DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0301 PM CDT FRI MAY 04 2007 VALID TIME 042000Z - 051200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 31160105 31510178 31920205 34740128 37010149 37280185 37360353 37470440 37900499 38770482 39710536 40510512 41280335 42260196 44219942 44109706 42569636 40829582 38579570 36289640 35119717 31389994 31160105 0.02 29129206 30099256 30669219 30359110 29979039 29928961 30218880 29888849 0.02 37998988 38528952 38588798 37778708 37068675 36058694 35638787 36538957 37289006 37998988 0.05 32770134 34810087 36350039 37370090 37850218 38150390 39600436 40420407 41340276 41750137 43229931 43659832 43189720 40939653 37929686 36129760 33889907 32909948 32000029 32120117 32770134 0.10 36079981 36819994 37670090 38180297 38990359 39880329 40780180 41270007 41069853 39869784 38029754 35929843 35699928 36079981 0.15 37700027 38250222 38950275 39480265 39950217 40020080 39749946 38839843 37739815 36749849 36639927 37029976 37700027 SIGN 37630039 38250223 38930274 39500264 39940221 40710112 40829942 40499851 38769773 36729837 36559930 36869985 37630039 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 29199226 30459267 31029335 34489064 36489097 36559360 35859522 34369614 32979800 30479974 28740067 99999999 29620205 31410220 34290140 37040158 36880323 37030522 39200605 40960551 42680316 45900006 45769765 43659579 42719462 40309151 38988764 38308191 36798161 34718319 31787975 99999999 26408239 29658236 32208347 33928535 33868669 31608772 29558666 0.15 31530182 34310101 36530081 37230111 37550229 37340344 37490451 37840494 38760485 39820536 40570510 42020282 44190091 44959931 44559723 40839576 38599580 36349640 34959730 32389930 31379995 31160100 31530182 0.30 35019898 34199972 35080078 36830014 37520083 37800230 37870360 39140430 40000416 42080194 43460074 44119900 43629756 41589676 39189646 37879704 36189869 35019898 0.45 37660027 38260225 38960274 39770285 40940220 41030015 39039832 37599819 36759851 36639929 36989975 37660027 SIGN 35909834 34749871 34209975 35020085 36800032 37450095 38400300 39220333 39960321 41710151 41409861 39969704 38389681 35909834 && ... WIND ... 0.05 29209229 30469264 31039335 34489065 36479097 36529381 35819518 34339622 33019800 30509974 28610066 99999999 29620205 31520217 34400133 37040150 36850313 37050505 39260583 40960522 42740232 44180034 44149716 42789477 40439173 38928754 38678501 38348189 36728155 34798326 31727968 99999999 26008250 28368236 29978242 32338359 33758514 33838649 31508766 29198647 0.15 31500181 34310102 36530077 37280111 37560248 37350346 37440436 37850495 38720483 39760535 40500513 41410316 42340188 43470044 43659832 43079660 40859582 38619570 36359640 34469762 33269865 31499991 31230105 31500181 0.30 36869985 37630043 38180301 38990361 39910358 41200238 41090026 39009829 37749800 36729839 36389890 36449943 36869985 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... MDT 39780284 40940218 41010014 39049832 37599821 36759849 36649930 37019979 37650027 38260223 38970274 39780284 SLGT 31530180 34310102 36490079 37220109 37560233 37360347 37450438 37850495 38730488 39820535 40550510 42010284 44190093 44959931 44549721 40859577 38589579 36369640 34949728 32369928 31389994 31130101 31530180 TSTM 29570260 31340269 34940138 36970149 37160278 36440416 35450665 35670963 35481231 35551400 36921611 39221754 41212028 43892118 46021980 48931917 99999999 48981524 47321270 45411255 44821075 45510855 44990431 46710303 48290123 48589982 48659862 48319638 46909492 45219447 43209314 41119170 40598977 40458784 40418623 41058377 40658209 39538114 37168079 35367974 34078001 32477921 99999999 28619503 29849555 31299508 32009529 31949767 29669977 28340035 && THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SE AKO 40 NW IML 30 ESE LBF 30 ENE RSL 30 NE P28 10 E AVK 35 NE GAG 50 N GAG 20 WSW DDC 30 ENE LAA 30 SW ITR 35 SE AKO. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SE MAF 40 ENE PVW 40 SSE LBL 15 NNW LBL 25 NE SPD 45 W SPD 15 NNW TAD 40 SW PUB 10 SW COS 25 W DEN 10 NNW FCL AIA 35 ENE PHP 55 SW ABR 25 NW BKX 20 WNW SDA 25 NE EMP 30 WNW TUL 35 SSE OKC 25 E ABI 35 E SJT 35 WSW SJT 35 SE MAF. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SW 6R6 30 NNE FST 25 SE AMA 20 N GUY 10 SW SPD 25 SE RTN 30 N ABQ 50 WNW GUP 35 SSW GCN 20 N IGM 20 NNW DRA 25 SW U31 25 SE AAT 25 S RDM 50 WNW PDT 35 NNE OMK ...CONT... 65 NW GPI 50 NNE 3DU 10 N DLN 20 ENE WEY 20 S BIL 50 NNE 81V 15 WSW DIK MOT 50 NW DVL 40 NNE DVL 20 NNW TVF 45 S BJI 30 SW STC 10 ENE MCW 35 NW BRL PIA 20 NW DNV 35 E LAF FDY 25 ESE MFD 20 NE PKB PSK 25 WNW SOP 20 WSW FLO 55 ESE CHS ...CONT... 45 SE LBX 20 NW HOU 20 WNW LFK 25 SSE TYR 35 NW ACT 40 WNW HDO 70 W COT.