Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 325
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
130 PM CDT SUN MAY 22 2011
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
SOUTHEAST KANSAS
SOUTHWEST AND CENTRAL MISSOURI
EASTERN OKLAHOMA
EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 130 PM UNTIL 900
PM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 4 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF
JEFFERSON CITY MISSOURI TO 30 MILES SOUTH OF MUSKOGEE OKLAHOMA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 321...WW 322...WW
323...WW 324...
DISCUSSION...EXPLOSIVE TSTM DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT
ONE TO TWO HOURS ALONG COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH SERN KS AND NERN
OK. WARM SECTOR AIR MASS IS QUITE MOIST WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE LOWER
70S. WHEN COUPLED WITH STEEP MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES...ENVIRONMENT HAS
BECOME STRONGLY TO EXTREMELY UNSTABLE WITH MLCAPE OF 3000-5000 J/KG.
THE PRESENCE OF 35-40 KT WLY DEEP-LAYER SHEAR WILL BE SUPPORTIVE OF
SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF DESTRUCTIVE HAIL. MOREOVER...SWRN EXTENSION
OF A 30-35 KT SWLY LLJ WILL BE MAINTAINED ACROSS THE
REGION...RESULTING IN EFFECTIVE SRH VALUES OF 150-250 M2/S2 AND AN
ASSOCIATED TORNADO THREAT. A STRONG TORNADO OR TWO IS POSSIBLE.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 4 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
600. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27025.
...MEAD
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW5
WW 325 TORNADO AR KS MO OK 221830Z - 230200Z
AXIS..75 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
30WNW JEF/JEFFERSON CITY MO/ - 30S MKO/MUSKOGEE OK/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 65NM E/W /21W COU - 31NE MLC/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..4 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 600. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27025.
LAT...LON 38759126 35229404 35229669 38759405
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU5.
Watch 325 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #7 ON WW 325
VALID 230125Z - 230240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 874
..COHEN..05/23/11
ATTN...WFO...TSA...ICT...SGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 325
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC007-015-033-047-087-131-143-230240-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENTON CARROLL CRAWFORD
FRANKLIN MADISON SEBASTIAN
WASHINGTON
$$
KSC011-021-037-230240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOURBON CHEROKEE CRAWFORD
$$
MOC009-011-015-029-039-043-057-059-067-077-085-097-105-109-119-
125-131-141-145-161-167-169-185-209-213-215-217-225-229-
230240-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARRY BARTON BENTON
CAMDEN CEDAR CHRISTIAN
DADE DALLAS DOUGLAS
GREENE HICKORY JASPER
LACLEDE LAWRENCE MCDONALD
MARIES MILLER MORGAN
NEWTON PHELPS POLK
PULASKI ST. CLAIR STONE
TANEY TEXAS VERNON
WEBSTER WRIGHT
$$
OKC001-021-023-035-037-041-061-077-079-091-097-101-105-107-111-
113-115-117-121-127-131-135-143-145-147-230240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR CHEROKEE CHOCTAW
CRAIG CREEK DELAWARE
HASKELL LATIMER LE FLORE
MCINTOSH MAYES MUSKOGEE
NOWATA OKFUSKEE OKMULGEE
OSAGE OTTAWA PAWNEE
PITTSBURG PUSHMATAHA ROGERS
SEQUOYAH TULSA WAGONER
WASHINGTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 325
VALID 230035Z - 230140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..COHEN..05/23/11
ATTN...WFO...TSA...ICT...SGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 325
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC007-015-033-047-087-131-143-230140-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENTON CARROLL CRAWFORD
FRANKLIN MADISON SEBASTIAN
WASHINGTON
$$
KSC011-021-037-230140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOURBON CHEROKEE CRAWFORD
$$
MOC009-011-015-029-039-043-057-059-067-077-085-097-105-109-119-
125-131-141-145-161-167-169-185-209-213-215-217-225-229-
230140-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARRY BARTON BENTON
CAMDEN CEDAR CHRISTIAN
DADE DALLAS DOUGLAS
GREENE HICKORY JASPER
LACLEDE LAWRENCE MCDONALD
MARIES MILLER MORGAN
NEWTON PHELPS POLK
PULASKI ST. CLAIR STONE
TANEY TEXAS VERNON
WEBSTER WRIGHT
$$
OKC001-021-023-035-037-041-061-077-079-091-097-101-105-107-111-
113-115-117-121-127-131-135-143-145-147-230140-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR CHEROKEE CHOCTAW
CRAIG CREEK DELAWARE
HASKELL LATIMER LE FLORE
MCINTOSH MAYES MUSKOGEE
NOWATA OKFUSKEE OKMULGEE
OSAGE OTTAWA PAWNEE
PITTSBURG PUSHMATAHA ROGERS
SEQUOYAH TULSA WAGONER
WASHINGTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 325
VALID 222335Z - 230040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 867
..COHEN..05/22/11
ATTN...WFO...TSA...ICT...SGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 325
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC007-015-033-047-087-131-143-230040-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENTON CARROLL CRAWFORD
FRANKLIN MADISON SEBASTIAN
WASHINGTON
$$
KSC001-011-019-021-037-099-125-133-205-230040-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN BOURBON CHAUTAUQUA
CHEROKEE CRAWFORD LABETTE
MONTGOMERY NEOSHO WILSON
$$
MOC009-011-015-029-039-043-057-059-067-077-085-097-105-109-119-
125-131-141-145-161-167-169-185-209-213-215-217-225-229-
230040-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARRY BARTON BENTON
CAMDEN CEDAR CHRISTIAN
DADE DALLAS DOUGLAS
GREENE HICKORY JASPER
LACLEDE LAWRENCE MCDONALD
MARIES MILLER MORGAN
NEWTON PHELPS POLK
PULASKI ST. CLAIR STONE
TANEY TEXAS VERNON
WEBSTER WRIGHT
$$
OKC001-021-023-035-037-041-061-077-079-091-097-101-105-107-111-
113-115-117-121-127-131-135-143-145-147-230040-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR CHEROKEE CHOCTAW
CRAIG CREEK DELAWARE
HASKELL LATIMER LE FLORE
MCINTOSH MAYES MUSKOGEE
NOWATA OKFUSKEE OKMULGEE
OSAGE OTTAWA PAWNEE
PITTSBURG PUSHMATAHA ROGERS
SEQUOYAH TULSA WAGONER
WASHINGTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 325
VALID 222230Z - 222340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 862
..COHEN..05/22/11
ATTN...WFO...TSA...ICT...SGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 325
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC007-015-033-047-087-131-143-222340-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENTON CARROLL CRAWFORD
FRANKLIN MADISON SEBASTIAN
WASHINGTON
$$
KSC001-011-019-021-037-099-125-133-205-222340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN BOURBON CHAUTAUQUA
CHEROKEE CRAWFORD LABETTE
MONTGOMERY NEOSHO WILSON
$$
MOC009-011-015-029-039-043-057-059-067-077-085-097-105-109-119-
125-131-141-145-161-167-169-185-209-213-215-217-225-229-
222340-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARRY BARTON BENTON
CAMDEN CEDAR CHRISTIAN
DADE DALLAS DOUGLAS
GREENE HICKORY JASPER
LACLEDE LAWRENCE MCDONALD
MARIES MILLER MORGAN
NEWTON PHELPS POLK
PULASKI ST. CLAIR STONE
TANEY TEXAS VERNON
WEBSTER WRIGHT
$$
OKC001-021-023-035-037-041-061-077-079-091-097-101-105-107-111-
113-115-117-121-127-131-135-143-145-147-222340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR CHEROKEE CHOCTAW
CRAIG CREEK DELAWARE
HASKELL LATIMER LE FLORE
MCINTOSH MAYES MUSKOGEE
NOWATA OKFUSKEE OKMULGEE
OSAGE OTTAWA PAWNEE
PITTSBURG PUSHMATAHA ROGERS
SEQUOYAH TULSA WAGONER
WASHINGTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 325
VALID 222135Z - 222240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 862
..COHEN..05/22/11
ATTN...WFO...TSA...ICT...SGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 325
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC007-015-033-047-087-131-143-222240-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENTON CARROLL CRAWFORD
FRANKLIN MADISON SEBASTIAN
WASHINGTON
$$
KSC001-011-019-021-037-099-125-133-205-222240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN BOURBON CHAUTAUQUA
CHEROKEE CRAWFORD LABETTE
MONTGOMERY NEOSHO WILSON
$$
MOC009-011-015-029-039-043-057-059-067-077-085-097-105-109-119-
125-131-141-145-161-167-169-185-209-213-215-217-225-229-
222240-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARRY BARTON BENTON
CAMDEN CEDAR CHRISTIAN
DADE DALLAS DOUGLAS
GREENE HICKORY JASPER
LACLEDE LAWRENCE MCDONALD
MARIES MILLER MORGAN
NEWTON PHELPS POLK
PULASKI ST. CLAIR STONE
TANEY TEXAS VERNON
WEBSTER WRIGHT
$$
OKC001-021-023-035-037-041-061-077-079-091-097-101-105-107-111-
113-115-117-121-127-131-135-143-145-147-222240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR CHEROKEE CHOCTAW
CRAIG CREEK DELAWARE
HASKELL LATIMER LE FLORE
MCINTOSH MAYES MUSKOGEE
NOWATA OKFUSKEE OKMULGEE
OSAGE OTTAWA PAWNEE
PITTSBURG PUSHMATAHA ROGERS
SEQUOYAH TULSA WAGONER
WASHINGTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 325
VALID 222020Z - 222140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..JEWELL..05/22/11
ATTN...WFO...TSA...ICT...SGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 325
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC007-015-033-047-087-131-143-222140-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENTON CARROLL CRAWFORD
FRANKLIN MADISON SEBASTIAN
WASHINGTON
$$
KSC001-011-019-021-037-099-125-133-205-222140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN BOURBON CHAUTAUQUA
CHEROKEE CRAWFORD LABETTE
MONTGOMERY NEOSHO WILSON
$$
MOC009-011-015-029-039-043-057-059-067-077-085-097-105-109-119-
125-131-141-145-161-167-169-185-209-213-215-217-225-229-
222140-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARRY BARTON BENTON
CAMDEN CEDAR CHRISTIAN
DADE DALLAS DOUGLAS
GREENE HICKORY JASPER
LACLEDE LAWRENCE MCDONALD
MARIES MILLER MORGAN
NEWTON PHELPS POLK
PULASKI ST. CLAIR STONE
TANEY TEXAS VERNON
WEBSTER WRIGHT
$$
OKC001-021-023-035-037-041-061-077-079-091-097-101-105-107-111-
113-115-117-121-127-131-135-143-145-147-222140-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR CHEROKEE CHOCTAW
CRAIG CREEK DELAWARE
HASKELL LATIMER LE FLORE
MCINTOSH MAYES MUSKOGEE
NOWATA OKFUSKEE OKMULGEE
OSAGE OTTAWA PAWNEE
PITTSBURG PUSHMATAHA ROGERS
SEQUOYAH TULSA WAGONER
WASHINGTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 325
VALID 221935Z - 222040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 853
..JEWELL..05/22/11
ATTN...WFO...TSA...ICT...SGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 325
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC007-015-033-047-087-131-143-222040-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENTON CARROLL CRAWFORD
FRANKLIN MADISON SEBASTIAN
WASHINGTON
$$
KSC001-011-019-021-037-099-125-133-205-222040-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN BOURBON CHAUTAUQUA
CHEROKEE CRAWFORD LABETTE
MONTGOMERY NEOSHO WILSON
$$
MOC009-011-015-029-039-043-057-059-067-077-085-097-105-109-119-
125-131-141-145-161-167-169-185-209-213-215-217-225-229-
222040-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARRY BARTON BENTON
CAMDEN CEDAR CHRISTIAN
DADE DALLAS DOUGLAS
GREENE HICKORY JASPER
LACLEDE LAWRENCE MCDONALD
MARIES MILLER MORGAN
NEWTON PHELPS POLK
PULASKI ST. CLAIR STONE
TANEY TEXAS VERNON
WEBSTER WRIGHT
$$
OKC001-021-023-035-037-041-061-077-079-091-097-101-105-107-111-
113-115-117-121-127-131-135-143-145-147-222040-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR CHEROKEE CHOCTAW
CRAIG CREEK DELAWARE
HASKELL LATIMER LE FLORE
MCINTOSH MAYES MUSKOGEE
NOWATA OKFUSKEE OKMULGEE
OSAGE OTTAWA PAWNEE
PITTSBURG PUSHMATAHA ROGERS
SEQUOYAH TULSA WAGONER
WASHINGTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
High (80%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
High (90%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.