ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 012228 
SPC MCD 012228 
MOZ000-KSZ000-OKZ000-020000-

Mesoscale Discussion 0327
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0528 PM CDT Mon Apr 01 2024

Areas affected...eastern Kansas and western/central Missouri

Concerning...Tornado Watch 64...67...

Valid 012228Z - 020000Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 64, 67 continues.

SUMMARY...Numerous supercells are expected this evening with large
to very large hail likely. The tornado threat will increase near and
after sunset.

DISCUSSION...A mature supercell has developed in southeast Kansas
with hail up to golf ball sized reported. Additional supercells have
started to develop along the warm front in central Missouri. MLCAPE
of 1200 to 1500 J/kg and effective shear in excess of 70 knots (per
SGF VWP) will support large to very large hail with any storms. SPC
mesoanalysis shows STP around 1 to 1.5 at 22Z and the WoFs suggest
STP around 3 by 00Z as the low-level jet strengthens. Therefore,
expect a gradual increase in tornado intensity through the evening.

..Bentley.. 04/01/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LSX...SGF...EAX...TSA...TOP...ICT...

LAT...LON   37039660 38179597 39009535 39619438 39499287 39159138
            38559120 38149156 37769261 37109369 36979429 37039660 

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