ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL ACUS11 KWNS 100025 SPC MCD 100025 MEZ000-NHZ000-MAZ000-VTZ000-CTZ000-NYZ000-100430- Mesoscale Discussion 0040 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0625 PM CST Tue Jan 09 2024 Areas affected...Western New York...and portions of New England Concerning...Heavy snow Valid 100025Z - 100430Z SUMMARY...Heavy snowfall with rates 1-2+"/hr through the evening. DISCUSSION...A surface low continues to lift northeastward across southern Michigan. Deep moisture and strong ascent have overspread portions of the northeast into New England where heavy snow has been reported. HREF ensemble guidance indicates high probability that heavy snow will continue across this region through the evening, with potential for 1-2+"/hr rates at times. Strong warm air advection from the southeast is ongoing at this hour, with a transition zone where warmer temperatures are located to the southeast of the heavier snowfall. Mixed precipitation will likely continue in this region with lower elevations changing back over to rain through the evening. Heavy snow will spread north and east through New England the evening and overnight. ..Thornton.. 01/10/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...GYX...BOX...BTV...OKX...ALY...BGM... LAT...LON 42137198 41737256 41617329 41607397 41897451 42107491 42367515 42697522 43427475 44137449 44897332 44847258 44637188 44187113 43787093 43557103 42387179 42137198 NNNN