ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 150006 
SPC MCD 150006 
KSZ000-150130-

Mesoscale Discussion 1751
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0706 PM CDT Tue Sep 14 2021

Areas affected...Parts of southwestern into south central Kansas

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 500...

Valid 150006Z - 150130Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 500
continues.

SUMMARY...Isolated to widely scattered storms posing a risk for
severe hail and locally strong wind gusts may linger into the 8-9 PM
CDT time frame.

DISCUSSION...A zone of differential surface heating, beneath the
periphery of the remnants of a plume of elevated mixed-layer air,
has provide the focus for isolated intense thunderstorm development
late this afternoon.  With relatively moist easterly low-level flow
to the cool side of this front contributing to moderately large CAPE
and strong deep layer shear, a splitting supercell formed to the
east of Dodge City.  The remnants of this activity have been slowly
propagating north/northeastward and south-southeastward within
rather modest (around 20 kt) westerly ambient deep-layer mean flow,
and may continue to pose a risk for severe hail and locally strong
surface gusts for another hour or two.

..Kerr.. 09/15/2021

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...ICT...DDC...

LAT...LON   38279932 38559870 38019755 37419742 37189855 37459930
            37789975 38279932 

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