ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 012358 
SPC MCD 012358 
TXZ000-020100-

Mesoscale Discussion 0593
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0658 PM CDT Wed May 01 2024

Areas affected...southwestern Texas

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 170...

Valid 012358Z - 020100Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 170
continues.

SUMMARY...Severe threat continues within WW170. Instances of severe
hail and damaging wind will continue over the next couple of hours.

DISCUSSION...Thunderstorm activity continues in the northern and
southern portions of WW170. To the north, clustered cell activity
with transient supercell structures will continue to support risk of
instances of large hail and damaging wind. Recent reports of hail as
large as 1.5 in and gusts 50+ mph have been noted in this region.

Further south, storms have made attempts to grow upscale along
outflow, which will likely support a shift to increase in threat for
damaging wind (possibly as high as 70 mph) threat in the short term,
though instances of large hail will be possible.

Activity is largely supported dryline forcing and will likely wane
in coverage after sunset with the end of daytime heating. The
propensity for anvil spread downwind has also likely limited the
threat of further development with eastern extent, as witnessed by
meager development along a northward moving outflow boundary near
Upton and Reagan Counties.

..Thornton/Guyer.. 05/01/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...EWX...SJT...LUB...MAF...

LAT...LON   30130285 30890251 32380238 32890232 33020170 32930130
            31940128 31340140 30550159 30080179 29820190 29750208
            29750239 29880286 30130285 

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