Categorical Graphic |
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Probabilistic Tornado Graphic |
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Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic |
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Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic |
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SPC AC 081934
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0134 PM CST SAT MAR 08 2008
VALID 082000Z - 091200Z
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE ERN
MID-ATLANTIC REGION...
...NC OUTERBANKS/TIDEWATER VA/LWR MD SHORE/DE/SRN NJ...
STRONGLY FORCED BANDS OF TSTMS CONTINUE TO RAPIDLY TRANSLATE NEWD
ACROSS ERN PARTS OF VA/NC AND WILL MOVE INTO SERN PA...ERN MD...DE
AND SRN NJ THROUGH LATE AFTN. VWP FROM WAKEFIELD SAMPLED THE VERY
STRONG WIND FIELDS WITH 55 KTS BLO 1/2KM...BUT WITH A DECIDEDLY
UNIDIRECTIONAL SWLY REGIME. AHEAD OF THE TSTM BANDS...A NARROW
TONGUE OF UPR 50S-LWR 60S SFC DEW POINTS WILL BE MAINTAINED...
BOOSTING MUCAPE INTO THE COUPLE HUNDRED J/KG RANGE. GIVEN THE
STRONG AMBIENT WIND FIELDS AND UNIDIRECTIONALITY TO THE FLOW
REGIME...SMALL LINEAR BANDS MAY LOCALLY BOW AND BRING HIGHER
MOMENTUM TO THE SFC. THIS THREAT WILL DIMINISH THROUGH THE EVENING
AS THE TSTMS APCH NYC AND SRN NEW ENGLAND.
FARTHER W...TSTMS HAVE DEVELOPED ALONG THE PRIMARY COLD FRONT ALONG
THE ALLEGHENY PLATEAU WHERE FRONTAL CIRCULATION WAS BEING ENHANCED
BY VERY STRONG DCVA. BOUNDARY LAYER DOWNSTREAM WAS RAPIDLY DRYING
IN WAKE OF THE LEADING BANDS OF STORMS...LIMITING CAPE. BUT...VSBL
SATL DOES SHOW THAT THE BOUNDARY LAYER WAS WARMING WITHIN THE
LOW-LVL DRY SLOT...SOMEWHAT COMPENSATING FOR THE LACK OF MOISTURE.
AS A RESULT...AN ISOLD DMGG WIND GUST MAY OCCUR AS THESE STORMS
TRANSLATE ACROSS NRN VA...DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA...CNTRL/ERN MD AND
SCNTRL/SERN PA.
..RACY.. 03/08/2008
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0100Z