ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 280140 
SPC MCD 280140 
MIZ000-280315-

Mesoscale Discussion 0553
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0840 PM CDT Sat Apr 27 2024

Areas affected...Northern and central Lower Michigan

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible 

Valid 280140Z - 280315Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent

SUMMARY...Large hail and damaging winds possible with thunderstorms
through the evening and early morning.

DISCUSSION...Thunderstorms have been ongoing along a frontal
boundary extending across the northern Lower Michigan with reports
of hail up to penny size. This activity is likely to continue along
the boundary, with potential for the boundary to shift southward
through the evening/morning. Large hail and damaging winds will
likely be the main threats, given steep lapse rates and MLCAPE
around 1000 J/kg. A watch will be considered for portions of the
discussion area based on convective trends.

..Thornton/Smith.. 04/28/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...DTX...APX...GRR...

LAT...LON   44448638 44868525 45458415 45398353 44948327 44578315
            43518351 43108413 42788458 42478535 42478626 42908673
            43168682 43558665 43798662 44448638 

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