Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 585
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
610 PM CDT Thu Aug 15 2019
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
North-central and Eastern Kansas
* Effective this Thursday night from 610 PM until Midnight CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A couple tornadoes possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...Severe thunderstorms are expected to develop this evening,
particularly near a stalled boundary that is oriented roughly west
to east across north-central/northeast Kansas. Large hail and
locally damaging winds may be the most common risks, but adequate
moisture and seasonally strong low-level shear supports the
possibility of tornadoes, especially across northeast/east-central
Kansas.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles
north and south of a line from 55 miles west southwest of Concordia
KS to 20 miles southeast of Topeka KS. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 583...WW 584...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600. Mean
storm motion vector 30025.
...Guyer
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 585
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
610 PM CDT Thu Aug 15 2019
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
North-central and Eastern Kansas
* Effective this Thursday night from 610 PM until Midnight CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A couple tornadoes possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...Severe thunderstorms are expected to develop this evening,
particularly near a stalled boundary that is oriented roughly west
to east across north-central/northeast Kansas. Large hail and
locally damaging winds may be the most common risks, but adequate
moisture and seasonally strong low-level shear supports the
possibility of tornadoes, especially across northeast/east-central
Kansas.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles
north and south of a line from 55 miles west southwest of Concordia
KS to 20 miles southeast of Topeka KS. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 583...WW 584...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600. Mean
storm motion vector 30025.
...Guyer
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW5
WW 585 TORNADO KS 152310Z - 160500Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
55WSW CNK/CONCORDIA KS/ - 20SE TOP/TOPEKA KS/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM N/S /49WNW SLN - 38SW MCI/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 600. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 30025.
LAT...LON 40099859 39729536 38009536 38369859
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU5.
Watch 585 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 585
VALID 160435Z - 160540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 N HUT TO
10 ENE SLN TO 25 SE BIE.
..GOSS..08/16/19
ATTN...WFO...TOP...ICT...GID...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 585
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC003-017-027-031-041-045-059-061-111-113-115-117-127-131-139-
149-161-177-197-160540-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON CHASE CLAY
COFFEY DICKINSON DOUGLAS
FRANKLIN GEARY LYON
MCPHERSON MARION MARSHALL
MORRIS NEMAHA OSAGE
POTTAWATOMIE RILEY SHAWNEE
WABAUNSEE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 585
VALID 160130Z - 160240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GOSS..08/16/19
ATTN...WFO...TOP...ICT...GID...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 585
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC003-017-027-029-031-041-045-053-059-061-105-111-113-115-117-
123-127-131-139-143-149-157-161-167-169-177-197-201-160240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON CHASE CLAY
CLOUD COFFEY DICKINSON
DOUGLAS ELLSWORTH FRANKLIN
GEARY LINCOLN LYON
MCPHERSON MARION MARSHALL
MITCHELL MORRIS NEMAHA
OSAGE OTTAWA POTTAWATOMIE
REPUBLIC RILEY RUSSELL
SALINE SHAWNEE WABAUNSEE
WASHINGTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (40%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
weather.gov 
@NWSSPC
