ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL ACUS11 KWNS 102335 SPC MCD 102335 FLZ000-ALZ000-110130- Mesoscale Discussion 0417 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0635 PM CDT Wed Apr 10 2024 Areas affected...parts of the Florida Panhandle Concerning...Tornado Watch 103... Valid 102335Z - 110130Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 103 continues. SUMMARY...The risk for severe weather has become increasingly negligible, at least in the near term, but could increase once again later this evening across at least coastal portions of the Florida Panhandle around Apalachicola. While the remainder of Tornado Watch 103 may be allowed to expire at 9 PM EDT, trends will need to continue to be monitored for the possibility of a new severe weather watch later this evening. DISCUSSION...The initially strong and better organized cluster of storms has undergone considerable further weakening as it continues to progress through an environment characterized by stable near-surface lapse rates and less unstable low-level inflow across and inland of northeastern Gulf coastal areas. Outflow, trailing the forward propagating portion of the remnant convective system now progressing into the Apalachicola vicinity, has advanced 60-70 miles offshore of the western Florida Panhandle, but appears to have stalled in advance of a significant mid-level short wave still west of the lower Mississippi Valley. Renewed thunderstorm development is ongoing along and southwest of the stalling portion of the outflow, aided by forcing associated with strengthening low-level warm advection beneath increasingly difluent upper flow. It appears that this may increasingly acquire low-level inflow of moderately unstable air over the next few hours, with potential for further upscale growth and the evolution of another organizing convective convective cluster along the outflow boundary through mid/late evening. While the bulk of the strongest storms may remain offshore, it is possible that the risk for severe storms could increase again across coastal areas around Apalachicola later this evening. ..Kerr.. 04/10/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...TAE...MOB... LAT...LON 30448747 30648657 30558558 29918513 29558590 29648715 29908786 30448747 NNNN