ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 012001 
SPC MCD 012001 
MOZ000-OKZ000-KSZ000-012130-

Mesoscale Discussion 0324
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0301 PM CDT Mon Apr 01 2024

Areas affected...Far eastern Kansas into western Missouri

Concerning...Severe potential...Tornado Watch likely 

Valid 012001Z - 012130Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...95 percent

SUMMARY...Storms capable of all severe hazards will move into far
eastern Kansas and western Missouri later this afternoon. A tornado
watch is likely within the next hour.

DISCUSSION...Storms have initiated in far northeast Kansas and have
moved into northwest Missouri. Additional storms are likely to move
into western Missouri from north-central Oklahoma/southeast Kansas
over the next few hours. While timing of storm arrival in
southwestern Missouri is not certain, weak convection with lightning
has developed in northeastern Oklahoma and is moving northeast. That
all said, the severe risk for far eastern Kansas and western
Missouri will be increasing late this afternoon into the evening.
Large/very-large hail, damaging winds, and tornadoes will all be
possible. Low-level shear, particularly for southwest Missouri, will
initially be weak. However, the low-level jet will increase by early
evening. A tornado watch is likely within the next hour.

..Wendt/Thompson.. 04/01/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LSX...SGF...EAX...TSA...

LAT...LON   38629237 37019223 36709253 36569430 36609458 36689478
            37149493 37319494 39479507 39849496 40189436 40329288
            39629249 38629237 

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