ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL ACUS11 KWNS 260048 SPC MCD 260048 KSZ000-NEZ000-COZ000-260145- Mesoscale Discussion 0517 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0748 PM CDT Thu Apr 25 2024 Areas affected...southwestern Nebraska...northwestern Kansas Concerning...Tornado Watch 133... Valid 260048Z - 260145Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 133 continues. SUMMARY...Storms have diminished in coverage and intensity over the past hour, but severe threat will continue locally. DISCUSSION...Latest composite radar loop over the central High Plains region shows a decrease in convective coverage and intensity over the past hour -- especially along the western Kansas dryline. The main area of convective persistence is ongoing from northeastern Colorado eastward across southwestern Nebraska and northwestern Kansas. The northwest-to-southeast surface baroclinic zone across western Kansas has been making gradual progress southwestward over the past couple of hours -- in part due to convective outflow reinforcement. As such, convection shifting northeastward across the tornado watch continues to encounter a less-unstable environment. As a result, storms have undergone a weakening trend, particularly a decrease in the number of storms with supercellular characteristics. With that said, local/all-hazards risk continues with stronger storms in/near the WW. Additionally, some CAM runs suggest that as the low-level jet increases this evening, likely contributing to an increase in storm coverage on the cool side of the front, some potential for upscale growth into a bowing line is possible, potentially shifting eastward either side of the Nebraska/Kansas border. This could yield a minor increase in wind potential, though the stable boundary layer with eastward extent should limit overall risk. ..Goss.. 04/26/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...GID...LBF...DDC...GLD...BOU... LAT...LON 40650209 40590068 40339968 39619931 39159974 38870012 38830061 38790102 39550181 39930177 40460221 40650209 NNNN