DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1144 AM CDT WED APR 17 2024 VALID TIME 171630Z - 181200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 39567918 38518126 38358277 38558425 39218547 40088622 40488627 41048634 41548643 42258643 42708642 43518619 43898564 44098494 44028322 43858258 43548162 43218090 42757993 42137902 41467811 40957768 40487778 39957839 39567918 0.02 37289731 37499793 37969805 38279743 38389635 38129553 37499531 37189536 36549580 36459624 36599667 36949685 37289731 0.05 42378136 42078050 41837987 41377969 40327973 39528066 39228211 39388323 39868376 40548394 41008407 41688407 42028385 42398338 42458210 42378136 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 36459624 36589668 36939685 37289730 37489795 38559819 39109868 39960028 40480134 40910188 41340185 41640130 41800085 41689971 41409781 41219669 41119585 41049547 40879411 40489300 39919261 39369251 38639276 37879352 37479435 37179536 36539579 36459624 0.05 42797986 42277889 41977850 41277826 40467847 39477903 38667999 38238052 38268216 38218256 38418359 38518415 39148536 39368551 40078629 41548636 42128649 42878629 43558618 43878565 44368480 44598331 44508186 0.15 38309562 38679670 39029753 39139764 39349773 39519774 39709764 39899748 39979724 40019660 39989552 39779465 39399389 38919349 38569351 38359370 38119409 38029476 38309562 0.15 42588071 42148032 41628009 40088012 39298053 39008177 39038327 39298451 39718548 40348600 41088612 42048581 42738547 43048401 43058246 42998178 SIGN 38679668 38879716 39039753 39139763 39349772 39519773 39709764 39899747 39969724 39999687 40019649 39999595 39879559 39719534 39519523 39209524 38959540 38699571 38609602 38679668 && ... WIND ... 0.05 42938003 41737819 40637704 39847631 39177628 38357679 38217776 38237950 38218047 38268255 38498409 38968506 39318541 40088622 41058642 42018646 42918634 43548618 43868568 44368480 44598331 44508186 0.05 40709766 40989692 41049547 40879410 40499301 39909260 39359251 38639277 37889351 37489432 37179537 36539579 36459624 36589668 36939686 37289731 37489795 38559819 39219867 39529868 39939859 40309830 40709766 0.05 34798621 35928482 36168388 35908307 35578332 34668427 33308555 32728707 32738824 32908916 33148926 33528914 34018788 34148741 34798621 0.15 42628060 42017978 41597961 40257972 39308051 39008178 39038324 39298448 39708547 40348600 41088612 42048583 43388517 43818422 44138322 44078182 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 38309562 38679670 39039755 39149765 39349773 39519774 39709764 39899747 39979725 40019659 39989553 39779464 39399388 38919350 38569350 38359370 38119409 38029476 38309562 SLGT 42618059 42007978 41597961 40267971 39308051 39008178 39048326 39298450 39718548 40348600 41068612 42048583 43388516 43818422 44148321 44078181 MRGL 38579823 39299905 39910013 40380103 40690170 41320181 41860089 41439819 41209639 41049548 40879410 40499301 39909260 39359251 38639277 37889351 37489434 37179536 36539579 36459624 36589668 36949686 37279731 37489795 38029808 38579823 MRGL 33008925 33558914 34188729 34738627 35928482 36158392 36058350 35888306 35248366 34068476 33348551 32758702 32718805 32908915 33008925 MRGL 42988009 42117872 41007751 40387680 39837627 39247632 38397673 38187778 38237908 38218040 38248167 38238261 38538420 39198542 40098622 41308642 42218644 43548618 43878566 44368480 44598331 44508187 TSTM 29390200 31090147 33299964 34469845 34839760 34919733 34899707 34379674 33429700 31899781 29859859 27959925 25879866 99999999 42769433 42159080 41198982 40108992 38949047 38249194 36989403 36469500 36229559 36099621 36159672 36359717 36989808 37399841 37979853 38709899 39029955 39350112 39640185 40160300 40630394 41310548 41870551 42300413 42410245 42649977 43019660 42769433 99999999 44341106 44971468 45681668 46041714 46641732 47231688 47631600 47181401 46471238 45641100 45181066 44341106 99999999 44947568 43827426 42277287 41447214 40567117 TSTM 35797400 36017577 35997734 35777855 35208001 34668070 32878376 31648727 31319040 31079229 31169382 31449480 31689513 32229530 32839512 33579473 34389387 35129291 35389143 35309080 35818827 36178723 36718648 37468616 38408615 39678635 40878660 42078681 44118693 45298778 46988890 48238886 48938786 && THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 E EMP 30 S MHK 20 NNE SLN 25 N SLN 15 SSW CNK CNK 10 N CNK 25 NNE CNK 35 SW BIE 20 SSE BIE FNB 15 E STJ 35 SSW CDJ 15 NNE SZL 10 SSE SZL 25 SSW SZL 50 SW SZL 45 ENE CNU 30 E EMP. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NNW ERI 20 ESE ERI 20 NE FKL 15 W LBE 40 SW MGW 30 ESE UNI 55 WSW UNI 15 NNW LUK 35 S MIE 30 WNW MIE 45 SSE SBN 20 SW AZO 40 NNE GRR 20 NNW MBS 25 SSE OSC 60 ENE BAX. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 WSW SLN 30 NNW RSL 30 SE MCK 25 WNW MCK 10 NNW IML 55 N IML 15 SE MHN 30 NNE GRI 25 WSW OMA 20 N SDA 20 NNW LWD 35 NW IRK 15 SSW IRK 40 NNW COU 30 WSW COU 45 N SGF 25 NNE JLN 35 S CNU 20 SE BVO 25 SSW BVO 25 ESE PNC 20 NE PNC 25 SSE ICT 30 WSW ICT 10 WSW HUT 35 WSW SLN. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 NNW MEI 40 W CBM 45 SSE MSL 30 E HSV 15 E CSV 25 NNE TYS 30 ENE TYS 15 W HSS 45 SSE TYS 30 SE RMG 25 SE ANB 30 N SEM 45 SW TCL 45 NNW MEI 55 NNW MEI. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 N ERI 20 NNW BFD 20 ENE UNV 10 N CXY 40 WNW ILG 20 ENE BWI 20 WNW NHK 35 E CHO 10 WSW SHD 30 N SSU 10 SSW CRW 10 SSW HTS 40 NNE LEX 55 W LUK 25 N IND 30 S SBN BEH 25 N MKG 40 SE MBL HTL 10 NNE OSC 75 NE BAX. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SSE 6R6 60 WSW SJT 60 N ABI 15 SSW FSI 30 SE CHK 35 SSE OKC 40 N ADM 15 ENE ADM 30 SW GYI 30 SE SEP 25 NNW SAT 30 NNE LRD 35 SW MFE ...CONT... 15 NNW FOD 20 SSW DBQ 35 N PIA 20 NW SPI 15 NNW STL 10 NW VIH 10 NW UMN 20 SW GMJ 15 E TUL 20 WSW TUL 30 N CQB 25 S PNC 35 SE P28 10 NE P28 35 W HUT 15 SW RSL 30 SSE HLC 30 E GLD 20 NNW GLD 10 E AKO 50 NW AKO 10 E LAR 40 NNE LAR 15 N TOR 30 NE AIA 10 ENE ANW 40 E YKN 15 NNW FOD ...CONT... 25 S WEY 40 WSW SMN 50 SSE LWS 25 SSW LWS 10 SW PUW 35 NNE PUW 30 W 3TH 20 N MSO 20 WSW HLN 10 SE BZN 40 SSW LVM 25 S WEY ...CONT... 40 W MSS 40 S SLK 10 NW BAF 10 NNW GON 45 SSE BID. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 100 ENE HSE 30 SE ECG 35 ENE RWI 15 ESE RDU 35 W SOP 40 SSE CLT 15 NNW MCN 20 NW GZH 10 NNE MCB 25 S ESF 40 WNW POE 15 N LFK 40 NW LFK 10 SE TYR 35 NNE TYR 40 SSW DEQ 40 NE DEQ 15 SE RUE 25 SSE BVX 40 SSW JBR 40 ENE MKL 30 W BNA 20 S BWG 35 NNE BWG 25 NW SDF IND 35 NNE LAF 20 W BEH 35 WSW MBL 40 SSE IMT 25 WSW CMX 75 NNW CMX 125 NNE CMX.