornadoes in the western United States in 2018. Preprints, 29th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Stowe, VT, P64.

Melick, C.J., A.R. Dean, J.L. Guyer, and I.L. Jirak, 2016: Cloud flash lightning characteristics for tornadoes without cloud-to-ground lightning. Preprints, 41st NWA Ann. Meeting, Norfolk, VA, 11B.

Guyer J.L. and A.R. Dean, 2015: Tornadoes associated with an absence of cloud-to-ground lightning. Preprints, 40th NWA Ann. Meeting, Oklahoma City, OK, AP26.

Guyer, J.L., and I.L. Jirak, 2014: The utility of storm-scale ensemble forecasts of cool season severe weather events from the SPC perspective. Preprints, 27th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Madison, WI, P37.

Carbin, G.W., J.L. Guyer, and E. Bentley, 2014: The 2013 tornado season: Local devastation defies below-normal numbers. Weatherwise, May-June.

Guyer, J.L., and J.A. Hart, 2012: Examination of WSR-88D VWP data in proximity to strong tornadoes. Preprints, 26th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Nashville TN, P4.62.

Davis, J.M., A.R. Dean, and J.L. Guyer, 2010: A detailed analysis of SPC "high risk" outlooks, 2003-2009. Preprints, 25th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Denver CO, 8B.6.

Smith, B.T., and J.L. Guyer, 2008: The climatology, convective mode, and mesoscale environment of cool-season severe thunderstorms in the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys, 1995-2006. Preprints, 24th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Savannah GA, 13B.7.

Guyer, J.L., and D.R. Bright, 2008: Utility of SPC short-range ensemble forecast (SREF) guidance for forecasting the development of severe convection. Preprints, 24th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Savannah GA, 13A.1.

Kumjian, M., J.S. Evans, and J.L. Guyer, 2006: The relationship of the Great Plains low level jet to nocturnal MCS development. Preprints, 23rd Conf. Severe Local Storms, St. Louis MO. [CD-ROM]

Guyer, J.L., and J.M. Davies, 2006: Enviroment characteristics associated with tornado events near closed cold core 500 mb lows. Preprints, 23nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, St. Louis MO. [CD-ROM]

Evans, J.S., and J.L. Guyer, 2006: The relationship of cool season significant tornado events and buoy data in the western Gulf of Mexico. Preprints, 23rd Conf. Severe Local Storms, St. Louis MO. [CD-ROM]

Guyer, J.L., D.A. Imy, A. Kis, and K. Venable, 2006: Cool season significant (F2-F5) tornadoes in the Gulf Coast states. Preprints, 23nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, St. Louis MO. [CD-ROM]

Guyer, J.L., and R. Ewald, 2004: Record hail event - examination of the Aurora, Nebraska supercell of 22 June 2003. Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis MA. [CD ROM]

Davies, J.M., and J.L. Guyer, 2004: A preliminary climatology of tornado events with closed core 500 mb lows in the central and eastern United States. Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms.

Guyer, J.L.*, and T.J. Shea, 2003: An assessment of the variability in operational assignment of F-Scale damage. Preprints, 1st Symp. F-Scale and Severe-Weather Damage Assessment, Long Beach, CA.

Guyer, J.L.*, and M.L. Moritz, 2003: On issues of tornado damage assessment and F-scale assignment in agricultural areas. Preprints, 1st Symp. F-Scale and Severe-Weather Damage Assessment, Long Beach, CA.

Ewald, R., and J.L. Guyer*, 2002: The ideal lead time for tornado warnings - A look from the customer's perspective. Preprints, 21st Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Antonio, TX.

Guyer, J.L.*, 2002: A case of supercell intensification along a preexisting noundary - Clay County Nebraska tornado of 22 September 2001. Preprints, 21st Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Antonio, TX, 579-581.

* Author affiliated with NWS WFO Hastings, NE.

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O'Neill, M.E., L. Orf, G.M. Heymsfield, and K.T. Halbert*, 2021: Hydraulic jump dynamics above supercell thunderstorms. Science, 373, 1248-1251.

Parsons, D.B., K.R. Haghi, K.T. Halbert*, B. Elmer, and J. Wang, 2019: The potential role of atmospheric bores and gravity waves in the initiation and maintenance of nocturnal convection over the southern Great Plains. J. Atmos. Sci., 76, 43-68.

Blumberg, W.G., K.T. Halbert*, T.A. Supinie, P.T. Marsh, R.L. Thompson, and J.A. Hart, 2017: SHARPpy: An open-source sounding analysis toolkit for the atmospheric sciences. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 98, 1625-1636.

* Author affiliated with Dept. of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, University of Wisconsin
** Author affiliated with School of Meteorology, University of Oklahoma

Chase, R.J., D.R. Harrison, G.M. Lackmann, and A. McGovern, 2023: A machine learning tutorial for operational meteorology, Part II: Neural networks and deep learning. Wea. Forecasting, 38, 1271-1293.

Clark, A.J., and coauthors, 2023: The 3rd real-time, virtual spring forecasting experiment to advance severe weather prediction capabilities. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 104, E456-E458.

Harrison, D.R., M.S. Elliott, I.L. Jirak, and P.T. Marsh, 2023: Predicting probabilistic lightning flash density from the HREF calibrated thunder guidance. Proc., 22nd Conf. Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science, Denver, CO, 6A.1.

Chase, R.J., D.R. Harrison, A. Burke, G. Lackmann, and A. McGovern, 2023: Machine learning tutorials for operational meteorology. 22nd Conf. Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science, Denver, CO, J12.4.

Chase, R.J., D.R. Harrison, A. Burke, G.M. Lackmann, and A. McGovern, 2022: A machine learning tutorial for operational meteorology, Part I: traditional machine learning. Wea. Forecasting, 37, 1509-1529.

Clark, A.J., and coauthors, 2022: The 2nd real-time, virtual spring forecasting experiment to advance severe weather prediction. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 103, E1114-E1116.

Harrison, D.R., A. McGovern, C.D. Karstens, I.L. Jirak, and P.T. Marsh, 2022: Evaluation of first-guess watch guidance in the 2022 HWT spring forecasting experiment. Proc., 30th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Santa Fe, NM, 7.3A.

Jirak, I.L., D.R. Harrison, and J. Vancil, 2022: HREF climatology of storm-attribute fields. Proc., 30th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Santa Fe, NM, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 8.4B.

Harrison, D.R., M.S. Elliott, I.L. Jirak, and P.T. Marsh, 2022: Utilizing the High-Resolution Ensemble Forecast system to produce calibrated probabilistic thunderstorm guidance. Wea. Forecasting, 37, 1103-1115.

Harrison, D.R., A. McGovern, C.D. Karstens, I.L. Jirak, and P.T. Marsh, 2022: Winter precipitation-type classification with a 1D convolutional neural network. Proc., 31st Conf. on Wea. Analysis and Forecasting/27th Conf. Num. Wea. Prediction, Houston, TX, J11.4.

Harrison, D.R, A. McGovern, C.D. Karstens, I.L. Jirak, and P.T. Marsh, 2022: A machine learning approach to generating guidance for SPC watch products. Proc., 31st Conf. on Wea. Analysis and Forecasting/27th Conf. Num. Wea. Prediction, Houston, TX, 480.

Harrison, D.R, A. McGovern, C.D. Karstens, I.L. Jirak, and P.T. Marsh, 2021: A climatology of HREF forecasts in severe convective environments. Proc., 20th Conf. Artificial Intelligence for Env. Sci., New Orleans, LA, 3.9.

Harrison, D.R., N. Nauslar, N. Keene, M.S. Elliott, I.L. Jirak, P.T. Marsh, and J. Peters, 2021: A comprehensive climatology of NLDN CG lightning flashes in the CONUS. Proc. 10th Conf. Meteor. Application of Lightning Data, New Orleans, LA, 5.8.

Clark, A.J., and coauthors, 2021: A real-time, virtual spring forecasting experiment to advance severe weather prediction. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 102, E814-E816.

Harrison, D.R., A. McGovern, C.D. Karstens, J. Demuth, A. Bostrom, I.L. Jirak, and P.T. Marsh, 2021: Challenges and benefits of machine learning in an operational environment: Survey results from the 2021 Hazardous Weather Testbed spring forecasting experiment. 3rd NOAA Workshop on Leveraging AI in Environmental Sciences, Boulder, CO, 2A.

Harrison, D.R., A. McGovern, and C.D. Karstens, 2020: Predicting Storm Prediction Center watch likelihood using machine learning. 19th Conf. Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science, Boston, MA, 8.1.

Harrison, D.R., I.L. Jirak, and M.S. Elliott, 2020: Utilizing the High-Resolution Ensemble Forecast (HREF) to produce calibrated probabilistic thunderstorm guidance at the Storm Prediction Center. Proc., 26th Conf. Numerical Weather Prediction, Boston, MA, 12B.3.

Harrison, D., I.L. Jirak, and N.J. Nauslar, 2019: A preliminary investigation of the high-resolution ensemble forecast (HREF) for generating calibrated probabilistic thunderstorm forecasts. Proc., 9th Conf. Meteor. Application of Lightning Data, Phoenix, AZ, 4.3.

Rogers, J., D. Harrison, P. Skinner, and P. Marsh, 2018: Large-scale trends in upper-air sounding data across the United States. Proc., 43rd NWA Ann. Meeting, St. Louis, MO, I1.

Karstens, C.D., J. Correia, Jr., D.S. LaDue, J. Wolfe, T.C. Meyer, D. R. Harrison*, J.L. Cintineo, K.M. Calhoun, T.M. Smith, A.E. Gerard, and L.P. Rothfusz, 2018: Development of a human-machine mix for forecasting severe convective events. Wea. Forecasting, 33, 715-737.

Harrison, D.R.*, C. D. Karstens, and A. McGovern 2018: Using machine learning techniques to predict near-term severe weather trends. AMS 98th Ann. Meeting, Austin, TX, 11.6.

Harrison, D.R.*, and J.W. Rogers, 2018: Predicting 12-hour storm reports using random forest classification. AMS 98th Ann. Meeting, Austin, TX, 2.4.

McGovern, A., C.D. Karstens, D. Harrison*, and T. Smith, 2018: Using Machine Learning to Predict Storm Longevity in Real Time. AMS 98th Annual Meeting, Austin, TX, J44.1.

Harrison, D.R.*, and C.D. Karstens, 2017: A climatology of operational storm-based warnings: A geospatial analysis. Wea. Forecasting, 32, 47-60.

Harrison, D.R.*, C.D. Karstens, and A. McGovern, 2017: Verification and Analysis of Probabilistic Hazards Information Guidance. AMS 97th Ann. Meeting, Seattle, WA, 7.2.

Harrison, D.R.*, A. McGovern, C. D. Karstens, and R. A. Lagerquist, 2017: Best track: Object-based path identification and analysis. AMS 97th Ann. Meeting, Seattle, WA, 319.

Karstens, C.D., A. Gerard, D. LaDue, J. Correia, Jr., K.M. Calhoun, T.C. Meyer, J.P. Wolfe, C. Ling, J.L. Cintineo, A. McGovern, H. Obermeier, D.R. Harrison*, R. Lagerquist, J. James and T.M. Smith, 2017: Overview of the 2017 PHI Prototype Experiment with NWS forecasters. NWA 42nd Ann. Meeting, Garden Grove, CA.

Harrison, D.R.**, and C.D. Karstens, 2016: A statistical overview of operational storm-based warnings. AMS 96th Ann. Meeting, New Orleans, LA, 4.3A.

Harrison, D.R.**, Z. A. Roux, A. McGovern, and W. G. Blumberg, 2015: Promoting a weather ready nation through serious games. AMS 95th Ann. Meeting, Phoenix, AZ, 1.3.

McGovern, A., A. Balfour, M. Beene, and D. Harrison**, 2014: Storm Evader: Using an iPad to teach kids about meteorology and technology. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 96, 397-404.

Harrison, D.R.**, A. Balfour, M. Beene, and A. McGovern, 2014: Teaching meteorology and technology through an iPad application. AMS 94th Ann. Meeting, Atlanta, GA, 4.2.

* Author affiliated with University of Oklahoma/CIMMS/National Severe Storms Laboratory.
** Author affiliated with School of Meteorology, University of Oklahoma

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Bunker, R.C., A.E. Cohen, J.A. Hart, A.E. Gerard, K.E. Klockow-McClain, and D.P. Nowicki, 2019: Examination of the predictability of nocturnal tornado events in the southeastern United States. Wea. Forecasting, 34, 467-479.

Cohen, A.E., and coauthors, 2018: Bridging operational meteorology and academia through experiential education: The Storm Prediction Center in the University of Oklahoma classroom. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 99, 269-279.

Blumberg, W.G., K.T. Halbert, T.A. Supinie, P.T. Marsh, R.L. Thompson, and J.A. Hart, 2017: SHARPpy: An open source sounding analysis toolkit for the atmospheric sciences. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 98, 1625-1636.

Hart, J.A., and A.E. Cohen, 2016: The challenge of forecasting significant tornadoes from June to October using convective parameters. Wea. Forecasting, 31, 2075-2084.

Hart, J.A., and A.E. Cohen, 2016: The Statistical Severe Convective Risk Assessment Model. Wea. Forecasting, 31, 1697-1714.

Maddox R.A., M.S. Gilmore, C.A. Doswell III, R.H. Johns, C.A. Crisp, D.W. Burgess, J.A. Hart, and S.F. Piltz, 2013: Meteorological analyses of the Tri-State tornado event of March 1925. Electronic J. Severe Storms Meteor., 8 (1), 1-27.

Guyer, J.L., and J.A. Hart, 2012: Examination of WSR-88D VWP data in proximity to strong tornadoes. Preprints, 26th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Nashville TN, P4.62.

Dean, A.R., R.S. Schneider, R.L. Thompson, J.A. Hart, and P.D. Bothwell, 2009: The conditional risk of severe convection estimated from NWS Storm Prediction Center mesoscale objective analyses: Potential uses in support of forecast operations and verification. Preprints, 23rd Conf. Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Omaha NE, 6A.5.

Levit, J.J., J.A. Hart, R.S. Schneider, D.R. Bright, and R.L. Thompson, 2008: Utilizing short-range ensemble point forecast soundings for severe storms forecasting. Preprints, 24th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Savannah GA, 13A.2.

Doswell, C.A. III, R. Edwards, R.L. Thompson, J.A. Hart, and K.C. Crosbie, 2006: A simple and flexible method for ranking severe weather events. Wea. Forecasting, 21, 939-951.

Edwards, R., R.L. Thompson, K.C. Crosbie, J.A. Hart, and C. A. Doswell III, 2004: Proposals for modernizing the definitions of tornado and severe thunderstorm outbreaks. Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis MA, 7.B.2.

Thompson, R.L., R. Edwards, J.A. Hart, K.L. Elmore and P.M. Markowski, 2003: Close proximity soundings within supercell environments obtained from the Rapid Update Cycle. Wea. Forecasting, 18, 1243-1261.

Davies, J.M., and J.A. Hart, 2002: Mesoscale environment factors in the D.C. area tornado event of 24 September 2001. Preprints, 21st Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Antonio, 575-578.

Craven, J.P., H.E. Brooks and J.A. Hart, 2002: Baseline climatology of sounding derived parameters associated with deep, moist convection. Preprints, 21st Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Antonio, 643-646.

Kain, J.S., M.E. Baldwin, S.J. Weiss, P.R. Janish, J.A. Hart and A. Just, 2002: Grassroots science and technology transfer in a collaborative research/operational environment. Preprints, 21st Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Antonio, J1-J6.

Thompson, R.L., R. Edwards and J.A. Hart, 2002: Evaluation and interpretation of the supercell composite and significant tornado parameters at the Storm Prediction Center. Preprints, 21st Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Antonio, J11-J14.

Edwards, R., R.L. Thompson, and J.A. Hart, 2002: Verification of supercell motion forecast techniques. Preprints, 21st Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Antonio, J57-J60.

Bothwell, P.D., J.A. Hart and R.L. Thompson, 2002: An integrated three-dimensional objective analysis scheme in use at the Storm Prediction Center. Preprints, 21st Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Antonio, J117-J120.

Thompson, R.L., R. Edwards, J.A. Hart and K.L. Elmore, 2002: RUC-2 model analysis soundings as a surrogate for observed soundings in supercell environments. Preprints, 21st Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Antonio, 591-594.

Thompson, R.L., R. Edwards and J.A. Hart, 2002: An assessment of supercell and tornado forecast parameters with RUC-2 model close proximity soundings. Preprints, 21st Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Antonio, 595-598.

Weiss, S.J., J.A. Hart and P.R. Janish, 2002: An examination of severe thunderstorm wind report climatology. Preprints, 21st Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Antonio, 446-449.

Smith, T.L., S.G. Benjamin, B.E. Schwartz, G. Grell, P.D. Bothwell, and J.A. Hart, 2000: A past and future look at the Rapid Update Cycle for the 3 May 1999 severe weather outbreak. Preprints, 20th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Orlando, FL, 21-24.

Brooks, H.E., M.P. Kay, and J.A. Hart, 1998: Objective limits on forecasting skill of rare events. Preprints, 19th Conf. Severe Local Storms. Minneapolis, MN, 552-555.

Imy, D.A., J.A. Hart and M.P. Kay, 1998: A tornado watch climatology for the continental U.S. 1987-1997, Preprints, 19th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Minneapolis, MN, 276-279.

Johns, R.H., and J.A. Hart, 1998: The occurrence and non-occurrence of large hail with strong and violent tornado episodes: Frequency distributions. Preprints, 19th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, Minneapolis, MN, 283-286.

Edwards, R., and J.A. Hart, 1994: Using SHARP workstation to analyze soundings from the FSL/NCDC CD-ROM database. NSSFC Operational Notes - Mar. 1994, National Weather Service, National Severe Storms Forecast Center, Kansas City, MO, 2-4.

Hart, J.A., 1993: SVRPLOT: A new method of accessing and manipulating the NSSFC severe weather data base. Preprints, 17th Conf. Severe Local Storms, St. Louis, MO, 40-41.

Johns, R.H., and J.A. Hart, 1993: Differentiating between types of severe thunderstorm outbreaks: a preliminary investigation. Preprints, 17th Conf. Severe Local Storms, St. Louis, MO, 46-50.

Johns, R.H., and J.A. Hart, 1993: Making potential buoyant energy value comparisons. NSSFC Operational Notes - July 1993, National Weather Service, National Severe Storms Forecast Center, Kansas City, MO, 2-3.

Korotky, W.D., R.W. Przybylinski, and J.A. Hart*, 1993: The Plainfield, Illinois, tornado of August 28, 1990: The evolution of synoptic and mesoscale environments. The Tornado: Its Structure, Dynamics, Prediction, and Hazards, Geophys. Monogr., No. 79, C. Church, D. Burgess, C. Doswell III, and R. Davies-Jones, Eds., Amer. Geophys. Union, 611-624.

Hart, J.A.*, and W. D. Korotky, 1992: The SHARP Workstation v1.50...A skew-t/hodograph analysis and research program for the IBM and compatible PCs. NWS Eastern Region Computer Problems #13MC, National Weather Service, Eastern Region Headquarters, Bohemia, NY, 58 pp.

Hart, J.A.*, and R. H. Johns, 1991: The derecho event of 9 April 1991. NSSFC Operational Notes - Oct. 1991, National Weather Service, National Severe Storms Forecast Center, Kansas City, MO, 5-6.

Korotky, W.D., and J.A. Hart*, 1991: The SHARP workstation: Program description and applications. NSSFC Operational Notes - Oct. 1991, National Weather Service, National Severe Storms Forecast Center, Kansas City, MO, 6-7.

* Author affiliated with NWS WFO at Charleston, WV.

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Clark, A.J., and coauthors, 2023: The 3rd real-time, virtual spring forecasting experiment to advance severe weather prediction capabilities. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 104, E456-E458.

Jahn, D.E., E.D. Loken, B.T. Gallo, C.D. Karstens, and B. Hempel, 2022: Analysis of subjective and objective evaluations of calibrated tornado guidance in the Hazardous Weather Testbed. Proc., 30th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Santa Fe, NM, P47.

Clark, A.J., and coauthors, 2022: The 2nd real-time, virtual spring forecasting experiment to advance severe weather prediction. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 103, E1114-E1116.

Jahn, D.E., I.L. Jirak, A.R. Wade, and J.M. Milne, 2022: Storm mode and tornado potential determination using statistical moments of updraft helicity distribution. Proc., 31st Conf. Weather Analysis and Forecasting/27th Conf. Numerical Weather Prediction (virtual), 460.

Clark, A.J., and coauthors, 2021: A real-time, virtual spring forecasting experiment to advance severe weather prediction. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 102, E814-E816.

Jahn, D.E., B.T. Gallo, C. Broyles, B.T. Smith, I.L. Jirak, and J. Milne, 2020: Refining CAM-based tornado probability forecasts using storm-inflow and storm-attribute information. Proc., 26th Conf. Numerical Weather Prediction, Boston, MA, 2A4.

Jahn, D.E., W.A. Gallus, P.T.T. Nguyen, Q. Pan, K. Cetin, E. Byon, L. Manuel, Y. Zhou, E. Jahani, 2019: Projecting the most likely annual urban heat extremes in the central United States. Atmosphere, 10, 727-742.

Jahani, E., S. Vanage, D.E. Jahn*, K. Cetin, and W. Gallus, 2019: City-scale energy modeling to assess impacts of extreme heat on electricity consumption and production using WRF-UCM modeling with bias correction. Preprints, Can. Soc. for Civil Eng. Ann. Conf., Montreal, Quebec, Canada.

Jahn, D.E.*, and W.A. Gallus, 2018: Impacts of modifications to a local planetary boundary-layer scheme on forecasts of the Great Plains low-level jet environment. Wea. Forecasting, 33, 1109-1120.

Jahn, D.E.*, W.A. Gallus, Y. Zhou, K. Cetin, and E. Jahani, 2018: High-resolution WRF forecast of mid-century urban heat-extreme events. Preprints, 25th Conf. on Numerical Weather Prediction, Denver, CO, 36.

Jahn, D.E.*, E.S. Takle, W.A. Gallus, 2017: Improving wind-ramp forecasts in the stable boundary layer. Boundary-Layer Meteor., 163, 423-446.

Jahn, D.E.*, and W.A. Gallus, 2017: Sensitivity of nocturnal boundary-layer forecasts and associated LLJ to PBL schemes for PECAN cases. Preprints, 24th Conf. on Numerical Weather Prediction, Seattle, WA.

Jahn, D.E.*, E.S. Takle, W.A. Gallus, 2017: Wind-ramp-forecast sensitivity to boundary-layer scheme closure parameters. Boundary-Layer Meteor.. 164, 475-490.

Jahn, D.E.*, 2016. Improvement of numerical wind forecasts at wind turbine height for wind ramp events within the stable boundary layer. Proc., Wind Energy Research Workshop. Lowell, MA.

Jahn, D.E.*, E.S. Takle, and W.A. Gallus, 2016: Improving numerical wind forecasts of wind ramps at 100m height in the stable boundary layer. 7th Conf. on Weather, Climate, Water and the New Energy Economy, New Orleans, LA, 6.2.

Figuerao-Acevedo, A., M. S. Czahor, and D. E. Jahn*, 2015. Comparison of technological, economic, public policy, and environmental factors of HVDC and HVAC interregional transmission. AIMS Energy, 3, 144-161.

Jahn, D.E.*, W.A. Gallus, E.S. Takle, 2014: Evaluation of the MYNN PBL scheme closure constants for low-level jet events in a stable boundary layer. Preprints, 21st Symp. on Boundary Layers and Turbulence, Leeds, UK, 16B.5.

Wang, D., K.K. Droegemeier, D.E. Jahn**, K.-M. Xu, M. Xue, and J. Zhang, 2001: NIDS-based intermittent diabatic assimilation and application to storm-scale numerical weather prediction. Preprints, 14th Conf. on Numerical Weather Prediction, Fort Lauderdale, FL, J125-J128.

Carpenter, R.L. Jr., K.K. Droegemeier, G.M. Bassett, S.S. Weygandt, D.E. Jahn**, S. Stevenson, W. Qualley, and R. Strasser, 1999: Storm-scale numerical weather prediction for commercial and military aviation, Part 1: Results from operational tests in 1998. Preprints, 8th Conf. on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology, Dallas, TX, 209-211.

Carpenter, R.L Jr., K.K. Droegemeier, G.M. Bassett, K. Brewster, D.E. Jahn**, J.J. Levit, M. Xue, W. L. Qualley, and R. Strasser, 1998: Storm-Scale NWP for commercial aviation: Results from real-time operational tests in 1996-1997. Preprints, 12th Conf. on Numerical Weather Prediction, Phoenix, AZ, 213-216.

Droegemeier, K.K. and D.E. Jahn**, 1997: CAPS operational tests: Current results and future plans. Preprints, 2nd Korea-US Joint Workshop on Storm- and Meso-Scale Weather Analysis and Prediction, 7-10 October, Seoul, Korea, 1-6.

Jahn, D.E.**, and K.K. Droegemeier, 1996: Simulation of convective storms in environments with independently varying bulk Richardson number shear and storm-relative environmental helicity. Preprints, 18th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, San Francisco, CA, 230-234.

* Author affiliated with Iowa State University
** Author affiliated with Center for Analysis and Prediction of Storms and University of Oklahoma

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Allen, J.T., C.J. Nixon, M.R. Kumjian, M. Taszarek, R.E. Jewell, B.T. Smith, and R.L. Thompson, 2022: The elusive environmental predictors generating large hail. Proc., 30th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Santa Fe, NM, P7.

Dahl, N.A., R. Adams-Selin, R.E. Jewell, and I.L. Jirak, 2020: Updating the ese of HAILCAST in NSHARP. Proc., 30th Conf. Weather Analysis and Forecasting / 26th Conf. Numerical Weather Prediction, Boston, MA, 166.

Coffer, B.E., M.D. Parker, R.L. Thompson, B.T. Smith, and R.E. Jewell, 2019: Using near-ground storm relative helicity in supercell tornado forecasting. Wea. Forecasting, 34, 1417-1435.

Jewell, R., 2010: The Sounding Analog Retrieval System (SARS). Preprints, 25th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Denver CO, 4B.3.

Jewell, R., and J. Brimelow, 2009: Evaluation of Alberta hail growth model using severe hail proximity soundings from the United States. Wea. Forecasting, 24, 1592-1609.

Bright, D.R., M.S. Wandishin, R.E. Jewell, and S.J. Weiss, 2005: A physically based parameter for lightning prediction and its calibration in ensemble forecasts. Preprints, Conf. Meteor. Applications of Lightning Data, San Diego, CA, 4.3.

Jewell, R.E., and J. Brimelow, 2004: Evaluation of an Alberta hail growth model using severe hail proximity soundings in the United States. Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis MA.

Craven, J.P., R.E. Jewell, and H.E. Brooks, 2002: Comparison between observed convective cloud-base heights and lifting condensation level for two different lifted parcels. Wea. Forecasting, 17, 885-890.

Jewell, R.E.*, 2000: Using storm top divergence signatures as large hail indicators in the Boise CWA. NWS Western Region Tech. Attachment WR-00-14, National Weather Service, Western Region Headquarters, Salt Lake City, UT, 3 pp.

* Author affiliated with NWS WFO at Boise, ID.

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Wade, A.R., I.L. Jirak, and A.W. Lyza, 2023: Regional and seasonal biases in convection-allowing model forecasts of near-surface temperature and moisture. Wea. Forecasting, 38, 2415-2426.

Squitieri, B.J., A.R. Wade, and I.L. Jirak, 2023: A historical overview on the science of derechos. Part II: Parent storm structure, environmental conditions, and history of numerical forecasts. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 104, E1734-E1763.

Squitieri, B.J., A.R. Wade, and I.L. Jirak, 2023: A historical overview on the science of derechos. Part I: Identification, climatology, and societal impacts. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 104, 1709-E1733.

Clark, A.J., and coauthors, 2023: The 3rd real-time, virtual spring forecasting experiment to advance severe weather prediction capabilities. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 104, E456-E458.

Blount, D.V., C. Evans, I.L. Jirak, A.R. Dean, and S. Kravstov, 2023: An objective method for clustering observed vertical thermodynamic profiles by their boundary layer structure. Wea. Forecasting, 38, 1143-1156.

Hill, A.J., R.S. Schumacher, and I.L. Jirak, 2023: A new paradigm for medium-range severe weather forecasts: Probabilistic random forest-based predictions. Wea. Forecasting, 38, 251-272.

Wade, A.R., B.J. Squitieri, and I.L. Jirak, 2023: 26-year climatology of severe wind-producing mesoscale convective systems in the United States. Proc., 32nd Conf. Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/28th Conf. Numerical Weather Prediction/20th Conf. Mesoscale Processes, Madison, WI, 1.5.

Vancil, J.T., and I.L. Jirak, 2023: Evaluation of the Rapid Refresh Forecast System during the 2023 NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed spring forecasting experiment. Proc., 32nd Conf. Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/28th Conf. Numerical Weather Prediction/20th Conf. Mesoscale Processes, Madison, WI, 10.2.

Harrison, D.R., M.S. Elliott, I.L. Jirak, and P.T. Marsh, 2023: Predicting probabilistic lightning flash density from the HREF calibrated thunder guidance. Proc., 22nd Conf. Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science, Denver, CO, 6A.1.

Roberts, B., and Coauthors, 2023: Model configuration versus driving model: Influences on next-day regional convection-allowing model forecasts during a real-time experiment. Wea. Forecasting, 38, 99-123.

Vancil, J.T., I.L. Jirak, and C.D. Karstens, 2022: Conditional intensity forecast verification using significant severe local storm reports. Proc., 30th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Santa Fe, NM, P214.

Harrison, D.R., M.S. Elliott, I.L. Jirak, and P.T. Marsh, 2022: Utilizing the High-Resolution Ensemble Forecast system to produce calibrated probabilistic thunderstorm guidance. Wea. Forecasting, 37, 1103-1115.

Clark, A.J., and coauthors, 2022: The 2nd real-time, virtual spring forecasting experiment to advance severe weather prediction. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 103, E1114-E1116.

Jirak, I.L., D.R. Harrison, and J. Vancil, 2022: HREF climatology of storm-attribute fields. Proc., 30th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 8.4B.

Dahl, N.A., I.L. Jirak, K.H. Knopfmeier, J. Martin, and B.C. Matilla, 2022: Warn-on-forecast system output as a verification tool for severe wind events. Proc., 30th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Santa Fe, NM, 17.3B.

Harrison, D.R., A. McGovern, C.D. Karstens, I.L. Jirak, and P.T. Marsh, 2022: Evaluation of first-guess watch guidance in the 2022 HWT spring forecasting experiment. Proc., 30th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, Santa Fe, NM, 7.3A.

Wade, A.R., I.L. Jirak, V.A. Gensini, and J. Vancil, 2022: Using practically perfect intensity hindcasts to identify the environments of significant severe weather outbreaks. Proc., 30th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Santa Fe, NM, P180.

Wade, A.R., I.L. Jirak, and A. Lyza, 2022: Performance of operational convection-allowing models by region and season: Near-surface storm environments and updraft helicity. Proc., 30th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Santa Fe, NM, P52.

Brannan, A.L., S. Gertonson, I.L. Jirak, B. Roberts, A.D. Lyons, and J.L. Guyer, 2022: Predictability of large-scale patterns that lead to tornado outbreaks at lead times out to 14 days. Proc., 30th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Santa Fe, NM, 9.2.

Karstens, C.D., B. Saba, B.T. Smith, R.L. Thompson, S.A. Erickson, and I.L. Jirak, 2022: A method for adding intensity information to NWS preliminary tornado damage paths. Proc., 30th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Santa Fe, NM, P28.

Gallo, B.T., K.A. Wilson, J.J. Choate, K. Knopfmeier, P.S. Skinner, B. Roberts, P.L. Heinselman, I.L. Jirak, and A.J. Clark, 2022: Exploring the watch-to-warning space: Experimental outlook performance during the 2019 Spring Forecasting Experiment in NOAA's Hazardous Weather Testbed. Wea. Forecasting, 37, 617-637.

Harrison, D.R., M.S. Elliott, I.L. Jirak, and P.T. Marsh, 2022: Utilizing the High-Resolution Ensemble Forecast system to produce calibrated probabilistic thunderstorm guidance. Wea. Forecasting, 37, 1103-1115.

Wade, A.R., and I.L. Jirak, 2022: Exploring hourly updating probabilistic guidance in the 2021 spring forecasting experiment with objective and subjective verification. Wea. Forecasting, 37, 699-708.

Jirak, I.L., and M.S. Elliott, 2022: Operational model performance for fire weather forecasting. Proc., 31st Conf. Weather Analysis and Forecasting/27th Conf. Numerical Weather Prediction (virtual), 13A.3.

Harrison, D.R., A. McGovern, C.D. Karstens, I.L. Jirak, and P.T. Marsh, 2022: Winter precipitation-type classification with a 1D convolutional neural network. Proc., 31st Conf. on Wea. Analysis and Forecasting/27th Conf. Num. Wea. Prediction, Houston, TX, J11.4.

Jahn, D.E., I.L. Jirak, A.R. Wade, and J.M. Milne, 2022: Storm mode and tornado potential determination using statistical moments of updraft helicity distribution. Proc., 31st Conf. Weather Analysis and Forecasting/27th Conf. Numerical Weather Prediction (virtual), 460.

Wendt, N.A., and I.L. Jirak, 2021: An hourly climatology of operational MRMS MESH-diagnosed severe and significant hail with comparisons to Storm Data hail reports. Wea. Forecasting, 36, 645-659.

Harrison, D., A. McGovern, C.D. Karstens, I.L. Jirak, and P.T. Marsh, 2021: A climatology of HREF forecasts in severe convective environments. Proc. 20th Conf. Artificial Intelligence for Env. Sci., New Orleans, LA, 3.9.

Harrison, D., N. Nauslar, N. Keene, M.S. Elliott, I.L. Jirak, P.T. Marsh, and J. Peters, 2021: A comprehensive climatology of NLDN CG lightning flashes in the CONUS. Proc. 10th Conf. Meteor. Application of Lightning Data, New Orleans, LA, 5.8.

Gallo, B.T., and coauthors, 2021: Exploring convection-allowing model evaluation strategies for severe local storms using the finite-volume cubed-sphere (FV3) model core. Wea. Forecasting, 36, 3-19.

Harrison, D.R., A. McGovern, C.D. Karstens, J. Demuth, A. Bostrom, I.L. Jirak, and P.T. Marsh, 2021: Challenges and benefits of machine learning in an operational environment: Survey results from the 2021 Hazardous Weather Testbed spring forecasting experiment. 3rd NOAA Workshop on Leveraging AI in Environmental Sciences, Boulder, CO, 2A.

Roberts, B., B.T. Gallo, I.L. Jirak, A.J. Clark, D.C. Dowell, X. Wang, and Y. Wang, 2020: What does a convection-allowing ensemble of opportunity buy us in forecasting thunderstorms? Wea. Forecasting, 35, 2293-2316.

Jirak, I.L., M.S. Elliott, C.D. Karstens, R.S. Schneider, P.T. Marsh, and W.F. Bunting, 2020: Generating probabilistic severe timing information from SPC outlooks using the HREF. Proc., Severe Local Storms Symp., Boston, MA, 3.1.

Jahn, D.E., B.T. Gallo, C. Broyles, B.T. Smith, I.L. Jirak, and J. Milne, 2020: Refining CAM-based tornado probability forecasts using storm-inflow and storm-attribute information. Proc., 26th Conf. Numerical Weather Prediction, Boston, MA, 2A4.

Harrison, D.R., I.L. Jirak, and M.S. Elliott, 2020: Utilizing the High-Resolution Ensemble Forecast (HREF) to produce calibrated probabilistic thunderstorm guidance at the Storm Prediction Center. Proc., 26th Conf. Numerical Weather Prediction, Boston, MA, 12B.3.

Milne, J.M., I.L. Jirak, and H.E. Brooks, 2020: Investigating the vertical structure of updraft helicity in an idealized supercell simulation. Proc., 30th Conf. Weather Analysis and Forecasting / 26th Conf. Numerical Weather Prediction, Boston, MA, 153.

Dahl, N.A., R. Adams-Selin, R.E. Jewell, and I.L. Jirak, 2020: Updating the ese of HAILCAST in NSHARP. Proc., 30th Conf. Weather Analysis and Forecasting / 26th Conf. Numerical Weather Prediction, Boston, MA, 166.

Johnson, A., X. Wang, Y. Wang, A. Reinhart, A.J. Clark, and I.L. Jirak, 2020: Neighborhood- and object-based probabilistic verification of the OU MAP ensemble forecasts during 2017 and 2018 Hazardous Weather Testbeds. Wea. Forecasting, 35, 169-191.

Gallo, B.T., A.J. Clark, B.T. Smith, R.L. Thompson, I. Jirak, and S.R. Dembek, 2019: Incorporating UH occurrence time to ensemble-derived tornado probabilities. Wea. Forecasting, 34, 151-164.

Gallo, B.T., C.P. Kalb, J.H. Gotway, H.H. Fisher, B. Roberts, I.L. Jirak, A.J. Clark, C. Alexander, and T.L. Jensen, 2019: Initial development and testing of a convection-allowing model scorecard. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 100, ES367-ES384.

Roberts, B., I.L. Jirak, A.J. Clark, S.J. Weiss, and J.S. Kain, 2019: Postprocessing and visualization techniques for convection-allowing ensembles. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 100, 1245-1258.

Potvin, C.K., J.R. Carley, A.J. Clark, L.J. Wicker, P.S. Skinner, A.E. Reinhart, B.T. Gallo, J.S. Kain, G.S. Romine, E.A. Aligo, K.A. Brewster, D.C. Dowell, L.M. Harris, I.L. Jirak, F. Kong, T.A. Supinie, K.W. Thomas, X. Wang, Y. Wang, and M. Xue, 2019: Systematic comparison of convection-allowing models during the 2017 NOAA HWT Spring Forecasting Experiment. Wea. Forecasting, 34, 1395-1416.

Harrison, D.R., I.L. Jirak, and N.J. Nauslar, 2019: A preliminary investigation of the high-resolution ensemble forecast (HREF) for generating calibrated probabilistic thunderstorm forecasts. Proc., 9th Conf. Meteor. Application of Lightning Data, Phoenix, AZ, 4.3.

Milne, J.M., I.L. Jirak, and H.E. Brooks, 2018: Investigating the vertical structure of updraft helicity in convection-allowing models. Preprints, 29th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Stowe, VT, P154.

Wendt, N.A., and I.L. Jirak, 2018: An hourly climatology of MRMS MESH-diagnosed severe hail. Preprints, 29th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Stowe, VT., 13A.2.

Gallo, B.T., A.J. Clark, B.T. Smith, R.L. Thompson, I.L. Jirak, and S.R. Dembek, 2018: Blended probabilistic tornado forecasts: Combining climatological frequencies with NSSL-WRF ensemble forecasts. Wea. Forecasting, 33, 443-460.

Cohen, A.E., and coauthors, 2018: Bridging operational meteorology and academia through experiential education: The Storm Prediction Center in the University of Oklahoma classroom. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 99, 269-279.

Clark, A.J., and coauthors, 2018: The Community Leveraged Unified Ensemble (CLUE) in the 2016 NOAA/Hazardous Weather Testbed Spring Forecasting Experiment. Bull. Amer. Soc., 99, 1433-1448.

Gallo, B.T., and coauthors, 2017: Breaking new ground in severe weather prediction: The 2015 NOAA/Hazardous Weather Testbed Spring Forecasting Experiment. Wea. Forecasting, 32, 1541-1568.

Jirak, I. L., C.J. Melick, S. J. Weiss, C.D. Karstens, and C. Grunzke, 2017: Evaluation of calibrated probabilistic hazard guidance during the 2016 NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed Spring Forecast Experiment. 7th Conf. Transition of Research to Operations, Seattle, WA, 1.4.

Nauslar, N.J., A.R. Dean, I.L. Jirak, P.T. Marsh, and S.J. Weiss, 2017: Improving lightning density guidance with calibrated probabilities from ensemble model output. Proc., Eighth Conf. Meteor. Application of Lightning Data, Seattle, WA, 857.

Clark, A. J., I.L. Jirak, C.J. Melick, J. Correia Jr., S.J. Weiss, J.S. Kain, L.J. Wicker, A. R. Dean, B.T. Gallo, C.D. Karstens, K.W. Thomas, M. Xue, F. Kong, A. Kennedy, J. Markel, G.S. Romine, K.H. Knopfmeier, C. Alexander, K.R. Fossell, and J. Carley, 2017: Application and evaluation of the Community Leveraged Unified Ensemble (CLUE) during the 2016 NOAA/HWT Spring Forecast Experiment. 28th Conf. Weather Analysis and Forecasting / 24th Conf. Numerical Weather Prediction, Seattle, WA, 7A.1.

Melick, C.J., A.R. Dean, J.L. Guyer, and I.L. Jirak, 2016: Cloud flash lightning characteristics for tornadoes without cloud-to-ground lightning. Preprints, 41st NWA Ann. Meeting, Norfolk, VA, 11B.

Jirak, I.L., A.J. Clark, C.J. Melick, and S.J. Weiss, 2016: Investigation of the impact of convection-allowing ensemble size for severe weather forecasting. Preprints, 28th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Portland, OR, 15B.5.

Gallo, B.T., A.J. Clark, B.T. Smith, R.L. Thompson, I.L. Jirak, H.E. Brooks, and S.R. Dembek, 2016: Forecasting tornadoes by combining climatological frequencies with the NSSL-WRF ensemble. Preprints, 28th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Portland, OR, P109.

Jirak, I.L., C.J. Melick, and S.J. Weiss, 2016: Comparison of the SPC Storm-Scale Ensemble of Opportunity to other convection-allowing ensembles for severe weather forecasting. Preprints, 28th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Portland, OR, P102.

Hepper, R.M., I.L. Jirak, and J.M. Milne, 2016: Assessing the skill of convection-allowing ensemble forecasts of severe MCS winds from the SSEO. Preprints, 28th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Portland, OR, 16B.2.

Clark, A.J., and coauthors, 2016: Application and evaluation of the Community Leveraged Unified Ensemble (CLUE) during the 2016 NOAA/HWT Spring Forecast Experiment. 28th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Portland, OR, 15B.2.

Gallo, B.T., and coauthors, 2016: Breaking new ground in severe weather prediction: The 2015 NOAA/Hazardous Weather Testbed spring forecasting experiment. Wea. Forecasting, 32, 1541-1568.

Milne, J.M., H.E. Brooks, I.L. Jirak, and R.M. Hepper, 2016: Verification of 10-meter wind forecasts from NSSL-WRF in predicting severe wind-producing MCSs. Preprints, 28th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Portland, OR, P115.

Wendt, N.A., I.L. Jirak, and C.J. Melick, 2016: Verification of severe weather proxies from the NSSL-WRF for hail forecasting. Preprints, 28th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Portland, OR, P110.

Kain, J.S., and coauthors, 2016: Collaborative efforts between the U.S. and U.K. to advance prediction of high impact weather. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 98, 937-948.

Kain, J.S., and coauthors, 2016: Collaborative efforts between the U.S. and U.K. to advance prediction of high impact weather. 4th Symp. Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise, New Orleans, LA, J1.1.

Willington, S.M., M. Weeks, J.M. Wilkinson, L.M. Gilchrist, D. Suri, H.W. Lean, N. Roberts, J.S. Kain, A.J. Clark, M. Coniglio, I.L. Jirak, S.J. Weiss, C.D. Karstens, K.H. Knopfmeier, and K. Hanley, 2016: Evaluation of high resolution unified model configurations at the Hazardous Weather Testbed. 4th Symp. Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise, New Orleans, LA, J1.2.

Cohen, A.E., S.M. Cavallo, M.C. Coniglio, H.E. Brooks, and I.L. Jirak, 2017: Evaluation of multiple planetary boundary layer parameterization schemes in southeastern U.S. cold season severe weather environments. Wea. Forecasting, 32, 1857-1883.

Melick, C.J., P. Marsh, A. Dean, I.L. Jirak, and S.J. Weiss, 2015: Lightning characteristics and relationship to preliminary local storm reports. Preprints, 40th NWA Ann. Meeting, Oklahoma City, OK, 2454.

Jirak, I.L., C. J. Melick, and S. J. Weiss, 2015: Comparison of convection-allowing ensembles during the 2015 NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed Spring Forecasting Experiment. Preprints, 40th NWA Ann. Meeting, Oklahoma City, OK, AP-36.

Sullivan, B.T., C.J. Melick, R.M. Mosier, I.L. Jirak, and C.D. McCray, 2014: The usefulness of winter weather local storm reports at the Storm Prediction Center. Preprints, 39th NWA Ann. Meeting, Salt Lake City, UT, P1.9.

Melick, C.J., I.L. Jirak, J. Correia Jr., A.R. Dean, and S.J. Weiss, 2014: Exploration of the NSSL Maximum Expected Size of Hail (MESH) product for verifying experimental hail forecasts in the 2014 spring forecasting experiment. Preprints, 27th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Madison, WI, P76.

Guyer, J.L., and I.L. Jirak, 2014: The utility of storm-scale ensemble forecasts of cool season severe weather events from the SPC perspective. Preprints, 27th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Madison, WI, P37.

Clark, A.J., and coauthors, 2014: Comparing the NSSL-WRF model and convection-allowing versions of UKMET's unified model during the 2013 and 2014 NOAA/HWT Spring Forecasting Experiments. 27th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Madison, WI, 41.

Jirak, I.L., and coauthors, 2014: An overview of the 2014 NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed spring forecasting experiment. Preprints, 27th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Madison, WI, P46.

Jirak, I.L., C.J. Melick, and S.J. Weiss, 2014: Combining probabilistic ensemble information from the environment with simulated storm attributes to generate calibrated probabilities of severe weather hazards. Preprints, 27th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Madison, WI, 2.5.

Melick, C.J, I.L. Jirak, J. Correia Jr., A.R. Dean, and S.J. Weiss, 2013: Utility of objective verification metrics during the 2013 HWT spring forecasting experiment. Preprints, 38th NWA Ann. Meeting, Charleston, SC, NWA, P1.27.

Herzog, B.S., C.J. Melick, J.S. Grams, I.L. Jirak, A.R. Dean, and S.J. Weiss, 2012: Usefulness of storm-scale model guidance for forecasting dry thunderstorms at SPC. Preprints, 26th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Nashville, TN, P8.123.

Miller, S.D. Jr., J.S. Kain, P.T. Marsh, A.J. Clark, M.C. Coniglio, V. Lakshmanan, J. Correia Jr., D.A. Imy, S.R. Dembek, I.L. Jirak, S.J. Weiss, A.R. Dean, C.J. Melick, R. Sobash, M. Xue, F. Kong, and K.W. Thomas, 2012: Assessment of timing and coverage of convection during the 2012 NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed Spring Forecasting Experiment. Preprints, 26th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Nashville, TN, 10.3.

Jirak, I.L., C.J. Melick, A.R. Dean, S.J. Weiss, and J. Correia Jr., 2012: Investigation of an automated temporal disaggregation technique for convective outlooks during the 2012 Hazardous Weather Testbed spring forecasting experiment. Preprints, 26th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Nashville TN, P9.137.

Jirak, I.L., S. J. Weiss, and C. J. Melick, 2012: The SPC storm-scale ensemble of opportunity: Overview and results from the 2012 Hazardous Weather Testbed spring forecasting experiment. Preprints, 26th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Nashville, TN, 10.2.

Clark, A.J., and coauthors, 2012: An overview of the 2010 Hazardous Weather Testbed Experimental Forecast Program spring experiment. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 93, 55-74.

Melick, C.J, I.L. Jirak, A.R. Dean, J. Correia Jr., and S.J. Weiss, 2012: Real time objective verification of convective forecasts: 2012 HWT Spring Forecast Experiment. Preprints, 37th NWA Ann. Meeting, Madison, WI, P1.52.

Barthold, F.E., M. J. Bodner, D.R. Novak, R. Bann, R. Oravec, B. Sullivan, A.R. Dean, I.L. Jirak, C.J. Melick, R.A. Sobash, A.J. Clark, F. Kong, S.J. Weiss, and M. Xue, 2011: The quantitative precipitation forecasting component of the 2010 NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed Spring Experiment. Preprints, 24th Conf. Weather and Forecasting/20th Conf. Numerical Weather Prediction, Seattle, WA, 9A.4.

Marsh, P.T., J.S. Kain, S.J. Weiss, I.L. Jirak, R. Sobash, F. Kong, K.W. Thomas, and M. Xue, 2010: Investigating a fundamental component of a warn-on-forecast system in a collaborative real-time experiment. Preprints, 25th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Denver CO, 14.4.

Jirak, I.L., S.J. Weiss, C.J. Melick, P.T. Marsh, J.S. Kain, A.J. Clark, M. Xue, F. Kong, and K.W. Thomas, 2010: Evaluation of the performance and distribution of hourly maximum fields from storm-scale ensemble forecasts. Preprints, 25th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Denver CO, 13B.3.

Melick, C.J., I.L. Jirak, S.J. Weiss, A.J. Clark, P.T. Marsh, J.S. Kain, M. Xue, F. Kong, and K.W. Thomas, 2010: An environmental climatology of the CAPS storm-scale ensemble forecast system during the 2010 HWT Spring Experiment. Preprints, 25th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Denver CO, 13B.5.

Weiss, S.J., A.J. Clark, I.L. Jirak, C.J. Melick, C. Siewert, R.A. Sobash, P.T. Marsh, A.R. Dean, J.S. Kain, M. Coniglio, M. Xue, F. Kong, K.W. Thomas, J. Du, D.R. Novak, F. Barthold, M.J. Bodner, J.J. Levit, C.B. Entwistle, R.S. Schneider, and T.L. Jensen, 2010: An overview of the 2010 NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed spring forecasting experiment. Preprints, 25th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Denver CO, 7B.1.

Jirak, I.L.* and A. Keith, 2009: Examination of the Arizona precipitation record for evidence of precipitation suppression by air pollution aerosols. Preprints, Special Symp. Aerosol-Cloud-Climate Interactions, Phoenix, AZ, 5 pp.

Jirak, I.L.* and W. R. Cotton, 2009: Reply (to 'Comments on "Observational analysis of the predictability of mesoscale convective systems'"). Wea. Forecasting, 24, 356-360.

Jirak, I.L.** and W. R. Cotton, 2007: Impact of the initial convective arrangement on simulated MCS development. Preprints, 12th Conf. Mesoscale Processes, Waterville Valley, NH, 5 pp.

Jirak, I.L.** and W. R. Cotton, 2007: Observational analysis of the predictability of mesoscale convective systems. Wea. Forecasting, 22, 813-838.

Jirak, I.L.** and W. R. Cotton, 2006: Sensitivity of MCS development to the initial convective arrangement. Preprints, 23nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, St Louis, MO, 5 pp.

Jirak, I.L.** and W. R. Cotton, 2005: Effect of air pollution on precipitation along the Front Range of the Rocky Mountains. J. Appl. Meteor., 45, 236-245.

Jirak, I.L.**, W. R. Cotton, and W. L. Woodley, 2004: Effect of air pollution on precipitation along the Front Range of the Rocky Mountains. Preprints, 16th Symp. Planned and Inadvertent Weather Modification, San Diego, CA, 4 pp.

Jirak, I.L.** and W. R. Cotton, 2004: Environmental precursors to mesoscale convective system development. Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis, MA, 4 pp.

Jirak, I.L.**, W. R. Cotton, and R. L. McAnelly, 2003: Satellite and radar survey of mesoscale convective system development. Mon. Wea. Rev., 131, 2428-2449.

Jirak, I.L.**, W. R. Cotton, and R. L. McAnelly, 2002: Radar survey of mesoscale convective system development. Preprints, 21st Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Antonio, TX, 50-53.

* Author affiliated with Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University at Prescott, AZ
** Author affiliated with Colorado State University

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Clark, A.J., and coauthors, 2023: The 3rd real-time, virtual spring forecasting experiment to advance severe weather prediction capabilities. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 104, E456-E458.

Smith, B.T., R.L. Thompson, C.D. Karstens, J.S. Grams, A.R. Dean, R.M. Mosier, and A.D. Lyons, 2022: Preliminary evaluation of a real-time diagnostic tornado damage intensity estimation tool used at the Storm Prediction Center. Proc., 30th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Santa Fe, NM, 17.4B.

Vancil, J.T., I.L. Jirak, and C.D. Karstens, 2022: Conditional intensity forecast verification using significant severe local storm reports. Proc., 30th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Santa Fe, NM0 P214.

Harrison, D.R., A. McGovern, C.D. Karstens, I.L. Jirak, and P.T. Marsh, 2022: Evaluation of first-guess watch guidance in the 2022 HWT spring forecasting experiment. Proc., 30th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Santa Fe, NM, 7.3A.

Mosier, R.M., B.T. Smith, R.L. Thompson, and C.D. Karstens, 2022: A tool for real-time estimation of tornado damage intensity. Proc., 30th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Santa Fe, NM, P134.

Jahn, D.E., E.D. Loken, B.T. Gallo, C.D. Karstens, and B. Hempel, 2022: Analysis of subjective and objective evaluations of calibrated tornado guidance in the Hazardous Weather Testbed. Proc., 30th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Santa Fe, NM, P47.

Karstens, C.D., B. Saba, B.T. Smith, R.L. Thompson, S.A. Erickson, and I.L. Jirak, 2022: A method for adding intensity information to NWS preliminary tornado damage paths. Proc., 30th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Santa Fe, NM, P28.

Harrison, D.R., A. McGovern, C.D. Karstens, I.L. Jirak, and P.T. Marsh, 2022: Winter precipitation-type classification with a 1D convolutional neural network. Proc., 31st Conf. on Wea. Analysis and Forecasting/27th Conf. Num. Wea. Prediction, Houston, TX, J11.4.

Harrison, D.R, A. McGovern, C.D. Karstens, I.L. Jirak, and P.T. Marsh, 2022: A machine learning approach to generating guidance for SPC watch products. Proc., 31st Conf. on Wea. Analysis and Forecasting/27th Conf. Num. Wea. Prediction, Houston, TX, 480.

Harrison, D.R., A. McGovern, C.D. Karstens, I.L. Jirak, and P.T. Marsh, 2021: A climatology of HREF forecasts in severe convective environments. Proc. 20th Conf. Artificial Intelligence for Env. Sci., New Orleans, LA, 3.9.

Smith, B.T., R.L. Thompson, D.A. Speheger, A.R. Dean, C.D. Karstens, and A.K. Anderson-Frey, 2020: WSR-88D tornado intensity estimates. Part II: Real-time applications to tornado warning time scales. Wea. Forecasting, 35, 2493-2506.

Smith, B.T., R.L. Thompson, D.A. Speheger, A.R. Dean, C.D. Karstens, and A.K. Anderson-Frey, 2020: WSR-88D tornado intensity estimates. Part I: Real-time probabilities of peak tornado wind speeds. Wea. Forecasting, 35, 2479-2492.

Jirak, I.L., M.S. Elliott, C.D. Karstens, R.S. Schneider, P.T. Marsh, and W.F. Bunting, 2020: Generating probabilistic severe timing information from SPC outlooks using the HREF. Proc., Severe Local Storms Symp., Boston, MA, 3.1.

Harrison, D.R., A. McGovern, C.D. Karstens, J. Demuth, A. Bostrom, I.L. Jirak, and P.T. Marsh, 2021: Challenges and benefits of machine learning in an operational environment: Survey results from the 2021 Hazardous Weather Testbed spring forecasting experiment. 3rd NOAA Workshop on Leveraging AI in Environmental Sciences, Boulder, CO, 2A.

Harrison, D.R., A. McGovern, and C.D. Karstens, 2020: Predicting Storm Prediction Center watch likelihood using machine learning. 19th Conf. Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science, Boston, MA, 8.1.

Karstens, C.D., J. Correia Jr., D.S. LaDue, J. Wolfe, T.C. Meyer, D.R. Harrison, J.L. Cintineo, K.M. Calhoun, T.M. Smith, A.E. Gerard, and L.P. Rothfusz, 2018: Development of a human-machine mix for forecasting severe convective events. Wea. Forecasting, 33, 715-737.

McGovern, A., C.D. Karstens, D. Harrison, and T. Smith, 2018: Using machine learning to predict storm longevity in real-time. 17th Conf on Artificial and Computational Intelligence and its Applications to the Environmental Sciences, Austin, TX, J44.1.

Correia Jr., J., D.S. LaDue, C.D. Karstens, K.H. Knopfmeier, and D.M. Wheatley, 2018: Agile postprocessing: Towards user centered ensemble information extraction and visualization. 8th Conf. Transition of Research to Operations, Austin, TX, 14B.3.

Calhoun, K. M., C.D. Karstens, J.L. Cintineo, J. Sieglaff, G.J. Stumpf, J.J. James, and C. Ling, 2018: Integration of automated severe weather probabilistic guidance within NWS warnings in the Hazardous Weather Testbed. 8th Conf. Transition of Research to Operations, Austin, TX, 13A.2.

Cintineo, J.L., M.J. Pavolonis, J. Sieglaff, C.D. Karstens, and K.M. Calhoun, 2018: Automated severe thunderstorm guidance from the NOAA/CIMSS ProbSevere model within the Hazardous Weather Testbed. 8th Conf. Transition of Research to Operations, Austin, TX, 13A.1.

Harrison, D.R., C.D. Karstens, and A. McGovern, 2018: Using machine learning techniques to predict near-term severe weather trends. 13th Symp. Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice, Austin, TX, 11.6.

Meyer, T.C., and coauthors, 2018: An overview of the 2017 Experimental Warning Program at the Hazardous Weather Testbed. 8th Conf. Transition of Research to Operations, Austin, TX, 9.4.

Obermeier, H., K.L. Nemunaitis-Berry, K.E. Klockow, C.D. Karstens, A. Gerard, and L.P. Rothfusz, 2018: Broadcast meteorologist decision making in the 2017 Hazardous Weather Testbed Probabilistic Hazard Information project. 13th Symp. Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice, Austin, TX, 8.4.

LaDue, D.S., J.J. James, C.A. Shivers, A. Gerard, C. Ling, J. Correia, Jr., K. Klockow, C.D. Karstens, and T. C. Meyer, 2018: Using the case walk through method to elucidate the interplay of forecaster and emergency manager decision making under and experimental warning paradigm. 13th Symp. Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice, Austin, TX, 8.2.

Calhoun, K. M., T.C. Meyer, K. Berry, H. Obermeier, S.J. Sanders, C.A. Shivers, C.D. Karstens, J.P. Wolfe, and K. E. Klockow, 2018: Cloud-to-Ground lightning probabilities and warnings within an integrated warning team. Special Symp. Impact-Based Decision Support Services, Austin, TX, 4.4.

Clark, R. III, and coauthors, 2018: From StormPredictionCenter.ScienceSupportBranch import science, research, operations. 8th Symp. Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using Python, Austin, TX, 3.5.

Correia Jr., J., D.S. LaDue, and C.D. Karstens, 2018: A glimpse into the future of IDSS with Probabilistic Hazard Information (PHI) for tornadoes. Special Symp. Impact-Based Decision Support Services, Austin, TX, 3.4.

Jergensen, E., A. McGovern, C.D. Karstens, H. Obermeier, and T. Smith, 2018: Real-time and climatological storm classification using support vector machines. 17th Conf on Artificial and Computational Intelligence and its Applications to the Environmental Sciences, Austin, TX, 1.2.

McGovern, A., E. Jergensen, C.D. Karstens, H. Obermeier, and T. Smith, 2018: Real-time and climatological storm classification using machine learning. 17th Conf. Artificial and Computational Intelligence and its Applications to the Environmental Sciences, Austin, TX, 1.1.

Bruick, Z., and C.D. Karstens*, 2017: An investigation of local and national NWS warning outbreaks for severe convective events. NWA J. Oper. Meteor, 5, 14-25.

McGovern, A., K.L. Elmore, D.J. Gagne II, S.E. Haupt, C.D. Karstens, R. Lagerquist, T.M. Smith, and J.K. Williams, 2017: Using artificial intelligence to improve real-time decision making for high-impact weather. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 98, 2073-2090.

Nemunaitis-Berry, K.L., H. Obermeier, S.A. Jasko, D. LaDue, C.D. Karstens*, G.M. Eosco, A. Gerard, and L. Rothfusz, 2017: Broadcast meteorologist decision-making in the 2016 Hazardous Weather Testbed Probabilistic Hazard Information project. 4th Conf. Weather Warnings and Communication, Kansas City, MO, 1.4.

Karstens, C.D., A. Gerard, and L.P. Rothfusz, 2017: Defining characteristics of a future severe weather warning paradigm for FACETs in the HWT. NWA 42nd Ann. Meeting, Garden Grove, CA.

Karstens, C.D.*, and coauthors, 2017: Overview of the 2017 PHI Prototype Experiment with NWS forecasters. NWA 42nd Ann. Meeting, Garden Grove, CA.

Jirak, I. L., C.J. Melick, S. J. Weiss, C.D. Karstens*, and C. Grunzke, 2017: Evaluation of calibrated probabilistic hazard guidance during the 2016 NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed Spring Forecast Experiment. 7th Conf. Transition of Research to Operations, Seattle, WA, 1.4.

Meyer, T.C., K.M. Calhoun, G.S. Garfield, A. Gerard, J. J. Gourley, C.D. Karstens*, D.M. Kingfield, D.S. LaDue, W.L. Line, C. Ling, S.M. Martinaitis, L. Rothfusz, T.M. Smith, and G.J. Stumpf, 2017: The Experimental Warning Program at the Hazardous Weather Testbed. 7th Conf. Transition of Research to Operations, Seattle, WA, 1.5.

LaDue, D.S., C.D. Karstens*, J. Correia Jr., C. Ling, R. Hoffman, and A. Gerard, 2017: Designing research to co-create a new paradigm for a continuous flow of information during severe weather. 7th Conf. Transition of Research to Operations, 97th Ann. Meeting, Seattle, WA, 2.4.

Obermeier, H., K.L. Nemunaitis-Berry, S. A. Jasko, D. LaDue, C.D. Karstens*, G.M. Eosco, A. Gerard, and L. Rothfusz, 2017: Broadcast Meteorologist decision making in the 2016 Hazardous Weather Testbed Probabilistic Hazard Information project. 12th Symp. Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice, Seattle, WA, 4.3.

Harrison, D.R., C.D. Karstens*, and A. McGovern, 2017: Verification and analysis of Probabilistic Hazards Information guidance. 5th Symp. Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation's Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events, Seattle, WA, 7.2.

Clark, A. J., and coauthors*, 2017: Application and evaluation of the Community Leveraged Unified Ensemble (CLUE) during the 2016 NOAA/HWT Spring Forecast Experiment. 28th Conf. Weather Analysis and Forecasting / 24th Conf. Numerical Weather Prediction, Seattle, WA, 7A.1.

Ling, C., J.J. James, C.D. Karstens*, K.M. Calhoun, J. Correia, Jr., A. Gerard, and L. Rothfusz, 2017: Role of automated guidance when forecasters issuing Probabilistic Hazard Information (PHI) during 2016 FACETs PHI-Prototype Hazardous Weather Testbeds. 7th Conf. Transition of Research to Operations, Seattle, WA, 8.3.

Harrison, D.R., A. McGovern, C.D. Karstens*, and R.A. Lagerquist, 2017: Best track: Object-based path identification and analysis. 7th Symp. Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using Python, Seattle, WA, 319.

Bruick, Z. S., and C.D. Karstens*, 2017: An investigation of NWS warning outbreaks for severe convective events. 5th Symp. Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation's Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events, Seattle, WA, 884.

LaDue, D., C.D. Karstens*, J. Correia Jr., J.E. Hocker, S.J. Sanders, M. A. Dovil, C.A. Shivers, A. Bean, T. Adams, and A. Gerard, 2017: Temporal and spatial aspects of emergency manager use of prototype Probabilistic Hazard Information. 5th Symp. Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation's Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events, Seattle, WA, 896.

LaDue, J.G., M. Levitan, J. Wurman, C.D. Karstens*, F. T. Lombardo, B. W. MacAloney, II, T.M. Brown-Giammanco, W.L. Coulbourne, J.A. Womble, and J.P. Camp, 2017: Progress of the ASCE Wind Speed Estimation Standards Committee. Special Symp. Severe Local Storms: Observation Needs to Advance Research, Prediction and Communication, Seattle, WA, 934.

Gallo, B.T., and coauthors*, 2017: Breaking new ground in severe weather prediction: The 2015 NOAA/Hazardous Weather Testbed Spring Forecasting Experiment. Wea. Forecasting, 32, 1541-1568.

Smith, T.M., K.L. Ortega, K.M. Calhoun, C.D. Karstens*, D.M. Kingfield, R.A. Lagerquist, M.C. Mahalik, A. McGovern, T.C. Meyer, H. Obermeier, A.E. Reinhart, and B.R. Smith, 2017: Initial results from MYRORSS: A multi-radar/multi-sensor climatology of the United States. Special Symp. Severe Local Storms: Observation Needs to Advance Research, Prediction and Communication, Seattle, WA, 949.

Ling, C., J.J. James, S.M. Miran, G.J. Stumpf, T.L. Hansen, K.L. Manross, J. LaDue, A.V. Bates, C.D. Karstens*, K.M. Calhoun, J. Correia Jr., T.C. Meyer, A. Gerard, and L. Rothfusz, 2017: Forecasters' mental workload while issuing Probabilistic Hazard Information (PHI) during 2016 FACETs PHI Hazardous Weather Testbeds. 33rd Conf. Environmental Information Processing Technologies, Seattle, WA, J9.3.

Karstens, C.D.*, 2017: Are central Oklahomans fixing their tornado sheltering problem? 12th Symposium on Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice, 97th AMS Ann. Meeting, Seattle, WA, 9B.3.

Karstens, C.D.*, D. LaDue, J. Correia, Jr., K.M. Calhoun, T. Smith, C. Ling, T.C. Meyer, A. McGovern, R.A. Lagerquist, D.M. Kingfield, B.T. Smith, E.M. Leitman, J.L. Cintineo, J.P. Wolfe, A. Gerard, and L.P. Rothfusz, 2017: Prototyping a next-generation severe weather warning system for FACETs. Preprints, 7th Conf. Transition of Research to Operations, Seattle, WA, 8.1.

Correia Jr., J., D.S. LaDue, K.H. Knopfmeier, C.D. Karstens*, and D.M. Wheatley, 2016: Beyond probability: Providing information to warning forecasters using the NSSL Experimental Warn-on-Forecast system for ensembles (NEWS-e). 28th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Portland, OR, 5B.2.

Bruick, Z.S., and C.D. Karstens*, 2016: An investigation of NWS warning outbreaks for severe convective events. 28th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Portland, OR, 14B.2.

Clark, A.J., and coauthors *, 2016: Application and evaluation of the Community Leveraged Unified Ensemble (CLUE) during the 2016 NOAA/HWT Spring Forecast Experiment. 28th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Portland, OR, 15B.2.

Karstens, C.D.*, K. Shourd, D. Speheger, A. Anderson, R. Smith, D. Andra, T.M. Smith, V. Lakshmanan, and S.A. Erickson, 2016: Evaluation of near real-time preliminary tornado damage paths, J. Oper. Meteor, 4, 132-141.

Gallo, B.T., and coauthors*, 2016: Breaking new ground in severe weather prediction: The 2015 NOAA/Hazardous Weather Testbed spring forecasting experiment. Wea. Forecasting, 32, 1541-1568.

Kain, J.S., and coauthors*, 2016: Collaborative efforts between the U.S. and U.K. to advance prediction of high impact weather. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 98, 937-948.

Harrison, D.R., and C.D. Karstens*, 2016: A climatology of operational storm-based warnings: A geospatial analysis. Wea. Forecasting, 32, 47-60.

Karstens, C.D.*, D. LaDue, J. Correia, Jr., K.M. Calhoun, T. Smith, C. Ling, T.C. Meyer, A. McGovern, R.A. Lagerquist, D.M. Kingfield, B.T. Smith, E.M. Leitman, J.L. Cintineo, J.P. Wolfe, A. Gerard, and L.P. Rothfusz, 2016: Prototyping a next-generation severe weather warning system for FACETs. NWA 41st Ann. Meeting, Norfolk, VA.

McGovern, A., C.D. Karstens*, T.M. Smith, and K.M. Calhoun, 2016: Using machine learning for nowcasting severe weather hazards. 14th Conf. Artificial and Computational Intelligence and its Applications to the Environmental Sciences, New Orleans, LA, 3.6.

Harrison, D.R., and C.D. Karstens*, 2016: A statistical overview of operational storm-based warnings. 11th Symp. Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice, New Orleans, LA, 4.3A.

LaDue, D., S. Ernst, C.D. Karstens*, J. Correia Jr., J.E. Hocker, and J.P. Wolfe, 2016: Co-creating the form and function of the prototype Probabilistic Hazard Information (PHI) to meet emergency manager user needs. 11th Symp. Societal Applications: Policy, Research and Practice, New Orleans, LA, 7.4.

Calhoun, K.M., G.S. Garfield, D.M. Kingfield, C.D. Karstens*, D.S. LaDue, W.L. Line, T.C. Meyer, T.M. Smith, and G.J. Stumpf, 2016: The experimental warning program at the NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed. 6th Conf. Transition of Research to Operations, New Orleans, LA, 8.5.

Kingfield, D.M., C.D. Karstens*, K.L. Ortega, and T.M. Smith, 2016: Innovative evaluations of National Weather Service severe weather warnings with a CONUS-wide multi-radar, multi-sensor climatological database. 4th Symp. Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation's Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events, New Orleans, LA, 885.

Kain, J.S., and coauthors*, 2016: Collaborative efforts between the U.S. and U.K. to advance prediction of high impact weather. Proc., 4th Symp. Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise, New Orleans, LA, J1.1.

Willington, S.M., M. Weeks, J.M. Wilkinson, L.M. Gilchrist, D. Suri, H.W. Lean, N. Roberts, J.S. Kain, A.J. Clark, M. Coniglio, I.L. Jirak, S.J. Weiss, C.D. Karstens*, K.H. Knopfmeier, and K. Hanley, 2016: Evaluation of high resolution unified model configurations at the Hazardous Weather Testbed. 4th Symp. Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise, New Orleans, LA, J1.2.

Karstens, C.D.*, G.J. Stumpf, C. Ling, D.M. Kingfield, K. Calhoun, J. Correia, Jr., D.S. LaDue, T. Meyer, T. Smith, J. Cintineo, C.J. Melick, and L.P. Rothfusz, 2016: Forecaster decision-making with automated probabilistic guidance in the 2015 Hazardous Weather Testbed Probabilistic Hazard Information Experiment. Preprints, 4th Symp. Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation's Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events, New Orleans, LA, 4.2.

Karstens, C.D.*, G. J. Stumpf, C. Ling, D.M. Kingfield, K. Calhoun, J. Correia, Jr., D. LaDue, T. Meyer, T. Smith, J. Cintineo, C.J. Melick, and L. P. Rothfusz, 2015: Forecaster decision-making with automated probabilistic guidance in the 2015 Hazardous Weather Testbed Probabilistic Hazard Information Experiment. NWA 40th Ann. Meeting, Oklahoma City, OK.

Karstens, C.D.*, D.M. Kingfield, T. Meyer, J. Wolfe, and T. Smith, 2015: Probabilistic Hazard Information Processing System (PHIPS): Rapid generation and blending of probabilistic forecasts for severe convective hazards. NWA 40th Ann. Meeting, Oklahoma City, OK.

Karstens, C.D.*, D.M. Kingfield, T. Meyer, J. Wolfe, and T. Smith, 2015: Probabilistic Hazard Information Processing System (PHIPS): Rapid Generation and Blending of Probabilistic Forecasts for Severe Convective Weather. Preprints, 37th Conf. Radar Meteorology, Norman, OK, 277.

Gao, J., C. Fu, D. Kingfield, K. Calhoun, C.D. Karstens*, T. Smith, G. Creager, L.J. Wicker, and J.S. Kain 2015: A real-time weather-adaptive hybrid ensemble 3DVAR analysis system with automatic storm Positioning and on-demand capability. 37th Conf. Radar Meteorology, Norman, OK, 13A.1.

Rothfusz, L.P., T.M. Smith, C.D. Karstens*, R.S. Schneider, and G.J. Stumpf, 2015: Forecasting a Continuum of Environmental Threats (FACETs): Early-stage development of a new watch-warning paradigm. 3rd Conf. Weather Warnings and Communication, Raleigh, NC, 5.6.

Stumpf, G.J., C.D. Karstens*, and L.P. Rothfusz, 2015: Probabilistic Hazard Information (PHI): Highlighting the benefits via new verification techniques for FACETs. 3rd Conf. Weather Warnings and Communication, Raleigh, NC, 5.7.

Rothfusz, L.P., T.M. Smith, and C.D. Karstens*, 2015: Forecasting a Continuum of Environmental Threats (FACETs): The science and strategic implementation plan for a watch/warning paradigm change. 3rd Symp. Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation's Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events, Phoenix, AZ, 6.4.

Shourd, K.N., and C.D. Karstens*, 2015: Experimentation and evaluation of nearly real-time tornado tracks. 3rd Symp. Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation's Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events, Phoenix, AZ, 7.8.

Karstens, C.D.*, G.J. Stumpf, D. Kingfield, C. Ling, L. Hua, T. Smith J. Correia, Jr., K.M. Calhoun, K.L., Ortega, C.J. Melick, and L.P. Rothfusz, 2015: Findings from the 2014 Hazardous Weather Testbed Probabilistic Hazard Information Experiment. Preprints, 3rd Symp. Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation's Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events, 6.5.

Johnson, A., X. Wang, J. Carley, L. Wicker, and C.D. Karstens*, 2015: A comparison of multi-scale GSI-based EnKF and 3DVar data assimilation using Radar and conventional observations for mid-latitude convective-scale precipitation forecasts. Mon. Wea. Rev., 143, 3087-3108.

Lakshmanan, V., C.D. Karstens*, K.L. Elmore, S. Berkseth, and J. Krause, 2015: Which polarimetric variables are important for weather/no-weather discrimination? J. Atmos. Ocean. Tech., 32, 1209-1223.

Karstens, C.D.*, G.J. Stumpf, C. Ling, L. Hua, D.M. Kingfield, T.M. Smith, J. Correia, Jr., K.M. Calhoun, K.L. Ortega, C.J. Melick, and L.P. Rothfusz, 2015: Evaluation of a probabilistic forecasting methodology for severe convective weather in the 2014 Hazardous Weather Testbed. Wea. Forecasting, 30, 1551-1570.

Rothfusz, L., C.D. Karstens*, and D. Hilderbrand, 2014: Forecasting a Continuum of Environmental Threats: Exploring next-generation forecasting of high-impact weather. EOS Trans., 95, 325-326.

Burgess, D.W., K.L. Ortega, G.J. Stumpf, G. Garfield, C.D. Karstens*, T. Meyer, B. Smith, D. Speheger, J.M. LaDue, R. Smith, and T.P. Marshall, 2014: 20 May 2013 Moore, Oklahoma tornado: Damage survey and analysis. Wea. Forecasting, 29, 1229-1237.

Lakshmanan, V., C.D. Karstens*, J. Krause, and L. Tang, 2014: Quality control of weather radar data using polarimetric variables. J. Atmos. Ocean. Tech., 31, 1234-1249.

Karstens, C.D.*, G.J. Stumpf, D. Kingfield, C. Ling, L. Hua, T. Smith, J. Correia, Jr., K.M. Calhoun, K.L., Ortega, C.J. Melick, and L.P. Rothfusz, 2014: Findings from the 2014 Hazardous Weather Testbed Probabilistic Hazard Information Experiment. Preprints, 27th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Madison, WI, 22.

Rothfusz, L.P., R.S. Schneider, T. M. Smith, C.D. Karstens*, and T.L. Hansen, 2014: Forecasting a Continuum on Environmental Threats: A proposed next-generation hazardous weather forecasting and communication paradigm. 27th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Madison, WI, 1.3.

Calhoun, K.M., G.S. Garfield, D.M. Kingfield, C.D. Karstens*, W. Line, K.L. Ortega, T.M. Smith, and G.J. Stumpf, 2014: The 2013/2014 Experimental Warning Program at the NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed. 27th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Madison, WI, 4B.1.

Correia, J. Jr., I.L. Jirak, M.C. Coniglio, C.D. Karstens*, P. Marsh and D.A. Imy, 2014: Deriving hourly severe weather probabilities from convection allowing ensembles. 27th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Madison, WI, 2.6.

Clark, A.J., and coauthors*, 2014: Comparing the NSSL-WRF model and convection-allowing versions of UKMET's unified model during the 2013 and 2014 NOAA/HWT Spring Forecasting Experiments. 27th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Madison, WI, 41.

Coniglio, M.C., D. A. Imy, C.D. Karstens*, A.J. Clark, J. Correia Jr., and C.J. Melick, 2014: Evaluation of one-hour probabilistic severe weather forecasts issued during the 2014 NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed Spring Forecast Experiment. 27th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Madison, WI, 47.

Wood, V.T., P.L. Heinsleman, R.A. Brown, D.W. Burgess, D.L. Priegnitz, and C.D. Karstens*, 2014: An analysis of terminal Doppler weather and phased array radar velocity and reflectivity signatures of the 20 May 2013, Moore, Oklahoma tornado. 27th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Madison, WI, 116.

Karstens, C.D.*, G.J. Stumpf, D. Kingfield, C. Ling, L. Hua, T. Smith, J. Correia, Jr., K.M. Calhoun, K.L., Ortega, C.J. Melick, and L.P. Rothfusz, 2014: Findings from the 2014 Hazardous Weather Testbed Probabilistic Hazard Information Experiment. NWA 39th Ann. Meeting, Salt Lake City, UT, D4.3.

Rothfusz, L.P., T.M. Smith, C.D. Karstens*, G.J. Stumpf, and R.S. Schneider, 2014: Forecasting a Continuum on Environmental Threats (FACETs): Progress in crystallizing a paradigm change. 39th Ann. Meeting, Salt Lake City, UT, B1.2.

Ling, C., L. Hua, C.D. Karstens*, and G.J. Stumpf, 2014: A comparison of short-term severe weather forecasts issued using WarnGen/AWIPS2 vs. Probabilistic Hazard Information threat objects for two displaced-realtime severe hail events - The human factors perspective. 39th Ann. Meeting, Salt Lake City, UT, National Wea. Association, P3.50.

Rothfusz, L.P., T.M. Smith, G. Stumpf, and C.D. Karstens*, 2014: Forecasting a continuum of environmental threats (FACETs): A proposed next-generation warning concept for the U.S. World Weather Open Science Conf., Development of Applications in the Forecasting Process, Montreal, Canada, WWOSC, SCI-PS177.02.

Karstens, C.D.*, T.M. Smith, K.M. Calhoun, A.J. Clark, C. Ling, G.J. Stumpf, and L.P. Rothfusz, 2014: Prototype tool development for creating probabilistic hazard information for severe convective phenomena. Preprints, 2nd Symp. Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation's Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High Impact Weather Events, 2.2.

Berkseth, S.M., V. Lakshmanan, C.D. Karstens*, and K.L. Ortega, 2014: Determining which polarimetric variables are important for weather/non-weather discrimination using statistical methods. 12th Conf. Artificial and Computational Intelligence and its Applications to the Environmental Sciences, Atlanta, GA, 2.3.

Clark, A.J., C.D. Karstens*, R. Bullock, and T.L. Jensen, 2014: Applying MODE time-domain for diagnosis and visualization of simulated supercells. 4th Conf. Transition of Research to Operations, Atlanta, GA, 2.3.

Ortega, K.L., D.W. Burgess, G.S. Garfield, C.D. Karstens*, J.G. LaDue, T.P. Marshall, T.C. Meyer, B.R. Smith, R. Smith, D. Speheger, and G.J. Stumpf, 2014: Damage survey and analysis of the 20 May 2013 Newcastle-Moore, OK, EF-5 Tornado. Special Symp. Severe Local Storms: The Current State of the Science and Understanding Impacts, Atlanta, GA, 828.

Xu, Q., K. Nai, S. Liu, C.D. Karstens*, T. Smith, and Q. Zhao. 2013: Improved Doppler velocity dealiasing for radar data assimilation and storm-scale vortex detection. Adv. Meteor., 2013, 1-10.

Karstens, C.D.**, W.A. Gallus Jr., B.D. Lee, and C. A. Finley, 2012: Analysis of tornado-induced tree-fall using aerial photography from the Joplin, MO and Tuscaloosa-Birmingham tornadoes of 2011. J. Appl. Meteor. Climatol., 52, 1049-1068.

Lee, B.D., C.A. Finley, and C.D. Karstens**, 2012: The Bowdle, South Dakota, cyclic tornadic supercell of 22 May 2010: Surface analysis of rear-flank downdraft evolution and multiple internal surges. Mon. Wea. Rev., 140, 3419-3441.

Karstens, C.D.**, W.A. Gallus, Jr., P. P. Sarkar, B.D. Lee, and C.A. Finley, 2012: Understanding terrain impacts on tornado flow through tree-fall analysis of the Joplin and Tuscaloosa-Birmingham tornadoes of 2011 and through numerical and laboratory vortex simulations. Preprints, 26th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Nashville, TN, 4B.2.

Karstens, C.D.**, W.A. Gallus, Jr., P.P. Sarkar, and T.P. Marshall, 2012: Supplemental damage indicators discovered in recent strong tornadoes. Preprints, 26th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Nashville, TN, P106.

Stefkovich, J., T.P. Marshall, J. De Block, J.G. LaDue, and C.D. Karstens**, 2012: Damage survey of the Tuscaloosa - Birmingham, AL tornado. 26th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Nashville, TN, 5.3.

Karstens, C.D.**, W. A. Gallus, Jr., and P.P. Sarkar, 2012: Observation and laboratory experimentation of tornadoes translating over complex topography. Special Symposium on the Tornado Disasters of 2011, Preprints, 92nd AMS Ann. Meeting, New Orleans, LA, 636.

Karstens, C.D.**, and D. Herzmann, 2012: Technologies for improving operational forecasting and severe storms research. Preprints, 11th Ann. AMS Student Conference and Career Fair, New Orleans, LA, S134.

Karstens, C.D.**, T.M. Samaras, B.D. Lee, W.A. Gallus Jr., and C.A. Finley, 2010: Near-ground pressure and wind measurements in tornadoes. Mon. Wea. Rev., 138, 2570-2588.

Finley, C.A., B.D. Lee, M. Grzych, C.D. Karstens**, and T.M. Samaras, 2010: Mobile mesonet observations of the rear-flank downdraft evolution associated with a violent tornado near Bowdle, SD on 22 May 2010. 25th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Denver, CO., 8A.2.

Lee, B.D., C.A. Finley, C.D. Karstens**, and T.M. Samaras, 2010: Surface observations of the rear-flank downdraft evolution associated with the Aurora, NE tornado of 17 June 2009. 25th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Denver, CO. P8.27.

Samaras, T.M., C.D. Karstens**, B.D. Lee, and C.A. Finley, 2010: Wind measurements within a tornado core. 25th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, Denver, CO., P5.9.

Karstens, C.D.**, T.M. Samaras, W.A. Gallus, Jr., C.A. Finley, and B.D. Lee, 2010: Analysis of near-surface wind flow in close proximity to tornadoes. Preprints, 25th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Denver, CO, P10.11.

Karstens, C.D.**, and W.A. Gallus, Jr., 2008: Simulations of near-ground hurricane winds influenced by built structures. Preprints, 28th Conf. Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, Orlando, FL, P2H.11.

Karstens, C.D.**, T.M. Samaras, A. Laubach, B.D. Lee, C.A. Finley, W.A. Gallus, and F.L. Haan, 2008: TWISTEX 2008: In situ and mobile mesonet observations of tornadoes. Preprints, 24th Conf. Severe and Local Storms, Savannah, GA, P3.11.

* Author affiliated with CIMMS and NSSL
** Author affiliated with Iowa State University

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Kerr, B.W., and G.L. Darkow, 1996: Storm-relative winds and helicity in the tornadic thunderstorm environment. Wea. Forecasting, 11, 489-505.

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Clark, A.J., and coauthors, 2023: The 3rd real-time, virtual spring forecasting experiment to advance severe weather prediction capabilities. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 104, E456-E458.

Trujillo-Falcon, J.E., A.R. Gaviria Pabon, J.T. Ripberger, A. Bitterman, J.B. Thornton, M.J. Krocak, S.R. Ernst, E. Cassiani Obeso, and J. Lipski, 2022: Aviso o alerta? Developing effective, inclusive, and consistent watch and warning translations for U.S. Spanish speakers. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc, 103, 2791-2803.

Clark, A.J., and coauthors, 2022: The 2nd real-time, virtual spring forecasting experiment to advance severe weather prediction. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 103, E1114-E1116.

Krocak, M.J., M.D. Flournoy, and H.E. Brooks, 2021: Examining subdaily tornado warning performance and associated environmental characteristics. Wea. Forecasting, 36, 1779-1784.

Krocak, M.J., and H.E. Brooks, 2021: The influence of weather watch type on the quality of tornado warnings and its implications for future forecasting systems. Wea. Forecasting, 36, 1675-1680.

Krocak, M.J., J.N. Allan, J.T. Ripberger, C.L. Silva, and H.C. Jenkins-Smith, 2021: An analysis of tornado warning reception and response across time: Leveraging respondents' confidence and a nocturnal tornado climatology. Wea. Forecasting, 36, 1649-1660.

Clark, A.J., and coauthors, 2021: A real-time, virtual spring forecasting experiment to advance severe weather prediction. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 102, E814-E816.

Allan, J.N., J.T. Ripberger, W. Wehde, M.J. Krocak*, C.L. Silva, and H.C Jenkins-Smith, 2020: Geographic distributions of extreme weather risk perceptions in the United States. Risk Analysis, 40 (7), 1-11.

Krocak, M.J.*, S. Ernst, J.N. Allan, W.W. Wehde, J.T. Ripberger, C.L. Silva, and H.C. Jenkins-Smith, 2020: Thinking outside the polygon: A study of tornado warning reception outside of warning polygon bounds. Nat. Haz., 102, 1351-1368.

Lenhardt, E.D., R.N. Cross, M.J. Krocak*, J.T. Ripberger, S.R. Ernst, C.L. Silva, and H.C. Jenkins-Smith, 2020: How likely is that chance of thunderstorms? A study of how National Weather Service forecast offices use words of estimative probability and what they mean to the public. NWA J. Oper. Meteor., 8, 64-78.

Ripberger, J.T., C. Silva, H. Jenkins-Smith, J. Allan, M.J. Krocak*, W. Wehde, and S. Ernst, 2020: Exploring community differences in tornado warning reception, comprehension, and response across the United States. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 101, 936-948.

Krocak, M.J.**, and H.E. Brooks, 2020: An analysis of subdaily severe thunderstorm probabilities for the United States. Wea. Forecasting, 35, 107-122.

Krocak, M.J.*, J.T. Ripberger, C.L. Silva, and H.C. Jenkins-Smith, 2019: The impact of hours of advance notice on protective action in response to tornadoes. Wea. Climate Soc., 11, 881-888.

Ripberger, J.T., M.J. Krocak*, W.W. Wehde, J.N. Allan, C. Silva, and H. Jenkins-Smith, 2019: Measuring tornado warning reception, comprehension, and response in the United States. Wea. Climate Soc., 11, 863-880.

Krocak, M.J.**, and H.E. Brooks, 2018: Climatological estimates of hourly tornado probability for the United States. Wea. Forecasting, 33, 59-69.

* Author affiliated with OU Center for Risk and Crisis Management and National Institute for Risk and Resilience
** Author affiliated with CIMMS/NSSL/University of Oklahoma

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Trujillo-Falcon, J.E., O. Bermudez, K. Negron-Hernandez, J. Lipski, E.M. Leitman, and K. Berry, 2021: Hazardous weather communication en espanol: Challenges, current resources, and future practices. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 102, 765-773.

Trujillo, J.E., O. Bermudez, P.T. Marsh, and E.M. Leitman, 2020: The Storm Prediction Center Spanish language initiative. Proc., Eighth Symp. Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise, Boston, MA, 5.6.

Thompson, R.L., B.T. Smith, J.S. Grams, A.R. Dean, J.C. Picca, A.E. Cohen, E.M. Leitman, A.M. Gleason, and P.T. Marsh, 2017: Tornado damage rating probabilities derived from WSR-88D data. Wea. Forecasting, 32, 1509-1528.

Karstens, C.D., D. LaDue, J. Correia, Jr., K.M. Calhoun, T. Smith, C. Ling, T.C. Meyer, A. McGovern, R.A. Lagerquist, D.M. Kingfield, B.T. Smith, E.M. Leitman, J.L. Cintineo, J.P. Wolfe, A. Gerard, and L.P. Rothfusz, 2017: Prototyping a next-generation severe weather warning system for FACETs. Preprints, 7th Conf. Transition of Research to Operations, Seattle, WA, 8.1.

Karstens, C.D., D. LaDue, J. Correia, Jr., K.M. Calhoun, T. Smith, C. Ling, T.C. Meyer, A. McGovern, R.A. Lagerquist, D.M. Kingfield, B.T. Smith, E.M. Leitman, J.L. Cintineo, J.P. Wolfe, A. Gerard, and L.P. Rothfusz, 2016: Prototyping a next-generation severe weather warning system for FACETs. NWA 41st Ann. Meeting, Norfolk, VA.

Smith, B.T., R.L. Thompson, A.R. Dean, E.M. Leitman, J.S. Grams, A.E. Cohen, A. Gleason, J.C. Picca, P.T. Marsh, R. Wagenmaker, and G. Mann, 2015: Developmental work at the Storm Prediction Center in pursuit of tornadic supercell probability and tornado intensity estimation using a severe supercell dataset. Preprints, 40th NWA Ann. Meeting, Oklahoma City, OK, 8 pp.

Stoppkotte, E.M.*, A. Lese, S. Pavlow and R.T. Baker, 2009: 14 September 2008 Ohio Valley high wind event associated with the remnants of Hurricane Ike. Preprints, 23rd Conf. Weather Analysis and Forecasting/19th Conf. Numerical Weather Prediction, Omaha NE. and NWA, CD-ROM.

Stoppkotte, E.M.**, and M.D. Long, 2006: Investigation of derecho storms in Oklahoma and the causes for highest surface wind speeds. Preprints, 23rd Conf. Severe Local Storms, St. Louis MO, CD-ROM.

Stoppkotte, E.M.**, K.D. Stokes and M.A. Shafer, 2005: Creating county climate summaries for Oklahoma. 15th Conf. Applied Climatology, Savannah, GA, CD-ROM.

* Author affiliated with NWS WFO at Louisville, KY.
** Author affiliated with School of Meteorology, University of Oklahoma.

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Clark, R. III, and coauthors, 2018: From StormPredictionCenter.ScienceSupportBranch import science, research, operations. 8th Symp. Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using Python, Austin, TX, 3.5.

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Smith, B.T., R.L. Thompson, C.D. Karstens, J.S. Grams, A.R. Dean, R.M. Mosier, and A.D. Lyons, 2022: Preliminary evaluation of a real-time diagnostic tornado damage intensity estimation tool used at the Storm Prediction Center. Proc., 30th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Santa Fe, NM, 17.4B.

Lyons, A.D., B.T. Smith, R.L. Thompson, and A.R. Dean, 2022: Convective mode classification and climatology of tornado events in the contiguous United States, 2000-2020. Proc., 30th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Santa Fe, NM, 8.1B.

Brannan, A.L., S. Gertonson, I.L. Jirak, B. Roberts, A.D. Lyons, and J.L. Guyer, 2022: Predictability of large-scale patterns that lead to tornado outbreaks at lead times out to 14 days. Proc., 30th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Santa Fe, NM, 9.2.

Broyles, J.C., G.L. Dial, C.K. Potvin, J. Murnan, S. Shores, A.D. Lyons, M.S. Elliott, and A.R. Cook, 2022: Tornadogenesis in high-end tornadic supercells. Part 3: Moore, Oklahoma EF5 on May 20, 2013--A representative case of tornadogenesis. Proc., 30th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Santa Fe, NM, 10.2.

Broyles, J.C., C.K. Potvin, G.L. Dial, J. Murnan, S. Shores, A.D. Lyons, M.S. Elliott, and A.R. Cook, 2022: Tornadogenesis in high-end tornadic supercells. Part 2: The descending reflectivity core, inflow channel and streamwise vorticity current. Proc., 30th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Santa Fe, NM, P14.

Broyles, J.C., G.L. Dial, C.K. Potvin, J. Murnan, S. Shores, A.D. Lyons, M.S. Elliott, and A.R. Cook, 2022: Tornadogenesis in high-end tornadic supercells. Part 1: The RFD surge, RFD occlusion and cell mergers. Proc., 30th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Santa Fe, NM, P13.

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Harrison, D.R., M.S. Elliott, I.L. Jirak, and P.T. Marsh, 2023: Predicting probabilistic lightning flash density from the HREF calibrated thunder guidance. Proc., 22nd Conf. Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science, Denver, CO, 6A.1.

Edwards, R., M.S. Elliott, P.T. Marsh, and D.A. Speheger, 2022: Errors, oddities and artifacts in U.S. tornado data, 1995-2021. Proc., 30th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Santa Fe, NM, 8.3B.

Harrison, D.R., A. McGovern, C.D. Karstens, I.L. Jirak, and P.T. Marsh, 2022: Evaluation of first-guess watch guidance in the 2022 HWT spring forecasting experiment. Proc., 30th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, Santa Fe, NM, 7.3A.

Harrison, D.R., M.S. Elliott, I.L. Jirak, and P.T. Marsh, 2022: Utilizing the High-Resolution Ensemble Forecast system to produce calibrated probabilistic thunderstorm guidance. Wea. Forecasting, 37, 1103-1115.

Clark, A.J., and coauthors, 2022: The 2nd real-time, virtual spring forecasting experiment to advance severe weather prediction. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 103, E1114-E1116.

Harrison, D.R., A. McGovern, C.D. Karstens, I.L. Jirak, and P.T. Marsh, 2022: Winter precipitation-type classification with a 1D convolutional neural network. Proc., 31st Conf. on Wea. Analysis and Forecasting/27th Conf. Num. Wea. Prediction, Houston, TX, J11.4.

Harrison, D.R, A. McGovern, C.D. Karstens, I.L. Jirak, and P.T. Marsh, 2022: A machine learning approach to generating guidance for SPC watch products. Proc., 31st Conf. on Wea. Analysis and Forecasting/27th Conf. Num. Wea. Prediction, Houston, TX, 480.

Harrison, D.R., A. McGovern, C.D. Karstens, I.L. Jirak, and P.T. Marsh, 2021: A climatology of HREF forecasts in severe convective environments. Proc. 20th Conf. Artificial Intelligence for Env. Sci., New Orleans, LA, 3.9.

Harrison, D.R., N. Nauslar, N. Keene, M.S. Elliott, I.L. Jirak, P.T. Marsh, and J. Peters, 2021: A comprehensive climatology of NLDN CG lightning flashes in the CONUS. Proc. 10th Conf. Meteor. Application of Lightning Data, New Orleans, LA, 5.8.

Gensini, V.A., A.M. Haberlie, and P.T. Marsh, 2020: Practically perfect hindcasts of severe convective storms. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 101, 1259-1278.

Jirak, I.L., M.S. Elliott, C.D. Karstens, R.S. Schneider, P.T. Marsh, and W.F. Bunting, 2020: Generating probabilistic severe timing information from SPC outlooks using the HREF. Proc., Severe Local Storms Symp., Boston, MA, 3.1.

Trujillo, J.E., O. Bermudez, P.T. Marsh, and E.M. Leitman, 2020: The Storm Prediction Center Spanish language initiative. Proc., Eighth Symp. Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise, Boston, MA, 5.6.

Harrison, D.R., A. McGovern, C.D. Karstens, J. Demuth, A. Bostrom, I.L. Jirak, and P.T. Marsh, 2021: Challenges and benefits of machine learning in an operational environment: Survey results from the 2021 Hazardous Weather Testbed spring forecasting experiment. 3rd NOAA Workshop on Leveraging AI in Environmental Sciences, Boulder, CO, 2A.

Clark, R. III, and coauthors, 2018: From StormPredictionCenter.ScienceSupportBranch import science, research, operations. 8th Symp. Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using Python, Austin, TX, 3.5.

Thompson, R.L., B.T. Smith, J.S. Grams, A.R. Dean, J.C. Picca, A.E. Cohen, E.M. Leitman, A.M. Gleason, and P.T. Marsh, 2017: Tornado damage rating probabilities derived from WSR-88D data. Wea. Forecasting, 32, 1509-1528.

Blumberg, W.G., K.T. Halbert, T.A. Supinie, P.T. Marsh, R.L. Thompson, and J.A. Hart, 2017: SHARPpy: An open source sounding analysis toolkit for the atmospheric sciences. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 98, 1625-1636.

Nauslar, N.J., A.R. Dean, I.L. Jirak, P.T. Marsh, and S.J. Weiss, 2017: Improving lightning density guidance with calibrated probabilities from ensemble model output. Proc., Eighth Conf. Meteor. Application of Lightning Data, Seattle, WA, 857.

Smith, B.T., R.L. Thompson, A.R. Dean, E.M. Leitman, J.S. Grams, A.E. Cohen, A. Gleason, J.C. Picca, P.T. Marsh, R. Wagenmaker, and G. Mann, 2015: Developmental work at the Storm Prediction Center in pursuit of tornadic supercell probability and tornado intensity estimation using a severe supercell dataset. Preprints, 40th NWA Ann. Meeting, Oklahoma City, OK, 8 pp.

Melick, C.J., P. Marsh, A. Dean, I.L. Jirak, and S.J. Weiss, 2015: Lightning characteristics and relationship to preliminary local storm reports. Preprints, 40th NWA Ann. Meeting, Oklahoma City, OK, 2454.

Smith, B.T., R.L. Thompson, A.R. Dean, and P.T. Marsh, 2015: Diagnosing the conditional probability of tornado damage rating using environmental and radar attributes. Wea. Forecasting, 30, 914-932.

Rogers, J.W., R.L. Thompson, and P.T. Marsh, 2014: Potential applications of a CONUS sounding climatology developed at the Storm Prediction Center. Preprints, 27th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Madison, WI, P145.

Clark, A.J., and coauthors, 2014: Comparing the NSSL-WRF model and convection-allowing versions of UKMET's unified model during the 2013 and 2014 NOAA/HWT Spring Forecasting Experiments. 27th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Madison, WI, 41.

Correia, J. Jr., I.L. Jirak, M.C. Coniglio, C.D. Karstens, P.T. Marsh and D.A. Imy, 2014: Deriving hourly severe weather probabilities from convection allowing ensembles. 27th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Madison, WI, 2.6.

Smith, B.T., R.L. Thompson, A.R. Dean, P.T. Marsh, R. Wagenmaker, G. Mann, M.J. Hudson, and J.T. Ferree, 2014: Demonstrating the utility of conditional probabilities of tornado damage rating in the impact-based warning era. Preprints, 27th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Madison, WI, P89.

Flournoy, M.D., A.E. Cohen, M.C. Coniglio, and P.T. Marsh, 2014: Examining the sensitivity of horizontal and vertical grid spacing on simulations of cool season storms in the Southeast United States. Proc., 27th Conference on Severe Local Storms, Madison, WI, P3.

Thompson, R.L., B.T. Smith, A.R. Dean, and P.T. Marsh, 2013: Spatial distributions of tornadic near-storm environments by convective mode. Electronic J. Severe Storms Meteor., 8 (5), 1-22.

Clark, A.J., J. Gao, P.T. Marsh*, T. Smith, J.S. Kain, J. Correia, M. Xue, and F. Kong, 2013: Tornado pathlength forecasts from 2010 to 2011 using ensemble updraft helicity. Wea. Forecasting, 28, 387?407.

Marsh, P.T.*, 2013: A method of calibrating probabilistic forecasts. PhD Dissertation, University of Oklahoma.

Twiest, B.L., B.T. Smith, H.E. Brooks, R.L. Thompson, P. Marsh*, A.R. Dean, and C.J. Melick, 2013: Localizing tornado climatology in the contiguous United States: An environmental parameter and convective mode focus. Preprints, 20th Conf. Applied Climatology, Austin, TX, 4.5.

Miller, S.D. Jr., J.S. Kain, P.T. Marsh, A.J. Clark, M.C. Coniglio, V. Lakshmanan, J. Correia Jr., D.A. Imy, S.R. Dembek, I.L. Jirak, S.J. Weiss, A.R. Dean, C.J. Melick, R. Sobash, M. Xue, F. Kong, and K.W. Thomas, 2012: Assessment of timing and coverage of convection during the 2012 NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed Spring Forecasting Experiment. Preprints, 26th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Nashville, TN, 10.3.

Marsh, P.T.*, and H.E. Brooks, 2012: Comments on "Tornado risk analysis: Is Dixie Alley an extension of Tornado Alley?" Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 93, 405-407.

Marsh, P.T.*, J.S. Kain, V. Lakshmanan, A.J. Clark, N.M. Hitchens, and J. Hardy, 2012: A method for calibrating deterministic forecasts of rare events. Wea. Forecasting, 27, 531-538.

Bass, E.J., B. Hogan, D. Rude, B. Phillips, D. Westbrook, C. League, J. Brotzge, P.T. Marsh*, and L.R. Lemon, 2011: A method for investigating real-time distributed weather forecaster-emergency manager interaction. 2011 IEEE Int. Conf. Systems, Man, and Cybernetics. 9-12 October 2011, Anchorage, AK.

Harrold, M., T. Jensen, B. Brown, S. Weiss, P.T. Marsh*, M. Xue, F. Kong, A. Clark, K. Thomas, J. Kain, M. Coniglio, and R.S. Schneider, 2011: Spatial verification of convective systems during the 2010 NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed Spring Experiment. Preprints, 91st AMS Ann. Meeting, Seattle, WA.

Jensen, T.L., M. Harrold, B.G. Brown, S.J. Weiss, P.T. Marsh*, M. Xue, F. Kong, A.J. Clark, K.W. Thomas, J.S. Kain, R.S. Schneider, D. R. Novak, F.E. Barthold, J.J. Levit, and M.C. Coniglio, 2010: An overview of the objective evaluation performed during the Hazardous Weather Testbed (HWT) 2010 spring experiment. Preprints, 25th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Denver CO, 13B.1.

Marsh, P.T.*, J.S. Kain, S.J. Weiss, I.L. Jirak, R. Sobash, F. Kong, K.W. Thomas, and M. Xue, 2010: Investigating a fundamental component of a warn-on-forecast system in a collaborative real-time experiment. Preprints, 25th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Denver CO, 14.4.

Jirak, I.L., S.J. Weiss, C.J. Melick, P.T. Marsh*, J.S. Kain, A.J. Clark, M. Xue, F. Kong, and K.W. Thomas, 2010: Evaluation of the performance and distribution of hourly maximum fields from storm-scale ensemble forecasts. Preprints, 25th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Denver CO, 13B.3.

Melick, C.J., I.L. Jirak, S.J. Weiss, A.J. Clark, P.T. Marsh*, J.S. Kain, M. Xue, F. Kong, and K.W. Thomas, 2010: An environmental climatology of the CAPS storm-scale ensemble forecast system during the 2010 HWT Spring Experiment. Preprints, 25th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Denver CO, 13B.5.

Scharfenberg, K.A., D. Andra Jr., P.T. Marsh*, K. Ortega, and J. Brotzge, 2010: Evaluation of ESTOFEX forecasts. Preprints, 25th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Denver, CO.

Weiss, S.J., A.J. Clark, I.L. Jirak, C.J. Melick, C. Siewert, R.A. Sobash, P.T. Marsh*, A.R. Dean, J.S. Kain, M. Coniglio, M. Xue, F. Kong, K.W. Thomas, J. Du, D.R. Novak, F. Barthold, M.J. Bodner, J.J. Levit, C.B. Entwistle, R.S. Schneider, and T.L. Jensen, 2010: An overview of the 2010 NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed spring forecasting experiment. Preprints, 25th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Denver CO, 7B.1.

Brooks, H.E., P.T. Marsh*, A. Kowaleski, P. Groenemeijer, T. Thompson, C. Schwartz, C. Shafer, A. Kolodziej, N. Dahl, and D. Buckey, 2009: Evaluation of ESTOFEX forecasts. Preprints, 5th Euro. Conf. Severe Storms, Landshut, Germany.

Marsh, P.T.*, H.E. Brooks, and D.J. Karoly, 2009: Preliminary investigation into the severe thunderstorm environment of Europe simulated by the Community Climate System Model 3. Atmos. Res., 93, 607-618.

Marsh, P.T.*, H.E. Brooks, and D. J. Karoly, 2007: Assessment of the European severe weather environment simulated by the CCSM3. Preprints, 4th Euro. Conf. Severe Storms, Trieste, Italy.

Marsh, P.T.*, H.E. Brooks, and D.J. Karoly, 2007: Assessment of the severe weather environment in North America simulated by a global climate model. Atmos. Sci. Lett., 8, 100-106.

Marsh, P.T.*, H.E. Brooks, and D.J. Karoly, 2007: An assessment of the severe weather environment of North America simulated by a global climate model. Preprints, 87th AMS Ann. Meeting, San Antonio, TX.

* Author affiliated with CIMMS/National Severe Storms Laboratory and University of Oklahoma.
* Author affiliated with University of Arkansas.

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Clark, A.J., and coauthors, 2023: The 3rd real-time, virtual spring forecasting experiment to advance severe weather prediction capabilities. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 104, E456-E458.

Milne, J.M., I.L. Jirak, and H.E. Brooks, 2022: Evaluating an alternative method of calculating updraft helicity. Proc., 30th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Santa Fe, NM, P190.

Jahn, D.E., I.L. Jirak, A. Wade, and J.M. Milne, 2022: Storm mode and tornado potential determination using statistical moments of updraft helicity distribution. Proc., 31st Conf. Weather Analysis and Forecasting/27th Conf. Numerical Weather Prediction (virtual), 460.

Milne, J.M., I.L. Jirak, and H.E. Brooks, 2020: Investigating the vertical structure of updraft helicity in an idealized supercell simulation. Proc., 30th Conf. Weather Analysis and Forecasting / 26th Conf. Numerical Weather Prediction, Boston, MA, 153.

Jahn, D.E., B.T. Gallo, C. Broyles, B.T. Smith, I.L. Jirak, and J. Milne, 2020: Refining CAM-based tornado probability forecasts using storm-inflow and storm-attribute information. Proc., 26th Conf. Numerical Weather Prediction, Boston, MA, 2A4.

Milne, J.M., I.L. Jirak, and H.E. Brooks, 2018: Investigating the vertical structure of updraft helicity in convection-allowing models. Preprints, 29th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Stowe, VT, P154.

Milne, J.M., H.E. Brooks, I.L. Jirak, and R.M. Hepper, 2016: Verification of 10-meter wind forecasts from NSSL-WRF in predicting severe wind-producing MCSs. Preprints, 28th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Portland, OR, P115.

Hepper, R.M., I.L. Jirak, and J.M. Milne, 2016: Assessing the skill of convection-allowing ensemble forecasts of severe MCS winds from the SSEO. Preprints, 28th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Portland, OR, 16B.2.

Sailor, D.J., M. Georgescu, J.M. Milne*, and M.A. Hart, 2015: Development of a national anthropogenic heating database with an extrapolation for international cities. Atmos. Environ., 118, 7-18.

Chow, W.T., F. Salamanca, M. Georgescu, A. Mahalov, J.M. Milne**, and B.L. Ruddell, 2014: A multi-method and multi-scale approach for estimating city-wide anthropogenic heat fluxes. Atmos. Environ., 99, 64-76.

* Author affiliated with University of Oklahoma
** Author affiliated with Arizona State University

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Cohen, A.E., and coauthors*, 2018: Bridging operational meteorology and academia through experiential education: The Storm Prediction Center in the University of Oklahoma classroom. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 99, 269-279.

Chilson, P.B., T.M. Bell, K.A. Brewster, G.B. Hupsel de Azevedo, F.H. Carr, K. Carson, W. Doyle, C.A. Fiebrich, B.R. Greene, J.L. Grimsley, S.T. Kanneganti, J. Martin, A.D. Moore*, R.D. Palmer, E.A. Pillar-Little, J.L. Salazar-Cerreno, A.R. Segales, M.E. Weber, M. Yeary, and K.K. Droegemeier, 2019: Moving towards a network of autonomous UAS atmospheric profiling stations for observations in the earth's lower atmosphere: The 3D Mesonet Concept. Sensors, 19(12), 2720.

* Author affiliated with University of Oklahoma

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Mosier, R.M., and R. Edwards, 2022: Visualization tools for the Storm Prediction Center's tropical cyclone tornado database. Proc., 30th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Santa Fe, NM, P172.

Edwards, R., and R.M. Mosier, 2022: Over a quarter century of TCTOR: Tropical cyclone tornadoes in the WSR-88D era. Proc., 30th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Santa Fe, NM, P171.

Smith, B.T., R.L. Thompson, C.D. Karstens, J.S. Grams, A.R. Dean, R.M. Mosier, and A.D. Lyons, 2022: Preliminary evaluation of a real-time diagnostic tornado damage intensity estimation tool used at the Storm Prediction Center. Proc., 30th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Santa Fe, NM, 17.4B.

Mosier, R.M., B.T. Smith, R.L. Thompson, and C.D. Karstens, 2022: A tool for real-time estimation of tornado damage intensity. Proc., 30th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Santa Fe, NM, P134.

Hampshire, N.L., R.M. Mosier, T.M. Ryan, and D.E. Cavanaugh, 2017: Relationship of low-level instability and tornado damage rating based on observed soundings. J. Operational Meteor., 6 (1), 1-12.

Sullivan, B.T., C.J. Melick, R.M. Mosier, I.L. Jirak, and C.D. McCray, 2014: The usefulness of winter weather local storm reports at the Storm Prediction Center. Preprints, 39th NWA Ann. Meeting, Salt Lake City, UT, P1.9.

Mosier, R.M.*, C. Schumacher, R.E. Orville, and L.D. Carey, 2011: Radar nowcasting of cloud-to-ground lightning over Houston, Texas. Wea. Forecasting, 26, 199-212.

Mosier, R.M.*, 2011: Vertically integrated ice (VII): A new lightning nowcasting forecasting tool. Preprints, 5th Conf. Meteor Applications of Lightning Data, 23-27.

Zhang, F., R.E. Morss, J.A. Sippel, T.K. Beckman, N.C. Clements, N.L. Hampshire, J.N. Harvey, J.M. Hernandez, Z.C. Morgan, R.M. Mosier**, S. Wang, and S.D. Winkley, 2011: An in-person survey investigating public perceptions of and responses to Hurricane Rita forecasts along the Texas coast. Wea. Forecasting, 22, 1177-1190.

* Author affiliated with NWS Fort Worth, TX
** Author affiliated with Texas A&M University

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Arash M.R., J.T. Abatzoglou, E. Fleishman, M.H. Mockrin, R.C. Volker, Y. Pourmohamd, M. Cattau, J.M. Johnson, P. Higuera, N.J. Nauslar*, and M. Sadegh, 2023: Social vulnerability of the people exposed to wildfires in U.S. West Coast states. Sci. Adv., 9, eadh4615.

Kalashnikov, D. A., J.T. Abatzoglou, P.C. Loikith, N.J. Nauslar*, Y. Bekris, and D. Singh, 2023: Lightning-ignited wildfires in the western United States: Ignition precipitation and associated environmental conditions. Geophys. Research Lett., 50, e2023GL103785.

Modaresi Rad, A., J.T. Abatzoglou, J. Kreitler, M.R. Alizadeh, A. AghaKouchak, N. Hudyma, N.J. Nauslar*, and M. Sadegh, M., 2023: Human and infrastructure exposure to large wildfires in the United States. Nature Sust., pp. 1-9.

Abatzoglou, J.T., D.J. McEvoy, N.J. Nauslar*, K.C. Hegewisch, and J.L. Huntington, 2023: Downscaled subseasonal fire danger forecast skill across the contiguous United States. Atmos. Sci. Lett., 24, e1165.

Kalashnikov, D.A., J.T. Abatzoglou, N.J. Nauslar*, D.L. Swain, D. Touma, and D. Singh, 2022: Meteorological and geographical factors associated with dry lightning in central and northern California. Environ. Res. Climate, 1, p.025001.

Lareau, N.P., N.J. Nauslar*, E.S. Bentley, M. Roberts, S. Emmerson, B. Brong, M. Mehle, and J. Wallman, 2022: Fire-generated tornadic vortices. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 103, E1296-E1320.

Abatzoglou, J.T., B.J. Hatchett, P. Fox-Hughes, A. Gershunov, and N.J. Nauslar, 2021: Global climatology of synoptically-forced downslope winds. Intl. J. Climatol., 41, 31-50.

Clark, J., J.T. Abatzoglou, and N.J. Nauslar*, 2020: Verification of red flag warnings across the northwestern U.S. as forecasts of large fire occurrence. Fire, 3, 60.

Lindley, T.T., D.A. Speheger, M.A. Day, G.P. Murdoch, B.R. Smith, N.J. Nauslar, and D.C. Daily, 2019: Megafires on the southern Great Plains. J. Oper. Meteor., 7, 164-179.

Schultz, C.J., N.J. Nauslar, J.B. Wachter, C.R. Hain, and J.R. Bell, 2019: Spatial, temporal and electrical characteristics of lightning in reported lightning-initiated wildfire events. Fire, 2, 18.

Nauslar, N.J., T.J. Brown, M.K. Kaplan, J.F. Mejia, and B.J. Hatchett, 2018: The impact of the North American Monsoon on wildfire occurrence in the southwest United States. Intl. J. Climatol., 39, 1-16.

Lareau, N.P., N.J. Nauslar, and J.T. Abatzoglou, 2018: The Carr fire vortex: A case of pyrotornadogenesis? Geophys. Res. Lett., 45, 107-115.

Nauslar, N.J., J.T. Abatzoglou, and P.T. Marsh, 2018: The 2017 North Bay and Southern California fires: A case study, Fire, 1, 18.

Nauslar, N.J., A.R. Dean, I.L. Jirak, P.T. Marsh, and S.J. Weiss, 2017: Improving lightning density guidance with calibrated probabilities from ensemble model output. Proc., Eighth Conf. Meteor. Application of Lightning Data, Seattle, WA, 857.

Hatchett, B.J., C.M. Smith, N.J. Nauslar, and M.L. Kaplan, 2017: Differences between Sundowner and Santa Ana wind regimes in the Santa Ynez Mountains, California. Nat. Haz. Earth Sys. Sci. Disc., 8, 419-427.

Wall, T.U., T.J. Brown, and N.J. Nauslar**, 2017: Spot weather forecasts: Improving utilization, communication and perceptions of accuracy in sophisticated stakeholder groups. Wea. Clim. Soc., 9, 215-226.

Alcasena, F.J., M. Salis, N.J. Nauslar**, A.E. Aguinaga, and C. Vega-Garcia, 2016: Quantifying economic losses from wildfires in black pine afforestations of northern Spain. Forest Pol. Econ., 73, 153-167.

Nauslar, N.J.**, T.J. Brown, and J.D. Horel, 2016: Verification of National Weather Service spot forecasts using atmospheric sounding observations. J. Operational Meteor., 4, 46-57.

Nauslar, N.J.**, 2014: Examining the lightning polarity of lightning caused wildfires. Proc., 23rd Intl. Lightning Detection Conf., Tucson, AZ.

Nauslar, N.J.**, M.L. Kaplan, J. Wallmann, and T.J. Brown, 2013: A forecast procedure for dry thunderstorms. J. Operational Meteor., 1, 200-214.

Abatzoglou, J.T., R. Barbero, and N.J. Nauslar**, 2013: Diagnosing Santa Ana winds in southern California with synoptic-scale analysis. Wea. Forecasting, 28, 704-710.

Nauslar, N.J.**, J. Wallmann, and T.J. Brown, 2010. A forecast procedure for dry thunderstorms. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 988-990.

Nauslar, N.J.**, J. Wallmann, and T.J. Brown, 2009: A forecast procedure for dry lightning busts. Proc., 8th Symp. Fire and Forest Meteorology, Kalispell, MT, 10.6.

* Author affiliated with National Interagency Fire Center/Bureau of Land Management, Boise, ID
** Author affiliated with Department of Physics/Division of Atmospheric Sciences (DRI), University of Nevada, Reno

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Peters, J.M., B.E. Coffer, M.D. Parker, C.J. Nowotarski, J.P. Mulholland, C.J. Nixon*, and J.T. Allen, 2023: Disentangling the influences of storm-relative flow and horizontal streamwise vorticity on low-level mesocyclones in supercells. J. Atmos. Sci., 80, 129-149.

Nixon, C.J.*, and J.T. Allen, 2022: Distinguishing between hodographs of severe hail and tornadoes. Wea. Forecasting, 37, 1761-1782.

Nixon, C.J.*, and J.T. Allen, 2021: Anticipating deviant tornado motion using a simple hodograph technique. Wea. Forecasting, 36, 219-235.

Jones, T.A., and C.J. Nixon**, 2017: Short-term forecasts of left-moving supercells from an experimental Warn-on-Forecast system. J. Oper. Meteor., 5, 161-170.

* Author affiliated with Dept. of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Central Michigan University
** Author affiliated with Department of Geosciences/Atmospheric Science, Texas Tech University

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Clark, A.J., and coauthors, 2023: The 3rd real-time, virtual spring forecasting experiment to advance severe weather prediction capabilities. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 104, E456-E458.

Kingfield, D.M. and J.C. Picca, 2018: Development of an operational hydrometeor size sorting identification and potential updraft visualization algorithm utilizing polarimetric radar data. Wea. Forecasting, 33, 1477-1495.

DiSpigna, M.D. and J.C. Picca, 2018: Communicating and comprehending uncertainty during a significant northeast storm. Recorded Presentation, Sixth Symp. on Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation, Austin, TX, 5.4.

Thompson, R.L., B.T. Smith, J.S. Grams, A.R. Dean, J.C. Picca, A.E. Cohen, E.M. Leitman, A.M. Gleason, and P.T. Marsh, 2017: Tornado damage rating probabilities derived from WSR-88D data. Wea. Forecasting, 32, 1509-1528.

DiSpigna, M.D. and J.C. Picca, 2016: A tale of two blizzards: Communicating risk and forecast uncertainty during two significant northeast storms and the public response that followed. Recorded Presentation, Working Toward a More Weather, Water and Climate-Ready World Issues and Opportunities, New Orleans, LA, J3.5.

Edwards, R., and J.C. Picca, 2016: Tornadic debris signatures in tropical cyclones. Preprints, 28th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Portland, OR, P162.

J.C. Snyder, A.V. Ryzhkov, M.R. Kumjian, A.P. Khain, and J.C. Picca, 2015: A ZDR column detection algorithm to examine convective storm updrafts. Wea. Forecasting, 30, 1819-1844.

Smith, B.T., R.L. Thompson, A.R. Dean, E.M. Leitman, J.S. Grams, A.E. Cohen, A. Gleason, J.C. Picca, P.T. Marsh, R. Wagenmaker, and G. Mann, 2015: Developmental work at the Storm Prediction Center in pursuit of tornadic supercell probability and tornado intensity estimation using a severe supercell dataset. Preprints, 40th Natl. Wea. Assoc. Ann. Meeting, Oklahoma City, OK, 8 pp.

Picca, J.C.*, J.C. Snyder, and A.V. Rhyzhkov, 2015: An observational analysis of ZDR column trends in tornadic supercells. Preprints, 37th Conf. Radar Meteorology, Norman, OK, 5A.5.

Jiang, H., S. Albers, Y. Xie, Z. Toth, I. Jankov, M. Scotten, J. Picca*, G. Stumpf, D. Kingfield, D. Birkenheuer, and B. Motta, 2015: Real-Time Applications of the Variational Version of the Local Analysis and Prediction System (vLAPS). Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 96, 2045-2057.

Griffin, E.M., T.J. Schuur, A.V. Ryzhkov, H.D. Reeves, and J.C. Picca*, 2014: A Polarimetric and Microphysical Investigation of the Northeast Blizzard of 8-9 February 2013. Wea. Forecasting, 29, 1271-1294.

Picca, J.C., D.M. Schultz, B.A. Colle, S. Ganetis, D.R. Novak, and M.J. Sienkiewicz, 2014*: The value of dual-polarization radar in diagnosing the complex microphysical evolution of an intense snowband. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 95, 1825-1834.

Snyder, J.C., A.V. Ryzhkov, M.R. Kumjian, and J.C. Picca*, 2014: Using the ZDR column product to detect updraft development and track updraft evolution. Proc., 27th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Madison, WI, 16A.5.

Ganetis, S., B.A. Colle, M.J. Sienkiewicz, D.M. Schultz, D.R. Novak, P. Heinselman, and J.C. Picca*, 2013: Evolution of an intense mesoscale snowband during the 8-9 February 2013 Northeast U.S. blizzard. Proc., 15th Conf. Mesoscale Processes, 6-9 August 2013, Portland, OR.

Griffin, E.A., A.V. Ryzhkov, T.J. Schuur, H.D. Reeves, K.L. Elmore, M.R. Kumjian, and J.C. Picca*, 2013: A polarimetric and microphysical investigation of the northeast blizzard of 8-9 February 2013. 36th Conf. Radar Meteorology, Breckenridge, CO, 15A.3.

Picca, J.C.**, and A. Ryzhkov, 2012: A dual-wavelength polarimetric analysis of the 16 May 2010 Oklahoma City extreme hailstorm. Mon. Wea. Rev., 140, 1385-1403.

Tromel, S., M. Diederich, M.R. Kumjian, J.C. Picca*, and C. Simmer, 2012: Columns of differential reflectivity: A precursor for storm evolution and convective rain. Proc. Ann. Meeting of Amer. Geophys. Union, San Francisco, CA, A33G-0226.

Picca, J.C.**, M.R. Kumjian, and A.V. Ryzhkov, 2010: ZDR columns as a predictive tool for hail growth and storm evolution. 25th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Denver, CO, 11.3.

Kumjian, M., J.C. Picca**, S. Ganson, A. Ryzhkov, and D. Zrnic, 2010: Three body scattering signatures in polarimetric radar data, NOAA/NSSL report, 12 pp.

Picca, J.C.**, and A.V. Ryzhkov, 2010: A multiple-wavelength polarimetric analysis of the 16 May 2010 extreme hailstorm. 25th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Denver, CO, P8.6.

Picca, J.C.**, and A.V. Ryzhkov, 2010: Polarimetric signatures of melting hail at S and C bands. Detection and short-term forecast. 26th Conf. Interactive Information and Processing Systems, Atlanta, GA, 10B.4.

* Author affiliated with NWS Upton, NY ** Author affiliated with School of Meteorology, University of Oklahoma

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Jirak, I.L., M.S. Elliott, C.D. Karstens, R.S. Schneider, P.T. Marsh, and W.F. Bunting, 2020: Generating probabilistic severe timing information from SPC outlooks using the HREF. Proc., Severe Local Storms Symp., Boston, MA, 3.1.

Rothfusz, L.P., T.M. Smith, C.D. Karstens, R.S. Schneider, and G.J. Stumpf, 2015: Forecasting a Continuum of Environmental Threats (FACETs): Early-stage development of a new watch-warning paradigm. 3rd Conf. Weather Warnings and Communication, Raleigh, NC, 5.6.

Rothfusz, L.P., T.M. Smith, C.D. Karstens, G.J. Stumpf, and R.S. Schneider, 2014: Forecasting a Continuum on Environmental Threats (FACETs): Progress in crystallizing a paradigm change. 39th Ann. Meeting, Salt Lake City, UT, B1.2.

Dean, A.R., and R.S. Schneider, 2012: An examination of tornado environments, events, and impacts from 2003-2012. Preprints, 26th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Nashville TN, P6.0.

Harrold, M., T. Jensen, B. Brown, S. Weiss, P.T. Marsh, M. Xue, F. Kong, A. Clark, K. Thomas, J. Kain, M. Coniglio, and R.S. Schneider, 2011: Spatial verification of convective systems during the 2010 NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed Spring Experiment. Preprints, 91st AMS Ann. Meeting, Seattle, WA.

Jensen, T.L., M. Harrold, B.G. Brown, S.J. Weiss, P.T. Marsh, M. Xue, F. Kong, A.J. Clark, K.W. Thomas, J.S. Kain, R.S. Schneider, D. R. Novak, F.E. Barthold, J.J. Levit, and M.C. Coniglio, 2010: An overview of the objective evaluation performed during the Hazardous Weather Testbed (HWT) 2010 spring experiment. Preprints, 25th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Denver CO, 13B.1.

Bosart, L.F., T.J. Melino, S.R. Sukup, S.J. Weiss, J.P. Racy, R.S. Schneider, E.S. Pytlak, J.E. Matusiak, and D.R. Bright, 2010: Potential vorticity disturbances as a source of severe weather in the Southwest. Preprints, 25th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Denver CO, 2.1.

Harless, A.R., S.J. Weiss, R.S. Schneider, M. Xue, and F. Kong, 2010: A report and feature-based verification study of the CAPS 2008 storm-scale ensemble forecasts for severe convective weather. Preprints, 25th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Denver CO, 13.2.

Schneider, R.S., A.R. Dean, and H.E. Brooks, 2009: Estimating potential severe weather societal impacts using probabilistic forecasts issued by the NWS Storm Prediction Center. Preprints, 23rd Conf. Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Omaha NE, 5B.5.

Dean, A.R., R.S. Schneider, R.L. Thompson, J.A. Hart, and P.D. Bothwell, 2009: The conditional risk of severe convection estimated from NWS Storm Prediction Center mesoscale objective analyses: Potential uses in support of forecast operations and verification. Preprints, 23rd Conf. Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Omaha NE, 6A.5.

Schneider, R.S., and A.R. Dean, 2008: A comprehensive 5-year severe storm environment climatology for the continental United States. Preprints, 24th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Savannah GA, 16A.4.

Bright, D.R., S.J. Weiss, J.J. Levit, and R.S. Schneider, 2008: The evolution of multi-scale ensemble guidance in the prediction of convective and severe convective storms at the Storm Prediction Center. Preprints, 24th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Savannah GA, P10.7.

Levit, J.J., G.W. Carbin, D.R. Bright, J.S. Kain, S.J. Weiss, R.S. Schneider, M.C. Coniglio, M. Xue, K.W. Thomas, M. Pyle, and M.L. Weisman, 2008: The NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed 2008 spring experiment: Technical and scientific challenges of creating a data visualization environment for storm-scale deterministic and ensemble forecasts. Preprints, 24th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Savannah GA, P10.5.

Levit, J.J., J.A. Hart, R.S. Schneider, D.R. Bright, and R.L. Thompson, 2008: Utilizing short-range ensemble point forecast soundings for severe storms forecasting. Preprints, 24th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Savannah GA, 13A.2.

Dean, A.R., and R.S. Schneider, 2008: Forecast challenges at the NWS Storm Prediction Center relating to the frequency of favorable severe storm environments. Preprints, 24th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Savannah GA, 9A.2.

Scharfenberg, K.A., D.L. Andra, S.A. Erickson, J.T. Ferree, and R.S. Schneider 2008: Communicating severe local storm information to support decision-making: beyond the watch and the warning. Preprints, 24th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Savannah GA, 8A.4.

Bright, D.R., S.J. Weiss, J.J. Levit, and R.S. Schneider, 2008: The evolution of multi-scale ensemble guidance in the prediction of convective and severe convective storms at the Storm Prediction Center. Preprints, 24th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Savannah GA, P10.7.

Wasula, A.C., L.F. Bosart, R.S. Schneider, S.J. Weiss, R.H. Johns, G.S. Manikin, and P. Welsh, 2007: Mesoscale aspects of the rapid intensification of a tornadic convective line across central Florida: 22-23 February 1998. Wea. Forecasting, 22, 223-243.

Schneider, R.S., A.R. Dean, S.J. Weiss, and P.D. Bothwell, 2006: Analysis of estimated environments for 2004 and 2005 severe convective storm reports. Preprints, 23rd Conf. Severe Local Storms, St. Louis MO. [CD-ROM]

Dean, A.R., R.S. Schneider, and J.T. Schaefer, 2006: Development of a comprehensive severe weather forecast verification system at the Storm Prediction Center. Preprints, 23nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, St. Louis MO. [CD-ROM].

Wasula, A.C., L.F. Bosart, R.S. Schneider, S.J. Weiss, R.H. Johns, G.S. Manikin, and P. Welsh, 2004: The structure and climatology of boundary layer winds in the Southeast United States and its relationship to nocturnal tornado episodes. Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis, MA. [CD-ROM]

Levit, J.J., V. Lakshmanan, K. Manross and R. S. Schneider, 2004: Integration of the Warning Decision Support System - integrated information into the NOAA Storm Prediction Center. Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis, MA, 8B.4.

Schneider, R.S., J.T. Schaefer, and H.E. Brooks, 2004: Tornado outbreak days: An updated and expanded climatology (1875-2003). Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis, MA, P5.1.

Schneider, R.S., H.E. Brooks and J.T. Schaefer, 2004: Tornado outbreak day sequences: Historic events and climatology (1875-2003). Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis MA.

Janish, P.R., S.J. Weiss, R. S. Schneider, J.P. Cupo, E. Szoke, J.M. Brown and C.L. Zeigler, 2002: Probabilistic convection initation forecasts in support of IHOP during the 2002 SPC/NSSL Spring Program. Preprints, 21st Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Antonio, 283-286.

Junker, N.W., R.S. Schneider*, and S.L. Fauver 1999: A study of heavy rainfall events during the Great Midwest Flood of 1993. Wea. Forecasting, 14, 701-712.

Junker, N.W. and R.S. Schneider*, 1997: Two case studies of quasi-stationary convection during the 1993 Great Midwest Flood. Nat. Wea. Dig., 21, 2, 5-17.

Junker, N.W., R.S. Schneider*, and S.L. Fauver, 1996: A comparison of heavy and extreme rainfall events during the Great Midwest Flood of 1993. Preprints, 15th Conf. Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Norfolk, VA, J120-J123.

Schneider, R.S.*, N. W. Junker, M. T. Eckert, and T. M. Considine, 1996: The performance of the 29 km Meso Eta model in support of forecasting at the Hydrometeorological Prediction Center. Preprints, 15th Conf. Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Norfolk, VA, J111-J114.

Uccellini, L.W., P.J. Kocin, R.S. Schneider*, P.M. Stokols, and R.A. Dorr, 1995: Forecasting for the 12-14 March 1993 Superstorm. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 76, 183-199.

Schneider, R.S.*, G. J. DiMego, and R. A. Petersen, 1993: Regional forecast improvements using wind profiler data at the National Meteorological Center. Preprints, 13th Conf. Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Vienna, VA, 455-456.

Schneider, R.S.**, 1990: Large-amplitude mesoscale wave disturbances within the intense Midwest extratropical cyclone of 15 December 1987. Wea. Forecasting, 5, 533-558.

Schneider, R.S.**, 1990: Large-amplitude mesoscale wave disturbances within the intense Midwest extratropical cyclone of 15 December 1987. Preprints, 4th Conf. Mesoscale Processes, Boulder, CO, 152-153.

Achtor, T.H., R.S. Schneider**, and D.R. Johnson, 1982: Earth and planetary atmospheric circulations viewed from space: Educational modules for the atmospheric sciences. Space Science and Engineering Center, University of Wisconsin-Madison, 42 pp. plus charts and data tabulations.

Schneider, R.S.**, D.R. Johnson, T.H. Achtor, D.A. Edman, and C.H. Wash, 1981: Squall line development: Educational modules for the atmospheric sciences. Space Science and Engineering Center, University of Wisconsin-Madison, 70 pp. plus charts and data tabulations.

Achtor, T.H., D.A. Edman, D.R. Johnson, R. S. Schneider**, and C.H. Wash, 1981: Cyclogenesis: Educational modules for the atmospheric sciences. Space Science and Engineering Center, University of Wisconsin-Madison (Listed alphabetically, not order of authorship), 45 pp. plus charts and data tabulations.

* Author affiliated with Hydrometeorological Prediction Center (NWS/NCEP)
** Author affiliated with Dept. of Atmospheric and Ocean Sciences, University of Wisconsin-Madison

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Smith, B.T., R.L. Thompson, C.D. Karstens, J.S. Grams, A.R. Dean, R.M. Mosier, and A.D. Lyons, 2022: Preliminary evaluation of a real-time diagnostic tornado damage intensity estimation tool used at the Storm Prediction Center. Proc., 30th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Santa Fe, NM, 17.4B.

Mosier, R.M., B.T. Smith, R.L. Thompson, and C.D. Karstens, 2022: A tool for real-time estimation of tornado damage intensity. Proc., 30th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Santa Fe, NM, P134.

Allen, J.T., C.J. Nixon, M.R. Kumjian, M. Taszarek, R.E. Jewell, B.T. Smith, and R.L. Thompson, 2022: The elusive environmental predictors generating large hail. Proc., 30th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Santa Fe, NM, P7.

Lyons, A.D., B.T. Smith, R.L. Thompson, and A.R. Dean, 2022: Convective mode classification and climatology of tornado events in the contiguous United States, 2000-2020. Proc., 30th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Santa Fe, NM, 8.1B.

Karstens, C.D., B. Saba, B.T. Smith, R.L. Thompson, S.A. Erickson, and I.L. Jirak, 2022: A method for adding intensity information to NWS preliminary tornado damage paths. Proc., 30th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Santa Fe, NM, P28.

Brown, M.C., C.J. Nowotarski, A.R. Dean, B.T. Smith, R.L. Thompson, and J.M. Peters, 2021: The early evening transition in southeastern U.S. tornado environments. Wea. Forecasting, 36, 1431-1452.

Garner, J.M., W.C. Iwasko, T.D. Jewel, R.L. Thompson, and B.T. Smith, 2021: An environmental study on tornado pathlength, longevity, and width. Wea. Forecasting, 36, 1471-1490.

Smith, B.T., R.L. Thompson, D.A. Speheger, A.R. Dean, C.D. Karstens, and A.K. Anderson-Frey, 2020: WSR-88D tornado intensity estimates. Part II: Real-time applications to tornado warning time scales. Wea. Forecasting, 35, 2493-2506.

Smith, B.T., R.L. Thompson, D.A. Speheger, A.R. Dean, C.D. Karstens, and A.K. Anderson-Frey, 2020: WSR-88D tornado intensity estimates. Part I: Real-time probabilities of peak tornado wind speeds. Wea. Forecasting, 35, 2479-2492.

Baerg, B.M., W.P. Gargan, A.E. Cohen, R.L. Thompson, B.T. Smith, A.E. Gerard, C.J. Schultz, L.A. Kelly, and H.V. Nepaul, 2020: Radar-based, storm-scale circulation and tornado-probability tendencies preceding tornadogenesis in Kansas and Nebraska. Electronic J. Severe Storms Meteor., 15 (3), 1-23.

Jahn, D.E., B.T. Gallo, C. Broyles, B.T. Smith, I.L. Jirak, and J. Milne, 2020: Refining CAM-based tornado probability forecasts using storm-inflow and storm-attribute information. Proc., 26th Conf. Numerical Weather Prediction, Boston, MA, 2A4.

Gallo, B.T., A.J. Clark, B.T. Smith, R.L. Thompson, I. Jirak, and S.R. Dembek, 2019: Incorporating UH occurrence time to ensemble-derived tornado probabilities. Wea. Forecasting, 34, 151-164.

Coffer, B.E., M.D. Parker, R.L. Thompson, B.T. Smith, and R.E. Jewell, 2019: Using near-ground storm relative helicity in supercell tornado forecasting. Wea. Forecasting, 34, 1417-1435.

Anderson-Frey, A.K., Y.P. Richardson, A.R. Dean, R.L. Thompson, and B.T. Smith, 2019: Characteristics of tornado events and warnings in the southeastern United States. Wea. Forecasting, 34, 1017-1034.

Dean, A.R., R.L. Thompson, and B.T. Smith, 2018: Relating convective mode information to SPC tornado outlook verification. Preprints, 29th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Stowe, VT., 121.

Anderson-Frey, A.K., Y.P. Richardson, A.R. Dean, R.L. Thompson, and B.T. Smith, 2018: Near-storm environments of outbreak and isolated tornadoes. Wea. Forecasting, 33, 1397-1412.

Cohen, A.E., J.B. Cohen, R.L. Thompson, and B.T. Smith, 2018: Simulating tornado probability and tornado wind speed based on statistical models. Wea. Forecasting, 33, 1099-1108.

Gallo, B.T., A.J. Clark, B.T. Smith, R.L. Thompson, I.L. Jirak, and S.R. Dembek, 2018: Blended probabilistic tornado forecasts: Combining climatological frequencies with NSSL-WRF ensemble forecasts. Wea. Forecasting, 33, 443-460.

Smith, B.T., 2017: Utilization of the NWS Damage Assessment Tool for future tornado database development and application. Preprints, 42nd Natl. Wea. Assoc. Ann. Meeting, Garden Grove, CA, D-1.1.

Anderson-Frey, A.K., Y.P. Richardson, A.R. Dean, R.L. Thompson, and B.T. Smith, 2017: Self-organizing maps for the investigation of tornadic near-storm environments. Wea. Forecasting, 32, 1467-1475.

Thompson, R.L., B.T. Smith, J.S. Grams, A.R. Dean, J.C. Picca, A.E. Cohen, E.M. Leitman, A.M. Gleason, and P.T. Marsh, 2017: Tornado damage rating probabilities derived from WSR-88D data. Wea. Forecasting, 32, 1509-1528.

Gallo, B.T., A.J. Clark, B.T. Smith, R.L. Thompson, I.L. Jirak, H.E. Brooks, and S.R. Dembek, 2016: Forecasting tornadoes by combining climatological frequencies with the NSSL-WRF ensemble. Preprints, 28th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Portland, OR, P109.

Dean, A.R., B.T. Smith, and R.L. Thompson, 2016: An examination of conditional significant tornado probabilities on the outlook scale as a function of convective mode and environment. Preprints, 28th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Portland, OR, 14B.5.

Smith, B.T., R.L. Thompson, and A.R. Dean, 2016: The development, display, and preliminary evaluation of conditional supercell tornado probabilities. Preprints, 28th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Portland, OR, 14B.4.

Thompson, R.L., B.T. Smith, J.S. Grams, and A.R. Dean, 2016: Tornado damage probabilities derived from WSR-88D data. Preprints, 28th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Portland, OR, 6B.6.

Anderson-Frey, A.K., Y.P. Richardson, A.R. Dean, R.L. Thompson, and B.T. Smith, 2016: Investigation of near-storm environments for tornado events and warnings. Wea. Forecasting, 31, 1771-1790.

Rogers, J.W., B.A. Hagenhoff, A.E. Cohen, R.L. Thompson, B.T. Smith, and E.E. Carpenter, 2016: Lower Mississippi River Valley quasi-linear convective system tornado environments and radar signatures. NWA J. Oper. Meteor., 5 (4), 42-52.

Anderson-Frey, A.K., Y.P. Richardson, A.R. Dean, R.L. Thompson, and B.T. Smith, 2016: Self-organizing maps in the near-storm environment: Toward improving tornado forecasting. Preprints, 23rd Conf. Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences, New Orleans, LA, 646.

Karstens, C.D., D. LaDue, J. Correia, Jr., K.M. Calhoun, T. Smith, C. Ling, T.C. Meyer, A. McGovern, R.A. Lagerquist, D.M. Kingfield, B.T. Smith, E.M. Leitman, J.L. Cintineo, J.P. Wolfe, A. Gerard, and L.P. Rothfusz, 2017: Prototyping a next-generation severe weather warning system for FACETs. Preprints, 7th Conf. Transition of Research to Operations, Seattle, WA, 8.1.

Karstens, C.D., D. LaDue, J. Correia, Jr., K.M. Calhoun, T. Smith, C. Ling, T.C. Meyer, A. McGovern, R.A. Lagerquist, D.M. Kingfield, B.T. Smith, E.M. Leitman, J.L. Cintineo, J.P. Wolfe, A. Gerard, and L.P. Rothfusz, 2016: Prototyping a next-generation severe weather warning system for FACETs. NWA 41st Ann. Meeting, Norfolk, VA.

Hagenhoff, B.A., A.E. Cohen, J.W. Rogers, E.E. Carpenter, R.L. Thompson, and B.T. Smith, 2015: Lower Mississippi River Valley quasi-linear convective system tornado environments and radar signatures. Preprints, 40th NWA Ann. Meeting, Oklahoma City, OK, AP11.

Smith, B.T., R.L. Thompson, A.R. Dean, E.M. Leitman, J.S. Grams, A.E. Cohen, A. Gleason, J.C. Picca, P.T. Marsh, R. Wagenmaker, and G. Mann, 2015: Developmental work at the Storm Prediction Center in pursuit of tornadic supercell probability and tornado intensity estimation using a severe supercell dataset. Preprints, 40th NWA Ann. Meeting, Oklahoma City, OK, 8 pp.

Edwards, R., B.T. Smith, R.L. Thompson and A.R. Dean, 2015: Analyses of radar rotational velocities and environmental parameters for tornadic supercells in tropical cyclones. Preprints, 37th Conf. Radar Meteorology, Norman, OK, 5A.3.

Smith, B.T., R.L. Thompson, A.R. Dean, and P.T. Marsh, 2015: Diagnosing the conditional probability of tornado damage rating using environmental and radar attributes. Wea. Forecasting, 30, 914-932.

Anderson-Frey, A.K., Y.P. Richardson, A.R. Dean, R.L. Thompson, and B.T. Smith, 2014: Tornado environments, metrics, and warnings: Lessons from a ten-year climatology. Preprints, 27th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Madison, WI, 4B.6.

Smith, B.T., R.L. Thompson, A.R. Dean, P.T. Marsh, R. Wagenmaker, G. Mann, M.J. Hudson, and J.T. Ferree, 2014: Demonstrating the utility of conditional probabilities of tornado damage rating in the impact-based warning era. Preprints, 27th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Madison, WI, P89.

Bothwell, P.D., B.T. Smith, R.L. Thompson, A.R. Dean, and J.S. Kain, 2014: Severe weather parameter reanalysis project at the Storm Prediction Center. Preprints, 27th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Madison, WI, 18.2.

Smith, B.T., R.L. Thompson, and A.R. Dean, 2014: The Storm Prediction Center tornadic storm and environment database: Development and application. Preprints, 27th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Madison, WI, 17.1.

Brotzge, J.A., S.E. Nelson, R.L. Thompson, and B.T. Smith, 2013: Tornado probability of detection and lead time as a function of convective mode and environmental parameters. Wea. Forecasting, 28, 1261-1276.

Thompson, R.L., B.T. Smith, A.R. Dean, and P.T. Marsh, 2013: Spatial distributions of tornadic near-storm environments by convective mode. Electronic J. Severe Storms Meteor., 8 (5), 1-22.

Twiest, B.L., B.T. Smith, H.E. Brooks, R.L. Thompson, P. Marsh, A.R. Dean, and C.J. Melick, 2013: Localizing tornado climatology in the contiguous United States: An environmental parameter and convective mode focus. Preprints, 20th Conf. Applied Climatology, Austin, TX, 4.5.

Smith, B.T., T.E. Castellanos, A.C. Winters, C.M. Mead, A.R. Dean, and R.L. Thompson, 2013: Measured severe convective wind climatology and associated convective modes of thunderstorms in the contiguous United States, 2003-09. Wea. Forecasting, 28, 229-236.

Edwards, R., A.R. Dean, R.L. Thompson and B.T. Smith, 2012: Convective modes for significant severe thunderstorms in the contiguous United States. Part III: Tropical cyclone tornadoes. Wea. Forecasting, 27, 1507-1519.

Thompson, R.L., B.T. Smith, A.R. Dean, and P.T. Marsh, 2012: Spatial distributions of tornadic near-storm environments by convective mode. Preprints, 26th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Nashville TN, 9.5.

Edwards, R., A.R. Dean, R.L. Thompson and B.T. Smith, 2012: Nonsupercell tropical cyclone tornadoes: Documentation, classification and uncertainties. Preprints, 26th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Nashville TN, 9.6.

Nelson, S.E., J.A. Brotzge, R.L. Thompson , and B.T. Smith, 2012: Relationships between convective mode and tornado warning probability of detection and lead time. Preprints, 26th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Nashville TN, P120.

Smith, B.T., R.L. Thompson, H.E. Brooks, A.R. Dean, and K.L. Elmore, 2012: Diagnosis of conditional maximum tornado probabilities. Preprints, 26th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Nashville TN, P2.2.

Smith, B.T., R.L. Thompson, J.S. Grams, C. Broyles, and H.E. Brooks, 2012: Convective modes for significant severe thunderstorms in the contiguous United States. Part I: Storm classification and climatology. Wea. Forecasting, 27, 1114-1135.

Thompson, R.L., B.T. Smith, J.S. Grams, A.R. Dean, and C. Broyles, 2012: Convective modes for significant severe thunderstorms in the contiguous United States. Part II: Supercell and QLCS tornado environments. Wea. Forecasting, 27, 1114-1135.

Smith, B.T., A.C. Winters, C.M. Mead, A.R. Dean, and T.E. Castellanos, 2010: Measured severe wind gust climatology of thunderstorms for the contiguous United States, 2003-2009. Preprints, 25th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Denver CO, 16B.3.

Edwards, R., A.R. Dean, R.L. Thompson and B.T. Smith, 2010: Objective environmental analyses and convective modes for United States tropical cyclone tornadoes from 2003-2008. Preprints, 25th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Denver CO, P3.2.

Smith, B.T., R.L. Thompson, J.S. Grams, and C. Broyles, 2010: Climatology of convective modes for significant severe thunderstorms in the contiguous United States. Preprints, 25th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Denver CO, P2.7.

Thompson, R.L., B.T. Smith, J.S. Grams, A.R. Dean, and C. Broyles, 2010: Climatology of near-storm environments with convective modes for significant severe thunderstorms in the contiguous United States. Preprints, 25th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Denver CO, 16B.6.

Smith, B.T., and J.L. Guyer, 2008: The climatology, convective mode, and mesoscale environment of cool-season severe thunderstorms in the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys, 1995-2006. Preprints, 24th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Savannah GA, 13B.7.

Smith, B.T.*, C. Omitt, and J.L. Guyer, 2006: Characteristics of cool season severe environments in the Ohio Valley (1995-2006). Preprints, 23rd Conf. Severe Local Storms, St. Louis MO, CD-ROM.

Smith, B.T.*, 2006: SVRGIS: Geographic Information System (GIS) graphical database of tornado, large hail, and damaging wind reports in the United States (1950-2005). Preprints, 23rd Conf. Severe Local Storms, St. Louis MO, CD-ROM.

* Author affiliated with Ball State University.

* Author affiliated with NWS WFO at Indianapolis, IN.

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Squitieri, B.J., A.R. Wade, and I.L. Jirak, 2023: A historical overview on the science of derechos. Part II: Parent storm structure, environmental conditions, and history of numerical forecasts. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 104, E1734-E1763.

Squitieri, B.J., A.R. Wade, and I.L. Jirak, 2023: A historical overview on the science of derechos. Part I: Identification, climatology, and societal impacts. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 104, 1709-E1733.

Wade, A.R., B.J. Squitieri, and I.L. Jirak, 2023: 26-year climatology of severe wind-producing mesoscale convective systems in the United States. Proc., 32nd Conf. Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/28th Conf. Numerical Weather Prediction/20th Conf. Mesoscale Processes, Madison, WI, 1.5.

Squitieri, B.J., and W.A. Gallus Jr., 2022: On the changes in convection-allowing WRF forecasts of MCS evolution due to decreases in model horizontal and vertical grid spacing. Part II: Impacts on QPFs. Wea. Forecasting, 37, 1925-1940.

Squitieri, B.J., and W.A. Gallus Jr., 2022: On the changes in convection-allowing WRF forecasts of MCS evolution due to decreases in model horizontal and vertical grid spacing. Part I: Changes in cold pool evolution. Wea. Forecasting, 37, 1903-1922.

Vertz, N.J., W.A. Gallus Jr., and B.J. Squitieri, 2021: Can pre-storm errors in the low-level jet inflow help predict spatial displacement errors in MCS initiation? Atmosphere, 12, doi:10.3390/atmos12010007.

Squitieri, B.J.*, and W.A. Gallus Jr., 2020: On the forecast sensitivity of MCS cold pools and related features to horizontal grid spacing in convection-allowing WRF simulations. Wea. Forecasting, 35, 325-346.

Squitieri, B.J.*, and W.A. Gallus Jr., 2020: On the changes in MCS cold pool characteristics due to simultaneous changes in horizontal and vertical grid spacing in WRF runs. Proc., 30th Conf. Weather Analysis and Forecasting / 26th Conf. Numerical Weather Prediction, Boston, MA, 8A.3.

Gallus, W.A., Jr., J.T. Thielen, and B.J. Squitieri*, 2018: Microphysical and resolution influences on WRF forecasts of convective morphology evolution for nocturnal MCSs in weakly forced environments. Proc., EGU General Assembly, Vienna, Austria.

Squitieri, B.J.*, and W.A. Gallus Jr., 2018: Forecast sensitivities of MCS stratiform precipitation shields to changes in horizontal grid spacing in WRF simulations. Proc., 29th Conf. Weather Analysis and Forecasting / 25th Conf. Numerical Weather Prediction, Denver, CO, 10B.5.

Thielen, J.T., W.A. Gallus Jr., and B.J. Squitieri*, 2018: Microphysical and resolution Influences on WRF forecasts of convective morphology evolution for nocturnal MCSs in weakly forced environments. Proc. Symp. on Plains Elevated Convection at Night (PECAN), Austin, TX, 3.4.

Squitieri, B.J.* and W.A. Gallus Jr., 2018: The use of PECAN observations to verify MCS cold pools simulated with varying horizontal grid spacing. Proc., Symp. on Plains Elevated Convection at Night (PECAN), Austin, TX, 843.

Squitieri, B.J.*, and W.A. Gallus Jr., 2017: On the acceleration of nocturnal mesoscale convective systems in simulations with increased horizontal grid spacing. Proc., 28th Conf. Weather Analysis and Forecasting / 24th Conf. Numerical Weather Prediction, Seattle, WA, 6B.2.

Squitieri, B.J.*, and W.A. Gallus Jr., 2016: WRF forecasts of Great Plains nocturnal low-level jet-driven MCSs. Part I: Correlation between low-level jet forecast accuracy and MCS precipitation forecast skill. Wea. Forecasting, 31, 1301-1323.

Squitieri, B.J.*, and W.A. Gallus Jr., 2016: WRF forecasts of Great Plains nocturnal low-level jet-driven MCSs. Part II: Identifying the differences between strongly and weakly forced low-level jet forecast environments. Wea. Forecasting, 31, 1491-1510.

Gallus, W.A. Jr., J. Lawson and B.J. Squitieri*, 2016: On the sensitivity of convective system structure and propagation in convection-allowing runs to horizontal grid spacings, EGU General Assembly 2016, Vienna, Austria.

Squitieri, B.J.*, and W.A. Gallus Jr., 2014: Evaluation of the Great Plains low level jet and its influence on mesoscale convective systems in the Weather Research and Forecasting Model. 26th Conf. on Weather and Forecasting/22nd Conf. on Numerical Weather Prediction, Atlanta, GA, 3B.5.

* Author affiliated with Iowa State University.

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Gallo, B.T., and coauthors*, 2021: Exploring convection-allowing model evaluation strategies for severe local storms using the finite-volume cubed-sphere (FV3) model core. Wea. Forecasting, 36, 3-19.

Potvin, C.K., J.R. Carley, A.J. Clark, L.J. Wicker, P.S. Skinner, A.E. Reinhart, B.T. Gallo, J.S. Kain, G.S. Romine, E.A. Aligo, K.A. Brewster, D.C. Dowell, L.M. Harris, I.L. Jirak, F. Kong, T.A. Supinie*, K.W. Thomas, X. Wang, Y. Wang, and M. Xue, 2019: Systematic comparison of convection-allowing models during the 2017 NOAA HWT Spring Forecasting Experiment. Wea. Forecasting, 34, 1395-1416.

Blumberg, W.G., K.T. Halbert, T.A. Supinie*, P.T. Marsh, R.L. Thompson, and J.A. Hart, 2017: SHARPpy: An open source sounding analysis toolkit for the atmospheric sciences. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 98, 1625-1636.

Supinie, T.A.*, Y. Jung, M. Xue, D.J. Stensrud, M.M. French, and H.B. Bluestein, 2016: Impact of VORTEX2 observations on analyses and forecasts of the 5 June 2009 Goshen County, Wyoming, supercell. Mon. Wea. Rev., 144, 429-449.

Supinie, T.A.*, N. Yussouf, Y. Jung, M. Xue, J. Cheng, and S. Wang, 2017: Comparison of the analyses and forecasts of a tornadic supercell storm from assimilating phased-array radar and WSR-88D observations. Wea. Forecasting, 32, 1379-1401.

Supinie, T.A.*, J. Park, N. Snook, X. Hu, K.A. Brewster, M. Xue, and J.R. Carley, 2022: Cool-season evaluation of FV3-LAM-based CONUS-scale forecasts with physics configurations of experimental RRFS ensembles. Mon. Wea. Rev., 150, 2379-2398.

* Author affiliated with Center for Analysis and Prediction of Storms.

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Thiel, K.C., 2023: GOES-R and JPSS Proving Ground demonstration at the Hazardous Weather Testbed 2023 Spring Experiment: Final evaluation. CIWRO Tech. Rep., 48 pp.

Thiel, K.C., K.M. Calhoun, and A.E. Reinhart, 2023: Forecast applications of GLM gridded products: A data fusion perspective. Wea. Forecasting, 38, 2253-2270.

Thiel, K.C.*, 2022: GOES-R and JPSS Proving Ground demonstration at the Hazardous Weather Testbed 2022 Spring Experiment: Final evaluation. CIWRO Tech. Rep., 47 pp.

Thiel, K.C.*, and K.M. Calhoun, 2021: GOES-R and JPSS Proving Ground demonstration at the Hazardous Weather Testbed 2021 Spring Experiment: Final evaluation. CIWRO Tech. Rep., 35 pp.

Thiel, K.C.*, K.M. Calhoun, A.E. Reinhart, and D.R. MacGorman, 2020: GLM and ABI characteristics of severe and convective storms. J. Geophys. Res. Atmos., 125, e2020JD032858.

* Author affiliated with University of Oklahoma, CIWRO and NSSL.

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Edwards, R., and R.L. Thompson, 2024: Right-moving supercell tornadogenesis during interaction with a left-moving supercell's rear-flank outflow. Wea. Forecasting, 39, 141-152.

Thompson, R.L., 2023: A comparison of right-moving supercell and quasi-linear convective system tornadoes in the contiguous United States, 2003-21. Wea. Forecasting, 38, 1497-1513.

Smith, B.T., R.L. Thompson, C.D. Karstens, J.S. Grams, A.R. Dean, R.M. Mosier, and A.D. Lyons, 2022: Preliminary evaluation of a real-time diagnostic tornado damage intensity estimation tool used at the Storm Prediction Center. Proc., 30th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Santa Fe, NM, 17.4B.

Brandt, S., P.M. Markowski, and R.L. Thompson, 2022: Can the "beta angle" and the integrated crosswise vorticity flux discriminate between tornadic and nontornadic supercell environments? Proc., 30th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Sante Fe, NM, P62.

Mosier, R.M., B.T. Smith, R.L. Thompson, and C.D. Karstens, 2022: A tool for real-time estimation of tornado damage intensity. Proc., 30th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Santa Fe, NM, P134.

Lyons, A.D., B.T. Smith, R.L. Thompson, and A.R. Dean, 2022: Convective mode classification and climatology of tornado events in the contiguous United States, 2000-2020. Proc., 30th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Santa Fe, NM, 8.1B.

Karstens, C.D., B. Saba, B.T. Smith, R.L. Thompson, S.A. Erickson, and I.L. Jirak, 2022: A method for adding intensity information to NWS preliminary tornado damage paths. Proc., 30th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Santa Fe, NM, P28.

Allen, J.T., C.J. Nixon, M.R. Kumjian, M. Taszarek, R.E. Jewell, B.T. Smith, and R.L. Thompson, 2022: The elusive environmental predictors generating large hail. Proc., 30th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Santa Fe, NM, P7.

Bentley, E.S., R.L. Thompson, B.R. Bowers, J.G. Gibbs, and S.E. Nelson, 2021: An analysis of 2016-18 tornadoes and National Weather Service tornado warnings across the contiguous United States. Wea. Forecasting, 36, 1909-1924.

Warren, R.A., H. Richter, R.L. Thompson, and R. Dalal, 2021: Spectrum of near-storm environments for significant severe right-moving supercells in the contiguous United States. Mon. Wea. Rev., 149, 3299-3323.

Brown, M.C., C.J. Nowotarski, A.R. Dean, B.T. Smith, R.L. Thompson, and J.M. Peters, 2021: The early evening transition in southeastern U.S. tornado environments. Wea. Forecasting, 36, 1431-1452.

Garner, J.M., W.C. Iwasko, T.D. Jewel, R.L. Thompson, and B.T. Smith, 2021: An environmental study on tornado pathlength, longevity, and width. Wea. Forecasting, 36, 1471-1490.

Smith, B.T., R.L. Thompson, D.A. Speheger, A.R. Dean, C.D. Karstens, and A.K. Anderson-Frey, 2020: WSR-88D tornado intensity estimates. Part II: Real-time applications to tornado warning time scales. Wea. Forecasting, 35, 2493-2506.

Smith, B.T., R.L. Thompson, D.A. Speheger, A.R. Dean, C.D. Karstens, and A.K. Anderson-Frey, 2020: WSR-88D tornado intensity estimates. Part I: Real-time probabilities of peak tornado wind speeds. Wea. Forecasting, 35, 2479-2492.

Baerg, B.M., W.P. Gargan, A.E. Cohen, R.L. Thompson, B.T. Smith, A.E. Gerard, C.J. Schultz, L.A. Kelly, and H.V. Nepaul, 2020: Radar-based, storm-scale circulation and tornado-probability tendencies preceding tornadogenesis in Kansas and Nebraska. Electronic J. Severe Storms Meteor., 15 (3), 1-23.

Peters, J.M., H. Morrison, C.J. Nowotarski, J.P. Mulholland, and R.L. Thompson, 2020: A formula for the maximum vertical velocity in supercell updrafts. J. Atmos. Sci., 3747-3757.

Peters, J.M., C.J. Nowotarski, J.P. Mulholland, and R.L. Thompson, 2020: The influences of effective inflow layer streamwise vorticity and storm-relative flow on supercell updraft properties. J. Atmos. Sci., 77, 3033-3057.

Gallo, B.T., A.J. Clark, B.T. Smith, R.L. Thompson, I. Jirak, and S.R. Dembek, 2019: Incorporating UH occurrence time to ensemble-derived tornado probabilities. Wea. Forecasting, 34, 151-164.

Coffer, B.E., M.D. Parker, R.L. Thompson, B.T. Smith, and R.E. Jewell, 2019: Using near-ground storm relative helicity in supercell tornado forecasting. Wea. Forecasting, 34, 1417-1435.

Anderson-Frey, A.K., Y.P. Richardson, A.R. Dean, R.L. Thompson, and B.T. Smith, 2019: Characteristics of tornado events and warnings in the southeastern United States. Wea. Forecasting, 34, 1017-1034.

Dean, A.R., R.L. Thompson, and B.T. Smith, 2018: Relating convective mode information to SPC tornado outlook verification. Preprints, 29th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Stowe, VT., 121.

Anderson-Frey, A.K., Y.P. Richardson, A.R. Dean, R.L. Thompson, and B.T. Smith, 2018: Near-storm environments of outbreak and isolated tornadoes. Wea. Forecasting, 33, 1397-1412.

Cohen, A.E., J.B. Cohen, R.L. Thompson, and B.T. Smith, 2018: Simulating tornado probability and tornado wind speed based on statistical models. Wea. Forecasting, 33, 1099-1108.

Gallo, B.T., A.J. Clark, B.T. Smith, R.L. Thompson, I.L. Jirak, and S.R. Dembek, 2018: Blended probabilistic tornado forecasts: Combining climatological frequencies with NSSL-WRF ensemble forecasts. Wea. Forecasting, 33, 443-460.

Cohen, A.E., and coauthors, 2018: Bridging operational meteorology and academia through experiential education: The Storm Prediction Center in the University of Oklahoma classroom. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 99, 269-279.

Blumberg, W.G., K.T. Halbert, T.A. Supinie, P.T. Marsh, R.L. Thompson, and J.A. Hart, 2017: SHARPpy: An open source sounding analysis toolkit for the atmospheric sciences. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 98, 1625-1636.

Anderson-Frey, A.K., Y.P. Richardson, A.R. Dean, R.L. Thompson, and B.T. Smith, 2017: Self-organizing maps for the investigation of tornadic near-storm environments. Wea. Forecasting, 32, 1467-1475.

Thompson, R.L., B.T. Smith, J.S. Grams, A.R. Dean, J.C. Picca, A.E. Cohen, E.M. Leitman, A.M. Gleason, and P.T. Marsh, 2017: Tornado damage rating probabilities derived from WSR-88D data. Wea. Forecasting, 32, 1509-1528.

Gallo, B.T., A.J. Clark, B.T. Smith, R.L. Thompson, I.L. Jirak, H.E. Brooks, and S.R. Dembek, 2016: Forecasting tornadoes by combining climatological frequencies with the NSSL-WRF ensemble. Preprints, 28th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Portland, OR, P109.

Dean, A.R., B.T. Smith, and R.L. Thompson, 2016: An examination of conditional significant tornado probabilities on the outlook scale as a function of convective mode and environment. Preprints, 28th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Portland, OR, 14B.5.

Smith, B.T., R.L. Thompson, and A.R. Dean, 2016: The development, display, and preliminary evaluation of conditional supercell tornado probabilities. Preprints, 28th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Portland, OR, 14B.4.

Thompson, R.L., B.T. Smith, J.S. Grams, and A.R. Dean, 2016: Tornado damage probabilities derived from WSR-88D data. Preprints, 28th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Portland, OR, 6B.6.

Rogers, J.W., B.A. Hagenhoff, A.E. Cohen, R.L. Thompson, B.T. Smith, and E.E. Carpenter, 2016: Lower Mississippi River Valley quasi-linear convective system tornado environments and radar signatures. NWA J. Oper. Meteor., 5 (4), 42-52.

Anderson-Frey, A.K., Y.P. Richardson, A.R. Dean, R.L. Thompson, and B.T. Smith, 2016: Investigation of near-storm environments for tornado events and warnings. Wea. Forecasting, 31, 1771-1790.

Lewis, J. M., S. Lakshmivarahan, J. Hu, R. Edwards, R. A. Maddox, R. L. Thompson, and S. F. Corfidi, 2016: Ensemble forecasting of return flow over the Gulf of Mexico. Electronic J. Severe Storms Meteor., 11 (4), 1-26.

Anderson-Frey, A.K., Y.P. Richardson, A.R. Dean, R.L. Thompson, and B.T. Smith, 2016: Self-organizing maps in the near-storm environment: Toward improving tornado forecasting. Preprints, 23rd Conf. Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences, New Orleans, LA, 646.

Hagenhoff, B.A., A.E. Cohen, J.W. Rogers, E.E. Carpenter, R.L. Thompson, and B.T. Smith, 2015: Lower Mississippi River Valley quasi-linear convective system tornado environments and radar signatures. Preprints, 40th NWA Ann. Meeting, Oklahoma City, OK, AP11.

Smith, B.T., R.L. Thompson, A.R. Dean, E.M. Leitman, J.S. Grams, A.E. Cohen, A. Gleason, J.C. Picca, P.T. Marsh, R. Wagenmaker, and G. Mann, 2015: Developmental work at the Storm Prediction Center in pursuit of tornadic supercell probability and tornado intensity estimation using a severe supercell dataset. Preprints, 40th NWA Ann. Meeting, Oklahoma City, OK, 8 pp.

Edwards, R., B.T. Smith, R.L. Thompson and A.R. Dean, 2015: Analyses of radar rotational velocities and environmental parameters for tornadic supercells in tropical cyclones. Preprints, 37th Conf. Radar Meteorology, Norman, OK, 5A.3.

Smith, B.T., R.L. Thompson, A.R. Dean, and P.T. Marsh, 2015: Diagnosing the conditional probability of tornado damage rating using environmental and radar attributes. Wea. Forecasting, 30, 914-932.

Edwards, R., and R.L. Thompson, 2014: Reversible CAPE in tropical cyclone tornado regimes. Preprints, 27th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Madison, WI, P88.

Anderson-Frey, A.K., Y.P. Richardson, A.R. Dean, R.L. Thompson, and B.T. Smith, 2014: Tornado environments, metrics, and warnings: Lessons from a ten-year climatology. Preprints, 27th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Madison, WI, 4B.6.

Bothwell, P.D., B.T. Smith, R.L. Thompson, A.R. Dean, and J.S. Kain, 2014: Severe weather parameter reanalysis project at the Storm Prediction Center. Preprints, 27th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Madison, WI, 18.2.

Smith, B.T., R.L. Thompson, A.R. Dean, P.T. Marsh, R. Wagenmaker, G. Mann, M.J. Hudson, and J.T. Ferree, 2014: Demonstrating the utility of conditional probabilities of tornado damage rating in the impact-based warning era. Preprints, 27th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Madison, WI, P89.

Rogers, J.W., R.L. Thompson, and P.T. Marsh, 2014: Potential applications of a CONUS sounding climatology developed at the Storm Prediction Center. Preprints, 27th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Madison, WI, P145.

Smith, B.T., R.L. Thompson, and A.R. Dean, 2014: The Storm Prediction Center tornadic storm and environment database: Development and application. Preprints, 27th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Madison, WI, 17.1.

Bunkers, M.J., D.A. Barber, R.L. Thompson, R. Edwards, and J.M. Garner, 2014: Choosing a universal mean wind for supercell motion prediction. NWA Electronic J. Oper. Meteor., 2 (11), 115-129.

Brotzge, J.A., S.E. Nelson, R.L. Thompson, and B.T. Smith, 2013: Tornado probability of detection and lead time as a function of convective mode and environmental parameters. Wea. Forecasting, 28, 1261-1276.

Thompson, R.L., B.T. Smith, A.R. Dean, and P.T. Marsh, 2013: Spatial distributions of tornadic near-storm environments by convective mode. Electronic J. Severe Storms Meteor., 8 (5), 1-22.

Twiest, B.L., B.T. Smith, H.E. Brooks, R.L. Thompson, P. Marsh, A.R. Dean, and C.J. Melick, 2013: Localizing tornado climatology in the contiguous United States: An environmental parameter and convective mode focus. Preprints, 20th Conf. Applied Climatology, Austin, TX, 4.5.

Smith, B.T., T.E. Castellanos, A.C. Winters, C.M. Mead, A.R. Dean, and R.L. Thompson, 2013: Measured severe convective wind climatology and associated convective modes of thunderstorms in the contiguous United States, 2003-09. Wea. Forecasting, 28, 229-236.

Edwards, R., A.R. Dean, R.L. Thompson and B.T. Smith, 2012: Convective modes for significant severe thunderstorms in the contiguous United States. Part III: Tropical cyclone tornadoes. Wea. Forecasting, 27, 1507-1519.

Edwards, R., A.R. Dean, R.L. Thompson and B.T. Smith, 2012: Nonsupercell tropical cyclone tornadoes: Documentation, classification and uncertainties. Preprints, 26th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Nashville TN, 9.6.

Thompson, R.L., B.T. Smith, A.R. Dean, and P.T. Marsh, 2012: Spatial distributions of tornadic near-storm environments by convective mode. Preprints, 26th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Nashville TN, 9.5.

Nelson, S.E., J.A. Brotzge, R.L. Thompson , and B.T. Smith, 2012: Relationships between convective mode and tornado warning probability of detection and lead time. Preprints, 26th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Nashville TN, P120.

Smith, B.T., R.L. Thompson, H.E. Brooks, A.R. Dean, and K.L. Elmore, 2012: Diagnosis of conditional maximum tornado probabilities. Preprints, 26th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Nashville TN, P2.2.

Smith, B.T., R.L. Thompson, J.S. Grams, C. Broyles, and H.E. Brooks, 2012: Convective modes for significant severe thunderstorms in the contiguous United States. Part I: Storm classification and climatology. Wea. Forecasting, 27, 1114-1135.

Thompson, R.L., B.T. Smith, J.S. Grams, A.R. Dean, and C. Broyles, 2012: Convective modes for significant severe thunderstorms in the contiguous United States. Part II: Supercell and QLCS tornado environments. Wea. Forecasting, 27, 1114-1135.

Naylor, J., M.S. Gilmore, R.L. Thompson, R. Edwards, and R.B. Wilhelmson, 2012: Comparison of objective supercell identification techniques using an idealized cloud model. Mon. Wea. Rev., 140, 2090-2102.

Grams, J.S., R.L. Thompson, D.V. Snively, J.A. Prentice, G.M. Hodges, and L.J. Reames, 2012: A climatology and comparison of parameters for significant tornado events in the United States. Wea. Forecasting, 21, 106-123.

Mead, C.M., and R.L. Thompson, 2011: Environmental characteristics associated with nocturnal significant-tornado events in the central and southern Great Plains. Electronic J. Severe Storms Meteor., 6 (6), 1-35.

Edwards, R., A.R. Dean, R.L. Thompson and B.T. Smith, 2010: Objective environmental analyses and convective modes for United States tropical cyclone tornadoes from 2003-2008. Preprints, 25th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Denver CO, P3.2.

Smith, B.T., R.L. Thompson, J.S. Grams, and C. Broyles, 2010: Climatology of convective modes for significant severe thunderstorms in the contiguous United States. Preprints, 25th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Denver CO, P2.7.

Mead, C.M., and R.L. Thompson, 2010: A synoptic-scale environment associated with significant nocturnal tornado events in the Great Plains. Preprints, 25th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Denver CO, 1.4.

Burkett, L., M. S. Gilmore, R.L. Thompson, R. Edwards, J.M. Straka, and R.B. Wilhelmson, 2010: Characteristics of supercells simulated with tornadic and non-tornadic RUC-2 proximity soundings. Part I: Sensitivity to convective initiation mechanisms. Preprints, 25th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Denver CO, P8.23.

Gilmore, M.S., L. Burkett, R. Edwards, and R.L. Thompson, 2010: Characteristics of supercells simulated with tornadic and non-tornadic RUC-2 proximity soundings. Part II: Sounding variables as predictors of simulated low-level rotation. Preprints, 25th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Denver CO, 7A.1.

Naylor, J., M.S. Gilmore, R.L. Thompson, and R. Edwards, 2010: Characteristics of supercells simulated with tornadic and non-tornadic RUC-2 proximity soundings. Part III: Comparisons at tornado-resolving grid spacing. Preprints, 25th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Denver CO, P10.20.

Thompson, R.L., B.T. Smith, J.S. Grams, A.R. Dean, and C. Broyles, 2010: Climatology of near-storm environments with convective modes for significant severe thunderstorms in the contiguous United States. Preprints, 25th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Denver CO, 16B.6.

Dial, G.L., J.P. Racy and R.L. Thompson, 2010: Short-term convective mode evolution along synoptic boundaries. Wea. Forecasting, 25, 1430-1446.

Edwards, R., and R.L. Thompson, 2009: Comments on "The North Dakota tornadic supercells of 18 July 2004: Issues concerning high LCL heights and evapotranspiration". Wea. Forecasting, 24, 1149-1158.

Dean, A.R., R.S. Schneider, R.L. Thompson, J.A. Hart, and P.D. Bothwell, 2009: The conditional risk of severe convection estimated from NWS Storm Prediction Center mesoscale objective analyses: Potential uses in support of forecast operations and verification. Preprints, 23rd Conf. Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Omaha NE, 6A.5.

Houston, A.L., R.L. Thompson and R. Edwards, 2008: The optimal bulk wind differential depth and the utility of the upper-tropospheric storm-relative flow for forecasting supercells. Wea. Forecasting, 23, 825-837.

Thompson, R.L., and J.S. Grams, 2008: Synoptic environments and convective modes associated with significant tornadoes in the contiguous United States. Preprints, 24th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Savannah GA, 16A.3.

Levit, J.J., J.A. Hart, R.S. Schneider, D.R. Bright, and R.L. Thompson, 2008: Utilizing short-range ensemble point forecast soundings for severe storms forecasting. Preprints, 24th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Savannah GA, 13A.2.

Thompson, R.L., C.M. Mead and R. Edwards, 2007: Effective storm-relative helicity and bulk shear in supercell thunderstorm environments. Wea. Forecasting, 22, 102-115.

Doswell, C.A. III, R. Edwards, R.L. Thompson, J.A. Hart, and K.C. Crosbie, 2006: A simple and flexible method for ranking severe weather events. Wea. Forecasting, 21, 939-951.

Thompson, R.L., and C.M. Mead, 2006: Tornado failure modes in central and southern Great Plains severe thunderstorm episodes. Preprints, 23rd Conf. Severe Local Storms, St. Louis MO.

Goss, S.M., R.L. Thompson, and E. Bookbinder, 2006: An elevated supercell with damaging wind from the morning of 12 March 2006. Preprints, 23rd Conf. Severe Local Storms, St. Louis MO.

Edwards, R., R.L. Thompson and C.M. Mead, 2004: Assessment of anticyclonic supercell environments using close proximity soundings from the RUC model. Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis MA, P1.2.

Thompson, R.L., C.M. Mead, and R. Edwards, 2004: Effective bulk shear in supercell thunderstorm environments. Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis MA, P1.1.

Thompson, R.L., R. Edwards, and C.M. Mead, 2004: Effective storm-relative helicity in supercell thunderstorm environments. Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis MA, 2.4.

Edwards, R., R.L. Thompson, K.C. Crosbie, J.A. Hart, and C. A. Doswell III, 2004: Proposals for modernizing the definitions of tornado and severe thunderstorm outbreaks. Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis MA, 7.B.2.

Thompson, R.L., R. Edwards, and C.M. Mead, 2004: An update to the supercell composite and significant tornado parameters. Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis MA.

Thompson, R.L., R. Edwards, J.A. Hart, K.L. Elmore and P.M. Markowski, 2003: Close proximity soundings within supercell environments obtained from the Rapid Update Cycle. Wea. Forecasting, 18, 1243-1261.

Markowski, P.M., C. Hannon, J. Frame, E. Lancaster, A. Pietrycha, R. Edwards and R.L. Thompson, 2003: Characteristics of vertical wind profiles near supercells obtained from the Rapid Update Cycle. Wea. Forecasting, 18, 1262-1272.

Thompson, R.L., R. Edwards and J.A. Hart, 2002: Evaluation and interpretation of the supercell composite and significant tornado parameters at the Storm Prediction Center.. Preprints, 21st Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Antonio, J11-J14.

Edwards, R., R.L. Thompson, and J.A. Hart, 2002: Verification of supercell motion forecast techniques. Preprints, 21st Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Antonio, J57-J60.

Bothwell, P.D., J.A. Hart and R.L. Thompson, 2002: An integrated three-dimensional objective analysis scheme in use at the Storm Prediction Center. Preprints, 21st Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Antonio, J117-J120.

Thompson, R.L., R. Edwards, J.A. Hart and K.L. Elmore, 2002: RUC-2 model analysis soundings as a surrogate for observed soundings in supercell environments. Preprints, 21st Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Antonio, 591-594.

Thompson, R.L., R. Edwards and J.A. Hart, 2002: An assessment of supercell and tornado forecast parameters with RUC-2 model close proximity soundings. Preprints, 21st Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Antonio, 595-598.

Markowski, P.M., C. Hannon, J. Frame, E. Lancaster, A. Pietrycha, R. Edwards and R.L. Thompson, 2002: Characteristics of RUC vertical wind profiles near supercells. Preprints, 21st Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Antonio, 599-602.

Edwards, R., S.F. Corfidi, R.L. Thompson, J.S. Evans, J.P. Craven, J.P. Racy, D.W. McCarthy, and M.D. Vescio, 2002: Storm Prediction Center forecasting issues related to the 3 May 1999 tornado outbreak. Wea. Forecasting, 17, 544-558.

Vescio, M. D., and R. L. Thompson, 2001: Subjective tornado probability forecasts in severe weather watches. Wea. Forecasting., 16, 192-195.

Thompson, R. L., and R. Edwards, 2000: An overview of environmental conditions and forecast implications of the 3 May 1999 tornado outbreak. Wea. Forecasting., 15, 682-699.

Bunkers, M. J., B. A. Klimowski, J. W. Zeitler, R. L. Thompson, and M. L. Weisman, 2000: Predicting supercell motion using a new hodograph technique. Wea. Forecasting, 15, 61-79.

Thompson, R. L., and R. Edwards, 2000: A comparison of Rapid Update Cycle 2 (RUC-2) model soundings with observed soundings in supercell environments. Preprints, 20th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Orlando, FL, 551-554.

Thompson, R. L., and R. Edwards, 2000: RUC-2 supercell proximity soundings, Part I: An examination of storm-relative winds normalized to supercell depth. Preprints, 20th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Orlando, FL, 431-434.

Edwards, R., and R. L. Thompson, 2000: RUC-2 supercell proximity soundings, Part II: An independent assessment of supercell forecast parameters. Preprints, 20th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Orlando, FL, 435-438.

Roebber, P.J., D.M. Schultz, and R.L. Thompson, 2000: Beyond the nowcast range: 24-h forecast guidance concerning convective initiation and mode for the Great Plains tornado outbreak of 3 May 1999. Preprints, 20th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Orlando, FL., 2.2.

Edwards, R., R. L. Thompson, and J. G. LaDue, 2000: Initiation of storm A (3 May 1999) along a possible horizontal convective roll. Preprints, 20th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Orlando, FL, 60-63.

Vescio, M. D., and R. L. Thompson, 2000: Using the Destruction Potential Index (DPI) to compare tornado outbreaks in 1998 and 1999. Preprints, 20th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Orlando, FL, 424-426.

Bunkers, M.J., B.A. Klimowski, J.W. Zeitler, R.L. Thompson, and M.L. Weisman, 1998: Predicting supercell motion using hodograph techniques. Preprints, 19th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Minneapolis, MN, 611-614.

Edwards, R., and R. L. Thompson, 1998: Nationwide comparisons of hail size with WSR-88D vertically integrated liquid water and derived thermodynamic sounding data. Wea. Forecasting, 13, 277-285.

Thompson, R. L., 1998: Eta model storm-relative winds associated with tornadic and nontornadic supercells. Wea. Forecasting, 13, 125-137.

Thompson, R. L., and M. D. Vescio, 1998: The Destruction Potential Index: A method for comparing tornado days. Preprints, 19th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Minneapolis, MN, 280-282.

Vescio, M. D., and R. L. Thompson, 1998: Some meteorological conditions associated with isolated F3-F5 tornadoes in the cool season. Preprints, 19th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Minneapolis, MN, 2-4.

Thompson, R. L., 1996: Supercell tornado forecasts derived from Eta model storm-relative winds. Preprints, 18th Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Francisco, CA, 362-366.

Thompson, R. L.*, H. Guerrero, J. Livingston, K. Prochazka, and W. Read, 1995: Operational response of the Houston National Weather Service office to the November 16, 1993 tornadoes. Preprints, 14th Conf. Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Dallas, TX, (J2) 25-29.

Thompson, R. L.*, J. M. Lewis, and R. A. Maddox, 1994: Autumnal return of tropical air to the Gulf of Mexico's coastal plain. Wea. Forecasting, 9, 348-360.

Thompson, R. L.*, J. M. Lewis, and R. A. Maddox, 1993: Autumnal return of tropical air to the Gulf of Mexico's coastal plain. Preprints, 17th Conf. Severe Local Storms, St. Louis, MO., 25-29.

* Author affiliated with NWS WFO at Houston, TX.
** Author affiliated with School of Meteorology, University of Oklahoma

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Trujillo-Falcon, J.E., A.R. Gaviria Pabon, J.T. Ripberger, A. Bitterman, J.B. Thornton, M.J. Krocak, S.R. Ernst, E. Cassiani Obeso, and J. Lipski, 2022: Aviso o alerta? Developing effective, inclusive, and consistent watch and warning translations for U.S. Spanish speakers. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc, 103, 2791-2803.

Trujillo-Falcon, J.E., O. Bermudez, K. Negron-Hernandez, J. Lipski, E.M. Leitman, and K. Berry, 2021: Hazardous weather communication en espanol: Challenges, current resources, and future practices. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 102, 765-773.

Trujillo, J.E.*, 2020: Introducing the AMS Latinx Committee. Proc., Eighth Symp. Building a Weather-Ready Nation: Enhancing Our Nation's Readiness, Responsiveness, and Resilience to High impact Weather Events, Boston, MA, J8.4A.

Trujillo, J.E.*, O. Bermudez, P.T. Marsh, and E.M. Leitman, 2020: The Storm Prediction Center Spanish language initiative. Proc., Eighth Symp. Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise, Boston, MA, 5.6.
* Author affiliated with School of Meteorology, University of Oklahoma

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Vancil, J.T., and I.L. Jirak, 2023: Evaluation of the Rapid Refresh Forecast System during the 2023 NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed spring forecasting experiment. Proc., 32nd Conf. Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/28th Conf. Numerical Weather Prediction/20th Conf. Mesoscale Processes, Madison, WI, 10.2.

Jirak, I.L., D.R. Harrison, and J. Vancil, 2022: HREF climatology of storm-attribute fields. Proc., 30th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, Santa Fe, NM, 8.4B.

Vancil, J.T., I.L. Jirak, and C.D. Karstens, 2022: Conditional intensity forecast verification using significant severe local storm reports. Proc., 30th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Santa Fe, NM, P214.

Wade, A.R., I.L. Jirak, V.A. Gensini, and J.T. Vancil, 2022: Using practically perfect intensity hindcasts to identify the environments of significant severe weather outbreaks. Proc., 30th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Santa Fe, NM, 180.

Clark, A.J., and coauthors, 2022: The 2nd real-time, virtual spring forecasting experiment to advance severe weather prediction. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 103, E1114-E1116.

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Wade, A.R., I.L. Jirak, and A.W. Lyza, 2023: Regional and seasonal biases in convection-allowing model forecasts of near-surface temperature and moisture. Wea. Forecasting, 38, 2415-2426.

Squitieri, B.J., A.R. Wade, and I.L. Jirak, 2023: A historical overview on the science of derechos. Part II: Parent storm structure, environmental conditions, and history of numerical forecasts. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 104, E1734-E1763.

Squitieri, B.J., A.R. Wade, and I.L. Jirak, 2023: A historical overview on the science of derechos. Part I: Identification, climatology, and societal impacts. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 104, 1709-E1733.

Clark, A.J., and coauthors, 2023: The 3rd real-time, virtual spring forecasting experiment to advance severe weather prediction capabilities. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 104, E456-E458.

Wade, A.R., B.J. Squitieri, and I.L. Jirak, 2023: 26-year climatology of severe wind-producing mesoscale convective systems in the United States. Proc., 32nd Conf. Weather Analysis and Forecasting (WAF)/28th Conf. Numerical Weather Prediction/20th Conf. Mesoscale Processes, Madison, WI, 1.5.

Coffer, B.E., M.D. Parker, J.M. Peters, and A.R. Wade, 2022: Supercell low-level mesocyclones: Origins of inflow and vorticity. Proc., 30th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Santa Fe, NM, 5.4.

Wade, A.R., I.L. Jirak, V.A. Gensini, and J. Vancil, 2022: Using practically perfect intensity hindcasts to identify the environments of significant severe weather outbreaks. Proc., 30th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Santa Fe, NM, P28.

Wade, A.R., and I.L. Jirak, 2022: Exploring hourly updating probabilistic guidance in the 2021 spring forecasting experiment with objective and subjective verification. Wea. Forecasting, 37, 699-708.

Wade, A.R., I.L. Jirak, and A. Lyza, 2022: Performance of operational convection-allowing models by region and season: Near-surface storm environments and updraft helicity. Proc., 30th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Santa Fe, NM, P52.

Jahn, D.E., I.L. Jirak, A.R. Wade, and J.M. Milne, 2022: Storm mode and tornado potential determination using statistical moments of updraft helicity distribution. Proc., 31st Conf. Weather Analysis and Forecasting/27th Conf. Numerical Weather Prediction (virtual), 460.

Wade, A.R.*, M.C. Coniglio, and C.L. Ziegler, 2018: Comparison of near- and far-field supercell inflow environments using radiosonde observations. Mon. Wea. Rev., 146, 2403-2415.

* Author affiliated with CIMMS/National Severe Storms Laboratory.

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Grasso, L.D., D. Bikos, J. Torres, J.F. Dostalek, T.-C. Wu, J. Forsythe, H.Q. Cronk, C.J. Seaman, S.D. Miller, E. Berndt, H.G. Weinman, and K.B. Kasper, 2021: Satellite imagery and products of the 16-17 February 2020 Saharan Air Layer dust event over the eastern Atlantic: Impacts of water vapor on dust detection and morphology. Atmos. Meas. Tech., 14, 1615-1634.

Dostalek, J.F., L.D. Grasso, Y.-J. Noh, T.-C Wu, J.W. Zeitler, H.G. Weinman, A.E. Cohen., and D.T. Lindsey, 2021: Using GOES ABI split-window radiances to retrieve daytime low-level water vapor for convective forecasting. Electronic J. Severe Storms Meteor., 16 (2), 1-19.

* Author affiliated with NWS WFO at Miami, FL.

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Wendt, N.A., and I.L. Jirak, 2021: An hourly climatology of operational MRMS MESH-diagnosed severe and significant hail with comparisons to Storm Data hail reports. Wea. Forecasting, 36, 645-659.

Wendt, N.A., and I.L. Jirak, 2018: An hourly climatology of MRMS MESH-diagnosed severe hail. Preprints, 29th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Stowe, VT., 13A.2.

Clark, R. III, and coauthors, 2018: From StormPredictionCenter.ScienceSupportBranch import science, research, operations. 8th Symp. Advances in Modeling and Analysis Using Python, Austin, TX, 3.5.

Wendt, N.A., I.L. Jirak, and C.J. Melick, 2016: Verification of severe weather proxies from the NSSL-WRF for hail forecasting. Preprints, 28th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Portland, OR, P110.

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