DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0253 AM CDT SAT APR 27 2024 VALID TIME 271200Z - 281200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 29520200 35110043 36260035 37860035 38370166 38520255 38830302 39470313 39670300 40090284 40450224 40550112 40589983 41029837 43279317 45548812 46148561 45278374 44798339 44038356 43258398 42868528 41368788 38929080 31429599 29529783 28539900 27650031 0.05 30399976 30549998 30870042 31470060 32510052 34999979 36289958 37559966 38020001 38800125 39370184 39870173 40150126 40260061 40319988 40669864 42239447 42429392 42189264 40769160 39289138 37289278 33599528 31589667 30999731 30389836 30269906 30399976 0.10 31699828 31689897 32079970 32329978 32960000 34249965 36579836 37699824 38639876 39439954 39809964 40199900 40479726 40449552 40059463 39439416 38229364 37359369 36029426 33469608 32369697 31859744 31699828 0.15 32899843 32939868 33339914 34209923 34689890 36459771 37309700 37799645 38119548 37959494 37669469 37259447 36909451 36419471 35359524 35019552 33509687 32899770 32899843 SIGN 31669872 31739917 32149976 32899997 33729977 34259963 36549836 37729826 38639873 39369951 39839958 40199897 40459729 40459558 40089464 39359418 38449375 37489359 36139417 33799585 32399695 31839748 31699817 31669872 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 29530200 34060074 35000045 36040037 37860035 38390166 38250257 37870331 37790394 37990459 38640510 39050503 39590462 40160381 40650241 40860103 41139920 44009319 45688946 46628556 45448307 44328265 43008323 41648415 39118982 35819263 31449597 29519783 28529901 27620036 0.15 29060161 30710122 32400076 34000020 35059994 36569988 37949996 38320047 38580110 38920208 39260256 39660259 40070232 40320116 40669919 40729886 43009304 45258818 46028604 46158570 46048533 45228363 44798343 44478349 42388734 39159140 34629456 31719656 29729862 28170060 0.30 31619871 31809934 32079976 32820000 34289970 36269942 38129957 38510006 38790065 39240100 39530099 39920054 40239955 40349917 40509819 40919710 41719442 41789389 41799334 41359284 40289272 39359293 37589362 35989424 33629598 32469689 31819768 31619871 0.45 32879840 32959869 33309916 34169925 35649825 37079726 37769654 38129541 37829473 37309443 36599459 35549517 34329617 33389695 32909779 32839805 32879840 SIGN 28950169 32100077 34610005 35049994 36679986 37969997 38260039 38410072 38930215 39270256 39750257 40060228 40320101 40699882 41449697 42519395 42269251 40939222 36189420 33409606 32469683 29949928 29369991 28430091 && ... WIND ... 0.05 29550200 35080044 36410033 37870037 38400170 38200276 37870320 37830396 37970463 38620509 39090504 39650459 40140386 40660230 40840094 41169911 44009319 45688946 46628556 45448307 44328265 43008323 41648415 39138982 35959257 31489593 29479786 28499906 27640031 0.15 29340146 32000061 35069961 36549941 38139960 38610025 38970201 39240252 39700261 40060230 40310136 40569975 40759871 43029302 45258818 46028604 46158570 46048533 45228363 44798343 44478349 42388734 39169137 36419336 34009499 31599665 29839852 28170060 0.30 31649890 31739911 32109976 32949997 34059974 34799934 36899833 37769822 38459861 39199927 39559954 39849956 40019935 40189887 40349842 40459720 40459691 40429547 40029456 39229407 38229363 37399363 36169420 33509586 32409671 31769762 31649890 SIGN 31819756 31719792 31839842 32159884 32559893 33179860 34639760 36239648 37329533 37479467 37019412 36229411 35539461 33609585 32389674 31819756 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... MDT 32899860 33289916 34189926 34809884 35849812 37049727 37729657 38149541 37889490 37839468 37239444 36529459 35349531 34179629 33409693 32849789 32899860 ENH 31649889 32079973 32920000 34109975 35179957 36409942 38109957 38500006 38810071 39260103 39540098 39880060 40189974 40549806 41719450 41799381 41799330 41379284 40309270 39319299 37709356 37389364 35959427 34189555 32349703 31839770 31649889 SLGT 29410163 32980056 35119994 36449989 37959996 38340051 38570112 38960215 39230256 39710260 40040233 40310141 40589959 40729879 43009304 45258818 46158570 46048533 45228363 44798343 44478349 42388734 39169139 33969501 31589666 29729862 28170060 MRGL 29530203 35060046 35910037 37850034 38380169 38230271 37850332 37800397 37960461 38620513 39090500 39640457 40150384 40650246 40870100 41139910 44009319 45688946 46628556 45448307 44328265 43008323 41648415 39118982 36109244 31419598 29509783 28529902 27640031 TSTM 27149629 27379803 26589976 99999999 28670371 30050295 33210209 35300087 36740085 37670072 37950127 37650199 35620389 33820530 33290713 33280907 33581041 35201203 36891267 39391302 41331285 42621318 43931392 44971354 45901180 45811035 44660937 43190914 42100902 41650791 41940561 43010309 44220054 44739867 45009566 47249438 48209399 48769344 49189265 99999999 49931343 48691437 48131549 48121679 48191794 48491880 49271944 50061995 99999999 46107263 43327490 40867946 39518124 37398685 35948921 33949160 32529335 31249440 30049477 28809479 && THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 WNW MWL 60 SW SPS 35 S LTS 25 ENE LTS 35 SSW END 25 NNW PNC 45 SSW EMP 30 N CNU 35 ENE CNU 45 ENE CNU JLN 10 SE GMJ 25 S MKO 15 NNE DUA 25 SW GYI 10 ENE MWL 30 WNW MWL. THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 SSE BWD 25 S ABI 40 NNW ABI 40 SE CDS 25 WSW CSM 50 WSW AVK 30 NE DDC 50 N DDC 60 N GCK 35 E GLD 40 ENE GLD 20 S MCK 45 E MCK 20 ESE HSI 45 WNW DSM 20 NNW DSM 25 NE DSM 15 ENE OXV 15 NNW IRK 45 SE CDJ 35 NNW SGF 20 NW SGF FYV 40 N PRX 35 SSW DAL 30 WNW ACT 10 SSE BWD. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 W DRT 65 NW ABI 45 WSW CSM 70 WSW AVK 15 N DDC 30 NNE GCK 50 NNW GCK 20 SSE ITR 15 W ITR 35 NNW ITR 50 ESE AKO 20 SE IML 35 WSW EAR 10 E EAR 20 SE MCW 40 S IMT 60 NW PLN 40 NW PLN 10 NNW APN 20 SSE APN OSC 35 SE RAC 50 ENE COU 35 NE PRX 35 E ACT 15 NW SAT 80 WNW LRD. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSE 6R6 45 NNW CDS 60 ENE BGD 20 WNW DDC 60 ENE LAA 10 N LAA 15 SE LHX 30 WSW LHX 25 SSW PUB 25 WSW COS 25 NW COS 20 ESE DEN 35 W AKO 40 SE SNY 25 SW LBF 30 N EAR 35 W RST RHI 55 W ANJ 35 NE APN 40 ESE OSC 25 E FNT 20 WNW TOL 20 NE ALN FLP 50 SSE CRS 20 SE BAZ 15 ENE COT 50 W LRD. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 85 ESE CRP 25 S ALI 70 SSW LRD ...CONT... 120 S MRF 45 W 6R6 35 SSW LBB 40 SE BGD 20 SSE LBL 20 S GCK 30 W GCK 45 NE SPD 35 NNW TCC 25 NNE SRR 10 ENE TCS 45 NE SAD 55 SSW SOW 20 WNW FLG 55 ESE SGU 25 W U24 45 WNW OGD 30 E BYI 35 NNE SUN 20 ESE SMN 30 WNW BZN 10 NNE LVM 20 WNW COD 35 NW LND 35 N RKS 40 WSW RWL 45 N LAR 10 N CDR 15 SW PIR 30 NW HON 40 NW RWF 30 SE BJI 35 SW INL 15 N INL 55 NE INL ...CONT... 100 NNW CTB 25 NNW GPI 35 N 3TH 50 NE GEG 45 NNW GEG 35 E OMK 55 N OMK 110 N OMK ...CONT... 85 NNW EFK 25 ENE UCA 35 SW DUJ 15 NE PKB 30 SE OWB 10 ESE DYR 20 NNE LLQ 30 E SHV 20 E LFK 40 NE HOU 35 S GLS.