DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0749 PM CDT MON MAY 17 2021 VALID TIME 180100Z - 181200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 29220256 31050276 32390293 33700345 34680428 35460465 36650463 37620464 38140407 38220281 36740129 35919909 35609506 34819393 33039428 32879585 31419756 28169877 27499969 0.02 29209303 30349190 30599151 30569064 30188999 28608957 0.05 33190295 34190298 34620243 34670170 34989961 34409891 33019901 31939967 31490041 31730226 33190295 0.05 29139292 30009201 30219160 30159086 29799058 28499030 0.05 28790068 29309956 29149863 28799867 28279884 27559981 0.10 33030245 33490272 34040267 34290256 34130120 34409991 33999935 33209927 32159984 31740077 31880199 33030245 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 28960273 32420318 33560365 33890398 35060509 35740521 37320514 39790500 40210393 39930269 39360126 37829729 37429568 36999355 33259338 32229411 30899596 29769729 28539783 27169949 0.15 29540259 31140279 32250287 33710346 34670425 35470468 37640463 38440377 38810270 38560176 37890110 36819908 36059577 35199499 33519530 31729646 28179876 27479970 0.30 29480223 31090188 31920246 33240297 34210323 35200272 35590103 35389848 34719741 33229704 31789782 29010115 0.45 31870198 33500274 34290262 34620043 33959922 33189911 32139987 31740077 31870198 SIGN 29510240 31070225 33460316 34440344 35300297 35710152 35520001 35259957 34279867 33389852 32009867 29849988 28790073 SIGN 28320040 28739987 28999940 29069873 28769853 28289880 27729953 27559988 && ... WIND ... 0.05 28850272 32400317 33590365 33910401 35000499 35570518 37040509 39830491 40220395 39950260 39340123 37859738 37499585 37679295 36889186 34489205 32169413 30779611 30379659 29779730 28519781 27199949 0.05 29199303 30369188 30609148 30579066 30138998 28548964 0.15 29480228 32050261 33760343 34640418 35540467 37570460 38460373 38740263 38560176 37840103 36769906 36039573 35159499 33509531 31689647 28199876 27489969 0.30 31759782 31469827 30559937 31290041 31640150 32010193 32660217 33260207 33980120 34230042 35479997 35329843 34689740 33209704 31759782 SIGN 32520061 33089998 33739931 33739859 33459767 32979741 32189763 31699803 31269884 31139967 31240055 31410113 31710167 31980175 32250143 32520061 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... MDT 33959922 33189911 32139987 31720082 31870198 33500274 34290262 34620043 33959922 ENH 29470227 31070183 31970246 33280293 34210322 35200272 35590103 35389848 34689740 34469734 33209704 31759782 31449829 29090098 SLGT 29540259 31140279 32250287 33710346 34170384 34430405 34670425 35470468 37640463 38460373 38480364 38810270 38560176 37870105 36819908 36039573 35659541 35159499 33509531 31689647 29959762 28159877 27469968 SLGT 29129292 29989204 30239161 30179089 29789059 28559035 MRGL 28780271 32420318 33590365 34370443 34960499 35630519 37390511 39830491 40210393 39950260 39400136 37829733 37579606 37509479 37709286 36889186 34489205 32199413 30849605 29779731 28519785 27139953 26429928 MRGL 29219301 30379188 30599151 30569066 30159001 28508961 TSTM 35561042 35540938 36570869 37730899 38370949 38391014 38211073 37741113 36811124 36131094 35561042 99999999 28730295 31770341 32500372 33940530 34240655 34000880 33701026 33911140 34611252 35631377 37101400 37771502 37531635 36531776 37101918 38281953 39791789 41341569 42421408 43171188 43731041 43890828 43120640 41950449 41090083 40649729 40599582 40629384 41498971 41408788 41198656 40698495 38318126 36227980 35217965 34588058 34448131 35078309 37178485 37288598 37008720 35678796 33718829 29448812 99999999 27499629 28109715 28049769 27429847 26109846 99999999 45636715 46117072 && THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 W SPS 60 NNE ABI 25 SSW ABI 30 NW SJT 15 ESE MAF 55 WSW LBB 40 E CVS 15 NNW CDS 40 W SPS. THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 S 6R6 65 SSE MAF 15 W MAF 45 NNE HOB 15 SSE CVS 50 E TCC 20 ESE BGD 35 WNW CHK 35 NW ADM 20 WNW ADM 25 NNW DAL 35 WNW ACT 45 ESE BWD 20 S DRT. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SSW 6R6 15 NNE FST 35 SE HOB 45 S CVS 35 WSW CVS 40 W CVS 50 SW TCC 30 ESE LVS 30 NNW TAD 30 NNW LHX 30 NNW LHX 40 SW ITR 55 SSE ITR 20 WSW GCK 25 W AVK 15 SE TUL MKO 25 WNW RKR 10 SE PRX 25 S CRS 25 SSE AUS 35 SE COT 15 WSW LRD. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 SW 7R4 15 NNE 7R4 20 E LFT 40 WNW MSY 15 NNE HUM 75 SSE HUM. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 90 SSW 6R6 20 S HOB 55 ENE ROW 65 W CVS 50 S LVS LVS 40 E ALS DEN 40 W AKO 35 ESE AKO 20 E GLD 15 NNE ICT 35 WSW CNU 30 NNW JLN 40 W TBN 10 N UNO 20 SSE LIT 25 SW SHV 25 NE CLL 45 E BAZ 15 NW NIR 30 S LRD 65 WNW MFE. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 S LCH 15 NNE LFT 40 NE LFT 45 SSW MCB 20 SW ASD 60 SSW BVE. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NNE INW 35 W GUP 30 WSW FMN 30 ENE 4BL 30 SSE CNY 30 E 4HV 15 S 4HV 25 WNW U17 15 ESE PGA 60 SSE PGA 40 NNE INW ...CONT... 100 SSW 6R6 10 W INK 30 WSW HOB 25 ESE 4CR 25 NE ONM 70 ESE SOW 40 SSW SOW 50 NE PHX PRC 30 NNE IGM 20 W SGU 30 WNW P38 55 SE TPH 60 N NID 35 NE FAT 50 SSE TVL 40 ESE LOL 35 N EKO 20 WSW BYI 25 SSE IDA 20 ENE JAC 15 WSW WRL 15 NNE CPR 20 WSW TOR 10 WSW LBF 30 WSW LNK 25 WSW SDA LWD 40 E MLI 40 E MMO 30 SE VPZ 25 SSE FWA 20 ESE CRW 10 NE GSO 15 W SOP 50 SSE CLT 35 NNW CAE 40 SW AVL 45 W LOZ 30 NE BWG 30 NNE HOP 55 E MKL 10 ENE CBM 75 E BVE ...CONT... 75 ESE CRP 30 NE CRP 20 NNW CRP 35 SW ALI 15 WSW MFE ...CONT... 45 SE HUL 105 NNE BML.