DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0752 AM CDT WED APR 17 2024 VALID TIME 171300Z - 181200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 39567918 38518126 38328274 38588444 39068539 39718604 40328642 40818657 41438665 41968669 42708642 43518619 43898564 44098494 44028322 43858258 43548162 43218090 42757993 42137902 41467811 40957768 40487778 39957839 39567918 0.02 37289731 37499793 37969805 38279743 38389635 38129553 37499531 37189536 36549580 36459624 36599667 36949685 37289731 0.05 42378136 42078050 41837987 41377969 40327973 39528066 39228211 39388323 39868376 40548394 41008407 41688407 42028385 42398338 42458210 42378136 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 36459624 36589668 36939685 37289730 37489795 38559819 39219867 39529868 39949859 40319829 40709767 40989692 41049547 40879411 40489300 39919261 39369251 38639276 37879352 37479435 37179536 36539579 36459624 0.05 42797986 42277889 41977850 41277826 40467847 39477903 38747987 37098166 34798417 34118469 33368550 32778691 32708803 32928920 33188983 33529008 33898984 34368918 35138813 36438716 37858680 38818683 40118697 41418682 42088663 43558618 43878565 44368480 44598331 44508186 0.15 38309562 38679670 39029753 39139764 39349773 39519774 39709764 39899748 39979724 40019660 39989552 39779465 39399389 38919349 38569351 38359370 38119409 38029476 38309562 0.15 42588071 42148032 41628009 40088012 39298053 39008177 39038327 39298451 39718548 40348600 41088612 42048581 42738547 43048401 43058246 42998178 SIGN 38679668 38879716 39039753 39139763 39349772 39519773 39709764 39899747 39969724 39999687 40019649 39999595 39879559 39719534 39519523 39209524 38959540 38699571 38609602 38679668 && ... WIND ... 0.05 42787984 42277889 41587804 40787726 39917587 39387496 39007397 99999999 37307500 37587587 38017743 38307917 38148035 35968291 34828414 34128468 33358551 32788691 32708805 32938923 33188982 33529009 33908983 34458905 35158812 36438717 37818680 38828683 40128697 41448681 42098663 43548618 43868568 44368480 44598331 44508186 0.05 40709766 40989692 41049547 40879410 40499301 39909260 39359251 38639277 37889351 37489432 37179537 36539579 36459624 36589668 36939686 37289731 37489795 38559819 39219867 39529868 39939859 40309830 40709766 0.15 42628060 42017978 41597961 40257972 39308051 39008178 39038324 39298448 39708547 40348600 41088612 42048583 43388517 43818422 44138322 44078182 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 38309562 38679670 39039755 39149765 39349773 39519774 39709764 39899747 39979725 40019659 39989553 39779464 39399388 38919350 38569350 38359370 38119409 38029476 38309562 SLGT 42618059 42007978 41597961 40267971 39308051 39008178 39048326 39298450 39718548 40348600 41068612 42048583 43388516 43818422 44148321 44078181 MRGL 40719765 40989692 41049548 40879410 40499301 39909260 39359251 38639277 37889351 37489434 37179536 36539579 36459624 36589668 36949686 37279731 37489795 38029808 38549819 39209867 39539868 39949859 40319829 40719765 MRGL 42787984 42277890 41577802 40787725 39897584 39387496 39007397 99999999 37307500 37587587 38017743 38297917 38148035 36058282 34808414 34128468 33358550 32788691 32708808 32938924 33188981 33539009 33898984 34438905 35158812 36428717 37788680 38798682 40108697 41458681 42098663 43548618 43878566 44368480 44598331 44508187 TSTM 44341106 44971468 45681668 46041714 46641732 47231688 47631600 47181401 46471238 45641100 45181066 44341106 99999999 29390200 31010143 32509998 33439871 33289806 32779786 31659793 29859859 27959925 25879866 99999999 35797400 35997559 36007737 35797862 35247993 34708065 33938197 32848377 32308530 31658733 31329024 31379241 31559314 32229378 33349432 34499383 35089308 35309182 35189065 35918945 37098848 38088800 38978804 39318871 39308997 39009083 37539276 36889429 36469500 36229559 36099621 36159672 36359717 36989808 37399841 37979853 38709899 39029955 39350112 39640185 40540297 41290401 41740416 42130375 42460253 42649977 42959684 43519416 43809329 44199276 44819227 45479228 46169228 46999205 47959138 49128989 99999999 44947568 43827426 42277287 41447214 40567117 && THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 E EMP 30 S MHK 20 NNE SLN 25 N SLN 15 SSW CNK CNK 10 N CNK 25 NNE CNK 35 SW BIE 20 SSE BIE FNB 15 E STJ 35 SSW CDJ 15 NNE SZL 10 SSE SZL 25 SSW SZL 50 SW SZL 45 ENE CNU 30 E EMP. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NNW ERI 20 ESE ERI 20 NE FKL 15 W LBE 40 SW MGW 30 ESE UNI 55 WSW UNI 15 NNW LUK 35 S MIE 30 WNW MIE 45 SSE SBN 20 SW AZO 40 NNE GRR 20 NNW MBS 25 SSE OSC 60 ENE BAX. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 ESE GRI 10 NW LNK 20 N SDA 20 NNW LWD 35 NW IRK 15 SSW IRK 40 NNW COU 30 WSW COU 45 N SGF 25 NNE JLN 35 S CNU 20 SE BVO 25 SSW BVO 25 ESE PNC 20 NE PNC 25 SSE ICT 30 WSW ICT 10 WSW HUT 35 WSW SLN 25 NNE RSL 45 N RSL 45 S HSI 20 SSE HSI 40 ESE GRI. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 NNE ERI 20 ENE JHW 35 ESE BFD 30 E UNV 20 NW ILG 20 WSW ACY 45 SE ACY ...CONT... 50 SSE WAL 35 SW WAL 35 N RIC 15 W SHD 25 N SSU 10 N HSS 60 ESE CHA 30 ESE RMG 25 SE ANB 30 N SEM 45 SW TCL 50 NW MEI 25 SE GWO GWO 30 NNE GWO 20 NW TUP 40 NW MSL 20 SE CKV 20 ENE OWB 25 SSW BMG 20 S LAF 10 E VPZ 10 WSW BEH 25 N MKG 40 SE MBL HTL 10 NNE OSC 75 NE BAX. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 S WEY 40 WSW SMN 50 SSE LWS 25 SSW LWS 10 SW PUW 35 NNE PUW 30 W 3TH 20 N MSO 20 WSW HLN 10 SE BZN 40 SSW LVM 25 S WEY ...CONT... 45 SSE 6R6 60 WSW SJT 20 WNW ABI 40 SSW SPS 35 N MWL 10 E MWL 40 W ACT 25 NNW SAT 30 NNE LRD 35 SW MFE ...CONT... 100 ENE HSE 40 ESE ECG 30 ENE RWI 10 ESE RDU 30 W SOP 40 SSE CLT 40 N AGS 10 NW MCN 20 SSE AUO 25 NW GZH 15 NE MCB ESF 15 S IER 15 S SHV 20 WSW TXK 40 W HOT 10 S RUE 30 SSW BVX 40 WNW MEM DYR 15 E PAH 25 W EVV 35 SSE MTO 25 WSW MTO 30 N ALN 30 NW STL 40 WSW TBN 20 W UMN 20 SW GMJ 15 E TUL 20 WSW TUL 30 N CQB 25 S PNC 35 SE P28 10 NE P28 35 W HUT 15 SW RSL 30 SSE HLC 30 E GLD 20 NNW GLD 30 NNE AKO 45 ENE CYS 20 S TOR 20 NNW BFF 30 NNE AIA 10 ENE ANW 25 E YKN 15 SE FRM 40 WSW RST 20 NW RST 40 W EAU 55 NW EAU 45 S DLH 15 NNE DLH 25 E ELO 95 NNE GNA ...CONT... 40 W MSS 40 S SLK 10 NW BAF 10 NNW GON 45 SSE BID.