ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 072336 
SPC MCD 072336 
KYZ000-INZ000-ILZ000-080030-

Mesoscale Discussion 0684
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0636 PM CDT Tue May 07 2024

Areas affected...Ohio Valley

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible 

Valid 072336Z - 080030Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent

SUMMARY...Severe threat appears to be increasing across the southern
Ohio Valley this evening. New watch appears warranted and may be
issued by soon.

DISCUSSION...Persistent corridor of low-level confluence extends
along the confluence of the MS/OH River into southern IN. Agitated
cu field is gradually deepening across southern IL/IN into western
KY where MLCAPE values are in excess of 3000 J/kg. Given the strong,
deep-layer shear across this region, robust updrafts may evolve over
the next few hours. Supercell risk is increasing and a new ww
appears warranted.

..Darrow/Hart.. 05/07/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...JKL...ILN...LMK...IND...PAH...

LAT...LON   38118851 38848542 38318387 37448453 36668753 37068870
            38118851 

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