ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 050033 
SPC MCD 050033 
TXZ000-OKZ000-050230-

Mesoscale Discussion 0636
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0733 PM CDT Sat May 04 2024

Areas affected...South Plains region to central North Texas

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 183...

Valid 050033Z - 050230Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 183
continues.

SUMMARY...Local severe risk continues across eastern portions of the
South Plains, and adjacent western North Texas.

DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop shows an increase in convective
coverage across eastern portions of the South Plains and Big Country
region.  With that said, somewhat modest shear across this region,
along with less instability than areas farther south, has limited
overall severe risk to some degree.  With that said, storms are
forecast to continue moving eastward with time as a low-level jet
develops this evening, with some severe risk likely to persist --
given somewhat-more-favorable downstream instability into parts of
north-central Texas.  Convection remains largely confined with in WW
183 at this time, and while we will continue to monitor areas to the
east, new WW -- north of newly issued WW 185 -- may not be required.

..Goss.. 05/05/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...SJT...LUB...MAF...

LAT...LON   32070173 32930122 33360055 34019909 33959765 33769708
            32639762 32079908 32070173 

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