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Mesoscale Discussion 114
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MD 114 graphic

   Mesoscale Discussion 0114
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0444 PM CST Thu Feb 08 2024

   Areas affected...north-central IL

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 082244Z - 082345Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

   SUMMARY...Localized risk for a brief tornado or two may focus
   through 6pm CST across north-central IL.

   DISCUSSION...A focused mesoscale corridor across north-central IL is
   becoming slightly more favorable for mesocyclones and the potential
   for a brief tornado over the next hour or so.  The latest forecast
   soundings show rapid mid-level cooling (500 mb temperatures plunging
   into the minus mid 20s deg C).  Surface analysis shows a slightly
   more moisture-rich airmass with dewpoints near 50 deg F across
   north-central IL.  The small surface temperature/dewpoint spreads
   and adequate buoyancy and enlarged hodographs all suggest the
   potential for a narrow window of opportunity for a brief tornado or
   two during the next hour or so.

   ..Smith/Hart.. 02/08/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...LOT...ILX...DVN...

   LAT...LON   41118942 41488880 41418846 41048848 40708902 40638950
               40788965 41118942 

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