ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 031922 
SPC MCD 031922 
FLZ000-032045-

Mesoscale Discussion 0372
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0222 PM CDT Wed Apr 03 2024

Areas affected...Portions of central FL

Concerning...Tornado Watch 86...

Valid 031922Z - 032045Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 86 continues.

SUMMARY...An isolated severe threat in the short term (next 1-2
hours) should continue to slowly diminish through the afternoon.
Additional/downstream watch issuance is not expected.

DISCUSSION...Low-level flow across the central FL Peninsula has
gradually veered to southwesterly per recent surface observations
and VWPs from KTBW/KMLB. This has reduced 0-1 km SRH along/ahead of
a loosely organized band of thunderstorms extending southwest to
northeast across the central FL Peninsula. The thermodynamic and
kinematic environment remains conditionally favorable for severe
convection across this area, with occasional strong to damaging
winds and perhaps a brief tornado possible for the next hour or two
before the stronger convection across the east-central FL Peninsula
moves offshore. However, boundary-layer flow has become mostly
parallel to enhanced mid-level southwesterlies, reducing low-level
convergence/lift and leading to messy storm mergers/interactions.
Current expectations are for the already isolated severe threat in
the short term to slowly diminish through the rest of the afternoon.
Therefore, additional/downstream watch issuance is not expected
across the FL Peninsula.

..Gleason.. 04/03/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...MLB...TBW...

LAT...LON   28278066 27688173 27378259 27658278 28058253 28598178
            29308098 28858066 28488053 28278066 

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