Mar 8, 2008 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Sat Mar 8 19:38:11 UTC 2008
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table (Effective Feb 14, 2006).
Categorical Graphic
20080308 2000 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20080308 2000 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Torndao Legend Image
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20080308 2000 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Wind Legend Image
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20080308 2000 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Hail Legend Image
   SPC AC 081934
   
   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0134 PM CST SAT MAR 08 2008
   
   VALID 082000Z - 091200Z
   
   ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE ERN
   MID-ATLANTIC REGION...
   
   ...NC OUTERBANKS/TIDEWATER VA/LWR MD SHORE/DE/SRN NJ...
   STRONGLY FORCED BANDS OF TSTMS CONTINUE TO RAPIDLY TRANSLATE NEWD
   ACROSS ERN PARTS OF VA/NC AND WILL MOVE INTO SERN PA...ERN MD...DE
   AND SRN NJ THROUGH LATE AFTN.  VWP FROM WAKEFIELD SAMPLED THE VERY
   STRONG WIND FIELDS WITH 55 KTS BLO 1/2KM...BUT WITH A DECIDEDLY
   UNIDIRECTIONAL SWLY REGIME.  AHEAD OF THE TSTM BANDS...A NARROW
   TONGUE OF UPR 50S-LWR 60S SFC DEW POINTS WILL BE MAINTAINED...
   BOOSTING MUCAPE INTO THE COUPLE HUNDRED J/KG RANGE.  GIVEN THE
   STRONG AMBIENT WIND FIELDS AND UNIDIRECTIONALITY TO THE FLOW
   REGIME...SMALL LINEAR BANDS MAY LOCALLY BOW AND BRING HIGHER
   MOMENTUM TO THE SFC.  THIS THREAT WILL DIMINISH THROUGH THE EVENING
   AS THE TSTMS APCH NYC AND SRN NEW ENGLAND.
   
   FARTHER W...TSTMS HAVE DEVELOPED ALONG THE PRIMARY COLD FRONT ALONG
   THE ALLEGHENY PLATEAU WHERE FRONTAL CIRCULATION WAS BEING ENHANCED
   BY VERY STRONG DCVA.  BOUNDARY LAYER DOWNSTREAM WAS RAPIDLY DRYING
   IN WAKE OF THE LEADING BANDS OF STORMS...LIMITING CAPE.  BUT...VSBL
   SATL DOES SHOW THAT THE BOUNDARY LAYER WAS WARMING WITHIN THE
   LOW-LVL DRY SLOT...SOMEWHAT COMPENSATING FOR THE LACK OF MOISTURE. 
   AS A RESULT...AN ISOLD DMGG WIND GUST MAY OCCUR AS THESE STORMS
   TRANSLATE ACROSS NRN VA...DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA...CNTRL/ERN MD AND
   SCNTRL/SERN PA.
   
   ..RACY.. 03/08/2008
   
   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0100Z