ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 282246 
SPC MCD 282246 
VAZ000-NCZ000-SCZ000-GAZ000-290015-

Mesoscale Discussion 0179
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0446 PM CST Wed Feb 28 2024

Areas affected...Northeast GA into the Carolina Piedmont region and
far southern VA

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

Valid 282246Z - 290015Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

SUMMARY...Localized strong/damaging gusts will remain possible into
early evening before the threat diminishes.

DISCUSSION...A eastward-moving band of convection, which earlier
produced isolated measured severe gusts across parts of north GA and
Upstate SC, has shown some signs of weakening over the last hour,
with diminishing lightning activity. Downstream instability is very
limited due to poor midlevel lapse rates, but seasonably strong
heating/mixing occurred over the Carolina Piedmont region this
afternoon. The combination of relatively steep low-level lapse rates
and moderate low-level flow will continue to support a threat of
localized strong/damaging gusts into early evening, before a more
definitive weakening trend occurs tonight.

..Dean/Edwards.. 02/28/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...AKQ...RAH...ILM...RNK...CAE...GSP...FFC...

LAT...LON   33678277 33758266 34958053 35338023 35488030 35598047
            35668052 36058004 36917881 37077829 36997785 36587790
            36087815 35487854 34807915 34208013 33758097 33158230
            33328313 33678277 

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