Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Tornado Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Wind Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Day 1 Hail Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
SPC AC 250053
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0753 PM CDT THU SEP 24 2015
VALID 250100Z - 251200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT FROM FAR WEST TEXAS
NORTH NORTHEASTWARD TO THE MID MISSOURI VALLEY. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS
WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE GULF COAST...FLORIDA AND ALONG THE
SOUTHERN ATLANTIC SEABOARD. NO SEVERE THREAT IS EXPECTED THROUGH
TONIGHT ACROSS THE UNITED STATES.
AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS THE WRN STATES
TONIGHT AS AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW MOVES NWWD ACROSS THE CNTRL GULF COAST
STATES. AT THE SFC...A LOW OVER ERN NEB WILL TRACK SLOWLY SWD
TONIGHT. A MOIST AIRMASS IN THE CNTRL PLAINS AND LOW-LEVEL
CONVERGENCE NEAR THE SFC LOW MAY SUPPORT ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT THIS EVENING. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE THIS EVENING AND POSSIBLY INTO THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD ALONG A
CORRIDOR OF LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE FROM FAR WEST TX INTO FAR ERN NM AND
THE TX PANHANDLE. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY ALSO OCCUR TONIGHT ALONG
THE GULF COAST...FLORIDA AND IN THE SRN ATLANTIC SEABOARD WHERE SFC
DEWPOINTS NEAR THE COAST WILL BE IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S F AND
MODERATE INSTABILITY MAY DEVELOP IN A FEW AREAS.
..BROYLES.. 09/25/2015
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z